Matts Tennis Thread 2nd Edition....

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  • alpinepetey
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 11-01-12
    • 844

    #1016
    Originally posted by matt1216
    WTA Play 22nd Jan 2014 adding:

    Li NA 2-0 sets 1.67 x 4 units

    Li Na/Bouchard over 19.5 games 1.70 x 4 units



    Lets get this!
    Is this a stab at a kind of middle Matt?
    Comment
    • matt1216
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 10-27-11
      • 14683

      #1017
      Originally posted by alpinepetey
      Is this a stab at a kind of middle Matt?
      yeah man, I think both sets will be close but LI NA comes out.
      Comment
      • alpinepetey
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 11-01-12
        • 844

        #1018
        Right on lets do it up
        Comment
        • losschaser
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 10-15-13
          • 723

          #1019
          How about Bouchard +4 1/2 (Even) or +5 1/2 (1.61)

          Thats about the only bet that draws me to this match. Otherwise I will wait for Radwanska to start
          Comment
          • lucasdawg
            SBR MVP
            • 02-19-13
            • 3399

            #1020
            sitting on over 9.5 games for first set.. but havent pulled the trigger
            Comment
            • matt1216
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 10-27-11
              • 14683

              #1021
              Challenger Play 22nd Jan 2014 adding:

              Krueger ML 3.75 x 2 units


              Lets get this!
              Comment
              • poet
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 08-11-13
                • 796

                #1022
                Sorry, Matt, but I hope you are wrong on this one, I stand to win 6,000 if the Canadian somehow comes through.
                Comment
                • matt1216
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 10-27-11
                  • 14683

                  #1023
                  Originally posted by poet
                  Sorry, Matt, but I hope you are wrong on this one, I stand to win 6,000 if the Canadian somehow comes through.
                  Sorry bro, do really wanna know how well my trend has hit on the straight sets.... It's 5-0 this tournament. I saved the tickets if u would like to see afterwards.
                  Comment
                  • matt1216
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 10-27-11
                    • 14683

                    #1024
                    well, now I c why my 2-0 sets hits so well. Shitty part is the over may take a beating
                    Comment
                    • riffraff24
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 04-20-11
                      • 7234

                      #1025
                      Yeah she looks absolutely lost.
                      Comment
                      • matt1216
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 10-27-11
                        • 14683

                        #1026
                        Originally posted by poet
                        Sorry, Matt, but I hope you are wrong on this one, I stand to win 6,000 if the Canadian somehow comes through.
                        This was done befor it even started, yikes
                        Comment
                        • matt1216
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 10-27-11
                          • 14683

                          #1027
                          ok perfect, we will win 1 no matter what now.. Hoping for 7-5 final this set or better
                          Comment
                          • matt1216
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 10-27-11
                            • 14683

                            #1028
                            WTA Play 22nd Jan 2014 adding:

                            Cibulkova +4.5 games 1.61 x 3 units


                            Lets get this!
                            Comment
                            • matt1216
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 10-27-11
                              • 14683

                              #1029
                              ATP Play 23rd Jan 2014 adding:

                              Berdych ML 2.25 x 5 units



                              Lets get this!
                              Comment
                              • matt1216
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 10-27-11
                                • 14683

                                #1030
                                Challenger Plays 23rd Jan 2014 adding:

                                Berrer ML 1.87 x 2 units

                                Martin andrevj Ml. 2.10x 2 units

                                Andreozzi ML 2.10 x 2 units

                                Hajek ML 1.57 x 3 units



                                Lets get this!

                                Comment
                                • BennyBigNuts
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 04-16-12
                                  • 8700

                                  #1031
                                  Originally posted by matt1216
                                  ATP Play 23rd Jan 2014 adding:

                                  Berdych ML 2.25 x 5 units



                                  Lets get this!
                                  WTF?
                                  Really?
                                  Why?
                                  You think one tough match is gonna exhaust Wawrinka?
                                  No way.
                                  I have a future on him +3300 Matty don't sell out on my boy here!!!!
                                  Comment
                                  • BennyBigNuts
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 04-16-12
                                    • 8700

                                    #1032
                                    SOBBB
                                    WTFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFF
                                    Sorry Matty, when I just posted a minute ago about Wawrinka I had no fkn idea the match was this morning, I thought it was later today.
                                    Holy shit.
                                    Can't believe I didn't get to watch it lol.
                                    Huge parlay on him with Nadal.
                                    Wow, I wanna smash something right now missing it.
                                    One more win for Wawrinka and I take home the +3300 though. SWEET!!!!!!!
                                    Comment
                                    • JD AMBER
                                      SBR Hustler
                                      • 10-26-13
                                      • 65

                                      #1033
                                      I luckily forced myself not to play this match, but if I had, I would have been on Berdych simply for gambling intuition/spot play situation.

                                      What I mean by that is there was nothing in particular about Berdych's game that made me think he could beat Wawrinka's game, but rather I applied a lot of the same "spot" logic I use with betting NFL. Wawrinka just beat the best player on the planet, finished last year strong, already won a tournament this year, and has owned the head to head against Berdych recently, especially on hardcourts...yet the line opens at only +130 Berdych and falls? How suspicious is that? Whenever I see a suspicious trap-looking line in the NFL, I almost always run the other way as fast as I can. The non-trap side may only hit 60 percent of the time, but it sure feels like more, and this Berdych line had all the feeling of being the non-trap side.

                                      My logic could be completely wrong for this sport and it could be that situations like this don't apply to tennis...or perhaps this was just one of the few times that the trap side winds up winning anyway despite all the signs against it. Either way, can't fault the play Matt, whether my style of logic factored into your decision or not.

                                      Good luck the rest of the way and thanks for being an asset to the forum.
                                      Comment
                                      • matt1216
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 10-27-11
                                        • 14683

                                        #1034
                                        thanks guys^^^ I don't know u watched the match Benny but Berdych coulda easily won had he not chocked. I thought there was something up with the odds to be honest. Oh well, on to the next game
                                        Comment
                                        • matt1216
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 10-27-11
                                          • 14683

                                          #1035
                                          Challenger Play 23rd Jan 2014 adding:

                                          Alund ML 2.35 x 2 units
                                          Comment
                                          • matt1216
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 10-27-11
                                            • 14683

                                            #1036
                                            Challenger Plays 23rd Jan 2014 adding:

                                            Zherev ML 1.95 x 3 units

                                            Sandgren ML 1.69 x 3 units




                                            Comment
                                            • BennyBigNuts
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 04-16-12
                                              • 8700

                                              #1037
                                              Originally posted by matt1216
                                              thanks guys^^^ I don't know u watched the match Benny but Berdych coulda easily won had he not chocked. I thought there was something up with the odds to be honest. Oh well, on to the next game
                                              Yeah like I said, I got the time starts mixed up and missed the match. Didn't watch one point. I was sittin in here posting about it thinking the match was later today, then saw it was a final lol.
                                              Luckily for me I had already bet Wawrinka early because I thought the price on him would go way up after beating joker. Actually went down a little.
                                              I parlayed him with NAdal.
                                              Berdych not a pressure player at all. No surprise he choked it off.
                                              Comment
                                              • fitguy67
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 03-13-11
                                                • 5082

                                                #1038
                                                Originally posted by JD AMBER
                                                I luckily forced myself not to play this match, but if I had, I would have been on Berdych simply for gambling intuition/spot play situation.

                                                What I mean by that is there was nothing in particular about Berdych's game that made me think he could beat Wawrinka's game, but rather I applied a lot of the same "spot" logic I use with betting NFL. Wawrinka just beat the best player on the planet, finished last year strong, already won a tournament this year, and has owned the head to head against Berdych recently, especially on hardcourts...yet the line opens at only +130 Berdych and falls? How suspicious is that? Whenever I see a suspicious trap-looking line in the NFL, I almost always run the other way as fast as I can. The non-trap side may only hit 60 percent of the time, but it sure feels like more, and this Berdych line had all the feeling of being the non-trap side.

                                                My logic could be completely wrong for this sport and it could be that situations like this don't apply to tennis...or perhaps this was just one of the few times that the trap side winds up winning anyway despite all the signs against it. Either way, can't fault the play Matt, whether my style of logic factored into your decision or not.

                                                Good luck the rest of the way and thanks for being an asset to the forum.
                                                hell of a good 7th post!
                                                Comment
                                                • suicidekings
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 03-23-09
                                                  • 9962

                                                  #1039
                                                  Originally posted by matt1216
                                                  thanks guys^^^ I don't know u watched the match Benny but Berdych coulda easily won had he not chocked. I thought there was something up with the odds to be honest. Oh well, on to the next game
                                                  That's the #1 thing to remember about Berdych. The physical tools are incredible, but he's a classic headcase. He doesn't trust his own skills to see him through and he finds ways to lose.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • matt1216
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 10-27-11
                                                    • 14683

                                                    #1040
                                                    Challenger Plays 23rd Jan 2014 adding:

                                                    Berland ML 3.25 x 2 units

                                                    Jenkins ML 1.69 x 3 units



                                                    GL
                                                    Comment
                                                    • matt1216
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 10-27-11
                                                      • 14683

                                                      #1041
                                                      WTA Play 23rd Jan 2014 adding:

                                                      Makarova/vezina ML 2.25 x 3 units



                                                      GL
                                                      Comment
                                                      • BennyBigNuts
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 04-16-12
                                                        • 8700

                                                        #1042
                                                        There's no way you're on Feds tonight right Matty?
                                                        Comment
                                                        • lucasdawg
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 02-19-13
                                                          • 3399

                                                          #1043
                                                          haha
                                                          Comment
                                                          • BennyBigNuts
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 04-16-12
                                                            • 8700

                                                            #1044
                                                            Originally posted by lucasdawg
                                                            haha


                                                            Who you got tonight Dawggy?
                                                            Comment
                                                            • matt1216
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 10-27-11
                                                              • 14683

                                                              #1045
                                                              hey bud, I'm having a hard time with this match. I originally thought Nadal but this is Feds absolute last chance.... I will look again, I might take a alternate line later. I will post
                                                              Comment
                                                              • lucullus
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 09-16-13
                                                                • 1027

                                                                #1046
                                                                ya matt im passing on this one but i lean fed. im lost here i havent done good in tennis so far this AO
                                                                Comment
                                                                • matt1216
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 10-27-11
                                                                  • 14683

                                                                  #1047
                                                                  Originally posted by lucullus
                                                                  ya matt im passing on this one but i lean fed. im lost here i havent done good in tennis so far this AO
                                                                  Fck, the challenger matches I don't post r winning .. It's killing my mojo. Soo many stupid losses
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • lucasdawg
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 02-19-13
                                                                    • 3399

                                                                    #1048
                                                                    Originally posted by BennyBigNuts


                                                                    Who you got tonight Dawggy?
                                                                    sorry i wasnt laughing at your directly just at your call for matt to pick federer you were spot on pre much haha
                                                                    i had a talk to matt and ive also been stuck.

                                                                    what i did was

                                                                    nadal 3-1 @ 4
                                                                    nadal 3-2 @ 5.50
                                                                    Federer 3-2 4.00

                                                                    didnt know what else to play so having a crack. BOL
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • brodie
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 11-25-13
                                                                      • 2212

                                                                      #1049
                                                                      Originally posted by matt1216
                                                                      Fck, the challenger matches I don't post r winning .. It's killing my mojo. Soo many stupid losses
                                                                      i refuse to ever bet on challenger tennis again after i went big on Jack Sock against some scrub and Sock wasnt even trying... i convinced myself that Sock bet against himself and threw the match

                                                                      penetrate jack sock and his stupid name

                                                                      edit: lmaooo i always wondered why people would say 'penetrate' on this site and it makes so much more sense now haha
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • matt1216
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 10-27-11
                                                                        • 14683

                                                                        #1050
                                                                        Originally posted by brodie
                                                                        i refuse to ever bet on challenger tennis again after i went big on Jack Sock against some scrub and Sock wasnt even trying... i convinced myself that Sock bet against himself and threw the match

                                                                        penetrate jack sock and his stupid name

                                                                        edit: lmaooo i always wondered why people would say 'penetrate' on this site and it makes so much more sense now haha
                                                                        Yeah I think the best way to approach these is just to wager dogs. That's it
                                                                        Comment
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