THREADS! MOOOOOOAR THREEEEEEADS! My Third Thread <3 – Tennis Picks

[Hardcoar]

Halep @ 1.83 – 10 units (Ladbrokes)

KEXX

Zakopalova @ 2.6 – 4 units (Pinnacle)
Zakopalova 1:st @ 2.37 – 4 units (Pinnacle)

KEXX
FUXX

Loeb 1:st @ 3 – 6 units (Bet365)

FUXX

Rampre @ 1.83 – 8 units (Bet365)

FUXX

Serra @ 1.83 – 8 units (Bet365)

KEXX

Castano @ 2.75 – 4 units (Bet365)

KEXX

Dubois @ 2.1 – 6 units (Bet365)

FUXX

Parmentier @ 1.91 – 6 units (Ladbrokes)

FUXX

Siegemund @ 1.83 – 6 units (Ladbrokes)

FUXX

Brengle @ 1.5 – 10 units (William Hill)

KEXX

Kavcic @ 1.5 – 10 units (William Hill)

FUXX

Duval @ evens – 8 units (William Hill)

KEXX

Hlavackova @ 1.7 – 8 units (William Hill)

KEXX

Lucic-Baroni @ 1.44 – 8 units (William Hill)

KEXX

Melzer @ 2.94 – 8 units (Pinnacle whose website has again turned to absolute shit the past few hours)

KEXX

Wozniacki 2-1 @ 4.33 – 6 units (Ladbrokes)

FUXX

Total hits: 106
Total mishits: 150
Total stake: 1680u
Total yield: +9.26u
ROI: +0.55 % (rounded)

[Hardcoar]

Monfils -2.5 @ 2.01 – 10 units (Pinnacle)

[Hardcoar]

Melzer 1:st @ 2.65 – 8 units (Sportingbet)
Melzer 2-1 @ 6.5 – 4 units (Sportingbet)

[Hardcoar]

Wozniacki 2-1 @ 4.46 – 6 units (Pinnacle)

[Hardcoar]

Zakopalova @ 2.9 – 6 units (Sportingbet)
Zakopalova +3.5 @ evens – 8 units (Sportingbet)

[Hardcoar]

Glushko @ evens – 6 units (Ladbrokes)

[Hardcoar]

Dellacqua @ 1.8 – 8 units (Bet365)

[Hardcoar]

Jaziri @ 1.95 – 8 units (William Hill)

[Hardcoar]

Tomljanovic @ 1.7 – 10 units (William Hill)

[Hardcoar]

Evans @ 1.67 – 8 units (William Hill)

[Hardcoar]

Serra @ 1.75 – 8 units (William Hill)

[Hardcoar]

Baltacha @ 1.83 – 8 units (William Hill)

[Hardcoar]

Duval @ 1.75 – 6 units (William Hill)

[Vinnie Paz]

Hey I know you don't play over unders, but any chance I can get your opinion on the over 23 in the monfils match?

[Hardcoar]

I very rarely do yes, but I'm honestly not the best at calling those lines. I can't say whether I think it's a good bet or not without knowing the odds, but I think Monfils wins in two fairly straightforward sets. There could be a tiebreak though but I find the match likelier to hit or cover the under 23 games total.

I really like -2.5 @ 2.09. I just don't get these odds. Verdasco (ADHD as it were) played really well overall yesterday and I wasn't much impressed by Dogpoolove at all. Verdasco would have crushed Dogpoolove had they met yesterday. I'm starting to wonder whether there's something I don't know, but at least the HC ensures retirement insurance.

[fitguy67]

just noticed while shopping for Woz 2-1 that ...

Pinny has Zako, 2-1 at a whopping 6.34 (+534)...nice little 0.1873u flier to win 1u (a tootsie-roll to win a TV set)

update: flier=>donation to SPSF ("save pinnacle-sports fund") with every double-bagel ticket you get a chance at a logo'd T-shirt/cap combo...come'on Kvito!

[Hardcoar]

I am aware of that. I even considered the @ 6.5 with another book but decided not to pull the trigger and now it's been gone for a while so I'll be fine with the HC and ML.

2-1 on Woz is still looking fine with Pinnacle by the way. It hasn't dropped nearly as much as it "should" have (in relation to the ML fluctuation)

[Noleafclover]

I very rarely do yes, but I'm honestly not the best at calling those lines. I can't say whether I think it's a good bet or not without knowing the odds, but I think Monfils wins in two fairly straightforward sets. There could be a tiebreak though but I find the match likelier to hit or cover the under 23 games total.

I really like -2.5 @ 2.09. I just don't get these odds. Verdasco (ADHD as it were) played really well overall yesterday and I wasn't much impressed by Dogpoolove at all. Verdasco would have crushed Dogpoolove had they met yesterday. I'm starting to wonder whether there's something I don't know, but at least the HC ensures retirement insurance.

Monfils looked pretty bad - dinking shots back from his backhand more than usual. Also seemed bothered by the humidity. Verdasco may have looked good if you watched snatches, but he was worse than -16 in winners to unforced errors by the end of the match.

[Hardcoar]

Alright thanks for the input. I saw patches of the match quite a lot and it seemed like play was on fire. Maybe I just timed it right hehe...

[Hardcoar]

Melzer @ 2.94 – 8 units (Pinnacle)

That's funny... I could have sworn I've seen this before!

[Hardcoar]

Monfils -2.5 @ 2.01 – 10 units (Pinnacle)

KEXX

Melzer 1:st @ 2.65 – 8 units (Sportingbet)
Melzer 2-1 @ 6.5 – 4 units (Sportingbet)

KEXX
KEXX

Wozniacki 2-1 @ 4.46 – 6 units (Pinnacle)

FUXX

Zakopalova @ 2.9 – 6 units (Sportingbet)
Zakopalova +3.5 @ evens – 8 units (Sportingbet)

FUXX
FUXX

Glushko @ evens – 6 units (Ladbrokes)

KEXX

Dellacqua @ 1.8 – 8 units (Bet365)

KEXX

Jaziri @ 1.95 – 8 units (William Hill)

FUXX

Tomljanovic @ 1.7 – 10 units (William Hill)

KEXX

Evans @ 1.67 – 8 units (William Hill)

KEXX

Serra @ 1.75 – 8 units (William Hill)

KEXX

Baltacha @ 1.83 – 8 units (William Hill)

FUXX

Duval @ 1.75 – 6 units (William Hill)

KEXX

Melzer @ 2.94 – 8 units (Pinnacle)

That's funny... I could have sworn I've seen this before!

KEXX

Total hits: 116
Total mishits: 155
Total stake: 1792u
Total yield: +79.34u
ROI: +4.43 % (rounded)

[Hardcoar]

Monfils 2-1 @ 4.33 – 6 units (Ladbrokes)

[Hardcoar]

Halep @ 2.1 – 10 units (Ladbrokes)

[Brocke.Edgar]

how much is 1unit for you and where or when did you get melzer @2.94?
gl

[Hardcoar]

About 1 % of my bank-roll.

Pinnacle, closing line. The exact same price as the opening line as well, interestingly.

[Hardcoar]

Melzer 1:st @ 2.76 – 6 units (Pinnacle)

[fitguy67]

Melzer...POW! (1st) and POW! (ML...at most books as "Mon fece" flushes itself)...nice well-deserved wave of positive variance ur on now!

[Bet10Heinekens]

Melzer was a cash cow this tournament

[Hardcoar]

2-1 with the retirement insurance too. Fine and dandy!

[Hardcoar]

Monfils 2-1 @ 4.33 – 6 units (Ladbrokes)

LUXX

Halep @ 2.1 – 10 units (Ladbrokes)

KEXX

Melzer 1:st @ 2.76 – 6 units (Pinnacle)

KEXX

Total hits: 118
Total mishits: 155
Total stake: 1792u
Total yield: +100.9u
ROI: +5.63 % (rounded)

[Hardcoar]

Wanted to get that out of the way quickly so I can spam my early USO locks () ASAP without feeling bad about it.

[Hardcoar]

Hsieh 1:st @ 3.25 – 8 units (William Hill)

[Hardcoar]

Ungur 1:st @ 7 – 10 units (William Hill)

[Hardcoar]

Stepanek 1:st @ 2.5 – 8 units (Bet365)

[Hardcoar]

F. Mayer @ 2.2 – 10 units (Bet365)