Vaughany's Soccer Plays...

[thaiviet222]

thank. anything for today?

[Vaughany]

Just varese. Had the two Australia winners earlier

[Beelzebubzy]

What the hell is varese

im american. What league do i click

[Vaughany]

Ha they are Italian. serie b is name of league. You probably wont get pk (draw no bet) on sites like sportbet 5domes tho

[Beelzebubzy]

Your killing me smalls.

I pay premium sbr points for winnerz. You give me winnerz I give 2 points.

[Vaughany]

Ha did you playing the Australian plays from earlier. Both cashed homie...me n gaberz gonna go wild tonight

[Vaughany]

fuuck scramble in the box and somehow Varese didnt put it in back of net

[Vaughany]

chances at both ends, think somebody is gonna score eventually, half tempted to play the over 0.75 live. Varese's defending is not great again!

[Vaughany]

game could easily be 3-3 or 3-2 either way, another good chance for Varese

[Vaughany]

and another, should of been a goal from corner

[Vaughany]

red card Varese, stupid handball. Screwed now

[thaiviet222]

the red card for Varese, i'm dead

[Vaughany]

8 mins to hang on

[thaiviet222]

hope hope and hope

[Vaughany]

Hedging with Trapani PK @ -213 live...

Just hoping it stays like this now, will take the push

[Vaughany]

hope hope and hope

You played the PK I hope!?

[Vaughany]

Usually when I do this the side I originally backed goes and scores anyway!

[Vaughany]

Trapani not showing much urgency, just settling for the draw!

[Vaughany]

ha Pavoletti almost broke through there for Varese! final pass wasnt good tho

[Vaughany]

Amazing that that game finished 0-0! Chances galore but lack of end product

[Vaughany]

Will be looking at a potential live-bet in the Palermo game tonight. In theory there should be a couple of goals in that one...Pescara have scored 5 goals in three away games and conceded 6. Could see Palermo winning 2-1

[plekz]

livebet nigeria to win against etiopia when eti was ahead 1 - 0 @ 10x cash money baby.

[atofsu32111]

dude i called 88th goal by nigeria unreal and lost yesterday same way with eupen,..... picking games str8 up get wacked again

[Vaughany]

Summary of weekend plays:

Other pending plays:


Parlay (treble): Atletico Madrid ML (-450), Sweden PK (-350), & Gilbert Melendez (UFC, -450);


Parlay (treble): Iceland PK (-700), England PK (-900), & Man Utd PK (-450)...

Added:

Parlay (four-folds): Iceland PK (-800), Turkey PK (-900), Greece PK (-400), & Netherlands ML (-275)...

Other pending plays:


Parlay (treble): Atletico Madrid ML (-450), Sweden PK (-350), & Gilbert Melendez (UFC, -450);


Parlay (treble): Iceland PK (-700), England PK (-900), & Man Utd PK (-450)...

England -1 A.H @ -120 live...

Surely gonna score at least 1 maybe 2 in second half as Montenegro get a bit tired both physically and mentally. Could easily be 2-0 up at haltime

Colombia/Chile Over 4 goals @ -195 live-in-play (0-3, 52 mins)...

Colombia haven't failed to score at home since July 2011, surely going to get at least a consolation, and Chile may get a fourth on counter.

Got way too much on this at moment but for Conference this weekend I'm playing:

Gateshead PK @ -169 at home to Alfreton...

Both sides have injury issues and/or suspensions to deal with going in to this game. Gateshead's defender Carl Magnay (11 apps, 2 goals, and 1st winner of Football Icon TV show!) got injured in the mid-week game which is a blow, and regular left-back Luke O'Brien (9 apps) got injured in training last Monday. Consequently, Manager Gary Mills has moved swiftly to bring in a back-up by signing young Middlesbrough left-wing back and Lewis Sirrell on short-term loan.

Alfreton also have some regular players unavailable due to injury/suspension at the moment. Key defender Fenton (13 apps, 1 goal) is still suspended - a player they missed greatly in the surprise mid-week 1-0 loss at home to Chester. Another player they clearly missed was forward Paul Clayton (13 apps, 3 goals) who is out for a few more weeks. His work-rate and ability to hold the ball up in the final third was a significant loss against Chester. His replacement Wishart (10 apps, 2 goals) also went off injured during the Chester game, and to make matters worse defender Wylde (9 apps) had to go off with a shoulder injury. Finally, another defender Chris Westwood (8 apps) is still out injured.

The big problem for Alfreton is that they don't have a squad as big as most teams in the league, including Gateshead. The home side have over 20 players in their squad, while Alfreton only have 13 or 14 players available going in to this game on Saturday. This is partly due to Manager Law having to reduce the wage-bill of the team by 25% at the beginning of the season, and he decided to reduce the quantity rather than quality. He has said this week that he is looking for emergency loan signings and trying to get at least one before the game on Saturday but as of now I haven't heard of him getting anybody in.

In terms of form, Gateshead have improved recently after a poor start to the season where they lost 4 games in a row. However since then they have won 6 out of their last 9 games, and 2 of those 3 losses where away at 2 of the promotion contenders this season in Cambridge and Forest Green (who are also both very strong at home). Alfreton meanwhile did have 1 of the best home records in the league with a 100% win record up until Wednesday night's loss against Chester. Away from home they have been complete opposite, winning 1 and losing 5. They have scored 5 goals on their travels, only Aldershot, Dartford, and Southport have scored 1 fewer. The head-to-head also bodes well for a play on Gateshead when you see that they have won 4 out of 4 home fixtures against Alfreton since 2008 - scoring 9 goals and conceding just once. Gateshead have won 6 lost 2 in total head-to-head with Alfreton home and away.

One of Alfreton's issues in last couple of games has been their failure to keep possession. Against Chester on Wednesday (1-0 loss) they only had 45% of possession, and against Forest Green last weekend (won 3-2) they only had 45% possession again. This doesn't bode well when you consider that both of those games where at home where they are supposedly dominant yet still didnt have more possession then their opponents, and that they now have to go to a side in Gateshead that had a whopping Bayern Munichesq 74% possession in their last home game against Dartford which they dominated and won 2-0! They also had 53% possession away at Hyde mid-week and cruised to another 2-0 win.

At the end of the day, this is lower-level Pro football and anything can happen. You often get big upsets when you least expect them, and Alfreton may well come out all fired up after losing for first time at home this season in the mid-week game, while Gateshead may get casual and sloppy after comfortably seeing off the worst side in the league in Hyde on Wednesday. But with the combination of Gateshead's recent improvement in form and ability to keep possession, combined with Alfreton's poor away record so far this season and injury/suspension issues, I have to go reasonably big on the Gateshead PK.

Brisbane Roar PK @ -181 away at Wellington Phoenix...

Adelaide PK @ -190 at home to Perth Glory...

Parlay (double): Varese PK (-225) & Chelsea ML (-400);

Parlay (double): Varese PK (-250) & Blackburn PK (-250)...

Always good to not see any red!

[Vaughany]

dude i called 88th goal by nigeria unreal and lost yesterday same way with eupen,..... picking games str8 up get wacked again

dammmnn they actually scored again! You jinxed it with you confidence in that thread!!! Ethiopia must of blew their wads

[thaiviet222]

yes, good guy, i hope u will win all pick in the next time

[Vaughany]

yes, good guy, i hope u will win all pick in the next time

Me too, bad runs always happen though, and mine will only be around the corner no doubt!

[plekz]

Vaugn: Yeah NIG got a penatly kick minutes before that they managed to hit the post aswell. I'd be a bit worried though about that parlay ending with Melendez, judges love Sanchez style and the fight is most likely going to be a dog fight, why wouldnt you close with say Cormier instead?

[Vaughany]

Vaugn: Yeah NIG got a penatly kick minutes before that they managed to hit the post aswell. I'd be a bit worried though about that parlay ending with Melendez, judges love Sanchez style and the fight is most likely going to be a dog fight, why wouldnt you close with say Cormier instead?

yep with it being three rounds there is always a chance of a robbery decision. But that is the only chance he has. Highly unlikely to sub or TKO Melendez, and he isnt going to be able to take Melendez down and have any top control...I reckon the chances of a robbery decision are less than 19% tho! Melendez is just superior everywhere and he's also had favourable decisions in past from judges, especially the third Thomson fight. Cormier's odds were -600 on Paddy where I did the parlay, and they are HW's, at least Nelson has a small chance of a flash KO unlike Canchez. Plus I added more to Melendez at -450 the other day on paddy and have arbed with Canchez at +500 so now getting Melendez at nearer -400

[Vaughany]

Looking like the Conference is my strongest league at moment. Since start of the Conference season I've picked 19 winners (70.37%), 5 pushes (18.52%), and 3 losses (11.11%)...



Conference Betting Record:

Bet: Odds: Stake: Profit:
316018374-1
68 3:28pm 6-Aug-13 10-Aug-13 Soccer
Total Forest Green Rovers/Hyde FC (O 2.5 and 3) for Game. 108 50 54

316774477-1
90 2:07am 11-Aug-13 11-Aug-13 Soccer
Handicap Cambridge United (+0) vs Halifax Town for Game. -208 208 100


316789102-1
94 4:14am 11-Aug-13 11-Aug-13 Soccer
Handicap Cambridge United (-1) vs Halifax Town for Game.
[Live! 1-1] -120 -120 120 100


317037688-1
109 2:41pm 12-Aug-13 13-Aug-13 Soccer
Handicap Braintree Town (+0) vs Woking for Game. -131 131 100


317038817-1
110 3:11pm 12-Aug-13 13-Aug-13 Soccer
Handicap Lincoln City (+0) vs Macclesfield Town for Game. -170 55 32.35


317039219-1
111 3:17pm 12-Aug-13 13-Aug-13 Soccer
Handicap Aldershot Town (+0) vs Dartford FC for Game. -152 76 50


317039219-2
112 3:17pm 12-Aug-13 13-Aug-13 Soccer
Handicap Alfreton Town vs Kidderminster Harriers (+0) for Game. -180 90 -90


317119785-1
114 1:06pm 13-Aug-13 13-Aug-13 Soccer
Total Alfreton Town/Kidderminster Harriers (O 2.5 and 3) for Game.
[Live! 2-0] -156 -156 78 50


319247077-1
172 6:01am 26-Aug-13 26-Aug-13 Soccer
1H Total Alfreton Town/Hereford United (O 1) for 1st Half. -111 55.5 50
319247483-1


173 6:05am 26-Aug-13 26-Aug-13 Soccer
1H Total Nuneaton Town/Kidderminster Harriers (O 1) for 1st Half. -126 63 Cancelled
319247904-1


174 6:10am 26-Aug-13 26-Aug-13 Soccer
Handicap Chester vs Forest Green Rovers (+0) for Game. -151 75.5 50


320064810-1
205 0:47am 31-Aug-13 31-Aug-13 Soccer
1H Total Forest Green Rovers/Alfreton Town (O 1) for 1st Half. -118 118 100


321319167-1
7 0:32am 7-Sep-13 7-Sep-13 Soccer
1H Total Braintree Town/Forest Green Rovers (O 1) for 1st Half. -112 56 50


321319425-1
8 0:35am 7-Sep-13 7-Sep-13 Soccer
1H Total Hyde FC/Cambridge United (O 1) for 1st Half. -128 64 Cancelled


323331818-1
65 10:36am 17-Sep-13 17-Sep-13 Soccer
1H Total Hyde FC/Woking (O 1) for 1st Half. -114 57 -57


323331818-2
66 10:36am 17-Sep-13 17-Sep-13 Soccer
1H Total Tamworth/Kidderminster Harriers (O 1) for 1st Half. -120 60 Cancelled


323331818-3
67 10:36am 17-Sep-13 17-Sep-13 Soccer
1H Total Welling United/Forest Green Rovers (O 1) for 1st Half. -121 60.5 50


323332749-1
68 10:42am 17-Sep-13 17-Sep-13 Soccer
Handicap Salisbury City (+0) vs Braintree Town for Game. -115 57.5 Cancelled


323976213-1
75 2:59pm 20-Sep-13 21-Sep-13 Soccer
Total Aldershot Town/Wrexham (O 2) for Game. -172 86 Cancelled


323976213-2
76 2:59pm 20-Sep-13 21-Sep-13 Soccer
Handicap Alfreton Town (+0) vs Barnet for Game. -101 50.5 50

323976213-3
77 2:59pm 20-Sep-13 21-Sep-13 Soccer
Handicap Braintree Town (+0) vs Southport for Game. -181 90.5 50

323976213-4
78 2:59pm 20-Sep-13 21-Sep-13 Soccer
Handicap Cambridge United (+0) vs Forest Green Rovers for Game. -117 58.5 50


327988492-1
21 6:11am 8-Oct-13 8-Oct-13 Soccer
Handicap Alfreton Town (+0) vs Chester for Game. -199 99.5 -99.5

327988492-2
22 6:11am 8-Oct-13 8-Oct-13 Soccer
Handicap Hyde FC vs Gateshead (+0) for Game. -165 82.5 50

327988492-3
23 6:11am 8-Oct-13 8-Oct-13 Soccer
Handicap Kidderminster Harriers (+0) vs Forest Green Rovers for Game. -141 70.5 50

327988579-1
24 6:13am 8-Oct-13 8-Oct-13 Soccer
1H Total Braintree Town/Welling United (O 1) for 1st Half. -114 57 50

327988579-2
25 6:13am 8-Oct-13 8-Oct-13 Soccer
1H Total Kidderminster Harriers/Forest Green Rovers (O 1) for 1st Half. -130 130 100

Total staked: £2,200.00
Total profit: £939.85

Got way too much on this at moment but for Conference this weekend I'm playing:

Gateshead PK @ -169 at home to Alfreton...

Both sides have injury issues and/or suspensions to deal with going in to this game. Gateshead's defender Carl Magnay (11 apps, 2 goals, and 1st winner of Football Icon TV show!) got injured in the mid-week game which is a blow, and regular left-back Luke O'Brien (9 apps) got injured in training last Monday. Consequently, Manager Gary Mills has moved swiftly to bring in a back-up by signing young Middlesbrough left-wing back and Lewis Sirrell on short-term loan.

Alfreton also have some regular players unavailable due to injury/suspension at the moment. Key defender Fenton (13 apps, 1 goal) is still suspended - a player they missed greatly in the surprise mid-week 1-0 loss at home to Chester. Another player they clearly missed was forward Paul Clayton (13 apps, 3 goals) who is out for a few more weeks. His work-rate and ability to hold the ball up in the final third was a significant loss against Chester. His replacement Wishart (10 apps, 2 goals) also went off injured during the Chester game, and to make matters worse defender Wylde (9 apps) had to go off with a shoulder injury. Finally, another defender Chris Westwood (8 apps) is still out injured.

The big problem for Alfreton is that they don't have a squad as big as most teams in the league, including Gateshead. The home side have over 20 players in their squad, while Alfreton only have 13 or 14 players available going in to this game on Saturday. This is partly due to Manager Law having to reduce the wage-bill of the team by 25% at the beginning of the season, and he decided to reduce the quantity rather than quality. He has said this week that he is looking for emergency loan signings and trying to get at least one before the game on Saturday but as of now I haven't heard of him getting anybody in.

In terms of form, Gateshead have improved recently after a poor start to the season where they lost 4 games in a row. However since then they have won 6 out of their last 9 games, and 2 of those 3 losses where away at 2 of the promotion contenders this season in Cambridge and Forest Green (who are also both very strong at home). Alfreton meanwhile did have 1 of the best home records in the league with a 100% win record up until Wednesday night's loss against Chester. Away from home they have been complete opposite, winning 1 and losing 5. They have scored 5 goals on their travels, only Aldershot, Dartford, and Southport have scored 1 fewer. The head-to-head also bodes well for a play on Gateshead when you see that they have won 4 out of 4 home fixtures against Alfreton since 2008 - scoring 9 goals and conceding just once. Gateshead have won 6 lost 2 in total head-to-head with Alfreton home and away.

One of Alfreton's issues in last couple of games has been their failure to keep possession. Against Chester on Wednesday (1-0 loss) they only had 45% of possession, and against Forest Green last weekend (won 3-2) they only had 45% possession again. This doesn't bode well when you consider that both of those games where at home where they are supposedly dominant yet still didnt have more possession then their opponents, and that they now have to go to a side in Gateshead that had a whopping Bayern Munichesq 74% possession in their last home game against Dartford which they dominated and won 2-0! They also had 53% possession away at Hyde mid-week and cruised to another 2-0 win.

At the end of the day, this is lower-level Pro football and anything can happen. You often get big upsets when you least expect them, and Alfreton may well come out all fired up after losing for first time at home this season in the mid-week game, while Gateshead may get casual and sloppy after comfortably seeing off the worst side in the league in Hyde on Wednesday. But with the combination of Gateshead's recent improvement in form and ability to keep possession, combined with Alfreton's poor away record so far this season and injury/suspension issues, I have to go reasonably big on the Gateshead PK.

Updated Conference Betting Record:


Bet: Odds: Stake: Profit:
316018374-1
68 3:28pm 6-Aug-13 10-Aug-13 Soccer
Total Forest Green Rovers/Hyde FC (O 2.5 and 3) for Game. 108 50 54

316774477-1
90 2:07am 11-Aug-13 11-Aug-13 Soccer
Handicap Cambridge United (+0) vs Halifax Town for Game. -208 208 100


316789102-1
94 4:14am 11-Aug-13 11-Aug-13 Soccer
Handicap Cambridge United (-1) vs Halifax Town for Game.
[Live! 1-1] -120 -120 120 100


317037688-1
109 2:41pm 12-Aug-13 13-Aug-13 Soccer
Handicap Braintree Town (+0) vs Woking for Game. -131 131 100


317038817-1
110 3:11pm 12-Aug-13 13-Aug-13 Soccer
Handicap Lincoln City (+0) vs Macclesfield Town for Game. -170 55 32.35


317039219-1
111 3:17pm 12-Aug-13 13-Aug-13 Soccer
Handicap Aldershot Town (+0) vs Dartford FC for Game. -152 76 50


317039219-2
112 3:17pm 12-Aug-13 13-Aug-13 Soccer
Handicap Alfreton Town vs Kidderminster Harriers (+0) for Game. -180 90 -90


317119785-1
114 1:06pm 13-Aug-13 13-Aug-13 Soccer
Total Alfreton Town/Kidderminster Harriers (O 2.5 and 3) for Game.
[Live! 2-0] -156 -156 78 50


319247077-1
172 6:01am 26-Aug-13 26-Aug-13 Soccer
1H Total Alfreton Town/Hereford United (O 1) for 1st Half. -111 55.5 50
319247483-1


173 6:05am 26-Aug-13 26-Aug-13 Soccer
1H Total Nuneaton Town/Kidderminster Harriers (O 1) for 1st Half. -126 63 Cancelled
319247904-1


174 6:10am 26-Aug-13 26-Aug-13 Soccer
Handicap Chester vs Forest Green Rovers (+0) for Game. -151 75.5 50


320064810-1
205 0:47am 31-Aug-13 31-Aug-13 Soccer
1H Total Forest Green Rovers/Alfreton Town (O 1) for 1st Half. -118 118 100


321319167-1
7 0:32am 7-Sep-13 7-Sep-13 Soccer
1H Total Braintree Town/Forest Green Rovers (O 1) for 1st Half. -112 56 50


321319425-1
8 0:35am 7-Sep-13 7-Sep-13 Soccer
1H Total Hyde FC/Cambridge United (O 1) for 1st Half. -128 64 Cancelled


323331818-1
65 10:36am 17-Sep-13 17-Sep-13 Soccer
1H Total Hyde FC/Woking (O 1) for 1st Half. -114 57 -57


323331818-2
66 10:36am 17-Sep-13 17-Sep-13 Soccer
1H Total Tamworth/Kidderminster Harriers (O 1) for 1st Half. -120 60 Cancelled


323331818-3
67 10:36am 17-Sep-13 17-Sep-13 Soccer
1H Total Welling United/Forest Green Rovers (O 1) for 1st Half. -121 60.5 50


323332749-1
68 10:42am 17-Sep-13 17-Sep-13 Soccer
Handicap Salisbury City (+0) vs Braintree Town for Game. -115 57.5 Cancelled


323976213-1
75 2:59pm 20-Sep-13 21-Sep-13 Soccer
Total Aldershot Town/Wrexham (O 2) for Game. -172 86 Cancelled


323976213-2
76 2:59pm 20-Sep-13 21-Sep-13 Soccer
Handicap Alfreton Town (+0) vs Barnet for Game. -101 50.5 50

323976213-3
77 2:59pm 20-Sep-13 21-Sep-13 Soccer
Handicap Braintree Town (+0) vs Southport for Game. -181 90.5 50

323976213-4
78 2:59pm 20-Sep-13 21-Sep-13 Soccer
Handicap Cambridge United (+0) vs Forest Green Rovers for Game. -117 58.5 50


327988492-1
21 6:11am 8-Oct-13 8-Oct-13 Soccer
Handicap Alfreton Town (+0) vs Chester for Game. -199 99.5 -99.5

327988492-2
22 6:11am 8-Oct-13 8-Oct-13 Soccer
Handicap Hyde FC vs Gateshead (+0) for Game. -165 82.5 50

327988492-3
23 6:11am 8-Oct-13 8-Oct-13 Soccer
Handicap Kidderminster Harriers (+0) vs Forest Green Rovers for Game. -141 70.5 50

327988579-1
24 6:13am 8-Oct-13 8-Oct-13 Soccer
1H Total Braintree Town/Welling United (O 1) for 1st Half. -114 57 50

327988579-2
25 6:13am 8-Oct-13 8-Oct-13 Soccer
1H Total Kidderminster Harriers/Forest Green Rovers (O 1) for 1st Half. -130 130 100

328284622-1
3 6:27am 10-Oct-13 12-Oct-13 Soccer
Handicap Gateshead (+0) vs Alfreton Town for Game. -168 715.5 425



Total staked: £2,915.50
Total profit: £1364.85

28 plays: 20 winners (71.43%), 5 pushes (17.86%), and 3 losses (10.71%)...

[xauwatroi]

Decent profit Vaughany. Been checking out this thread but haven't had time to follow. I start now though. Thanks in advance for your good picks and BOL.

[Vaughany]

Decent profit Vaughany. Been checking out this thread but haven't had time to follow. I start now though. Thanks in advance for your good picks and BOL.

Cheers, I don't recommend blindly tailing me, Im on a good run but that won't last much longer!

[Vaughany]

Locking this one in before Monday:

Jong Ajax PK @ +111 at home to Fortuna Sittard...

Initially Fortuna received a lot of betting action because the Jong Ajax Coach was saying that he wanted the game moved to Wednesday because he wouldnt have any players available due to a lot of the young players being called up for International duty. But now 1st team Coach Frank De Boer has said that 1st team players Schone, Hoesen, Veltman, Serero, and Sana will be in the team for the game. Also, Fortuna haven't won a game away from home yet, and have only scored 1 goal in last 5 games (losing 3, drawing 2) so are not in the best of form.

The significant players that will be missing due to internationals/injuries (and are the reason why the Coach wanted the game moved to Wednesday) are: GK van der Hart (6 apps), RB Tete (8 apps), CB Ligeon (6 apps), Sporkslede (9 apps, 1 goal), DM Enoh (4 apps), CM Klaassen (6 apps, 1 goal), CM Lobotka (8 apps, 1 goal), and AM Andersen (2 apps, 3 goals).

My guess at the starting line-up would be:

GK - Leeuwenburgh (2 apps)
LB - Kuipers (6 apps)
CB - Veltman (2 apps, 1 goal)
CB - Gravenberch (8 apps)
RB - Martina (4 apps)
CDM - Bazoer (5 apps)
CM - Schone (7 apps, 1 goal for Ajax 1st team)
LAM - Serero (2 apps), (6 apps, 2 goals for Ajax 1st team)
RAM - Sana (3 apps), (4 apps for Ajax 1st team)
AM - Meleg (9 apps, 3 goals)
CF - Hoesen (1 app), (5 apps, 1 goal for Ajax 1st team)

Then you've got Marinkovic (3 apps), El Hasnnaoui (5 apps), De Bondt (1 app), Hendriks (5 apps), Castillion (3 apps, 1 goal), Lazic (6 apps, 1 goal), and Honer (4 apps) to choose from as well.

Best odds available now for Jong Ajax PK are +105, but most sites at -105 to -115 range.
Other positive news is that Fortuna's best midfielder Ramon Vorn who scored 5 goals in 30 appearances last season isn't back from injury yet. Also defender Turan (20 apps last season) isn't yet fit.

[xauwatroi]

Used to play American soccer but not anymore. Hey I don't see Jong Ajax on 5dimes

[Vaughany]

They might not have it until day of game (tomorrow) as it's not a major league unfortunately. Only be available on the Euro sites, and higher limit sites like Pinnacle, SBOBet etc...