Parlay: Atletico vs Barcelona & Chelsea vs Villa - BTTS
2.5 units @ 3.0 on Coral
Comment
stemellor
SBR Wise Guy
03-22-13
631
#387
22 August
Parlay: Europa League Qualifiers:
Estoril ML, Udinese ML, Swansea ML & Salzburg vs Zalgiris O2.5
2 units @ 3.59 on Ladbrokes
Comment
stemellor
SBR Wise Guy
03-22-13
631
#388
Originally posted by stemellor
Parlay: Tampines Rovers ML, Balestier Khalsa DNB (both Singapore S League) & Guangzhou Evergrande ML (ACL)
1 unit @ 4.4 on Paddy Power
Originally posted by stemellor
Parlay: Atletico vs Barcelona & Chelsea vs Villa - BTTS
2.5 units @ 3.0 on Coral
1-1 today and +4 units
Comment
stemellor
SBR Wise Guy
03-22-13
631
#389
Originally posted by stemellor
Parlay: Europa League Qualifiers:
Estoril ML, Udinese ML, Swansea ML & Salzburg vs Zalgiris O2.5
2 units @ 3.59 on Ladbrokes
0-1 today -2 units
Overall record: 74.5-76-8.5. +25.8 units
Comment
stemellor
SBR Wise Guy
03-22-13
631
#390
23 August
Parlay: Borussia Dortmund ML, Monaco ML, Heerenveen vs Ajax O2.5 & Lokomotiva vs Zadar O2.5
2 units @ 4.03 on Paddy Power
Comment
vasilli07
SBR MVP
05-08-11
3955
#391
Damn Udinese!!!
Comment
stemellor
SBR Wise Guy
03-22-13
631
#392
Originally posted by vasilli07
Damn Udinese!!!
I know. Really didn't see them losing this after such good results in the last round. Liberec are a decent team, but not in the same class as Udinese.
Comment
vasilli07
SBR MVP
05-08-11
3955
#393
Originally posted by stemellor
I know. Really didn't see them losing this after such good results in the last round. Liberec are a decent team, but not in the same class as Udinese.
I just read the match report.
Udinese’s frustration was palpable, as they notched up 14 corners to 0 and 27 shots on goal to seven, not to mention hitting the woodwork three times.
Comment
stemellor
SBR Wise Guy
03-22-13
631
#394
Originally posted by vasilli07
I just read the match report.
Ah, good to know, thanks. Decent pick, just unlucky by the sounds of things. Worth checking Liberec's next few games. They were hot at the end of last season and they look on a decent run again now
Comment
stemellor
SBR Wise Guy
03-22-13
631
#395
Originally posted by stemellor
Parlay: Borussia Dortmund ML, Monaco ML, Heerenveen vs Ajax O2.5 & Lokomotiva vs Zadar O2.5
2 units @ 4.03 on Paddy Power
-2 units for today
Comment
stemellor
SBR Wise Guy
03-22-13
631
#396
24 August
Parlay: All Japan J1 - Sanfrecce ML, Albirex Niigata vs Frontale O2.5 & Iwata vs Tokyo O2.5 3 units @ 4.09 on Coral
Japan J1 - Yokohama F Marinos ML 2 units @ 2.5 on Pinny
Comment
stemellor
SBR Wise Guy
03-22-13
631
#397
24 August
Latvia Virsliga - Ventspils ML To win 1 unit @ 1.95 on Sportingbet
England League 2 - Burton Albion ML 2 units @ 2.16 on Pinny
Parlay: Both England League 2 - Burton Albion ML & Northampton ML 1 unit @ 4.73 on Bet365
Comment
stemellor
SBR Wise Guy
03-22-13
631
#398
Originally posted by stemellor
Parlay: All Japan J1 - Sanfrecce ML, Albirex Niigata vs Frontale O2.5 & Iwata vs Tokyo O2.5 3 units @ 4.09 on Coral
Japan J1 - Yokohama F Marinos ML 2 units @ 2.5 on Pinny
Originally posted by stemellor
Latvia Virsliga - Ventspils ML
To win 1 unit @ 1.95 on Sportingbet
England League 2 - Burton Albion ML
2 units @ 2.16 on Pinny
Parlay:
Both England League 2 - Burton Albion ML & Northampton ML
1 unit @ 4.73 on Bet365
Bad day yesterday -7 units. Ventspils the only winner
1-4
Comment
stemellor
SBR Wise Guy
03-22-13
631
#399
25 August
Brazil Serie A: Atletico Mineiro vs Portuguesa U2.5 goals @ 2.0 on Coral. 2.5 units
Parlay: Bahia ML (Brazil Serie A), Barcelona ML, Atletico Madrid ML & River Plate vs Colon U2.5 (Argentina Primera Division) 2.5 units @ 4.64 on Bet 365
Comment
stemellor
SBR Wise Guy
03-22-13
631
#400
Originally posted by stemellor
Brazil Serie A: Atletico Mineiro vs Portuguesa U2.5 goals @ 2.0 on Coral. 2.5 units
Parlay: Bahia ML (Brazil Serie A), Barcelona ML, Atletico Madrid ML & River Plate vs Colon U2.5 (Argentina Primera Division) 2.5 units @ 4.64 on Bet 365
0-2 -5 units. Injury time goal in Brazil and a late goal in the the River game sends both games over
Overall record: 75.5-83-8.5. +11.8 units
Comment
stemellor
SBR Wise Guy
03-22-13
631
#401
26 August
BTTS Parlay: Man Utd vs Chelsea & Aab vs Midtylland
3.5 units @ 2.59 on Ladbrokes
Comment
stemellor
SBR Wise Guy
03-22-13
631
#402
Originally posted by stemellor
BTTS Parlay: Man Utd vs Chelsea & Aab vs Midtylland
3.5 units @ 2.59 on Ladbrokes
0-1 yesterday. -3.5 units
Comment
stemellor
SBR Wise Guy
03-22-13
631
#403
27 August
Parlay: Kaizer Chiefs ML (South Africa PL) & NOB ML (Argentina Inicial) 2.5 units @ 2.94 on Betsson (better odds available here, but they changed from 3.23 just as I was submitting)
Bayern Munich to win to nil 1 unit @ 2.15 on Ladbrokes
Comment
stemellor
SBR Wise Guy
03-22-13
631
#404
14 September
Brazil Serie B:
Sport vs Figueirense. New manager for Sport, who is training the team with an emphasis on defence. Sport shouldn't have problems going forwards with Marcos Aurelio in the team. As long as they can concentrate at the back I think they should win this.
1 unit on Sport ML @ 1.8 on Sportingbet
Comment
stemellor
SBR Wise Guy
03-22-13
631
#405
18 September
Quick parlay for tonight:
Slovan Bratislava ML, Chelsea ML, Barca ML & Orlando Pirates ML
1 unit @ 2.36 on Paddy Power
Comment
stemellor
SBR Wise Guy
03-22-13
631
#406
21 September
Sweden Allsvenskan: Kalmar vs Gefle Draw @ 3.4 on Bet365. 0.3 units risk
Spain Primera: Almeria vs Levante Levante +0.5 @ 2.08 on 188Bet. 0.5 units risk
Comment
stemellor
SBR Wise Guy
03-22-13
631
#407
22 September
Japan J-League: Cerezo Osaka vs Kashiwa Reysol Cerezo Osaka DNB @ 1.5 on William Hill. 2 unit risk
Kashiwa played mid-week in the ACL and will play again on Wednesday against Guangzhou Evergrande in the same competition. Kashiwa have very little to play for in J League now and will surely concentrate all their efforts on the ACL. Influential playmaker Leandro Domingues will surely not be risked because of a hip problem with Wednesday in mind.
Cerezo can push on towards third in the league and ACL qualification next year with 3 points tomorrow. Cerezo have an excellent defence, it's just goals that they are struggling for a bit at the moment, but I reckon this is a perfect opportunity for them to win against an opposition that may not be fully focused.
I've taken the DNB option just as cover as Cerezo have drawn their last 4 J League games, although 3 of these have been away from home.
Comment
stemellor
SBR Wise Guy
03-22-13
631
#408
A quick summary over the last couple of weeks:
Originally posted by stemellor
Parlay: Kaizer Chiefs ML (South Africa PL) & NOB ML (Argentina Inicial) 2.5 units @ 2.94 on Betsson (better odds available here, but they changed from 3.23 just as I was submitting)
Bayern Munich to win to nil 1 unit @ 2.15 on Ladbrokes
Both losses
Originally posted by stemellor
Brazil Serie B:
Sport vs Figueirense. New manager for Sport, who is training the team with an emphasis on defence. Sport shouldn't have problems going forwards with Marcos Aurelio in the team. As long as they can concentrate at the back I think they should win this.
1 unit on Sport ML @ 1.8 on Sportingbet
Win
Originally posted by stemellor
Quick parlay for tonight:
Slovan Bratislava ML, Chelsea ML, Barca ML & Orlando Pirates ML
1 unit @ 2.36 on Paddy Power
Loss
Originally posted by stemellor
Sweden Allsvenskan: Kalmar vs Gefle Draw @ 3.4 on Bet365. 0.3 units risk
Spain Primera: Almeria vs Levante Levante +0.5 @ 2.08 on 188Bet. 0.5 units risk
Both wins
Originally posted by stemellor
Japan J-League: Cerezo Osaka vs Kashiwa Reysol Cerezo Osaka DNB @ 1.5 on William Hill. 2 unit risk
Kashiwa played mid-week in the ACL and will play again on Wednesday against Guangzhou Evergrande in the same competition. Kashiwa have very little to play for in J League now and will surely concentrate all their efforts on the ACL. Influential playmaker Leandro Domingues will surely not be risked because of a hip problem with Wednesday in mind.
Cerezo can push on towards third in the league and ACL qualification next year with 3 points tomorrow. Cerezo have an excellent defence, it's just goals that they are struggling for a bit at the moment, but I reckon this is a perfect opportunity for them to win against an opposition that may not be fully focused.
I've taken the DNB option just as cover as Cerezo have drawn their last 4 J League games, although 3 of these have been away from home.
Push
Overall summary: 78.5-87-9.5. +6.3 units
Comment
stemellor
SBR Wise Guy
03-22-13
631
#409
26 September
Serie A: Inter vs Fiorentina
Over 2.5 goals @ 1.85 on Ladbrokes. 1 unit risk
Comment
stemellor
SBR Wise Guy
03-22-13
631
#410
29 September
Parlay: Boca Juniors ML & Stoke vs Norwich U2.5
1 unit @ 2.82 on 188Bet
Comment
stemellor
SBR Wise Guy
03-22-13
631
#411
4 October
Argentina Primera Division: Argentinos Juniors vs Belgrano Argentinos Juniors DNB @1.91 on 188Bet. 1 unit risk
Comment
stemellor
SBR Wise Guy
03-22-13
631
#412
13 October
Argentina Primera Division: Velez vs Olimpo Velez -0.75 @ 1.84 on 188Bet
Odds look generous here as Olimpo have been poor away from home this season and H2H at Velez have seen 6 wins out of 7 for Velez. Dominguez is out suspended, but apart from that Velez have a full squad.
Comment
stemellor
SBR Wise Guy
03-22-13
631
#413
Overall summary: 80.5-89-9.5. +7 units
Hi all, I'm back after a long break. I have a couple of plays for today.
EPL: Crystal Palace vs Liverpool I think Liverpool will win this one, but the odds on them doing so look too short for me. Sturridge should return tonight, but it's not clear if he's 100% match fit and the nerves are bound to set in here for Liverpool with City winning. Tony Pulis won't allow his side to just be beaten tonight and Selhurst Park can be a tough place to go to. Just Dikgachoi as a question mark for Palace, although he has been important in their recent good form.
I have Liverpool with a c.45% chance of winning and I think they will sneak a nervy 1 goal victory.
Taking Crystal Palace +1.5 AH @ 2.02 on Marathonbet, 1 unit risk
Sweden Allsvenskan: Falkenbergs vs Gefle Falkenbergs don't really look like a top tier team and have a very small squad.
Falkenbergs Injuries are Zlatan Krizanovic (cruciate ligament), Matteo Blomqvist-Zampi (cruciate ligament), Godsway Donyoh (knee) and only have 1 recognised striker.
Gefle have no injuries and suspensions and play with a full squad.
Neither side are in good form, but I have Gefle with a c.45% chance of winning which make the odds appealing here.
Taking Gefle with the DNB insurance at @ 2.10 on Marathonbet, 1 unit risk
Comment
stemellor
SBR Wise Guy
03-22-13
631
#414
Not quite how I saw the Liverpool game playing out, but a win and a push today.
Japan J-League: Kashima Antlers vs Nagoya Grampas
Antlers are fighting to go to the top of the J League and have a full squad to chose from where as Grampas are losing players every week. 10 players are listed as doubtful or unavailable for tomorrow's game:
i think Antlers can win comfortably here.
Taking Antlers -1 AH @ 2.20 on Marathonbet, 1 unit risk
Japan J-League 2: Shonan Bellmare vs Tochigi
Shonan have won all 10 J2 league games this year. Tochigi have a good away record, but I think Shonan are a class above anyone they have played so far.
Taken Shonan -1 AH @ 1.90 on 188Bet, risking to win 1 unit
Comment
stemellor
SBR Wise Guy
03-22-13
631
#415
Originally posted by stemellor
Not quite how I saw the Liverpool game playing out, but a win and a push today.
Japan J-League: Kashima Antlers vs Nagoya Grampas
Antlers are fighting to go to the top of the J League and have a full squad to chose from where as Grampas are losing players every week. 10 players are listed as doubtful or unavailable for tomorrow's game:
i think Antlers can win comfortably here.
Taking Antlers -1 AH @ 2.20 on Marathonbet, 1 unit risk
Japan J-League 2: Shonan Bellmare vs Tochigi
Shonan have won all 10 J2 league games this year. Tochigi have a good away record, but I think Shonan are a class above anyone they have played so far.
Taken Shonan -1 AH @ 1.90 on 188Bet, risking to win 1 unit
All square with the last 4 bets 1 win, 2 pushes and a loss.
Comment
stemellor
SBR Wise Guy
03-22-13
631
#416
Swiss Challenge League: Wil 1900 vs Locarno
This is just based on numbers (form and previous H2H) as I can't find any team info. I have Wil winning by 2 goals at around even odds. The odds have dropped too far on the straight win as I have them at around 65% of winning, but the -1.5 AH is still +ev. Locarno should be fighting to stay in the league, but have been heavily beaten recently away by the 2 teams above them. Unless there are any significant team changes then this has value.
Taken Wil -1.5 AH @ 2.20 on Marathonbet. 1 unit risk.
Sweden Allsvenskan: Hacken vs Brommapojkarna Team news:
Hacken Suspended: Walid Atta Injuries / unavailable: Alexander Jeremejeff (foot)
Brommapojkarna Injuries / unavailable: Andreas Eriksson (cruciate ligament)
Hacken should be able to win this game comfortably as they should match up well. I have Hacken winning by 2 goals at around even odds.
Taken Hacken @ 2.19 on 188Bet. 1 unit risk.
Swiss Super League: Grasshoppers vs St Gallen
Grasshoppers without captain Salatic suspended and Ben Khalifa injured. St Gallen with a long list of absentees. The motivation and form is all with Grasshoppers as they are still playing to catch Basel for the title. St Gallen are in a safe mid-table position.
I have Grasshoppers with a c.65% change of winning, so there is a small amount of value in this line.
Taken Grasshoppers to win @ 1.57 on Coral. Risking 1 unit.
Comment
stemellor
SBR Wise Guy
03-22-13
631
#417
Two wins and a loss from the last 3 games, but Hacken needed a 92nd minute goal to win by 2 clear goals. +0.76 units
Overall record 83.5-91-11.5. +7.76 units
Comment
onemoregoal
SBR Hall of Famer
02-04-13
8149
#418
doesnt matter how u win em dude
Comment
stemellor
SBR Wise Guy
03-22-13
631
#419
Originally posted by onemoregoal
doesnt matter how u win em dude
Yeah, nice to be on the right side of injury time goals. I see you've been killing it in your thread since I've been away.
Comment
stemellor
SBR Wise Guy
03-22-13
631
#420
Swiss Challenge League: Lausanne vs Thun Thun ML @ 1.83 on Coral. 1 unit risk
Romania Liga 1: Pandurii vs Viitorul Constanta Viitorul Constanta +0.5 AH @ 1.93 on Pinny. 1 unit risk
Sweden Allsvenskan: Orebro vs Falkenberg Orebro ML @ 1.70 on Marathonbet. 1 unit risk.