THREADS! MOOOOOOAR THREEEEEEADS! My Third Thread <3 – Tennis Picks

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  • alexus110
    SBR Sharp
    • 08-01-13
    • 359

    #386
    Hornet. Fuxxxx
    Comment
    • alexus110
      SBR Sharp
      • 08-01-13
      • 359

      #387
      Hardcore, you own the WTA!!!
      congrats! Great call on cornet in the end
      Comment
      • Hardcoar
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 02-17-13
        • 15606

        #388
        She did win the match indeed. For my own sake however it was unfortunate that she could not muster 2:nd. Still I like that bet.
        Comment
        • Hardcoar
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 02-17-13
          • 15606

          #389
          Originally posted by Fistula
          I came across the reference to the Simon injury at changeovertennis.com. It's just a gossip blog but sometimes gossip can turn up inside info that isn't available on news sites. I otherwise just browse the tennis section at newsnew.co.uk...
          Cool, thanks!
          Comment
          • ParlayininHTown
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 06-27-10
            • 7561

            #390
            What do you think of Granollers at +350 ("crazy" American odds) against Haas tomorrow? I'm more curious about your analysis of the odds rather than the breakdown of the match.
            Comment
            • Hardcoar
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 02-17-13
              • 15606

              #391
              I like that bet actually. I think Granolla has at least 1/3 chance to win the match. Wawrinka hasn't exactly been stellar lately and may have health issues as well.
              Comment
              • Hardcoar
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 02-17-13
                • 15606

                #392
                Granollers @ 4.33 – 8 units (Sportingbet)
                Comment
                • Hardcoar
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 02-17-13
                  • 15606

                  #393
                  Wozniacki -3.5 @ 1.72 – 10 units (Bet365)
                  Comment
                  • Hardcoar
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 02-17-13
                    • 15606

                    #394
                    Erakovic 1:st @ 3.11 – 6 units (Pinnacle)
                    Erakovic +3.5 @ 2.38 – 8 units (Pinnacle)
                    Comment
                    • Hardcoar
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 02-17-13
                      • 15606

                      #395
                      Halep @ evens – 8 units (Ladbrokes)
                      Comment
                      • Hardcoar
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 02-17-13
                        • 15606

                        #396
                        Nieminen @ 7
                        Erakovic @ 4
                        Granollers @ 4.33

                        Shitfest treble @ 121.24 – 2 units (Sportingbet)
                        Comment
                        • Hardcoar
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 02-17-13
                          • 15606

                          #397
                          Gasquet @ 2.07 – 6 units (Pinnacle)
                          Comment
                          • Hardcoar
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 02-17-13
                            • 15606

                            #398
                            Robredo @ 3 – 8 units (Pinnacle)
                            Comment
                            • Hardcoar
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 02-17-13
                              • 15606

                              #399
                              Pospisil @ 1.952 – 10 units (Pinnacle)
                              Comment
                              • ParlayininHTown
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 06-27-10
                                • 7561

                                #400
                                Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                I like that bet actually. I think Granolla has at least 1/3 chance to win the match. Wawrinka hasn't exactly been stellar lately and may have health issues as well.

                                I'll assume you were a little tired and knew Granollers is playing Haas, but you accidentally typed Wawrinka.

                                I sprinkled a little on Granollers at +345 last night. Now, it's around +260 to +280 for us bat-shit insane Americans. Haas might full-on rape today, but +345 seems a tad too generous for Granollers in this spot.
                                Comment
                                • Hardcoar
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 02-17-13
                                  • 15606

                                  #401


                                  Yes, clearly I confused the two. My mind must have been in the Wawrinka–Robredo match at the time. Rest assured I knew the proper match-up when placing the wager.


                                  What I would say is that Haas has had somewhat of a slump in form lately, and while he looked alright in his 1:st match here Kevin was eating out his own ass again. Haas also retired with a relatively serious (wrist?) injury in Montreal just a week ago.

                                  With that out of the way, my comments on Wawrinka are still very much so valid and apply against Robredo whom he boasts a less than impressive H2H against. Tommy's fitness will be of great help should the match drag out and certainly he stands a better than 1/3 shot.
                                  Comment
                                  • Hardcoar
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 02-17-13
                                    • 15606

                                    #402
                                    Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                    Mayer 1:st @ 3.25 – 8 units (William Hill)
                                    FUXX
                                    Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                    Sock @ 3.75 – 10 units (Ladbrokes)
                                    FUXX
                                    Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                    Simon @ 1.83 – 10 units (Sportingbet)
                                    FUXX
                                    Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                    Lopez @ 3.6 – 8 units (Sportingbet)
                                    KEXX
                                    Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                    Cornet @ 3.54 – 4 units (Pinnacle)
                                    Cornet 1:st @ 3 – 6 units (Bet365)
                                    KEXX
                                    FUXX
                                    Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                    Granollers @ 4.33 – 8 units (Sportingbet)
                                    FUXX
                                    Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                    Wozniacki -3.5 @ 1.72 – 10 units (Bet365)
                                    KEXX
                                    Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                    Erakovic 1:st @ 3.11 – 6 units (Pinnacle)
                                    Erakovic +3.5 @ 2.38 – 8 units (Pinnacle)
                                    FUXX
                                    FUXX
                                    Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                    Halep @ evens – 8 units (Ladbrokes)
                                    KEXX
                                    Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                    Nieminen @ 7
                                    Erakovic @ 4
                                    Granollers @ 4.33

                                    Shitfest treble @ 121.24 – 2 units (Sportingbet)
                                    FUXX
                                    Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                    Gasquet @ 2.07 – 6 units (Pinnacle)
                                    FUXX
                                    Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                    Robredo @ 3 – 8 units (Pinnacle)
                                    KEXX
                                    Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                    Pospisil @ 1.952 – 10 units (Pinnacle)
                                    FUXX

                                    Total hits: 88
                                    Total mishits: 123
                                    Total stake: 1380u
                                    Total yield: +9.85u
                                    ROI: +0.714 % (rounded)
                                    Comment
                                    • Hardcoar
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 02-17-13
                                      • 15606

                                      #403
                                      Dimitrov 1:st @ 5 – 8 units (Bet365)
                                      Comment
                                      • Hardcoar
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 02-17-13
                                        • 15606

                                        #404
                                        Benneteau 1:st @ 5.5 – 4 units (bet365)
                                        Comment
                                        • Hardcoar
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 02-17-13
                                          • 15606

                                          #405
                                          Lopez @ 4.84 – 6 units (Pinnacle)
                                          Comment
                                          • Hardcoar
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 02-17-13
                                            • 15606

                                            #406
                                            Vinci 1:st @ 2.37 – 6 units (Pinnacle)
                                            Comment
                                            • fitguy67
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 03-13-11
                                              • 5082

                                              #407
                                              damn, HC, missed that last one (Vinci, 1st)...i haven't sworn off gash-rackets completely (just the ones sporting negative-American/under-2.0-Euro odds...cuz given the service-holding-reliability involved 'da broads just ain't worth even a speck of chalk)
                                              i especially love ur plus-money 1:st plays...cuz they almost always prove to be far closer to a coin flip than the odds suggest
                                              Comment
                                              • Gus Fring
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 03-21-13
                                                • 3423

                                                #408
                                                Surprised u didn't play Haas 1st set
                                                Comment
                                                • Hardcoar
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 02-17-13
                                                  • 15606

                                                  #409
                                                  Originally posted by Gus Fring
                                                  Surprised u didn't play Haas 1st set
                                                  I just didn't think he'd win, and the odds weren't good enough for even a try at that to me.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Hardcoar
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 02-17-13
                                                    • 15606

                                                    #410
                                                    Robredo @ 4.54 – 4 units (Pinnacle)
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Hardcoar
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 02-17-13
                                                      • 15606

                                                      #411
                                                      Kvitova 1:st @ 1.775 – 8 units (Pinnacle)
                                                      Kvitova -1.5 @ 1.971 – 8 units (Pinnacle)
                                                      Kvitova 2-0 @ 2.95 – 6 units (Pinnacle)
                                                      Last edited by Hardcoar; 08-15-13, 04:36 PM. Reason: Added additional match bets. These odds are out of whack... unless something is out of whack!
                                                      Comment
                                                      • ParlayininHTown
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 06-27-10
                                                        • 7561

                                                        #412
                                                        Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                                        Robredo @ 4.54 – 4 units (Pinnacle)

                                                        I'm bout dat life, too, dawg.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Gus Fring
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 03-21-13
                                                          • 3423

                                                          #413
                                                          Kvitova is underdog now. U gonna hit it again?
                                                          Comment
                                                          • ParlayininHTown
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 06-27-10
                                                            • 7561

                                                            #414
                                                            Tell your boy Robredo that he owes me $20. I ain't bout dat bagel life, dawg.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Hardcoar
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 02-17-13
                                                              • 15606

                                                              #415
                                                              Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                                              Dimitrov 1:st @ 5 – 8 units (Bet365)
                                                              FUXX
                                                              Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                                              Benneteau 1:st @ 5.5 – 4 units (bet365)
                                                              FUXX
                                                              Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                                              Lopez @ 4.84 – 6 units (Pinnacle)
                                                              FUXX
                                                              Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                                              Vinci 1:st @ 2.37 – 6 units (Pinnacle)
                                                              KEXX
                                                              Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                                              Robredo @ 4.54 – 4 units (Pinnacle)
                                                              FUXX
                                                              Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                                              Kvitova 1:st @ 1.775 – 8 units (Pinnacle)
                                                              Kvitova -1.5 @ 1.971 – 8 units (Pinnacle)
                                                              Kvitova 2-0 @ 2.95 – 6 units (Pinnacle)
                                                              KEXX
                                                              FUXX
                                                              FUXX

                                                              Total hits: 90
                                                              Total mishits: 129
                                                              Total stake: 1430u
                                                              Total yield: -11.73u
                                                              ROI: -0.82 % (rounded)
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Hardcoar
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 02-17-13
                                                                • 15606

                                                                #416
                                                                Beck @ 1.5
                                                                Riske 1:st @ 1.44

                                                                Double @ 2.16 – 6 units (Bet365)
                                                                Comment
                                                                • alexus110
                                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                                  • 08-01-13
                                                                  • 359

                                                                  #417
                                                                  Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                                                  Beck @ 1.5
                                                                  Riske 1:st @ 1.44

                                                                  Double @ 2.16 – 6 units (Bet365)
                                                                  Why riske on 1st and not win?
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Hardcoar
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 02-17-13
                                                                    • 15606

                                                                    #418
                                                                    Because I think she is more likely to win 1:st than 2:nd because of her opponent's recent history, and the odds are better.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • mrlif1
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 07-15-13
                                                                      • 1462

                                                                      #419
                                                                      what happened to the live commentary thread hardcoar? or am i blind

                                                                      turns out im blind
                                                                      Last edited by mrlif1; 08-16-13, 11:09 AM.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Hardcoar
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 02-17-13
                                                                        • 15606

                                                                        #420
                                                                        Halep +1.5 sets @ 3.91 – 6 units (Pinnacle)
                                                                        Comment
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