Johon 10/11

[Tommy_de1st]

If there was mob money it will be some killing

[PickApprentice]

Sigh, so the information was wrong? People lost out on big time!

[latinrus]

Terek - Anzhi 1-2!For now Anzhi winning but I think this could end in a draw also is somehow Terek manage to score.

Edit: As I was writing 3-1 for Anzhi, I think the game is done Anzhi will surely win!

[Tommy_de1st]

Anzhi are playing with one man advantage. The odds on away team right before tha game were 1.20

[JOHON8]

In regards to the Russian games. Anzhi which dropped from 5.80 to 1.6 won the game 3-1. Don't know much about the Tomsk game maybe it was a draw fix, who knows. But the main point here is that Anzhi got the help they needed to win the game from behind. all the action and line dropping wasn't for no reason on a team so low in the table who needed points.

Not looking like a good day for my actual bets.

[JOHON8]

England Championship
NOTTINGHAM FOREST vs QPR
NFOREST / PK&-0.5 / 2.08 / 2units HALF LOSS 0-0

-First time betting against QPR, they got lots of missing players hope that helps Forest.

Italy Serie B
Reggina PK&-0.5 / 1.94 / 1 unit HALF LOSS 1-1
piacenza DNB 2.01 / 1.5 units LOSS 1-2

-injuries


Check out Tradersbet's thread, the following plays he guided me to them. Look at his thread for info, also check out the club websites/other sites for info for yourself.

http://forum.sbrforum.com/soccer-handicapping/775663-tradersbet-just-profit.html

Swiss Challenge League
stade nyonnais - lugano
Lugano/ ML 1.61 / 2 units PENDING FOR TOMORROW

Ekstraklasa
Polonia warsaw - Ruch
Polonia / ML 1.82 / 1unit WIN 3-1

1-2-1
-2.18

Every loss by 1 goal... that's all it takes sometimes when you bet on weak teams to beat depleted favorites. Had a bad feeling about today, on to tomorrow.

soccer record
26-24-4.5
+37.85

[JOHON8]

Swiss Challenge League
stade nyonnais - lugano
Lugano/ ML 1.61 / 2 units

1-0-0
+1.22
FT: 1-0

Sticking with the ML worked out, the -1 wasn't available anyways in Betfair.

soccer record
27-24-4.5
+39.07

[JOHON8]

Just starting to look at games.

1 sure bet Saturday lol... Anzhi vs Saturn Moscow draw, it's probably already gone off the boards and if not it dropped from 2.4 to 1.5 in some remaining books.

[JOHON8]

Early bet for Saturday Villarreal vs Valencia, I think this line drops a lot before kick off.

Villarreal ML 2.08 (2x)

I'm looking at LDU vs Independiente and that -1 line is like 1.6. Perfect game to bet live, wait a couple minutes to see if high altitude is affecting Inde, if it is and LDU looks good might make a play, otherwise I know Inde can keep the 1st leg tight and pull out a draw since that's what they love to do.

[Netprofit]

good serious work ...

[TurkzZ]

Independiente may be missing there keeper who would be a big miss, but i tink there waiting till as late as possible on that call

[TurkzZ]

...he will be playing

[Tommy_de1st]

John, how about Villa/Valencia Over?

[JOHON8]

John, how about Villa/Valencia Over?

My thinking is that Villarreal will dominate this game. The only reason they didn't draw Barca 1-1 was because of Messi. They got Nilmar and Rossi who are scoring goals for them.

Valencia is not good away from home, they are missing Cesar and a few other defenders I hear. Who knows mayeb over hits but I think Villarreal scores more than Valencia if it happens so I'll take their ML.

[JOHON8]

Sunday: Botafogo vs Internacional

Botafogo ML 1.63 (5x)

the handicap line was removed, doubt it will be back up since the word on the reserves came out.

[JOHON8]

Sevilla -1 2.09 (2x)

14 goals and 4 wins in the last 4 games for Sevilla, Mallorca not good on the road. They'll be missing their winger Capel and I think another guy is questionable but Sevilla are on a roll with most of their players involved in attacks. They got a pretty easy schedule ahead let's just hope they don't get complacent.

[Tommy_de1st]

I hate Sevilla this season and i promised myself to fade them. After couple of bad performances they seem to pick up their games.

Bol on this play John

[JOHON8]

I hate Sevilla this season and i promised myself to fade them. After couple of bad performances they seem to pick up their games.

Bol on this play John

Hard to fade them at home. They only lost 3 times this season in Liga and those were all away from home. IMO Spain is a league where home teams have a big advantage, reason why I'm fading Atletico and Barca on the handicaps.

[JOHON8]

League Two: Shrewsbury vs Southend

Shrewsbury ML 1.91 (5x)

Serious issues at Southend, injuries, fatigue and financial problems.

[JOHON8]

League Two: Shrewsbury vs Southend

Shrewsbury ML 1.91 (5x)

Serious issues at Southend, injuries, fatigue and financial problems.

Upgrading this with another 5 units, gonna trust League 2 with a dime. I don't advise anyone to do what I'm doing, but this is the way I play.

adding 5 units: Shrewsbury ML 1.91 (10x)

[JOHON8]

Chamionship: Derby vs Scunthorpe

Derby -0.5&-1 1.84 (5x)

[JOHON8]

Grosseto -0.5&-1 2.14 (1x)
Sassuolo -0.5&-1.0 2.08 (1x)

-2 of the worst teams in Serie B.

[jordigs]

Sevilla -1 2.09 (2x)

14 goals and 4 wins in the last 4 games for Sevilla, Mallorca not good on the road. They'll be missing their winger Capel and I think another guy is questionable but Sevilla are on a roll with most of their players involved in attacks. They got a pretty easy schedule ahead let's just hope they don't get complacent.

Take care with Mallorca. They've won on Valencia field, and draw against Barça and Madrid (this one on her stadium).

[JOHON8]

Germany 3rd League
FC Heidenheim v Burghausen - Over 2.5 goals 1.87 (1.5x)

Eredivisie
Groningen ML 1.94 (1x)

J League
G-Osaka PK 1.88 (2x)

Russia Premier (2nd last week of league, lots of politics going on)
Anzhi vs FC Saturn Moscow
Correct Score 1-1 2.46 (.5x)
Correct Score 0-0 4.1 (.5x)

-I think the under at 1.4 or draw at 1.5 is a sure bet but not gonna risk it, too shady

Kryliya vs Dinamo Moscow
Correct Score 2-1 3.3 (.5x)

-Can't risk Kryliya ML at 1.47.

Rubin Kazan vs Zenit
Rubin ML 1.62 (2x)

Zenit already won the league. Rubin wants CL spot. Zenit not sending a lot of players to Rubin. Not gonna trust this with more than 2 bills, Zenit is still a great team with some honor at least I think.

[Tommy_de1st]

What a big card you just released John. Best of luck mate

[JOHON8]

What a big card you just released John. Best of luck mate

Thanks you too.

[Vreston]

BOL on your plays today!

[JOHON8]

I should gone at least 5 units on G-Osaka with the info I had. I had no idea Endo was part of that team and he scored, this guy was amazing in the WC for Japan.

[latinrus]

I agree with Rubin I think they'll win. Zenit will rest players.

I'm looking also the CSKA - Spartak over.

BOL

[svenodds]

BOL today

[Tommy_de1st]

Zenit are playing with some pride

[Tommy_de1st]

Btw, both Kazan and CSKA are losing at HT. Any 2nd half thoughts?

[JOHON8]

Btw, both Kazan and CSKA are losing at HT. Any 2nd half thoughts?

Yeah wait till FT.

[JOHON8]

I got greedy with Shrewsbury and it cost me. Derby won though so that cuts the -10 in half. Just gonna wait what happens in the other games and play live. Derby, Osaka, these are the teams that took advantage of weak missing players.

[latinrus]

Villareal being a joke today at home!