THREADS! MOOOOOOAR THREEEEEEADS! My Third Thread <3 – Tennis Picks

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  • Hardcoar
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 02-17-13
    • 15606

    #491
    Originally posted by Hardcoar
    Halep @ 1.83 – 10 units (Ladbrokes)
    KEXX
    Originally posted by Hardcoar
    Zakopalova @ 2.6 – 4 units (Pinnacle)
    Zakopalova 1:st @ 2.37 – 4 units (Pinnacle)
    KEXX
    FUXX
    Originally posted by Hardcoar
    Loeb 1:st @ 3 – 6 units (Bet365)
    FUXX
    Originally posted by Hardcoar
    Rampre @ 1.83 – 8 units (Bet365)
    FUXX
    Originally posted by Hardcoar
    Serra @ 1.83 – 8 units (Bet365)
    KEXX
    Originally posted by Hardcoar
    Castano @ 2.75 – 4 units (Bet365)
    KEXX
    Originally posted by Hardcoar
    Dubois @ 2.1 – 6 units (Bet365)
    FUXX
    Originally posted by Hardcoar
    Parmentier @ 1.91 – 6 units (Ladbrokes)
    FUXX
    Originally posted by Hardcoar
    Siegemund @ 1.83 – 6 units (Ladbrokes)
    FUXX
    Originally posted by Hardcoar
    Brengle @ 1.5 – 10 units (William Hill)
    KEXX
    Originally posted by Hardcoar
    Kavcic @ 1.5 – 10 units (William Hill)
    FUXX
    Originally posted by Hardcoar
    Duval @ evens – 8 units (William Hill)
    KEXX
    Originally posted by Hardcoar
    Hlavackova @ 1.7 – 8 units (William Hill)
    KEXX
    Originally posted by Hardcoar
    Lucic-Baroni @ 1.44 – 8 units (William Hill)
    KEXX
    Originally posted by Hardcoar
    Melzer @ 2.94 – 8 units (Pinnacle whose website has again turned to absolute shit the past few hours)
    KEXX
    Originally posted by Hardcoar
    Wozniacki 2-1 @ 4.33 – 6 units (Ladbrokes)
    FUXX

    Total hits: 106
    Total mishits: 150
    Total stake: 1680u
    Total yield: +9.26u
    ROI: +0.55 % (rounded)
    Comment
    • Hardcoar
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 02-17-13
      • 15606

      #492
      Monfils -2.5 @ 2.01 – 10 units (Pinnacle)
      Comment
      • Hardcoar
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 02-17-13
        • 15606

        #493
        Melzer 1:st @ 2.65 – 8 units (Sportingbet)
        Melzer 2-1 @ 6.5 – 4 units (Sportingbet)
        Comment
        • Hardcoar
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 02-17-13
          • 15606

          #494
          Wozniacki 2-1 @ 4.46 – 6 units (Pinnacle)
          Comment
          • Hardcoar
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 02-17-13
            • 15606

            #495
            Zakopalova @ 2.9 – 6 units (Sportingbet)
            Zakopalova +3.5 @ evens – 8 units (Sportingbet)
            Comment
            • Hardcoar
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 02-17-13
              • 15606

              #496
              Glushko @ evens – 6 units (Ladbrokes)
              Comment
              • Hardcoar
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 02-17-13
                • 15606

                #497
                Dellacqua @ 1.8 – 8 units (Bet365)
                Comment
                • Hardcoar
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 02-17-13
                  • 15606

                  #498
                  Jaziri @ 1.95 – 8 units (William Hill)
                  Comment
                  • Hardcoar
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 02-17-13
                    • 15606

                    #499
                    Tomljanovic @ 1.7 – 10 units (William Hill)
                    Comment
                    • Hardcoar
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 02-17-13
                      • 15606

                      #500
                      Evans @ 1.67 – 8 units (William Hill)
                      Comment
                      • Hardcoar
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 02-17-13
                        • 15606

                        #501
                        Serra @ 1.75 – 8 units (William Hill)
                        Comment
                        • Hardcoar
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 02-17-13
                          • 15606

                          #502
                          Baltacha @ 1.83 – 8 units (William Hill)
                          Comment
                          • Hardcoar
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 02-17-13
                            • 15606

                            #503
                            Duval @ 1.75 – 6 units (William Hill)
                            Comment
                            • Vinnie Paz
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 03-27-12
                              • 12177

                              #504
                              Hey I know you don't play over unders, but any chance I can get your opinion on the over 23 in the monfils match?
                              Comment
                              • Hardcoar
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 02-17-13
                                • 15606

                                #505
                                I very rarely do yes, but I'm honestly not the best at calling those lines. I can't say whether I think it's a good bet or not without knowing the odds, but I think Monfils wins in two fairly straightforward sets. There could be a tiebreak though but I find the match likelier to hit or cover the under 23 games total.

                                I really like -2.5 @ 2.09. I just don't get these odds. Verdasco (ADHD as it were) played really well overall yesterday and I wasn't much impressed by Dogpoolove at all. Verdasco would have crushed Dogpoolove had they met yesterday. I'm starting to wonder whether there's something I don't know, but at least the HC ensures retirement insurance.
                                Last edited by Hardcoar; 08-23-13, 11:32 AM.
                                Comment
                                • fitguy67
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 03-13-11
                                  • 5082

                                  #506
                                  just noticed while shopping for Woz 2-1 that ...

                                  Pinny has Zako, 2-1 at a whopping 6.34 (+534)...nice little 0.1873u flier to win 1u (a tootsie-roll to win a TV set)

                                  update: flier=>donation to SPSF ("save pinnacle-sports fund") with every double-bagel ticket you get a chance at a logo'd T-shirt/cap combo...come'on Kvito!
                                  Last edited by fitguy67; 08-23-13, 12:56 PM.
                                  Comment
                                  • Hardcoar
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 02-17-13
                                    • 15606

                                    #507
                                    I am aware of that. I even considered the @ 6.5 with another book but decided not to pull the trigger and now it's been gone for a while so I'll be fine with the HC and ML.

                                    2-1 on Woz is still looking fine with Pinnacle by the way. It hasn't dropped nearly as much as it "should" have (in relation to the ML fluctuation)
                                    Comment
                                    • Noleafclover
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 06-06-13
                                      • 1349

                                      #508
                                      Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                      I very rarely do yes, but I'm honestly not the best at calling those lines. I can't say whether I think it's a good bet or not without knowing the odds, but I think Monfils wins in two fairly straightforward sets. There could be a tiebreak though but I find the match likelier to hit or cover the under 23 games total.

                                      I really like -2.5 @ 2.09. I just don't get these odds. Verdasco (ADHD as it were) played really well overall yesterday and I wasn't much impressed by Dogpoolove at all. Verdasco would have crushed Dogpoolove had they met yesterday. I'm starting to wonder whether there's something I don't know, but at least the HC ensures retirement insurance.
                                      Monfils looked pretty bad - dinking shots back from his backhand more than usual. Also seemed bothered by the humidity. Verdasco may have looked good if you watched snatches, but he was worse than -16 in winners to unforced errors by the end of the match.
                                      Comment
                                      • Hardcoar
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 02-17-13
                                        • 15606

                                        #509
                                        Alright thanks for the input. I saw patches of the match quite a lot and it seemed like play was on fire. Maybe I just timed it right hehe...
                                        Comment
                                        • Hardcoar
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 02-17-13
                                          • 15606

                                          #510
                                          Melzer @ 2.94 – 8 units (Pinnacle)

                                          That's funny... I could have sworn I've seen this before!
                                          Comment
                                          • Hardcoar
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 02-17-13
                                            • 15606

                                            #511
                                            Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                            Monfils -2.5 @ 2.01 – 10 units (Pinnacle)
                                            KEXX
                                            Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                            Melzer 1:st @ 2.65 – 8 units (Sportingbet)
                                            Melzer 2-1 @ 6.5 – 4 units (Sportingbet)
                                            KEXX
                                            KEXX
                                            Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                            Wozniacki 2-1 @ 4.46 – 6 units (Pinnacle)
                                            FUXX
                                            Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                            Zakopalova @ 2.9 – 6 units (Sportingbet)
                                            Zakopalova +3.5 @ evens – 8 units (Sportingbet)
                                            FUXX
                                            FUXX
                                            Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                            Glushko @ evens – 6 units (Ladbrokes)
                                            KEXX
                                            Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                            Dellacqua @ 1.8 – 8 units (Bet365)
                                            KEXX
                                            Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                            Jaziri @ 1.95 – 8 units (William Hill)
                                            FUXX
                                            Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                            Tomljanovic @ 1.7 – 10 units (William Hill)
                                            KEXX
                                            Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                            Evans @ 1.67 – 8 units (William Hill)
                                            KEXX
                                            Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                            Serra @ 1.75 – 8 units (William Hill)
                                            KEXX
                                            Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                            Baltacha @ 1.83 – 8 units (William Hill)
                                            FUXX
                                            Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                            Duval @ 1.75 – 6 units (William Hill)
                                            KEXX
                                            Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                            Melzer @ 2.94 – 8 units (Pinnacle)

                                            That's funny... I could have sworn I've seen this before!
                                            KEXX

                                            Total hits: 116
                                            Total mishits: 155
                                            Total stake: 1792u
                                            Total yield: +79.34u
                                            ROI: +4.43 % (rounded)
                                            Comment
                                            • Hardcoar
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 02-17-13
                                              • 15606

                                              #512
                                              Monfils 2-1 @ 4.33 – 6 units (Ladbrokes)
                                              Comment
                                              • Hardcoar
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 02-17-13
                                                • 15606

                                                #513
                                                Halep @ 2.1 – 10 units (Ladbrokes)
                                                Comment
                                                • Brocke.Edgar
                                                  SBR Hustler
                                                  • 08-22-13
                                                  • 54

                                                  #514
                                                  how much is 1unit for you and where or when did you get melzer @2.94?
                                                  gl
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Hardcoar
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 02-17-13
                                                    • 15606

                                                    #515
                                                    About 1 % of my bank-roll.

                                                    Pinnacle, closing line. The exact same price as the opening line as well, interestingly.
                                                    Last edited by Hardcoar; 08-24-13, 11:08 AM.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Hardcoar
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 02-17-13
                                                      • 15606

                                                      #516
                                                      Melzer 1:st @ 2.76 – 6 units (Pinnacle)
                                                      Comment
                                                      • fitguy67
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 03-13-11
                                                        • 5082

                                                        #517
                                                        Melzer...POW! (1st) and POW! (ML...at most books as "Mon fece" flushes itself)...nice well-deserved wave of positive variance ur on now!
                                                        Last edited by fitguy67; 08-24-13, 02:08 PM.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Bet10Heinekens
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 01-10-13
                                                          • 10567

                                                          #518
                                                          Melzer was a cash cow this tournament
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Hardcoar
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 02-17-13
                                                            • 15606

                                                            #519
                                                            2-1 with the retirement insurance too. Fine and dandy!
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Hardcoar
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 02-17-13
                                                              • 15606

                                                              #520
                                                              Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                                              Monfils 2-1 @ 4.33 – 6 units (Ladbrokes)
                                                              LUXX
                                                              Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                                              Halep @ 2.1 – 10 units (Ladbrokes)
                                                              KEXX
                                                              Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                                              Melzer 1:st @ 2.76 – 6 units (Pinnacle)
                                                              KEXX

                                                              Total hits: 118
                                                              Total mishits: 155
                                                              Total stake: 1792u
                                                              Total yield: +100.9u
                                                              ROI: +5.63 % (rounded)
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Hardcoar
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 02-17-13
                                                                • 15606

                                                                #521
                                                                Wanted to get that out of the way quickly so I can spam my early USO locks () ASAP without feeling bad about it.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Hardcoar
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 02-17-13
                                                                  • 15606

                                                                  #522
                                                                  Hsieh 1:st @ 3.25 – 8 units (William Hill)
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Hardcoar
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 02-17-13
                                                                    • 15606

                                                                    #523
                                                                    Ungur 1:st @ 7 – 10 units (William Hill)
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Hardcoar
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 02-17-13
                                                                      • 15606

                                                                      #524
                                                                      Stepanek 1:st @ 2.5 – 8 units (Bet365)
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Hardcoar
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 02-17-13
                                                                        • 15606

                                                                        #525
                                                                        F. Mayer @ 2.2 – 10 units (Bet365)
                                                                        Last edited by Hardcoar; 08-24-13, 03:44 PM. Reason: Added the F.
                                                                        Comment
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