diegoelmestre ATP Tennis picks

[diegoelmestre]

These four weeks between the seasons feel like four months? Can't wait for next season.

Couldnt agree more

[ClutchOnandWin]

Bro, there's the dutch masters exhibition on atm. Basically packed with a bunch of dutchman giving around 80% effort wanting to prove they're the dutch number 2 behind sisling.

Just landed Huta, whom was sick odds against Schoorel.

Links around streaming sites.

[diegoelmestre]

i dont like betting in exhibitions, specially in this stage of the season, where some of them are going back from holidays and have just a couple os weeks training. i'll start put my money on the line just in qatar, chennai e brisbane

[ClutchOnandWin]

My theory is it's actually easier to predict on exhibitions, because the player that wins the technical matchup paper wins, or just the better player. Mainly as the aspects of "scoreboard pressure" are less prominent. They are free, loose and do not fear missing or losing.

I've been cleaning up on the exhibitions.

[ClutchOnandWin]

Most of these challenger player's last played in November anyway and you surely can't lose your muscle memory on your groundstrokes that quickly.

Sisling is 1.54 to beat Debakker, he played at a czech exho a few days ago, 3 matches infact, De Bakker hasn't played shit. Fast courts, bigger more consistent server and can close off the net well. Freemoney IMO.

[Hardcoar]

Most of these challenger player's last played in November anyway and you surely can't lose your muscle memory on your groundstrokes that quickly.

Sisling is 1.54 to beat Debakker, he played at a czech exho a few days ago, 3 matches infact, De Bakker hasn't played shit. Fast courts, bigger more consistent server and can close off the net well. Freemoney IMO.

So..?

[diegoelmestre]

Well guys, here we go to another season.

I'll start with

Brisbane Qualy:

Rhyne Williams to win @ 1.813 at Pinny
Alex Kuznetsov to win @ 1.438 at Pinny

Dont analyzed yet Doha and Chennai matches, so, it is possible i post some more plays.

Warn you that we are still in the first official game of the season, so it may take some time until the machine is completely tuned. Still, I have full confidence in my ability for the entire season

[diegoelmestre]

Chennai

Stakhovsky 2-0 @ 1.60 at SBOBet
Fucsovic 2-0 @ 1.64 at SBOBet




Doha

Taro Daniel @ 2.60 at Bwin

Still looking to Gabashvilli lines, dont found anywhere :s

[matt1216]

Dude, start a new record/thread for this season. No point keeping the same thread

[diegoelmestre]

Dude, start a new record/thread for this season. No point keeping the same thread

i'll start a new record, for sure.

[matt1216]

i'll start a new record, for sure.

Cool, just easier to see where u started

[diegoelmestre]

Well guys, here we go to another season.


Rhyne Williams to win @ 1.813 at Pinny [/B ]
Alex Kuznetsov to win @ 1.438 at Pinny

Chennai

Stakhovsky 2-0 @ 1.60 at SBOBet
Fucsovic 2-0 @ 1.64 at SBOBet


Taro Daniel @ 2.60 at Bwin

Expected at least one of Stako or Fucsovic to be a winner.

Still a 3-2 day, not the perfect start, but a good start.

So, now we are:

YTD: 3-2-0
Units: +0.85u
ROI: 17%

[diegoelmestre]

Brisbane early games

- Rhyne Williams @ 1.909 Pinnacle



Now, i'll go to the cinema, in 5 or 6 hours probably more plays

[Hardcoar]

I had to go with ** above @ evens after seeing this:

http://www.matchstat.com/index.php?ControllerName=Compare&Name_Player1=Rhyne+Williams&Id_Player1=10292&Name_Player2=Di+**&Id_Player2=12921

[matt1216]

Diiii W U!!!!!!

[diegoelmestre]

Doha:

Taro Daniel @ 2.10
Lennard-Struff @ 1.61

Both at Bet365

[diegoelmestre]

Brisbane early games

- Rhyne Williams @ 1.909 Pinnacle Now, i'll go to the cinema, in 5 or 6 hours probably more plays

Doha:

Taro Daniel @ 2.10
Lennard-Struff @ 1.61

Both at Bet365

Expected more by Rhyne Williams, but time to move on.

Now we are

YTD: 4-4-0
Units: -0.05u
ROI: -0.62%

[diegoelmestre]

Brisbane:

Marius Copil @1.70 Bwin
Marin Cilic @ 1.45 Marathonbet
Grigor Dimitrov 2-0 @ 1.952 Pinnacle

[diegoelmestre]

looking for Doha Quali 3rd round lines. In main draw:

João Sousa @ 1.609 Pinnacle

no plays in chennai, Noumea and probably in Sao Paulo

[diegoelmestre]

Brisbane:

Marius Copil @1.70 Bwin
Marin Cilic @ 1.45 Marathonbet
Grigor Dimitrov 2-0 @ 1.952 Pinnacle

YTD: 7-4-0
Units: +2,05u
ROI: +18,64%

[diegoelmestre]

looking for Doha Quali 3rd round lines. In main draw:

João Sousa @ 1.609 Pinnacle

no plays in chennai, Noumea and probably in Sao Paulo

YTD: 7-5-0
Units: +1,05u
ROI: +8,75%


I'll add some plays in a few minutes

[diegoelmestre]

Tennys Sandgren @ 1.488 5Dimes

[diegoelmestre]

R Harrison @ 1.483 Pinnacle
Hewitt v Kokkinakis - Over 20,5 Games @ 1.751 Pinnacle

Chennai and Doha plays in one, two hours

[diegoelmestre]

Chennai:

B Becker @ 1.53 Bwin
Marcel Granollers 2-0 @ 1.83 Bet365

[diegoelmestre]

Doha:

Dodig 2-0 @ 2.16 Marathonbet
Andy Murray -11,5 Games @ 2.19 Pinnacle - 1/2 unit

tried to go in Rosol handicap, but not sure yet. I'll tell if i made it a play

[diegoelmestre]

Doha:

Dodig 2-0 @ 2.16 Marathonbet
Andy Murray -11,5 Games @ 2.19 Pinnacle - 1/2 unit Chennai:

B Becker @ 1.53 Bwin
Marcel Granollers 2-0 @ 1.83 Bet365

R Harrison @ 1.483 Pinnacle
Hewitt v Kokkinakis - Over 20,5 Games @ 1.751 Pinnacle

Tennys Sandgren @ 1.488 5Dimes

YTD: 10-9-0
Units: -1,07u
ROI: -5,78%

[ClutchOnandWin]

Mate, Reister retired and Bwin don't payout on retirements even after the first set.

[diegoelmestre]

Mate, Reister retired and Bwin don't payout on retirements even after the first set.

bwin pays after first point was played, always

[ClutchOnandWin]

Okay, my bad. Never really used them. lol

[Hardcoar]

Okay, my bad. Never really used them. lol

Interesting then, don't you think?

[diegoelmestre]

Dimitrov vs Cilic - Over 23 Games - @ 1.806 Pinnacle
Matosevic vs Querrey - Over 23 Games @ 1.884 Pinnacle

[diegoelmestre]

Okay, my bad. Never really used them. lol

no problem

[diegoelmestre]

Nishikori -3 @ 1.847 PInny

[diegoelmestre]

last plays for the day

Verdasco 2-0 @ 1.84 Pinnacle
A Murray -5 games @ 1.869 Pinnacle

[diegoelmestre]

Dimitrov vs Cilic - Over 23 Games - @ 1.806 Pinnacle
Matosevic vs Querrey - Over 23 Games @ 1.884 Pinnacle
Verdasco 2-0 @ 1.84 Pinnacle
A Murray -5 games @ 1.869 Pinnacle
Nishikori -3 @ 1.847 PInny


very surprising that Murray's defeat

Expected at least a 4-1, but i'll take that 3-2 nicely

YTD: 13-11-0
Units: -0,53u
ROI: -2,26%

hoping get back to the profit tomorrow