diegoelmestre ATP Tennis picks

[diegoelmestre]

Brisbane plays:

over 22.5 (Mahut v Chardy) @ 1.77 Bookmaker
G Simon @ 1.508 Pinnacle
K Anderson -2 Games @ 1.628 Pinnacle

[Tmuston Beltics]

G simon from 1.2 to 1.5? Is he injured?

[diegoelmestre]

G simon from 1.2 to 1.5? Is he injured?

don't heard anything about any injury. Prob the public are going with Copil. But at this price i'll take that. Simon is better player and Copil's serve wont be efective as usual, Simon is an excellent returner. Yep, i know its first game of the season to Simon, but at this price, well, what can i say? good value imo. before saw the line expected something between 1.25 and 1.35/1.40.

[diegoelmestre]

Over 21 Games (Nadal v Gulbis) @ 1.98 Marathonbet


looking for over in Monfils - Brands. Waiting for Pinnacle lines

[diegoelmestre]

adding Over 22,5 (Monfils vs Brands) @ 1.80 Bet365

[rankslash]

Over 21 Games (Nadal v Gulbis) @ 1.98 Marathonbet


looking for over in Monfils - Brands. Waiting for Pinnacle lines

Over 21? My line is Over 22.5 @2.00 ... I guess i won't take it now

[ClutchOnandWin]

Marathonbet? LOL!

You can't be winning if you haven't been banned or severely limited to very low stakes with Marathonbet.

[ClutchOnandWin]

Over 21? My line is Over 22.5 @2.00 ... I guess i won't take it now

Use pinnacle.

[diegoelmestre]

Marathonbet? LOL!

You can't be winning if you haven't been banned or severely limited to very low stakes with Marathonbet.

i never said that i am an high roller

[ClutchOnandWin]

I know, just suprised you haven't been banned or limited yet.

[diegoelmestre]

I know, just suprised you haven't been banned or limited yet.

i mainly use Pinnacle, Bet365, 5dimes, bookmaker, etc, that good stuff.

But sometimes you got excelent lines and prices at those low limit bookies, so, sometimes i made some bets there

i use a lot of bookies to try maximize my profts

[diegoelmestre]

Today: 2-2-1

YTD: 15-13-1
Units: -0,78u
ROI: -2,74%

[diegoelmestre]

Hopman Cup:

Under 20,5 (Tsonga v De La Nava) @ 1.50 Bet365

ATP Brisbane:

Chardy 2-0 @ 2,25 WilliamHill

[diegoelmestre]

Chennai e Doha

Wawrinka 2-0 @ 1,50 WilliamHill
Under 19 Games (Nadal vs Gojowczyk) @ 1,769 Pinnacle
Monfils 2-0 @ 2,05 Pinnacle

[diegoelmestre]

Today: 3-2

Nadal and tsonga killed me today. Expected a lot more from both. Tsonga served with 5.3 in the second :\

but survived the first week, prob the most difficult in all season, hope we can stay in plus units

YTD: 18-15-1
Units:+0,02u
ROI: +0,06%

[diegoelmestre]

Sydney qualies:

Mikhail Kukushkin @ 1.526 Pinny
Jiri Vesely @ 1.581 Pinny
John Patrick Smith @ 1.571 Pinny
B Becker v R Harrison (Over 22.5 Games) @ 1.97 Marathonbet (Huge difference from Bet365, at 1.72)

[diegoelmestre]

Federer -5 Games @ 2,18 Pinny
Nishikori @ 1,636 Pinny

Wawrinka to win Chennai 2014 (Outright) @ 1,53 Bet365

[diegoelmestre]

first double dime of season

Rafa Nadal @ 1,45 Bookmaker 2u

[diegoelmestre]

Sydney quali

Ryan Harrison 2-0 @ 1,80 bet365

Brisbane

R Federer 2-0 @ 1,704 PInnacle

Still have Wawrinka towin chennai pending. i'll update my record after have none pending bet

[diegoelmestre]

very disapointed with Federer in first set. Prob, the worst set played by Fedex i ever seen

YTD: 23-19-1
Units:-0.60
ROI: -1.35%

[diegoelmestre]

Auckland

B Klahn @ 1.57 Bet365
L Lacko @ 1.367 Pinnacle

[diegoelmestre]

Sydney

Benneteau @ 1.735 Pinnacle
Rosol @ 1.694 Pinnacle
R Harrison @ 1.578 Pinnacle

[diegoelmestre]

finnaly a decent day

5-0

YTD: 28-19-1
Units:+2.35
ROI: +4.75%

[Hardcoar]

SOOOOOOOOOWEEP!!!

[diegoelmestre]

SOOOOOOOOOWEEP!!!

thks,hope i can extend this day to the next few

one note guys, prob u noticed that in first posts of this thread i has posted some writeups about each bet, this season i dont posted none yet because i'm busy with college stuff and my time is not so much. next few weeks i'll start again post my analysis for each bet

[diegoelmestre]

Donald Young @1,54 Bookmaker (No bet if drops below 1,50)

I believe Donald Young will win this match. The first matches of the season are always complicated and even more so on a surface that is not the election, I am referring of course to Delbonis. Donald Young reaches this match with some matches in the legs, and being an athlete who returns a lot of balls and forces opponents to run a lot, believe Donald Young overtake Delbonis in the physical plane, because Delbonis can accuse any lack of match play. Add that Young has an more suitable game to this Hard court. The odds is not the best, but I believe the North American will win the match.

[diegoelmestre]

Under 20,5 Games (Lacko v Statham) @ 1,80 Bet365

This bet depends a lot on how Lacko faces this match. If the Slovak approach it seriously i expect a easily win bet. Lacko is by far superior tennis player, especially from the baseline. If Lacko get lengthen the point to over 4, 5 strokes the trend throughout the match will go to the Slovak winning the ascending of the point, taking advantage of the limitations of Statham's in this court area. The New Zealander will then be forced to take more risky shots to avoid Lacko's ball returns and then the errors should help Lacko to got the final victory. I believe the game from baseline will make a difference. Statham is a very mediocre player, proof is his weak Challenger level curriculum. If Lacko not begin to invent, believe get at least one break advantage in each of the sets played

my analysis are originaly made in Portuguese, i translate in Google Traslate and made some corrections, still, can have some gramatical and lexical faults. So sorry about that, but i believe they are undertandable

[WIEDBO]

Donald Young @1,54 Bookmaker (No bet if drops below 1,50)

I believe Donald Young will win this match. The first matches of the season are always complicated and even more so on a surface that is not the election, I am referring of course to Delbonis. Donald Young reaches this match with some matches in the legs, and being an athlete who returns a lot of balls and forces opponents to run a lot, believe Donald Young overtake Delbonis in the physical plane, because Delbonis can accuse any lack of match play. Add that Young has an more suitable game to this Hard court. The odds is not the best, but I believe the North American will win the match.

I only see value in Del Boner here, remember also that these are professional athletes and he should be ready for this match. I never see value in DY as a dog and certenly not as a favorite to a player that is ranked better than him.

[diegoelmestre]

I only see value in Del Boner here, remember also that these are professional athletes and he should be ready for this match. I never see value in DY as a dog and certenly not as a favorite to a player that is ranked better than him.

yup, they are professional, but training and play an official match are very different. and Young is better player in hc's, imo

[diegoelmestre]

Guillermo Garcia-Lopez @ 2,10 Ladbrokes

I have no doubts that this match will be very tough, however, see much value in the odds given to the Spanish victory. He's a most competent player and effective in these faster courts, then i give slight favoritism to Garcia-Lopez win this game and do not agree with the favoritism given to the Dutch. Therefore, consider a value bet the Spaniard win.

[WIEDBO]

But when a qualifyer like DY gets downplayed to 1,35 its real comic, i dont know who would trust him with their money espesially as a big favorite. Del Boner ML ODDS 3.0.

[diegoelmestre]

Wow.... 1.39 at Bookmaker ... i'm start getting scared :x

[diegoelmestre]

Kohlschreiber 2-0 @ 1.57 WilliamHill

Although not pay much, i think Kohlschreiber will win this match in straight sets. The German has many points to defend this week reached the final last year, so he have particular interest in playing the best tennis possible. Faces an athlete with quality and potential, but also shows some limitations in faster surfaces, especially against best/top ranked players. His defeat last week against Yuki Bhambri was left me quite standing behind. If this young Indian can beat the Spaniard in straight sets and with relative tranquility, I do not see anything other than the obligation of Kohly to do the same.

[diegoelmestre]

Yen Hsun Lu @ 3.07 Pinnacle

I see value Lu's on victory . Admittedly, given the Walkover Pospisil in Chennai allegedly due to leg injury, or some excesses in the entryway, who knows. Still, I think if Lu go into court, it is because he is able to apply his best tennis. With slam right to the next door ,i dont think that he will put in risk and aggravate a potential injuty. Regarding the match itself, I think that Lu can complicate the live Sijsling with his energetic and high speed play. Lu will force Sijsling always playing on the edge so I believe that the Dutch could make more errorsthan usual, because there will be tend to arrive a little bit late to the balls returned by the Chinese, because of being a player who hits the ball still in upswing and plays very close of baseline. It is a very generous odd in my eyes.

[diegoelmestre]

Cilic 2-0 @ 1.526 Pinnacle

Despite paying little, I think Cilic will win this match with some confidence. I would venture to call this bet as a 'banker'. Struff has some quality, but in my opinion is still far from having the necessary quality to beat this quality athletes. Cilic should impose the law of the strongest throughout the match and should dominate all aspects of the game. Cilic has shown some growing and after having been long without competing last season, will certainly have big goals for this season.