ITT I Bet Air

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  • Marillion
    SBR MVP
    • 01-06-14
    • 1453

    #246
    Larsson to defeat Hradecka (1.57) - 2 units
    Comment
    • Marillion
      SBR MVP
      • 01-06-14
      • 1453

      #247
      Olivetti to defeat Lammer (1.36) - 1 unit
      Comment
      • Marillion
        SBR MVP
        • 01-06-14
        • 1453

        #248
        Schmiedlova to defeat Johansson (1.50) - 1 unit
        Comment
        • Marillion
          SBR MVP
          • 01-06-14
          • 1453

          #249
          Smitkova to defeat Brianti (1.40) - 1 unit
          Comment
          • Marillion
            SBR MVP
            • 01-06-14
            • 1453

            #250
            Ce to defeat Alves (1.50) - 2 units
            Comment
            • Marillion
              SBR MVP
              • 01-06-14
              • 1453

              #251
              Ungur to defeat Veic (1.40) - 1 unit
              Comment
              • Marillion
                SBR MVP
                • 01-06-14
                • 1453

                #252
                Ram to defeat Moriya (1.40) - 1 unit
                Comment
                • Marillion
                  SBR MVP
                  • 01-06-14
                  • 1453

                  #253
                  Laaksonen to defeat R. Becker (1.36) - 1 unit
                  Comment
                  • Marillion
                    SBR MVP
                    • 01-06-14
                    • 1453

                    #254
                    Cermak/Elgin to defeat Dutra Silva/Olivo (1.40) - 1 unit
                    Comment
                    • Marillion
                      SBR MVP
                      • 01-06-14
                      • 1453

                      #255
                      Llodra/Mahut to defeat Bryan/Bryan (3.25) - 1 unit loss
                      Dutra Silva/Olivo to defeat Zverev/Zverev (1.53) - 1 unit win
                      Lacko to defeat Kudla (1.57) - 2 units loss
                      Dolgopolov to defeat Berdych (3.00) - 0.5 unit loss
                      Larsson to defeat Hradecka (1.57) - 2 units void
                      Olivetti to defeat Lammer (1.36) - 1 unit win
                      Smitkova to defeat Brianti (1.40) - 1 unit win
                      Ce to defeat Alves (1.50) - 2 units win
                      Ungur to defeat Veic (1.40) - 1 unit win
                      Laaksonen to defeat R. Becker (1.36) - 1 unit loss
                      Cermak/Elgin to defeat Dutra Silva/Olivo (1.40) - 1 unit win

                      Wins-Losses-Void
                      155-91-11

                      total units risked: 458.14 total units won: 499.36

                      YTD
                      +41.22 units

                      ROI
                      9%
                      Comment
                      • Marillion
                        SBR MVP
                        • 01-06-14
                        • 1453

                        #256
                        Herbert to defeat Struff (2.62) - 0.5 unit
                        Comment
                        • Marillion
                          SBR MVP
                          • 01-06-14
                          • 1453

                          #257
                          Let's bet on a match between players only their parents have heard of!

                          Eraydin to defeat Katsitadze (2.50) - 0.5 unit
                          Comment
                          • Marillion
                            SBR MVP
                            • 01-06-14
                            • 1453

                            #258
                            Bertens to defeat Cetkovska (1.83) - 2 units
                            Comment
                            • fitguy67
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 03-13-11
                              • 5082

                              #259
                              Marillion, file Herbert in that fat folder of extremely-talented but emotionally-crippled French male tennis players who fold like a cheap tent at exactly the moments when composure is called for...think Monfils, Mannarino...and this twat Herbert fits the mold perfectly...
                              Comment
                              • Marillion
                                SBR MVP
                                • 01-06-14
                                • 1453

                                #260
                                You are right, he is unstable... one has to be very careful when picking such guys. I found the odds too good, even if Struff is a solid player. It's good I didn't watch the match.
                                Another such player (and a French one) is Johansson (but I faded her yesterday). She is a known nutcase. Yesterday, she won the first set 6-0 but then, she lost.

                                Btw in that match between players only their mothers know, my pick's odds have fallen from 2.50 to 2.00, lol.
                                Comment
                                • kenz
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 12-09-12
                                  • 4879

                                  #261
                                  Originally posted by Marillion
                                  You are right, he is unstable... one has to be very careful when picking such guys. I found the odds too good, even if Struff is a solid player. It's good I didn't watch the match.
                                  Another such player (and a French one) is Johansson (but I faded her yesterday). She is a known nutcase. Yesterday, she won the first set 6-0 but then, she lost.

                                  Btw in that match between players only their mothers know, my pick's odds have fallen from 2.50 to 2.00, lol.
                                  She is Turkish, Turkish Females can be added to fitguy's list of French Males
                                  Comment
                                  • Marillion
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 01-06-14
                                    • 1453

                                    #262
                                    Here is a french favourite that didn't disappoint me yesterday (his name is Italian, though). Playing solid recently, I am picking him again today.

                                    Olivetti to defeat Teixeira (1.53) - 2 units
                                    Comment
                                    • Marillion
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 01-06-14
                                      • 1453

                                      #263
                                      Rola to defeat Klizan (2.62) - 2 units
                                      Comment
                                      • Marillion
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 01-06-14
                                        • 1453

                                        #264
                                        Cermak/Elgin to defeat Gonzalez/Schwank (1.72) - 1 unit
                                        Comment
                                        • fitguy67
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 03-13-11
                                          • 5082

                                          #265
                                          Originally posted by Marillion
                                          Btw in that match between players only their mothers know, my pick's odds have fallen from 2.50 to 2.00, lol.
                                          ring the dinner bell again...whether we recognize the names or not...eraydin makes a nice first impression
                                          Comment
                                          • Marillion
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 01-06-14
                                            • 1453

                                            #266
                                            Yeah, nice one!
                                            Also solid monster serving Olivetti is solid. 21 aces for 7-5 7-6 (saving 3-4 set points in the second set tiebreak).
                                            Comment
                                            • Marillion
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 01-06-14
                                              • 1453

                                              #267
                                              Rola to defeat Clizan (3.00) - 1 unit (adding one unit here because of the increase in the odds)
                                              Cuevas to defeat Falla (2.62) - 4 units
                                              Comment
                                              • Marillion
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 01-06-14
                                                • 1453

                                                #268
                                                A very good day yesterday (when exactly was "yesterday" is very arbitrary but let's say it was since last time I updated my record) for +6.85 units.

                                                Py to defeat Bonadio (1.44) - 1 unit win
                                                Schmiedlova to defeat Johansson (1.50) - 1 unit win
                                                Ram to defeat Moriya (1.40) - 1 unit win
                                                Herbert to defeat Struff (2.62) - 0.5 unit loss
                                                Eraydin to defeat Katsitadze (2.50) - 0.5 unit win
                                                Bertens to defeat Cetkovska (1.83) - 2 units void
                                                Olivetti to defeat Teixeira (1.53) - 2 units win
                                                Rola to defeat Klizan (2.62) - 2 units loss
                                                Rola to defeat Clizan (3.00) - 1 unit loss
                                                Cermak/Elgin to defeat Gonzalez/Schwank (1.72) - 1 unit win
                                                Cuevas to defeat Falla (2.62) - 4 units win

                                                Wins-Losses-Void
                                                162-94-11

                                                total units risked: 474.14 total units won: 522.21

                                                YTD
                                                +48.07 units

                                                ROI
                                                10.14%

                                                Later today or tomorrow, I will do some statistics for my results to make sure there is no error with the records and also to get any inferences. In the meantime, here is a Cuevas tribute pic:

                                                Comment
                                                • Marillion
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 01-06-14
                                                  • 1453

                                                  #269
                                                  Djokovic - Nadal: no tiebreak in the match (2.00) - 4 units

                                                  If we check the last few years only, we get 25 matches between these two players since 2009, 16 matches without a tiebreak and only 9 matches with a tiebreak (it is also important to note that some of these matches have been best of five and not best of three... which increases the probability of there being a tiebreak).

                                                  I definitely think this bet has more than 50% chances of winning.
                                                  Last edited by Marillion; 03-29-14, 03:43 AM. Reason: adding 1 more unit
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Marillion
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 01-06-14
                                                    • 1453

                                                    #270
                                                    Bertens to defeat Savchuk (1.50) - 1 unit

                                                    ed: would put more units here but Bertens played in Florida yesterday (lost quickly against Erakovic several hours after she got a walkover against Cetkovska, most probably saving energy for the Charleston qualifier, hope I am not wrong!) and today, she has a match in South Carolina... but I think she should win anyway
                                                    Last edited by Marillion; 03-29-14, 06:04 AM.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Marillion
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 01-06-14
                                                      • 1453

                                                      #271
                                                      Sasnovich to defeat Rampre (1.33) - 1 unit
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Marillion
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 01-06-14
                                                        • 1453

                                                        #272
                                                        Cagnina to defeat Heller (1.61) - 1 unit
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Marillion
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 01-06-14
                                                          • 1453

                                                          #273
                                                          Olivetti to defeat Beck (2.25) - 1 unit
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Marillion
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 01-06-14
                                                            • 1453

                                                            #274
                                                            Muhammad to defeat Hesse (2.62) - 0.5 unit
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Marillion
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 01-06-14
                                                              • 1453

                                                              #275
                                                              Kontaveit to defeat El Tabakh (1.36) - 1 unit
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Marillion
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 01-06-14
                                                                • 1453

                                                                #276
                                                                Not that many matches yesterday, some of them got postponed.

                                                                Bertens to defeat Savchuk (1.50) - 1 unit win
                                                                Sasnovich to defeat Rampre (1.33) - 1 unit win
                                                                Cagnina to defeat Heller (1.61) - 1 unit win
                                                                Olivetti to defeat Beck (2.25) - 1 unit loss

                                                                Wins-Losses-Void
                                                                165-95-11

                                                                total units risked: 478.14

                                                                YTD
                                                                +48.56 units

                                                                ROI
                                                                10.16%

                                                                Gatto Monticone to defeat Stanciute (1.57) - 1 unit
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Marillion
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 01-06-14
                                                                  • 1453

                                                                  #277
                                                                  Vickery to defeat Domachowska (1.40) - 1 unit
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Marillion
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 01-06-14
                                                                    • 1453

                                                                    #278
                                                                    Garcia to defeat Peng (2.75) - 2 units
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Marillion
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 01-06-14
                                                                      • 1453

                                                                      #279
                                                                      Rogers to defeat Hantuchova (3.25) - 0.5 unit
                                                                      Riske to defeat Scheepers (2.00) - 1 unit
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Marillion
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 01-06-14
                                                                        • 1453

                                                                        #280
                                                                        Dominguez-Lino to defeat Medina Garrigues (1.40) - 2 units
                                                                        Comment
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