The Seer's 2012 NCAAF & NFL thread

**BankingwithBA** · 01-13-13, 11:32 AM

[QUOTE=DirtyBird1500;17467118]So what was that again?[/QUO
what I meant was I can see why u love SF so much.. KAPERNICK!

**The Seer** · 01-13-13, 12:50 PM

Originally posted by The Seer

Seattle +3 -120 1 unit

I'm still sticking with the small play on Seattle due to what I think are match up problems for the Atlanta offense vs the Sea defense mainly in the secondary. Atlanta was one of two teams in the playoffs that are negative in yards per play differential (Atl, Indy). They actually give up more yards per play on defense than they gain on offense, -.12. Sea has the third best, +.71. However, I do believe the long back to back road trips will have a negative affect early again this week giving Sea a slow start & Atl will come out firing trying to get the playoff monkey off of their backs. Therefore, I think this warrants an Atl 1st qtr bet.
1st qtr Atl -1/2 -105 1 unit
GL

**Joe Sharp** · 01-13-13, 12:53 PM

Seattle / Under??

**The Seer** · 01-13-13, 01:06 PM

Originally posted by Joe Sharp

Seattle / Under??

lean under but no play for me

**The Seer** · 01-13-13, 02:42 PM

adding:
2nd half Sea -3 -110 1 unit
GL

**DirtyBird1500** · 01-13-13, 02:43 PM

Originally posted by The Seer

adding:
2nd half Sea -3 -110 1 unit
GL

Not a bad idea at all. This game is far from over...

**Joe Sharp** · 01-13-13, 03:43 PM

Pats? Texans? Over? Under?

Heading into the game, Seer! Hammered... need the play!!! Hahaha.

Go Pats!!!!!!!!!

**Watrat24** · 01-13-13, 03:55 PM

Originally posted by Joe Sharp

Pats? Texans? Over? Under?

Heading into the game, Seer! Hammered... need the play!!! Hahaha.

Go Pats!!!!!!!!!

Lol you better be hammered if your at the game! Go Pats!

**BIoodhound** · 01-13-13, 03:57 PM

he already posted the play was NE -9.5 2 units

**Watrat24** · 01-13-13, 03:57 PM

What do we like for the game boys?

**The Seer** · 01-13-13, 03:58 PM

Originally posted by The Seer

NFL
Taking a close look at the Texans reveals some significant things to consider when wagering on their upcoming game. I can make a clear case that this version of the Texans is worse than the one that went in to the wk 14 NE game and got beaten by 4 TDs. I think that game damaged this team beyond repair especially offensively. Since then, the Hou offense put up 29 vs Indy but that includes 5 fgs & 1 punt block TD. The lone offensive TD was a 3 yd pass. They scored 6 pts vs Minny (2 fgs). In the next game at Indy, they had a Foster TD and 2 fgs. Versus Cincy, Hou had 1 Foster TD & 4 fgs. In the Cincy game, Dalton missed on 3 different would-be TD passes to let Hou go to the next round. Shaub has clearly regressed and Andy Dalton is no Tom Brady. I see no reason to believe this next game will be much different. NE will shut down Foster (held to 46 yds in their last meeting). Brady will force Shaub to keep pace and this will lead to turnovers. Shaub had 0 TD passes in their last meeting. In fact, he has 1 TD pass in his last 5 games, the lone 3 yarder.
FYI: After yesterday's game, one of the best QBs in cold weather, Aaron Rodgers now has 44 TDs & 10 ints in games below 40 degrees. The other best one IMO is Tom Brady.
New England -9 1/2 -105 2 units

I will also be looking at Hou team total under & Shaub vs Brady most TD passes. GL

Gronk didn't play in the last game either. This is what I have left & am sticking with. Hou will open up the playbook today so I'm hoping Bill doesn't stay conservative.

**The Seer** · 01-13-13, 04:05 PM

Atlanta= biggest choke team ever
glad they donated to the Seer fund
I think Sea goes to the SB

**frostie** · 01-13-13, 04:08 PM

You like the over in NE game ?

**The Seer** · 01-13-13, 04:08 PM

maybe they win afterall, still won't cover though

**The Seer** · 01-13-13, 04:08 PM

Originally posted by frostie

You like the over in NE game ?

I lean it but will probably wait and play it on an in game, GL

**The Seer** · 01-13-13, 04:11 PM

SF will open up as a small road fave less than a fg. I'll be on SF at Atl.

**The Seer** · 01-13-13, 04:20 PM

adding:
more TD passes Brady -215 1 i unit
Shaub 1 TD pass in last 5 games, think it's worth it here

**DirtyBird1500** · 01-13-13, 04:43 PM

Originally posted by The Seer

maybe they win afterall, still won't cover though

I love it Seer. I had ATL -1 from when it first got released. Knew this would be a tight game. Glad we were both able to cash and my boys live to play another week!

**Bostongambler** · 01-13-13, 04:45 PM

He could/should of had one there.

**The Seer** · 01-13-13, 06:19 PM

small play
2nd half Hou/NE over 26 -110 1/2 unit

**BIoodhound** · 01-13-13, 07:59 PM

great work another solid night

**The Seer** · 01-13-13, 08:02 PM

Originally posted by BIoodhound

great work another solid night

thanks sir, it got a little close with some Hou garbage time but very thankful for the 6-0 day

**tblues2005** · 01-13-13, 08:08 PM

Good Job the seer. The faders a losing their butts. I say good!! That's what they get for doing that to someone that is a good handicapper.

**The Seer** · 01-13-13, 08:11 PM

Originally posted by tblues2005

Good Job the seer. The faders a losing their butts. I say good!! That's what they get for doing that to someone that is a good handicapper.

thanks blues, hope you did well
GL next week

**BIoodhound** · 01-13-13, 08:19 PM

Originally posted by The Seer

thanks sir, it got a little close with some Hou garbage time but very thankful for the 6-0 day

6-0 day i've come to expect nothing less from the seer :P

**Joe Sharp** · 01-14-13, 02:56 PM

Oh Man, I have the biggest head ache... and my throat is killing me. Thanks for the $$, Seer.

**tblues2005** · 01-14-13, 04:57 PM

Originally posted by The Seer

thanks blues, hope you did well
GL next week

I did alright this weekend and I hope the last 3 games are good for you also.

**The Seer** · 01-14-13, 06:34 PM

SF -3 -150 2 units
Gonna lay it here. We have one team who was just happy to get a playoff win vs another team whose mission is the Superbowl or bust.
SF has a +1.4 yards per play differential & Atlanta is actually in the negative at -.2. Kaepernick is going to do a little more damage with his legs & the 49ers won't be as jet lagged. A 1 seed hasn't been this big of a home dog in NFC Ch game in 30 years. I'm rolling with the 49ers.

Also, leaning Balt as well.

**tblues2005** · 01-14-13, 06:45 PM

I agree the seer totally here. I can almost put this game as my lock of the playoffs.

**BIoodhound** · 01-15-13, 12:51 AM

seer are u predicting the 49ers line will keep moving in the current direction? also Tennessee + 12 tomorrow is NCAAB play

**cards2013** · 01-15-13, 11:30 AM

Niners gonna win by a TD, easy money
GL

**The Seer** · 01-15-13, 06:13 PM

Originally posted by BIoodhound

seer are u predicting the 49ers line will keep moving in the current direction? also Tennessee + 12 tomorrow is NCAAB play

I doubt it ever stays over 4. There will be buy back. Guys that got it on 3 will be trying to middle. I was willing to pay to be on 3 even if it was a little much.

Originally posted by cards2013

Niners gonna win by a TD, easy money
GL

hope so but I never say easy

**The Seer** · 01-15-13, 06:40 PM

adding:
SF/ATL over 48 1/2 -110 1 unit
SF, seen as an under team, has been an over machine since Kaepernick took over including 5 straight. If he can outplay Aaron Rodgers, I fully expect him to outplay Matt Ryan. Crabtree has been playing at a pro bowl level & Frank Gore is being Frank Gore. I expect them to dictate the scoring pace in the game.
C. Woodson,"“We couldn’t stop him"

http://www.jsonline.com/blogs/sports/186682281.html

Aaron Rodger, "We knew we were probably going to have to put up 38 points at least to win the game."

http://www.jsonline.com/blogs/sports/186655081.html

**BIoodhound** · 01-15-13, 06:48 PM

Thanks for the info seer ill prob wait on the line to move back down. Also u lean balt r u waiting on a certain number?

**The Seer** · 01-15-13, 07:04 PM

Originally posted by BIoodhound

Thanks for the info seer ill prob wait on the line to move back down. Also u lean balt r u waiting on a certain number?

I like 10 but I'm not as confident in Balt so don't really want to pay for it