Totally. totally, totally agree.
Been saying this since puberty.
Comment
KVB
SBR Aristocracy
05-29-14
74817
#66891
Comment
KVB
SBR Aristocracy
05-29-14
74817
#66892
I took the San Diego Padres.
My only concern with this early season game is that the Padres were underdogs briefly here. While the public pressure may have swayed the opener to be what it is, the books had to have known market moving money would come to San Diego.
I have an early season prediction that takes into account historical early seasons and some relevant early season year to year metrics. It has San Diego winning 3-2 so I took them right away. That's the "sharp" line here.
So the books drew money on the initial dog then drew further public support on Colorado when they flashed to the dog.
The books could have made this game a pick em from the start but instead wanted to draw in more early season action.
So the "sharp" line shows a 5 point game and the the public gauge show San Diego winning 4-3, a 7 point game. With all the attention being attracted to the winner and the bets being drawn in perhaps the Total is being overlooked.
The line has moved towards the both San Diego and the UNDER, consistent with my prediction but not necessarily consistent with the tickets sold, according to my information. We may have two instances of reverse line movement but it may be tough to win both bets.
Instead of a parlay, I took them individually.
Put them in the contest as well...
San Diego -105MLB[General] 04/02/18 10:10 PM ET
Colorado vs San Diego Under 8 (-114)MLB[General] 04/02/18 10:10 PM ET
Good Luck.
Comment
DiggityDaggityDo
SBR Aristocracy
11-30-08
81450
#66893
Originally posted by KVB
Nice form.
GL KVB
Comment
turtledoves
SBR MVP
08-27-17
3398
#66894
how do you gain insights into the probability of a team winning from a model which has two continuous output variables?
Comment
stevenash
Moderator
01-17-11
65461
#66895
Originally posted by turtledoves
how do you gain insights into the probability of a team winning from a model which has two continuous output variables?
Find a quarter, flip aforementioned quarter in the air.
Heads, take home team, tails take road team.
Comment
turtledoves
SBR MVP
08-27-17
3398
#66896
not the hall of fame advice i was looking for
Comment
turtledoves
SBR MVP
08-27-17
3398
#66897
Colorado vs San Diego Under 8 (-114)MLB[General]
over is the play
Comment
stevenash
Moderator
01-17-11
65461
#66898
Originally posted by turtledoves
not the hall of fame advice i was looking for
Great Hall of Fame class this year.
Comment
Fidel_CashFlow
SBR Aristocracy
12-03-12
53970
#66899
Good luck KVB
umm Turtledoves, no comment on ur play but I hope ur in good health
Comment
Fidel_CashFlow
SBR Aristocracy
12-03-12
53970
#66900
I went with over 28 Hits + Runs +Errors in Rangers vs A’s game
Comment
KVB
SBR Aristocracy
05-29-14
74817
#66901
Good Luck Cash!
I also took the Dodgers, managed to get them in the contest too.
3-0 first inning lead...
Comment
KVB
SBR Aristocracy
05-29-14
74817
#66902
Originally posted by turtledoves
...over is the play
Maybe, I think it will be tough to get the UNDER and the Padres, and I do like the Padres here.
Originally posted by turtledoves
how do you gain insights into the probability of a team winning from a model which has two continuous output variables?
Let me get back to this question. There might be some debate with this answer, or more than one answer.
Michigan led early and now it's over for them. They will get worn down and Nova SHOULD get a much deserved National Champunship.
Because they are Champuns.
Comment
Fidel_CashFlow
SBR Aristocracy
12-03-12
53970
#66903
Hhhmmmm
Comment
Fidel_CashFlow
SBR Aristocracy
12-03-12
53970
#66904
Colon out here throwing 86 mph “fastballs”
Comment
Fidel_CashFlow
SBR Aristocracy
12-03-12
53970
#66905
Originally posted by KVB
Maybe, I think it will be tough to get the UNDER and the Padres, and I do like the Padres here.
Let me get back to this question. There might be some debate with this answer, or more than one answer.
Michigan led early and now it's over for them. They will get worn down and Nova SHOULD get a much deserved National Champunship.
Because they are Champuns.
Nova is who I picked to win it all before tournament started
I didn’t bet it , but did mention it , which means nothing
Comment
Fidel_CashFlow
SBR Aristocracy
12-03-12
53970
#66906
And two hard hit balls against Colon go for nothing
dude is soooo lucky , throws batting practice stuff and gets away with it
I guess if ur ugly , might as well be lucky
Comment
KVB
SBR Aristocracy
05-29-14
74817
#66907
Comment
Fidel_CashFlow
SBR Aristocracy
12-03-12
53970
#66908
86 mph fastball
my god
Comment
KVB
SBR Aristocracy
05-29-14
74817
#66909
Originally posted by Fidel_CashFlow
Nova is who I picked to win it all before tournament started
I didn’t bet it , but did mention it , which means nothing
Nova turning out to be one of the more solid programs and this year's team one of the more solid teams we've seen in possibly decades.
Tremendous what they've done this season.
Comment
Fidel_CashFlow
SBR Aristocracy
12-03-12
53970
#66910
Originally posted by KVB
it’s prolly having that face and body launch towards you throws the hitters focus off
must feel like Halloween every pitch
Comment
Fidel_CashFlow
SBR Aristocracy
12-03-12
53970
#66911
Originally posted by KVB
Nova turning out to be one of the more solid programs and this year's team one of the more solid teams we've seen in possibly decades.
Tremendous what they've done this season.
+ Lakerboi is on Michigan
you always gotta factor that in
Comment
Fidel_CashFlow
SBR Aristocracy
12-03-12
53970
#66912
Comment
DiggityDaggityDo
SBR Aristocracy
11-30-08
81450
#66913
Anybody going to bang hot, wet puss tonight?
I’n not.
Well, I don’t think I am.
Comment
DiggityDaggityDo
SBR Aristocracy
11-30-08
81450
#66914
Originally posted by Fidel_CashFlow
Comment
Fidel_CashFlow
SBR Aristocracy
12-03-12
53970
#66915
Originally posted by DiggityDaggityDo
Anybody going to bang hot, wet puss tonight?
I’n not.
Well, I don’t think I am.
Not only am I not going to
but I also gotta work all alone in a huge scary building all night
Comment
Fidel_CashFlow
SBR Aristocracy
12-03-12
53970
#66916
Originally posted by DiggityDaggityDo
that chick looks like it could be Jay Leno’s daughter
Comment
DiggityDaggityDo
SBR Aristocracy
11-30-08
81450
#66917
Originally posted by Fidel_CashFlow
Not only am I not going to
but I also gotta work all alone in a huge scary building all night
Fidels, how many beers are you pounding before work tonight?
Comment
Fidel_CashFlow
SBR Aristocracy
12-03-12
53970
#66918
None
Not feeling up to par tonight
Comment
KVB
SBR Aristocracy
05-29-14
74817
#66919
Originally posted by DiggityDaggityDo
Anybody going to bang hot, wet puss tonight?
I’n not.
Well, I don’t think I am.
Probably not. Wife says I need to recover still from last week's RF in the neck.
I'm still hurting a bit but I beg to differ, likely to no avail...