EP36's Racquet Abuse

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • Allure
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 08-18-10
    • 7606

    #281
    Lopez pretty competitive so far. Handicap should be an easy winner.
    Comment
    • EaglesPhan36
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 12-06-06
      • 71662

      #282
      It'll be a push probably.
      Comment
      • Allure
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 08-18-10
        • 7606

        #283
        Looking nice, ML as well. Handicap already a winner. Makes up for my Azarenka loss at least.
        Comment
        • EaglesPhan36
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 12-06-06
          • 71662

          #284
          +5 pushed. At least thats what I think it was.
          Comment
          • Allure
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 08-18-10
            • 7606

            #285
            No, I play tennis bets with Unibet. They had +5.5 but of course juicier.
            Comment
            • EaglesPhan36
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 12-06-06
              • 71662

              #286
              Nice win then, fortunate because Lopez looked like he was going to get broken twice in that last set. He was wearing down.
              Comment
              • AboutThatLife
                SBR High Roller
                • 12-22-14
                • 206

                #287
                In regards to the over/under

                Originally Posted by EaglesPhan36
                I think Sharapovs wins. Aggressive power has troubled Genie more often than not, especially a bigger serve if Masha isn't in spaz mode. Genie's serve is much easier to pick apart.

                If Pova's serve is on level with where it's been most of the tournament, Genie will need to find another level. She can def win a set though, total is hard to predict IMO.


                Hey Eagles did you see the last match - Believe she was under 50% for first serves in. Was winning over 68% on second serve you expect her to replicate that with genie on the other end - I'm counting on Sharapova serve not being on
                Comment
                • EaglesPhan36
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 12-06-06
                  • 71662

                  #288
                  Rare that she gets above 55-60% on 1st serves in, so not shocked. Obviously you don't want 2nd serves all day, but the stat can be misleading. Alot of these chicks have higher 1st serve pct but they're just putting it into play without any force. Pova seemingly is power on 1st & 2nds where her 2nds may be way better than some 1sts for others.

                  She's at 52% of pts won off 2nd serve. Anything above 50 is good for WTA. If you look at Genie, her serve seems to fail her more in these big matches against power players. Just not sure she's got another gear on serve just yet. I think it's all about pressure, if you're up against anyone serving well, mentally you are going to be weary of having to hold more than if you're playing some fluffer where you'd say, no big deal I'll break back on them.

                  Certainly Pova is not immune to being on that side of the racket either.
                  Last edited by EaglesPhan36; 01-26-15, 01:17 PM.
                  Comment
                  • beefcake
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 11-26-09
                    • 14029

                    #289
                    Over sugarpova double faults is the play here if you can find it!!
                    Comment
                    • EaglesPhan36
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 12-06-06
                      • 71662

                      #290
                      Well the Wawrinka future didn't work out quite how I was hoping. Since he struggled, he's basically the same price v. Kei as the futures price to win the quarter. So basically I've got Stan on the ML. Def hedge somehow on Kei. Have to think on it.
                      Comment
                      • Dmoneytx
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 02-09-12
                        • 6450

                        #291
                        I was trying to pull the trigger on GGL plus the 7.5 last night, but went with Lopez +5, of course it pushed, dammit.. I think the Sushi Boy Wawa should be a good match without question. I could see a tight 4 setter there, hoping for fireworks in that one, the two matches tonight could be really good as well.. BOL!!!
                        Comment
                        • EaglesPhan36
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 12-06-06
                          • 71662

                          #292
                          Little worried over the elbow. Seems to come & go, but takes some bite out of his serve. Yesterday Stan took his foot off the gas too soon. Still really don't know Nishikori's form, think Ferrer was done from the Simon battle, so he got worked easily. Fresh Nishikori is the worry.
                          Comment
                          • AboutThatLife
                            SBR High Roller
                            • 12-22-14
                            • 206

                            #293
                            Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
                            Little worried over the elbow. Seems to come & go, but takes some bite out of his serve. Yesterday Stan took his foot off the gas too soon. Still really don't know Nishikori's form, think Ferrer was done from the Simon battle, so he got worked easily. Fresh Nishikori is the worry.
                            Think you should be worried about the elbow - I couldn't back Stan if you gave me the money at this point - he has lost about 20 mph on is serve
                            Comment
                            • EaglesPhan36
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 12-06-06
                              • 71662

                              #294
                              Little bit exaggerated there. Looked at the stats and his 1st & 2nd serve avg speeds are nearly the same now from first match. Problem is you don't know if it effects him in a key game where ya maybe he can't find an extra gear.
                              Comment
                              • EaglesPhan36
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 12-06-06
                                • 71662

                                #295
                                Day 9: AusOpen
                                ATP Doubles: Benneteau/ERV-Mahut-Herbert Over
                                ATP Doubles: Lopez-Mirnyi +125
                                WTA: Sharapova-Bouchard Ends in 3 Sets +164


                                Have to wait for live total on 1st dubs pick. Guessing 21.5.
                                Comment
                                • AboutThatLife
                                  SBR High Roller
                                  • 12-22-14
                                  • 206

                                  #296
                                  A bit exaggerated Eagles yes, but I've been watching everyone play- It should be a Nadal vs. Nishikori final - If you see something else let me know
                                  Comment
                                  • EaglesPhan36
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 12-06-06
                                    • 71662

                                    #297
                                    Djokovic Murray possible. Not nearly as bullish as everyone seems to be on Nishikori. Know more after his match with Stan. If Djokovic is there and Nishikori too, Best bet Djokovic recalls the USO . Weather won't get him this time.
                                    Comment
                                    • poet
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 08-11-13
                                      • 796

                                      #298
                                      Nish and Stan will tire each other out and Djoker (if he takes care of Milos quickly) will be well rested. I think Djoker to win it all is still good value.
                                      Comment
                                      • EaglesPhan36
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 12-06-06
                                        • 71662

                                        #299
                                        Dubs total booked o22.5 @ -111
                                        Comment
                                        • eddycash
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 11-06-13
                                          • 4521

                                          #300
                                          can krygious beat murray?
                                          Comment
                                          • EaglesPhan36
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 12-06-06
                                            • 71662

                                            #301
                                            I don't think so. Murray would have to have a horrible day. Kyrgios will be on fumes at some point. Murray will work his legs and tire him out most likely. His only chance is an A+ serving day and that might be impossible without the legs.
                                            Comment
                                            • EaglesPhan36
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 12-06-06
                                              • 71662

                                              #302
                                              Not gonna leave the bullets in the chamber, good or bad.

                                              Add...
                                              ATP: Berdych Wins 1st Set @ +135
                                              Comment
                                              • EaglesPhan36
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 12-06-06
                                                • 71662

                                                #303
                                                Add...
                                                WTA Doubles: Makarova/Vesnina-BMS/Safarova Over

                                                *Not sure where the line will fall until it opens live at Intertops, but I like the over a bit here. Guessing 21ish or 21.5
                                                Comment
                                                • EaglesPhan36
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 12-06-06
                                                  • 71662

                                                  #304
                                                  Booked .... WTA Doubles: Makarova/Vesnina-BMS/Safarova Over 20.5 @ -133
                                                  Comment
                                                  • EaglesPhan36
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 12-06-06
                                                    • 71662

                                                    #305
                                                    Looking back at my preview for the men, Futures still seem to be my strength. Too bad I can't parlay a decent crystal ball with better day-to-day picks


                                                    Still apparently love to run either luke warm or icy cold.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • EaglesPhan36
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 12-06-06
                                                      • 71662

                                                      #306
                                                      Will recalculate my mess tomorrow. Last couple of days, I've at least got some positive traction after the blood bath. Damn do I wish they had doubles totals at the books I use routinely.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • EaglesPhan36
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 12-06-06
                                                        • 71662

                                                        #307
                                                        AusOpen: -8.86
                                                        2015 Profit Margin: -5.30
                                                        2015 Futures: -0.75

                                                        Even a couple small winning days in a row don't hide the shame
                                                        Comment
                                                        • EaglesPhan36
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 12-06-06
                                                          • 71662

                                                          #308
                                                          Day 10: AusOpen
                                                          WTA: Venus-Keys Ends in 3 Sets @ +144

                                                          May look at a dubs total for Bolelli/Fognini-Marrero/Cuevas.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Conqueror
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 12-08-13
                                                            • 16777

                                                            #309
                                                            Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
                                                            Day 10: AusOpen
                                                            WTA: Venus-Keys Ends in 3 Sets @ +144

                                                            May look at a dubs total for Bolelli/Fognini-Marrero/Cuevas.
                                                            I did a live bet on the Venus-Keys game: Venus to win 2:1 +287 on Heritagesports.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • EaglesPhan36
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 12-06-06
                                                              • 71662

                                                              #310
                                                              Add...
                                                              WTA: Cibulkova 1st Set @ +260 *Risking 0.25 unit
                                                              ATP Doubles: Inglot/Mergea-Rojer-Tecau Over 22.5 @ -125

                                                              Waiting to see what the # is for the dubs match, likely to take the Over. Probably be around 21.5/22.
                                                              Last edited by EaglesPhan36; 01-27-15, 09:31 PM.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • EaglesPhan36
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 12-06-06
                                                                • 71662

                                                                #311
                                                                Dubs Over 22.5 @ -125
                                                                Comment
                                                                • EaglesPhan36
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 12-06-06
                                                                  • 71662

                                                                  #312
                                                                  Cibulkova didn't get off to a good start, that's gonna wind up being a total smash job by Serena me thinks. Oh well, 0.25 unit down the toilet.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • EaglesPhan36
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 12-06-06
                                                                    • 71662

                                                                    #313
                                                                    Add...
                                                                    WTA Doubles: Goerges/Groenefeld-Mattek Sands/Safarova Over
                                                                    *When total is posted.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • oldscho0led
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 01-18-11
                                                                      • 1407

                                                                      #314
                                                                      EP, what do you think about the Wawa-Nishi game? Everyone on the over. I'm kinda leaning under right now and you can get good value on Tiebreak - NO. Thoughts?
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • EaglesPhan36
                                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                                        • 12-06-06
                                                                        • 71662

                                                                        #315
                                                                        Dubs Over was 21.5 @ -119
                                                                        Comment
                                                                        SBR Contests
                                                                        Collapse
                                                                        Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                                                        Collapse
                                                                        Working...