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Florida will win 38-30 finalComment -
Bama is the King of College Football! Roll Tide HatersComment -
Put your 42 units on Bama -9.5Comment -
Fla sucks are they playing for. A suck team sec of the year? The dumbest teamComment -
Alabama fans wouldn't see it of course but coming into this game Florida had played a tougher schedule. Besides LSU, A&M, & Georgia like Bama played, they also played SCar & FSU. I had them rated higher on defense which is why I had them rated higher than Bama. Clearly they weren't ready to play tonight and I was wrong about this game but this is one game and I'm doing fine even if I was wrong on this one. On to the next one. Saying that is laughable is also laughable. That's easy to say now.Comment -
Florida was the proper play...you just didn't know they wouldn't show up. Louisville looks like they are playing on crack and everyone knows "you can't catch no crackhead"
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Either way, it's not the first I've been wrong on nor will it be the last. I just try to be right more than wrong.
Tomorrow night I'll be on Kst & the under. I'm just waiting to see if the line climbs a little first.Comment -
Think it has any chance of getting to 10? I've been waiting to take KState as well, but just don't think it'll get there. Either way I'll take 9 if it comes down to it.Comment -
I'm not going to take the chance it goes lower. I went ahead and bet it. Before last year's 45-38 victory over Wisconsin, Chip Kelly was 0-2 in bowls scoring 22 & 26 points in losing both games to good run defenses and mobile QBs. I think this game goes more like those. Kst has Klein & allows less than 100 yds rushing yds per game.
Fiesta Bowl
KState +8 1/2 -110 1 unit (Bovada)
Oreg/KSt under 74 -110 1 unit (DSI)
GLComment -
Good stuff Seer, thanks.Comment -
Down to 7.5 most places now. Would be surprised if it stays there for long.Comment -
Disagree, Bridgewater is a good....Very good QB. He has the accuracy. Bottom line is that Florida really didn't play often against pretty good QB's. SEC QB's are generally poor, I take my hat off to Louisville and will move on.
Good luck Seer, I like K-st also. This is an even matchup to me and I wouldn't be the least surprised to see K-St win it.
Total....just a head scratcher, but leaning that way since it is going to be quite competitive.Comment -
Cotton Bowl
Oklahoma +3 1/2 -120 1 unit
Compass Bowl
Ole Miss -3 -120 1 unit
Pitt/Miss over 54 -110 1 unit
GoDaddy.com Bowl
Kent St +4 -110 2 units
NFL
Balt -6 1/2 -115 2 units
Sea -3 even 1 unit
also leaning GBComment -
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With ya on OK again tonight Seer. Locked this one in a couple days ago for fear it would drop below 3. I swear if A&M scores on the first play of the game I might lose it...Comment -
Best of luck to you, but going with Pitt tomorrow. Like Green Bay also. Will take the under 43 for Cincy and Houston and a small wager on Cincy for Sat. Best of luck to you SeerComment -
GL to you too CM
adding for Sat NFL:
Cincy +4.5 -110 1 unit
GB -8 -110 1 unit
GB -2 & Balt -1 6 pt teaser -110 2 unitsComment -
Like Cinn myself today.
gl seerComment -
Like the tzr. for GB and Balt. That should be nice. What are your thoughts for Seattle/Wash tomorrow. That is a tough one.Comment -
very nice cfb season seer. you proved me wrong about working for the books with this season...ha (although I was kinda kidding) sorry I just wasnt on boards much last year and never heard of you and had never seen anyone with that many followers on these forums. combine that with end of bowl season last year and hope you understand why I had my suspicions.
best of luck this final ncaaf weekend and the remainder of nfl......im struggling with NFL this season too, its never easy, feel like theres some weekends when everything goes exactly as I thought and I think I got it down and then the next weekend everything goes miserably out of sorts......anyways to making a profitable thread.....
stay on the grind. love the money management skills you show as well
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thanks fellas & GL this weekend
1st Wild card game
a few tidbits here where there is a significant edge in prop betting
Shaub regressing, threw 1 TD pass & 3 picks last 4 games; Dalton threw a TD pass in 3 of last 4 games
Cincy has only given up 16 TD passes this year, Hou has given up 29: Cincy has thrown 28 TD passes on yr, Hou 22
The Cincy defense Has Not allowed more than 20 pts in the 2nd half of the season.
6 of 8 of those games they allowed 13 or fewer, Hou has given up 28, 23, 42 in 3 of last 4. Those were to playoff teams as well.
adding these bets to that game:
Hou team total points under 23 1/2 -105 1 unit
QB w/ more TD passes Dalton pick -115 1 unit
GLComment -
Hey Seer...where you been today?Comment -
All of my plays were listed in a few posts above and I didn't have any props to add today so I didn't have anything to post. I had 2 units on Balt & 2 on a Balt/GB teaser. I have 1 on Sea & 2 on Kent St at +4 but I am considering buying back 1 unit & taking Ast at -3.
GLComment -
Seer what do you like about kent st?>
I was thinking its a very favorable matchup for ARky STComment -
Archer is getting 9 yds a carry & KSt special teams are better. Both schools lost their head coaches but Hazell is coaching in this one. They should be the much more motivated. They have 1 bowl game in their history, no wins. Ark St was in this same bowl last year & this will be their 3rd change at head coach in 3 years. I've looked at it too much since I bet it. I started finding reasons not to but in the end I think I was right in my original analysis.Comment -
gl i stayed awayComment -
NFL
Taking a close look at the Texans reveals some significant things to consider when wagering on their upcoming game. I can make a clear case that this version of the Texans is worse than the one that went in to the wk 14 NE game and got beaten by 4 TDs. I think that game damaged this team beyond repair especially offensively. Since then, the Hou offense put up 29 vs Indy but that includes 5 fgs & 1 punt block TD. The lone offensive TD was a 3 yd pass. They scored 6 pts vs Minny (2 fgs). In the next game at Indy, they had a Foster TD and 2 fgs. Versus Cincy, Hou had 1 Foster TD & 4 fgs. In the Cincy game, Dalton missed on 3 different would-be TD passes to let Hou go to the next round. Shaub has clearly regressed and Andy Dalton is no Tom Brady. I see no reason to believe this next game will be much different. NE will shut down Foster (held to 46 yds in their last meeting). Brady will force Shaub to keep pace and this will lead to turnovers. Shaub had 0 TD passes in their last meeting. In fact, he has 1 TD pass in his last 5 games, the lone 3 yarder.
FYI: After yesterday's game, one of the best QBs in cold weather, Aaron Rodgers now has 44 TDs & 10 ints in games below 40 degrees. The other best one IMO is Tom Brady.
New England -9 1/2 -105 2 units
7 pt teaser NE -2 1/2 & Den -2 1/2 -130 2 units
Denver -9 1/2 -105 1 unit
Peyton Manning at home or Flacco on the road? here's Flacco's stats on road TY: Record 4-4, 7 TDs, 5 Ints, 74.9 QB Rating
Give me Manning and the best 3rd down defense in the league.
I will also be looking at Hou team total under & Shaub vs Brady most TD passes. GLComment -
good work this weekend seerComment -
Who are you feeling tonight in the bama nd match upComment
