ITT I Bet Air

**Marillion** · 03-20-14, 02:15 PM

one more half-unit bet on Jarkko point 4 in 9th game!

... and lost! OK I am stopping now! +2.25 units thanks to Jarkko!

ed: and finally, 1 unit on Jarkko to win the final game at 1.10, that makes it +2.35 units.

**Marillion** · 03-20-14, 03:51 PM

McHale to defeat Kanepi (1.90) - 2 units
Hlavackova/Safarova to defeat Hingis/Lisicki (1.61) - 2 units
Pavlyuchenkova to defeat Vandeweghe (1.44) - 2 units

**Marillion** · 03-21-14, 03:20 AM

Garcia to defeat S. Williams (15.00) - 0.5 unit
Gulbis to defeat Benneteau (1.33) - 1 unit

**Marillion** · 03-21-14, 04:17 AM

+5.62 units for the day... I am unhappy with my Pavlyuchenkova bet because I thought of all reasons not to bet on her and did that in the end impulsively. But anyway! It was a good day.

Gimeno-Traver to defeat Khachanov (1.36) - 1 unit win
Roger-Vasselin to defeat Sijsling (1.44) - 1 unit win
Nieminen to defeat Tomic (1.53) - 3 units win
Bautista-Agut to defeat Johnson (1.44) - 2 units win
Sousa to defeat Carreno-Busta (1.50) - 2 units win
Kiick to defeat Chirico (1.44) - 2 units loss +
Ormaechea to defeat Kvitova (6.50) - 0.5 unit loss
Garcia to defeat Zakopalova (2.75) - 2 units win
Nieminen vs Tomic - 5 live bets 3.5 units wagered, 5.85 units won (3 wins, 2 losses)
Pavlyuchenkova to defeat Vandeweghe (1.44) - 2 units loss

Wins-Losses-Void
129-67-9

total units risked: 382.15 total units won: 431.62

YTD
+49.47 units

ROI
12.95%

**Marillion** · 03-21-14, 04:26 AM

Bautista-Agut to defeat Janowicz (1.90) - 4 units

**kenz** · 03-21-14, 04:31 AM

Originally posted by Marillion

Bautista-Agut to defeat Janowicz (1.90) - 4 units

Took @2.19 10 minutes ago from pinnacle. Now it is @2.05. In the morning it was @1.80

**Marillion** · 03-21-14, 04:44 AM

Originally posted by kenz

Took @2.19 10 minutes ago from pinnacle. Now it is @2.05. In the morning it was @1.80

That's great! Mainly due to my small bankroll but also to stupid legal restrictions (f u socialists) in my country there are a lot of sites I cannot use (and I haven't been interested in any possibility of finding ways of using them), so I can't be selective. But I can't complain as long as I have at least one good site to bet on!

**Marillion** · 03-21-14, 05:26 AM

PARLAY: Anderson (to defeat Zeballos) + Isner (to defeat Young) - 1.31 - 1 unit

**fitguy67** · 03-21-14, 08:58 AM

Originally posted by Marillion

I can't complain as long as I have at least one good site to bet on!

what book(s) do you rely on? (i'd guess one of them is bet365)...

**Marillion** · 03-21-14, 09:22 AM

This one only.
I can consider changing it in case PokerStars launch a sportsbetting service with a good range of tennis matches covered, though.

**JohnnyRudeboy** · 03-21-14, 09:27 AM

Thoughts on Cornet today?

**Marillion** · 03-21-14, 10:05 AM

Hi Johny, I think the odds at 1.66 Alize - 2.10 Andrea are about right. If I had to make a bet, then it would be Cornet ML or some kind of an over, as I think it will be a close match. I saw Andrea versus Torro-Flor and she was fine, it was a good match.

By the way, I like Alize, she is lovely.

**fcmb** · 03-21-14, 10:11 AM

Cornet and may be you could try with correct score 2:1 for Alize, so over also very probable.

Just like Marillion has said

**JohnnyRudeboy** · 03-21-14, 10:38 AM

Can only bet Money lines, but thanks. At first glance I thought maybe the line was TOO low.

**Marillion** · 03-21-14, 10:40 AM

in-play Vesnina to take second set (1.75) - 1 unit
This should be fat value, Riske has been horrible recently

**Marillion** · 03-21-14, 02:15 PM

Originally posted by fcmb

Cornet and may be you could try with correct score 2:1 for Alize, so over also very probable.

Just like Marillion has said

Maan, all of our predictions hit (Cornet, Cornet 2:1, over), we could have made some $$ on them!

**Marillion** · 03-21-14, 02:40 PM

Pironkova to defeat Kerber (2.75) - 2 units

Kerber lost her first match to in Indian Wells and barely beat Peng now (tons of unforced errors from both opponents in this match). Pironkova has recently beaten the German. Hopefully a value spot here though with Tsvetana, you can't be sure.

**Marillion** · 03-21-14, 03:09 PM

De Bakker-Verdasco - over 21.5 (1.72) - 2 units

I don't like overs/unders but have never done one, so let's try this... I think chances that it will hit are quite good.

**Marillion** · 03-21-14, 05:36 PM

Istomin to defeat Tursunov (1.80) - 2 units

**Marillion** · 03-21-14, 06:31 PM

Mannarino to defeat Tsonga (6.50) - 1 unit

**Marillion** · 03-22-14, 02:32 AM

Yesterday sucked, I am not disappointed with any of my picks (like I am with that bet on Pavlyuchenkova the day before), maybe some of them were bad I don't know, lol.

Mannarino couldn't make it close, Hingis and Lisicki suddenly showed an amazing result against a very good double team and the rest of the matches were close with Gulbis finally showing his true spoiled-young-fella identity at 100%.

Mybe I should have taken lovely Alizee instead!

-5.81 units for the day

Stepanek to defeat Seppi (2 units) - 1.44 loss
McHale to defeat Kanepi (1.90) - 2 units loss
Hlavackova/Safarova to defeat Hingis/Lisicki (1.61) - 2 units loss
Gulbis to defeat Benneteau (1.33) - 1 unit loss
in-play Vesnina to take second set (1.75) - 1 unit win
De Bakker-Verdasco - over 21.5 (1.72) - 2 units win
Mannarino to defeat Tsonga (6.50) - 1 unit loss

Wins-Losses-Void
131-72-9

total units risked: 393.15 total units won: 436.81

YTD
+43.66 units

ROI
11.11%

**Marillion** · 03-22-14, 02:53 AM

Hogenkamp to defeat Sadikovic (1.30) - 1 unit
Suarez Navarro to defeat Kanepi (1.72) - 3 units

**Marillion** · 03-22-14, 02:55 AM

Anderson to defeat Gasquet (2.00) - 2 units

**Marillion** · 03-22-14, 05:08 AM

Butorac/Klaasen to defeat Sock/Harrison (1.36) - 2 units
Garcia to defeat S. Williams (17.00) - 0.5 unit

OK, so odds for Serena have gone down a bit (from 1.04 to 1.03... I suppose if they make her 1.00, there may still be somebody who'll bet on her!). Garcia is young, talented, motivated, good (and has finally started to produce some results). Since odds went up (from 15 to 17), I am adding half more unit.

Sock and Harrison are both still in the main tournament and there is a good possibility that at least one of them (Harrison, most probably, he has an easier opponent) will go ahead, so it's not sure how much effort they will put. In the first round they defeated some absolute muppets, while B/K crushed Paes/Stepanek in straights. I think that even with odds as low at 1.36, this should be a value bet...

**Marillion** · 03-22-14, 07:27 AM

Robredo to defeat Benneteau (1.72) - 2 units

**charley365** · 03-22-14, 10:13 AM

Istomin v Tursunov could go 3 sets u think?

**Marillion** · 03-22-14, 01:11 PM

Yes, definitely. If I had to predict what exactly would happen, I'd suppose it will be Istomin in two close sets, but this is also highly probable, I think

**charley365** · 03-22-14, 02:17 PM

rain

yes i'm thinking much the same.
Hope we can get back to the action soon
Good luck with the picks

**Marillion** · 03-22-14, 02:30 PM

Thanks sir!

Cermak/Elgin to defeat Alund/Duran (1.50) - 3 units

**Marillion** · 03-22-14, 04:39 PM

Lopez to defeat Murray (5.00) - 1 unit

**Marillion** · 03-23-14, 01:39 AM

A good day yesterday for +3.01 units

Garcia to defeat S. Williams (15.00) - 0.5 unit loss
Garcia to defeat S. Williams (17.00) - 0.5 unit loss
Bautista-Agut to defeat Janowicz (1.90) - 4 units win
PARLAY: Anderson (to defeat Zeballos) + Isner (to defeat Young) - 1.31 - 1 unit win
Pironkova to defeat Kerber (2.75) - 2 units loss
Istomin to defeat Tursunov (1.80) - 2 units win
Hogenkamp to defeat Sadikovic (1.30) - 1 unit loss
Cermak/Elgin to defeat Alund/Duran (1.50) - 3 units win

Wins-Losses-Void
135-76-9

total units risked: 407.15 total units won: 453.82

YTD
+46.67 units

ROI
11.46%

**Marillion** · 03-23-14, 02:32 AM

Czink to defeat Hradecka (2.50) - 0.5 unit
Cornet to defeat Cibulkova (3.25) - 0.5 unit

**Marillion** · 03-23-14, 01:16 PM

Rola to defeat Riba-Madrid (1.53) - 3 units

**Marillion** · 03-23-14, 04:08 PM

(in-play) - Cibulkova to take Set 1 at (2.25) down and 30-15 lead at 5-6 (0.5 unit)...

Domi playing better in the last few games

**ChasingInle** · 03-23-14, 04:10 PM

Robredo was such an easy play. Good job doing the obvious!