diegoelmestre ATP Tennis picks

[diegoelmestre]

Under 28 Games (Federer v Duckwoth) @ 1,88 Bookmaker
Tsonga -11 Games @ 1,87 Pinnacle

[diegoelmestre]

Bellucci -1,5 Sets @1,60 Sbobet

[diegoelmestre]

Kyrgios @ 2,10 Bookmaker 1/2u

Over 36 Games Seppi v Hewitt @ 1,98 Pinnacle
Paire -5 games @ 1,91 5dimes

[diegoelmestre]

D Young @ 2,35 Bookmaker
Over 36 (Devvarman v F Lopez) @ 1,88 Pinnacle
Over 38 (Kamke v Sock) @ 1,91 Pinnacle

[diegoelmestre]

Yesterday: 7-4-3 +3,04u

YTD: 54-38-7
%W/L (without pushed): 58,7%

Units:+7,59u
ROI: +7,74%

[diegoelmestre]

GMT 00h matches

Gasquet -6 Games @ 1,91 5dimes
Dodig 3-0 @ 2,17 Pinnacle
Over 38 Games (Youzhny v Mayer) @ 1,80 Pinnacle

[diegoelmestre]

2:00 GMT plays

Dmitry Tursunov v Istomin

Tiebreak in Match @ 1,57 Bet365
Over 40 @ 1,88 Pinnacle


--

Janowicz -5 @ 1,83 5dimes
Over 40 Games (Chardy v Dolgopolov) @ 1,97 Pinnacle
Robredo @ 1,884 Pinnacle

[diegoelmestre]

Over 38 Games (Vasselin v Lopez) @ 1,79 Pinnacle
Over 40 Games (QUerrey v Gulbis) @ 1,86 Pinnacle
Over 38 Games (Fognini v Nieminen) @ 1,96 Pinancle

[diegoelmestre]

Yesterday: 6-3-2 +1,97u

YTD: 60-41-9
%W/L (without pushed): 59,4%

Units:+9,56u
ROI: +8,77%

[diegoelmestre]

Andreas Seppi -1,5 Sets @ 2.00 Marathonbet

[lucullus]

That's a good line for Seppi I believe he takes it

[addictedto]

Andreas Seppi -1,5 Sets @ 2.00 Marathonbet

Jumping on this one, Marathon seems to have the line wrong, all other books are under 1.75 Spot on mate.

[diegoelmestre]

probably if i dont found that line at 2.00 prob wont bet, but i really like the odds on Marathon. i know its a crappy bookie, but sometimes has nice odds when comparing with other bookies and i think that should be taken. Is a good bookie for make bets with low frequency.

[diegoelmestre]

Adding:

Over 36 (Raonic v Hanescu) @ 1,806 Pinnacle

[diegoelmestre]

Lu +4 games @ 1,877 Pinnacle

[diegoelmestre]

Nadal Under 27games @ 1,98 Pinny

[diegoelmestre]

Monfils 3-0 @ 1,775 Pinnacle

[diegoelmestre]

Roger Federer Under 18,5 (Players Total) @ 2.17 Pinnacle

Roof will be closed. I really think that Roger can win this match at lwast with a triple 6-4

[diegoelmestre]

last play: Under 25.5 (Murray v Millot) @ 2.10 Pinnacle

[diegoelmestre]

horrible day yesterday. i'll check for todays plays. after i'll update my record

[diegoelmestre]

Florian Mayer @ 1,57 Pinnacle

[diegoelmestre]

Chardy vs Ferrer

Over 3,5 Sets @ 1,57 Bet365
Over 38,5 Games @ 1,80 Ladbrokes

[diegoelmestre]

Kevin Anderson vs Roger-Vasselin

Tiebreak in Match: Yes @ 1,53 Ladbrokes
OVer 40 Games @ 1,97 BetOnline

[diegoelmestre]

Querrey @ 1,61 5Dimes

[diegoelmestre]

Last two days: 5-8-0 -4,17u

YTD: 65-49-9
%W/L (without pushed): 57,0%

Units:+5,39u
ROI: +4,42%


well, not the days i wanted. some bad BEAT

Well, not the days all i wanted. Some bad beats. The Federer and Chardy bets (this last one had 5 set points in the 2nd) really pissed me off. But nothing i can handle. TOday is a new day. Hope can back to the profitable days.

[diegoelmestre]

Roger Federer Under 18,5 Games @ 1,813 Pinnacle

I believe Federer has everything to win this match. Should be a routine victory and believe will win 6-4 with at least one break up in each of the three sets that will be disputed. Gabashvili is a guy with his style of play makes many mistakes, he is mentally very unstable, and even against Federer that this is not so shattering, will surely pay a high price. The first two sets are the most critical for my bet. in a third set, I do not think Gabashvili has the mental strength to go to the comeback, so hopefully this third set is solved again with at least one break of difference.

[diegoelmestre]

Raonic vs Dimitrov

2Tiebreak in 1st set @ 2,75 Bet365

Will be a match dominated by service games hold. Two big servers and two players who prefer play short points. I expect a match with very few breaks, and even in any of the three matches they have played each other has been no tie-break, for today, I believe that we will have at least two or three. I see a lot of value with the odds for the existence of a tie-break in the first set.

[diegoelmestre]

Benoit Paire @ 2,81 Pinnacle

Odds clearly influacted by 4-0 H2H in favor of the Spanish , by Agut victory against Del Potro and the difficult comeback of Paire against Kyrgios . However , consider i Paire a btter player , so the odds offered to bet on the victory of the young French seem to me absurdly high . I'd Say it's a 50-50 match and just do not give a slight edge to Paire due to H2H . However , this game is completely different from the previous ones, we are in a Grand Slam and the match is best of five sets, so I hope both Will be very focused on victory , especially Benoit Paire . If Bautista - Agut already made his best ever result in a Grand Slam , the French has a chance to make the same in case of victory today.


Finally, there is another aspect which in my opinion should be taken seriously . We all know how common it is for mid-table players lost against worst players right after a Big Win (Agut had his best career win) . So it does not surprise me to see anything that happens in this atch. That said , with odds almost tat 3.00t , in my opinion , the value is all on the side of the French .

[diegoelmestre]

very disapointing this exhibithion by Paire

[diegoelmestre]

Yesterday: 1-2-0 -1,19u

YTD: 66-51-9
%W/L (without pushed): 56,4%

Units:+4,20u
ROI: +3,36%

[diegoelmestre]

Berdych 3-0 @ 1,813 Pinnacle

I believe Tomas Berdych can win this match in just three sets. I confess that despite the Kevin Anderson comebacks, i think the South African is not still at his best. This andthe fact of having been more than 9 hours in court, Kevin Anderson is not exactly marathin man, and the fact of having a face-to-face ultraheavyweight, 9 defeats in as many games, which can lead to Kevin Anderson could face meeting with some doubts. The first two sets will be key if Berdych beat them I do not think Kevin Anderson can re-enter the match. I believe it will even beat Berdych in just three sets.

[diegoelmestre]

Robredo +4,5 Games @ 1,909 Pinnacle

See with good eyes betting on Tommy Robredo plus handicap. The Spanish have an upward on the H2H agaisnt the Swiss, defeated him even twice last season (6-1 all time), so he knows what it takes to defeat him, then consider that it has everything to put Wawrinka in trouble. Then there's the fact that Wawrinka has played very few matches in this Grand Slam, has not played since Wednesday and Robredo can enjoy some lack of match fitness of him to earn some upward early in the match. It is for me the game of the day and I predict a super close match.

[diegoelmestre]

Rafael Nadal vs Kei Nishikori

I think Nadal will win this match quite easy. Kei Nishikori except in the first clash between both, never truly managed to annoy the "bull", the best he could do was win 4 games in a set. Today, expects another dominating match by Nadal. Nishikori has enormous difficulties in dealing with Nadal balls, largely due to his short stature, which forces him to hit the ball a very high. Not much more to say about this match, if Nadal can maintain the level that had against Monfils, i believe he wil win with at least a triple 6-4 , ie a break lead in each set. So, consider betting on under games a good bet.

Under 31,5 @ 1,83 WilliamHill
Under 19 (Nadal - Player Total) @ 1,925 Pinnacle

[Hardcoar]

Don't you think the odds take that into account?
: /

[diegoelmestre]

sorry, dont understand the question :x