Drama's picks

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  • Johndrama
    SBR Sharp
    • 04-27-13
    • 479

    #351
    Astros Vasas - Toronto Croatia (0-1 25' ) O1.5 1st half @ 2.00; 1u
    Comment
    • Johndrama
      SBR Sharp
      • 04-27-13
      • 479

      #352
      chicago red stars W - boston breakers W (1-0 72' ) O1.5 @ 1.9; 1.1u
      Comment
      • Johndrama
        SBR Sharp
        • 04-27-13
        • 479

        #353
        Rosenborg 2 - Mo ( 0-0 7') 1H O1.5 @ 2.00; 1u
        Sweden - Faroe Islands; -4.5 @ 2.85; 1u
        Comment
        • stemellor
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 03-22-13
          • 631

          #354
          Originally posted by Johndrama
          Rosenborg 2 - Mo ( 0-0 7') 1H O1.5 @ 2.00; 1u
          Sweden - Faroe Islands; -4.5 @ 2.85; 1u
          Nice work with the Mo game.
          Comment
          • Johndrama
            SBR Sharp
            • 04-27-13
            • 479

            #355
            Sandviken W - Arna-Bjornar W ( 0-0 15') Over 1 1stHalf @ 1.9; 1.1u
            Comment
            • Johndrama
              SBR Sharp
              • 04-27-13
              • 479

              #356
              Fk fortuna - Rtu FC (0-1 29') O1.5 1h @ 1.9; 1.1u
              Comment
              • Johndrama
                SBR Sharp
                • 04-27-13
                • 479

                #357
                Alright, its time to resurrect this shit. So I've finished the regular season with ~-10 units, my little project involving betting on e-sports came to an end ( the scene is too young and is not ready, some team was busted with fixing a game for a profit of 322$ - R O F L ).

                One of my mistakes was betting on too many games and had too many pregame bets. I still believe there is more profit to be made on live betting than on pregame betting so I'll stick to that.

                I've been experimenting with a system that is based on a martingale betting system and what I do is pick some games that I consider to be heavy over favorites ( statistics, or I observe the game to see if it's action packed ) and then there are two stages to the betting system: over in the 1st half and on the 2nd half -> I pick the over 0.5; over 0.75; or the over 1.0 ( never the 1.25-1.5 ) in an attempt to win 1u ( or w/e the unit size will be for that game ). If it's successful I stop, if it's not then we move to the 2nd half with the over 1.5/1.75/2.0 line and I double the unit size in order to win what I lost in the 1st half + the unit I should've won in the 1st half.
                Sometimes I jump directly to the 2nd half if I couldn't grab the 1st half ( no line available or bad odds ) or skip it even if the 1st half is a loss ( no action, bad odds, spider sense, etc ).
                Had mixed results with the system, I came just slightly into profit and most often I do not pull the trigger into the 2nd half because the game looked dead in the 1st or I do not pull the trigger in the 1st because the game looks dead.
                I mostly target the U19,20,21 games or the women matches ( the jailbait chicas from the islandic divisions always pull the over ).
                We'll see how this goes, maybe I'll lift the curse and jump off the fadetrain.
                Comment
                • Akatana
                  SBR MVP
                  • 05-05-13
                  • 1307

                  #358
                  Welcome back, Good to see you back John!
                  Comment
                  • stemellor
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 03-22-13
                    • 631

                    #359
                    Welcome back. Didn't think you could stay away for long!
                    Comment
                    • Johndrama
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 04-27-13
                      • 479

                      #360
                      7/5/2013

                      Alright let's see how this goes:

                      1. Lechia Gdansk - Chojnice 1H O 0.75 12' @ 1.9
                      Comment
                      • Akatana
                        SBR MVP
                        • 05-05-13
                        • 1307

                        #361
                        Seems solid IMO
                        Comment
                        • Johndrama
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 04-27-13
                          • 479

                          #362
                          2. Ruch Chorzow O 0.5 1H 18' @ 1.9
                          Comment
                          • Johndrama
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 04-27-13
                            • 479

                            #363
                            Really thought about taking lechia on the system and chase the over 1.5 in the 2nd half but didn't like it, good thing as it ended 1-0
                            Comment
                            • Johndrama
                              SBR Sharp
                              • 04-27-13
                              • 479

                              #364
                              3. Valerenga 2 O 0.75 28' @ 1.9
                              Comment
                              • Johndrama
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 04-27-13
                                • 479

                                #365
                                4. Lechia Gdansk O 0.5 19' @ 1.88 1H
                                Comment
                                • Johndrama
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 04-27-13
                                  • 479

                                  #366
                                  Originally posted by Johndrama
                                  4. Lechia Gdansk O 0.5 19' @ 1.88 1H
                                  Chasing -> 2H O 1.5 @ 1.9
                                  Comment
                                  • Johndrama
                                    SBR Sharp
                                    • 04-27-13
                                    • 479

                                    #367
                                    Rijeka - Koper 20', Rijeka to lead at half-time @ 1.98
                                    Comment
                                    • Johndrama
                                      SBR Sharp
                                      • 04-27-13
                                      • 479

                                      #368
                                      Superb failure like always. Good to know the fade train is still on track
                                      Comment
                                      • Johndrama
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 04-27-13
                                        • 479

                                        #369
                                        Feeling so good after some success with the teriyaki boys this morning I'm bringing this shit thread up again for some quality fade picks.

                                        I'll do some overs in the 1st half with some friendly games I got my eye on, but till then I'll take chelsea with the bangkok boys, and go with the over 1.5 in the 1st half @ 2.1 ( 0-0 9' )
                                        Regarding the champions league, the sligo game screams draw to me, so I'll throw 1 cow @ 3.25
                                        Comment
                                        • Akatana
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 05-05-13
                                          • 1307

                                          #370
                                          Bol Mr John! good that you got this fade train up n running again! I'm first on board here as always lol j.k

                                          But you know you're not supposed to trust the English team's with the cows you won from Japan!
                                          Comment
                                          • Johndrama
                                            SBR Sharp
                                            • 04-27-13
                                            • 479

                                            #371
                                            yeah but I like chelsea, and with arsenal leading 3-0 at HT figured they would want to top that ( dumb fukc logic right there ).

                                            Alright, next one : ural - cska O 0.5 @ 2.00 ( 0-0 21' )
                                            Comment
                                            • Akatana
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 05-05-13
                                              • 1307

                                              #372
                                              Originally posted by Johndrama
                                              yeah but I like chelsea, and with arsenal leading 3-0 at HT figured they would want to top that ( dumb fukc logic right there ).

                                              Alright, next one : ural - cska O 0.5 @ 2.00 ( 0-0 21' )
                                              Unlucky with stupid Chelsea, and well done with CSKA i took them -1 @ 1.70 pre-game Bol
                                              Comment
                                              • Johndrama
                                                SBR Sharp
                                                • 04-27-13
                                                • 479

                                                #373
                                                bol buddy, but it takes more than luck to stop the fade train muahah.

                                                can't let chelsea get away, taking the over 2.75 @ 1.9 ( 1-0 51' ) lukaku owes me for that m.united game
                                                Comment
                                                • Akatana
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 05-05-13
                                                  • 1307

                                                  #374
                                                  ahaha!! Bol too. hope chelsea does this against the Bangkok ladyboy-allstars
                                                  Edit: Looks like the bangkok ladyboy's have sold their spots to a bunch of different players from different nationalities lol, and chelsea are struggling in this game it's so much of an exhibition they don't care. I hope the all-stars beat them.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Johndrama
                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                    • 04-27-13
                                                    • 479

                                                    #375
                                                    ugly game.

                                                    Holland women - Iceland W Over 0.75 1H @ 1.9 ( 0-0 12' ) 1 cow
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Akatana
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 05-05-13
                                                      • 1307

                                                      #376
                                                      Originally posted by Johndrama
                                                      ugly game.

                                                      Holland women - Iceland W Over 0.75 1H @ 1.9 ( 0-0 12' ) 1 cow
                                                      Nice bet man!
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Johndrama
                                                        SBR Sharp
                                                        • 04-27-13
                                                        • 479

                                                        #377
                                                        Rijeka - Prestatyn O1.5 1stHalf @ 1.9; 2 cows
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Johndrama
                                                          SBR Sharp
                                                          • 04-27-13
                                                          • 479

                                                          #378
                                                          Tartu SK 10 - JK Tulevik Over 1.5 (0-0 45' ) @ 1,95; 1 cow
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Johndrama
                                                            SBR Sharp
                                                            • 04-27-13
                                                            • 479

                                                            #379
                                                            Levadia - Kuressare Over 0.75 ( 0-0 70' ) @ 1.95; 1 cow
                                                            Comment
                                                            • onemoregoal
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 02-04-13
                                                              • 8149

                                                              #380
                                                              Originally posted by Johndrama
                                                              Tartu SK 10 - JK Tulevik Over 1.5 (0-0 45' ) @ 1,95; 1 cow
                                                              good cow
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Johndrama
                                                                SBR Sharp
                                                                • 04-27-13
                                                                • 479

                                                                #381
                                                                Originally posted by onemoregoal
                                                                good cow
                                                                a big titty one.

                                                                VPS- MYPA Over 2.5 ( 1-1 70' ) @ 2.00; 1cow
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Johndrama
                                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                                  • 04-27-13
                                                                  • 479

                                                                  #382
                                                                  St Pauli - Munich 1860 Over 0.75 1H ( 0-0 7' ) @ 1.9
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Akatana
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 05-05-13
                                                                    • 1307

                                                                    #383
                                                                    Originally posted by Johndrama
                                                                    St Pauli - Munich 1860 Over 0.75 1H ( 0-0 7' ) @ 1.9
                                                                    How many cows for this one?
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Akatana
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 05-05-13
                                                                      • 1307

                                                                      #384
                                                                      In-play D.Zagreb v Zadar over 2.5 @ 1.87 34" 0-0
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Johndrama
                                                                        SBR Sharp
                                                                        • 04-27-13
                                                                        • 479

                                                                        #385
                                                                        just 1, been fukced by the germans a lot so I'm taking this one slowly. Gl with the croatians, wanted to make a 1st half bet on the over, good thing I didn't like it in the end
                                                                        Comment
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