Astros Vasas - Toronto Croatia (0-1 25' ) O1.5 1st half @ 2.00; 1u
Drama's picks
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JohndramaSBR Sharp
- 04-27-13
- 479
#351Comment -
JohndramaSBR Sharp
- 04-27-13
- 479
#352chicago red stars W - boston breakers W (1-0 72' ) O1.5 @ 1.9; 1.1uComment -
JohndramaSBR Sharp
- 04-27-13
- 479
#353Rosenborg 2 - Mo ( 0-0 7') 1H O1.5 @ 2.00; 1u
Sweden - Faroe Islands; -4.5 @ 2.85; 1uComment -
JohndramaSBR Sharp
- 04-27-13
- 479
#355Sandviken W - Arna-Bjornar W ( 0-0 15') Over 1 1stHalf @ 1.9; 1.1uComment -
JohndramaSBR Sharp
- 04-27-13
- 479
#356Fk fortuna - Rtu FC (0-1 29') O1.5 1h @ 1.9; 1.1uComment -
JohndramaSBR Sharp
- 04-27-13
- 479
#357Alright, its time to resurrect this shit. So I've finished the regular season with ~-10 units, my little project involving betting on e-sports came to an end ( the scene is too young and is not ready, some team was busted with fixing a game for a profit of 322$ - R O F L ).
One of my mistakes was betting on too many games and had too many pregame bets. I still believe there is more profit to be made on live betting than on pregame betting so I'll stick to that.
I've been experimenting with a system that is based on a martingale betting system and what I do is pick some games that I consider to be heavy over favorites ( statistics, or I observe the game to see if it's action packed ) and then there are two stages to the betting system: over in the 1st half and on the 2nd half -> I pick the over 0.5; over 0.75; or the over 1.0 ( never the 1.25-1.5 ) in an attempt to win 1u ( or w/e the unit size will be for that game ). If it's successful I stop, if it's not then we move to the 2nd half with the over 1.5/1.75/2.0 line and I double the unit size in order to win what I lost in the 1st half + the unit I should've won in the 1st half.
Sometimes I jump directly to the 2nd half if I couldn't grab the 1st half ( no line available or bad odds ) or skip it even if the 1st half is a loss ( no action, bad odds, spider sense, etc ).
Had mixed results with the system, I came just slightly into profit and most often I do not pull the trigger into the 2nd half because the game looked dead in the 1st or I do not pull the trigger in the 1st because the game looks dead.
I mostly target the U19,20,21 games or the women matches ( the jailbait chicas from the islandic divisions always pull the over ).
We'll see how this goes, maybe I'll lift the curse and jump off the fadetrain.Comment -
AkatanaSBR MVP
- 05-05-13
- 1307
#358Welcome back, Good to see you back John!Comment -
stemellorSBR Wise Guy
- 03-22-13
- 631
#359Welcome back. Didn't think you could stay away for long!Comment -
JohndramaSBR Sharp
- 04-27-13
- 479
#3607/5/2013
Alright let's see how this goes:
1. Lechia Gdansk - Chojnice 1H O 0.75 12' @ 1.9Comment -
AkatanaSBR MVP
- 05-05-13
- 1307
#361Seems solid IMOComment -
JohndramaSBR Sharp
- 04-27-13
- 479
#3622. Ruch Chorzow O 0.5 1H 18' @ 1.9Comment -
JohndramaSBR Sharp
- 04-27-13
- 479
#363Really thought about taking lechia on the system and chase the over 1.5 in the 2nd half but didn't like it, good thing as it ended 1-0Comment -
JohndramaSBR Sharp
- 04-27-13
- 479
#3643. Valerenga 2 O 0.75 28' @ 1.9Comment -
JohndramaSBR Sharp
- 04-27-13
- 479
#3654. Lechia Gdansk O 0.5 19' @ 1.88 1HComment -
JohndramaSBR Sharp
- 04-27-13
- 479
#367Rijeka - Koper 20', Rijeka to lead at half-time @ 1.98Comment -
JohndramaSBR Sharp
- 04-27-13
- 479
#368Superb failure like always. Good to know the fade train is still on trackComment -
JohndramaSBR Sharp
- 04-27-13
- 479
#369Feeling so good after some success with the teriyaki boys this morning I'm bringing this shit thread up again for some quality fade picks.
I'll do some overs in the 1st half with some friendly games I got my eye on, but till then I'll take chelsea with the bangkok boys, and go with the over 1.5 in the 1st half @ 2.1 ( 0-0 9' )
Regarding the champions league, the sligo game screams draw to me, so I'll throw 1 cow @ 3.25Comment -
AkatanaSBR MVP
- 05-05-13
- 1307
#370Bol Mr John! good that you got this fade train up n running again! I'm first on board here as always lol j.k
But you know you're not supposed to trust the English team's with the cows you won from Japan!Comment -
JohndramaSBR Sharp
- 04-27-13
- 479
#371yeah but I like chelsea, and with arsenal leading 3-0 at HT figured they would want to top that ( dumb fukc logic right there ).
Alright, next one : ural - cska O 0.5 @ 2.00 ( 0-0 21' )Comment -
AkatanaSBR MVP
- 05-05-13
- 1307
#372Comment -
JohndramaSBR Sharp
- 04-27-13
- 479
#373bol buddy, but it takes more than luck to stop the fade train muahah.
can't let chelsea get away, taking the over 2.75 @ 1.9 ( 1-0 51' ) lukaku owes me for that m.united gameComment -
AkatanaSBR MVP
- 05-05-13
- 1307
#374ahaha!! Bol too. hope chelsea does this against the Bangkok ladyboy-allstars
Edit: Looks like the bangkok ladyboy's have sold their spots to a bunch of different players from different nationalities lol, and chelsea are struggling in this game it's so much of an exhibition they don't care. I hope the all-stars beat them.Comment -
JohndramaSBR Sharp
- 04-27-13
- 479
#375ugly game.
Holland women - Iceland W Over 0.75 1H @ 1.9 ( 0-0 12' ) 1 cowComment -
JohndramaSBR Sharp
- 04-27-13
- 479
#377Rijeka - Prestatyn O1.5 1stHalf @ 1.9; 2 cowsComment -
JohndramaSBR Sharp
- 04-27-13
- 479
#378Tartu SK 10 - JK Tulevik Over 1.5 (0-0 45' ) @ 1,95; 1 cowComment -
JohndramaSBR Sharp
- 04-27-13
- 479
#379Levadia - Kuressare Over 0.75 ( 0-0 70' ) @ 1.95; 1 cowComment -
JohndramaSBR Sharp
- 04-27-13
- 479
#382St Pauli - Munich 1860 Over 0.75 1H ( 0-0 7' ) @ 1.9Comment -
AkatanaSBR MVP
- 05-05-13
- 1307
#384In-play D.Zagreb v Zadar over 2.5 @ 1.87 34" 0-0Comment -
JohndramaSBR Sharp
- 04-27-13
- 479
#385just 1, been fukced by the germans a lot so I'm taking this one slowly. Gl with the croatians, wanted to make a 1st half bet on the over, good thing I didn't like it in the endComment
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