Kenz's Tennis

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  • kenz
    SBR MVP
    • 12-09-12
    • 4879

    #211
    Agut is now @1.55-@1.60
    Last edited by kenz; 03-10-14, 05:31 AM.
    Comment
    • zec
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 01-03-14
      • 548

      #212
      I know, I got him at 1.80 just before it went sliding
      Comment
      • Marillion
        SBR MVP
        • 01-06-14
        • 1453

        #213
        Man that's unreal. I saw the line and had to do some job then I come back and it's 1.57. At least I placed a bet on Isner and line hasn't changed.

        Congrats on spotting it on time, hope he takes this, I will have to make up my mind quickly if I want to take him at 1.57...

        ed: OK, it isn't unreal, it's just that I am moaning.

        ed 2: No, I definitely don't like him at 1.57, lol.
        Comment
        • zec
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 01-03-14
          • 548

          #214
          Kenz, the lines on Stan and Kev are low with my book. Would you feel comfortable adding Rafa or Li?
          Comment
          • kenz
            SBR MVP
            • 12-09-12
            • 4879

            #215
            I will never bet on WTA again. I dont trust anyone on WTA

            I dont want to recommend you a game as they are all really low and I dont want to feel any responsibility for a big loss which I wont bet. I would not add any games to parlay, work with the odd that is available for Stan * Big Kev
            Comment
            • Rainman12
              SBR High Roller
              • 06-12-10
              • 170

              #216
              I've also got a parlay running with Stan and Big Kev along with rafa and dmitrov (who won).
              Rafa is the only one im slightly worried about. Dolgo is playing well but he has never won a set off Rafa in 5 attempts.
              Rafa also beat him in the final of Rio a couple weeks back. Why am i worried?
              Comment
              • tipsadontlikehim
                SBR MVP
                • 11-14-13
                • 2569

                #217
                Originally posted by kenz
                I will never bet on WTA again. I dont trust anyone on WTA
                WTA players (figuring in top 100) not to be trusted:



                Na Li
                Sharapova
                Kerber
                Jankovic
                Kvitova
                Cibulkova
                Wozniacki
                Ivanovic
                Vinci
                Lisicki
                Suarez Navarro
                Stosur
                Stephens
                Bouchard
                Flipkens
                Pennetta
                Pavlyuchenkova
                Cornet
                Makarova
                Kirilenko
                Kanepi
                Cirstea
                Safarova
                Zakopalova
                Kuznetsova
                Williams
                Muguruza
                Hampton
                Hantuchova
                Vesnina
                Rybarikova
                Petkovic
                Keys
                Meusburger
                Peng
                Jovanovski
                Zhang
                Svitolina
                Schiavone
                Riske
                Pironkova
                Nara
                Beck
                Knapp
                Voegele
                Lepchenko
                Mattek-Sands
                U.Radwanska
                Robson
                McHale
                Wickmayer
                Puig
                Zheng
                Cadantu
                Voskoboeva
                Hercog
                Erakovic
                Niculescu
                Shvedova
                Zahlavova
                Davis
                Pliskova
                Tomljanovic
                King
                Dominguez Lino
                Barthel
                Torro-Flor
                Schmiedlova
                Scheepers
                Cepelova
                Ormaechea
                Garcia
                Dellacqua
                Giorgi
                Pfizenmaier
                Larsson
                Peer
                Razzano
                Mayr-Achleitner
                Lucic-Baroni
                Goerges
                Morita
                Glushko
                Soler-Espinosa
                Cetkovska
                Mladenovic
                Date-Krumm
                Van Uytvanck
                Govortsova
                Medina Garrigues
                Piter
                Fichman
                Martic
                Comment
                • zec
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 01-03-14
                  • 548

                  #218
                  Why do you have only one Williams on the list? You trust one of them?
                  Comment
                  • kenz
                    SBR MVP
                    • 12-09-12
                    • 4879

                    #219
                    Originally posted by tipsadontlikehim
                    WTA players (figuring in top 100) not to be trusted:



                    Na Li
                    Sharapova
                    Kerber
                    Jankovic
                    Kvitova
                    Cibulkova
                    Wozniacki
                    Ivanovic
                    Vinci
                    Lisicki
                    Suarez Navarro
                    Stosur
                    Stephens
                    Bouchard
                    Flipkens
                    Pennetta
                    Pavlyuchenkova
                    Cornet
                    Makarova
                    Kirilenko
                    Kanepi
                    Cirstea
                    Safarova
                    Zakopalova
                    Kuznetsova
                    Williams
                    Muguruza
                    Hampton
                    Hantuchova
                    Vesnina
                    Rybarikova
                    Petkovic
                    Keys
                    Meusburger
                    Peng
                    Jovanovski
                    Zhang
                    Svitolina
                    Schiavone
                    Riske
                    Pironkova
                    Nara
                    Beck
                    Knapp
                    Voegele
                    Lepchenko
                    Mattek-Sands
                    U.Radwanska
                    Robson
                    McHale
                    Wickmayer
                    Puig
                    Zheng
                    Cadantu
                    Voskoboeva
                    Hercog
                    Erakovic
                    Niculescu
                    Shvedova
                    Zahlavova
                    Davis
                    Pliskova
                    Tomljanovic
                    King
                    Dominguez Lino
                    Barthel
                    Torro-Flor
                    Schmiedlova
                    Scheepers
                    Cepelova
                    Ormaechea
                    Garcia
                    Dellacqua
                    Giorgi
                    Pfizenmaier
                    Larsson
                    Peer
                    Razzano
                    Mayr-Achleitner
                    Lucic-Baroni
                    Goerges
                    Morita
                    Glushko
                    Soler-Espinosa
                    Cetkovska
                    Mladenovic
                    Date-Krumm
                    Van Uytvanck
                    Govortsova
                    Medina Garrigues
                    Piter
                    Fichman
                    Martic


                    I dont trust the ones not on the list too, like Serena and Azarenka
                    Comment
                    • kenz
                      SBR MVP
                      • 12-09-12
                      • 4879

                      #220
                      Originally posted by Rainman12
                      I've also got a parlay running with Stan and Big Kev along with rafa and dmitrov (who won).
                      Rafa is the only one im slightly worried about. Dolgo is playing well but he has never won a set off Rafa in 5 attempts.
                      Rafa also beat him in the final of Rio a couple weeks back. Why am i worried?
                      It may be mental, but I have to admit I would be worried too. This matchup somehow makes you insecure

                      Hope you cash with no sweat
                      Comment
                      • Rainman12
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 06-12-10
                        • 170

                        #221
                        Originally posted by kenz
                        It may be mental, but I have to admit I would be worried too. This matchup somehow makes you insecure

                        Hope you cash with no sweat
                        Cheers kenz.
                        Interested to get your thoughts on Lopez v Kukushkin? Lopez looks like a good bet to me
                        Comment
                        • kenz
                          SBR MVP
                          • 12-09-12
                          • 4879

                          #222
                          Originally posted by Rainman12
                          Cheers kenz.
                          Interested to get your thoughts on Lopez v Kukushkin? Lopez looks like a good bet to me
                          I dont have an edge as I did not watch them recently, probably would not bet but my lean would be Feliciano Lopez. I dont like his incomplete return technique slicing every ball but he has a good serve and leads H2H 2-0
                          Comment
                          • kenz
                            SBR MVP
                            • 12-09-12
                            • 4879

                            #223
                            $1500 on Milos Raonic ML @1.32 @Tempobet
                            Comment
                            • kenz
                              SBR MVP
                              • 12-09-12
                              • 4879

                              #224
                              I came to the final conclusion that Raonic wont lose today. I feel better taking him single and seperating him from Kevin and Stan's parlay. But if you havent parlayed them yet, you may parlay 3, but for me ideal is seperating them
                              Comment
                              • charley365
                                SBR High Roller
                                • 01-16-10
                                • 223

                                #225
                                well now i know my parlay is safe
                                cheers for confirming that kenz
                                Last edited by charley365; 03-10-14, 10:29 AM.
                                Comment
                                • gurgoles
                                  SBR Rookie
                                  • 03-08-14
                                  • 2

                                  #226
                                  hey kenz, first of all i wanna say im a big fan of your plays
                                  Wonder how you feel about monfils vs fognini? seems like you passing it so wonder why? I think monfils have a huge edge cuz the court fitting him well and fognini have struggled hard against baseline players like dolgopolov and cuevas
                                  Comment
                                  • kenz
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 12-09-12
                                    • 4879

                                    #227
                                    Originally posted by charley365
                                    well now i know my parley is safe
                                    cheers for confirming that kenz
                                    Big Kev and Stan is safe bro
                                    Comment
                                    • charley365
                                      SBR High Roller
                                      • 01-16-10
                                      • 223

                                      #228
                                      Can you see any chances of upsets or closer games than odds suggest tonight kenz?
                                      I like raonic tonight also
                                      Comment
                                      • Hardcoar
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 02-17-13
                                        • 15606

                                        #229
                                        Originally posted by kenz
                                        I came to the final conclusion that Raonic wont lose today. I feel better taking him single and seperating him from Kevin and Stan's parlay. But if you havent parlayed them yet, you may parlay 3, but for me ideal is seperating them
                                        Do you think he'd win 3/4 times in this match?

                                        IDK...
                                        Comment
                                        • kenz
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 12-09-12
                                          • 4879

                                          #230
                                          Originally posted by gurgoles
                                          hey kenz, first of all i wanna say im a big fan of your plays
                                          Wonder how you feel about monfils vs fognini? seems like you passing it so wonder why? I think monfils have a huge edge cuz the court fitting him well and fognini have struggled hard against baseline players like dolgopolov and cuevas
                                          Thanks man.

                                          I am passing it. These 2 have very high tension games in the past, as much tension a tennis game could have. Monfils were perfect against Nadal in very fast Doha but disappointing in Australian Open when the court got slower. This is a slowcourt, and Fognini sometimes play great on hardcourts,

                                          If Monfils wont serve well, he will have trouble on holding his serves as Fognini is talented in groundstrokes. On the other hand Fognini should have a hard time on holding too. This will be an intersting game and I am somewhat not sold on Monfils here, although he may win
                                          Last edited by kenz; 03-10-14, 11:11 AM.
                                          Comment
                                          • kenz
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 12-09-12
                                            • 4879

                                            #231
                                            Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                            Do you think he'd win 3/4 times in this match?

                                            IDK...
                                            Raonic is underrated in groundstrokes IMO. Well, he will never rally good enough against very best returners but Falla is another story. This is US Soil, Raonic plays better around here and he has a very good first serve. He is at least 2 level above Janowicz on outdoor hard courts, at least 2 is not an overstatement. Janowicz lost from 5-2 in the 3rd (I had Falla +5 games by the way) but there is no way Raonic can lose from there
                                            Comment
                                            • Hardcoar
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 02-17-13
                                              • 15606

                                              #232
                                              Originally posted by kenz
                                              Raonic is underrated in groundstrokes IMO. Well, he will never rally good enough against very best returners but Falla is another story. This is US Soil, Raonic plays better around here and he has a very good first serve. He is at least 2 level above Janowicz on outdoor hard courts, at least 2 is not an overstatement. Janowicz lost from 5-2 in the 3rd (I had Falla +5 games by the way) but there is no way Raonic can lose from there
                                              So is that a "yes" then?
                                              Comment
                                              • poet
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 08-11-13
                                                • 796

                                                #233
                                                Originally posted by kenz
                                                Big Kev and Stan is safe bro
                                                Kenz, the only things that are safe are death and taxes. I know you are on a heater right now (and I've tailed you a couple of times) but I was wondering how long you've been wagering on tennis? I just don't think laying all this chalk is a sound strategy in the long run. All you need are a couple of big upsets and half your profit is gone. Ask Matt if you don't believe me. But maybe you are the exception that proves the rule. Anyway, please don't take this the wrong way as I do believe that you are a keen observer of the sport.
                                                Comment
                                                • freshguy222
                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                  • 12-13-10
                                                  • 421

                                                  #234
                                                  Originally posted by poet
                                                  Kenz, the only things that are safe are death and taxes. I know you are on a heater right now (and I've tailed you a couple of times) but I was wondering how long you've been wagering on tennis? I just don't think laying all this chalk is a sound strategy in the long run. All you need are a couple of big upsets and half your profit is gone. Ask Matt if you don't believe me. But maybe you are the exception that proves the rule. Anyway, please don't take this the wrong way as I do believe that you are a keen observer of the sport.
                                                  I know what you mean, but sometimes the mismatches are so huge that some ML's are very certain. if you have seen Isner serve against Davydenko, you don't know how he could ever get broken, especially in the US. Even Nadal had no shot in Cinci to break him.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • zec
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 01-03-14
                                                    • 548

                                                    #235
                                                    Well there is a tiebreak and he lost the serve to start TB. karlovic and Isner have lost matches without losing a serve.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • kenz
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 12-09-12
                                                      • 4879

                                                      #236
                                                      Originally posted by poet
                                                      Kenz, the only things that are safe are death and taxes. I know you are on a heater right now (and I've tailed you a couple of times) but I was wondering how long you've been wagering on tennis? I just don't think laying all this chalk is a sound strategy in the long run. All you need are a couple of big upsets and half your profit is gone. Ask Matt if you don't believe me. But maybe you are the exception that proves the rule. Anyway, please don't take this the wrong way as I do believe that you are a keen observer of the sport.
                                                      No problem at all poet, I understand what you mean

                                                      In betting you may feel like a king one day, and the next day you are broke and feel depressed as hell. I made enough wagers to know this.

                                                      I like talking confident these days, and I feel I have a good grip on knowing the outcome of a matchup.

                                                      If you pay close attention I dont pay chalk on every game. I pick a few games that I am confident, I skip WTA altogether, I skip any game I am not sure.

                                                      I know the rule of this game and I know I am using some juice nowadays but I tried flat stake and asian handicap @1.90 odds too but simnce switching this technique where I leave myself free in mind, placed wagers from 100 to 1500 on how I feel I made very very good gains.

                                                      You are seeing +$8K in this thread but I made +$5.5K the month before so last 6 or 7 weeks I made +$13.5K. So I am happy with this new approach I use.

                                                      The key is to be very precious on what to pull trigger and what to avoid. You need to be as precious as a bomb deactivator specialist in betting

                                                      Even if I lose, which I never intend to, all my profit I will still dont feel like a loser. I am grateful I have the privilege of enjoying betting
                                                      Comment
                                                      • kenz
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 12-09-12
                                                        • 4879

                                                        #237
                                                        Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                                        So is that a "yes" then?
                                                        Yes
                                                        Comment
                                                        • fitguy67
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 03-13-11
                                                          • 5082

                                                          #238
                                                          Originally posted by tipsadontlikehim
                                                          WTA players (figuring in top 100) not to be trusted:



                                                          Na Li
                                                          .
                                                          .
                                                          PavlyuKUNTova
                                                          .
                                                          .
                                                          Martic
                                                          win or lose today, the one i bold-faced is now right up there with the ones I love to hate most: Suarez-Novarro, Errani, Vinci, Kanepi, pizza-face Barthel...

                                                          and the beat goes on...and on...

                                                          if u want to see broads perform reliably, visit pornhub.com, not anything WTA-related
                                                          ___________

                                                          the Pavlyu/Wozniak match is absolutely dreadful...almost every point decided (i can't use the word "won") on a DF or UFE...only person performing admirably is the poor announcer trying his hardest to put "lipstick on the pig"

                                                          Kenz is right...WTA is NOT sport (and it's not even entertainment like WWE...unless your standards for being entertained are pathetically low)...
                                                          Last edited by fitguy67; 03-10-14, 07:36 PM.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • kenz
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 12-09-12
                                                            • 4879

                                                            #239
                                                            Originally posted by kenz
                                                            Thanks man.

                                                            I am passing it. These 2 have very high tension games in the past, as much tension a tennis game could have. Monfils were perfect against Nadal in very fast Doha but disappointing in Australian Open when the court got slower. This is a slowcourt, and Fognini sometimes play great on hardcourts,

                                                            If Monfils wont serve well, he will have trouble on holding his serves as Fognini is talented in groundstrokes. On the other hand Fognini should have a hard time on holding too. This will be an intersting game and I am somewhat not sold on Monfils here, although he may win
                                                            Fognini on a slow hard court is no slouch for Monfils
                                                            Comment
                                                            • kenz
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 12-09-12
                                                              • 4879

                                                              #240
                                                              Originally posted by kenz
                                                              I already posted the one I see at first glance

                                                              $1500 on Kevin Anderson ML * Wawrinka ML @1.444, which is very solid

                                                              I have also $1500 Dİmitrov ML @1.22 pending from yesterday

                                                              3 bets can be parlayed, it makes @1.68 @Marathonbet, you can go very heavy on this, as much as $1500

                                                              Other picks may be posted after 9-10 hours from now
                                                              Congratulations on very heavy backers on Dİmitrov * Kevin Anderson * Wawrinka
                                                              Comment
                                                              • kenz
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 12-09-12
                                                                • 4879

                                                                #241
                                                                Originally posted by kenz
                                                                $1500 Kevin Anderson ML @1.222 * Stanislas Wawrinka ML @1.181 = @1.444 @Marathonbet
                                                                +$666
                                                                Comment
                                                                • kenz
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 12-09-12
                                                                  • 4879

                                                                  #242
                                                                  Originally posted by kenz
                                                                  $1500 on Milos Raonic ML @1.32 @Tempobet
                                                                  +$480
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • JC1186
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 02-21-14
                                                                    • 1070

                                                                    #243
                                                                    I get the feeling you don't know just how good you are Kenz.

                                                                    Just such a fantastically solid run.

                                                                    *Edit. And your approach is just absolutely spot on imo. Few people have the mental prowess required. With a huge emphasis on "few".

                                                                    You certainly do my friend.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • kenz
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 12-09-12
                                                                      • 4879

                                                                      #244
                                                                      10/03/2014 Total: +$666 +$480 = $+1146
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • kenz
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 12-09-12
                                                                        • 4879

                                                                        #245
                                                                        After 14th consecutive green day of 14 days of recording,

                                                                        2 bets pending

                                                                        Began recording: 25/02/2014
                                                                        Total Won: $10,788.20
                                                                        Total Lost: $1,650
                                                                        Total Profit: +$9,138.20

                                                                        Total Wager: $22,700
                                                                        Return of Investment: +40.26%
                                                                        Comment
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