The Seer's 2012 NCAAF & NFL thread

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  • groovybrandone
    SBR Sharp
    • 02-22-12
    • 456

    #1506
    cleveland is pk now

    edit. jk read it wrong, its pk +105, -1.5 -110
    Comment
    • Dexter
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 12-24-08
      • 25829

      #1507
      Originally posted by The Seer
      my NFL plays for early games:

      Clev +3 -120 2 units
      TBay -4 -110 1 unit
      Atl -9 1/2 -110 1 unit
      Dal +3 1/2 -115 2 units
      Det +3 1/2 -110 1 unit
      Mia -4 -120 2 units

      good night
      Did you ever track your plays like this in years past? I see you've been here since 2007 but don't recall seeing you before - then again i dont venture much into other thread esp in PT

      Good Luck today...
      Last edited by Dexter; 10-14-12, 12:04 PM.
      Comment
      • Dexter
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 12-24-08
        • 25829

        #1508
        Originally posted by DrStale
        Nobody feels even a little bit bad for this guy? I mean his life has to be pretty sad. To pick out basically the only successful capper and lay into him just reeks of feelings of inadequacy. I hope things turn around for you Daimo.
        cmon Dr. Stale - he cant be the "only" successful capper out there.
        Comment
        • groovybrandone
          SBR Sharp
          • 02-22-12
          • 456

          #1509
          darn, gotta sit cleveland out. lines arent moving back and its -190 for +3 lol. have them in a teaser though. gluck today yall and thanks for the picks seer
          Comment
          • The Seer
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 10-29-07
            • 10641

            #1510
            Season update through Sat 10/13/2012

            NCAAF
            includes sides & totals
            wk 1: 3-3, +2.70 units
            wk 2: 11-6, +10.05 units
            wk 3: 11-9, -.50 units
            wk 4: 16-15, +5.25 units
            wk 5: 22-9, +20.90 units
            wk 6: 21-12-1, +9.05 units
            wk 7: 14-14-1, -3.55 units ( I excluded the 2 unit win on Ark since not all books paid)
            NCAAF total year to date 98-68-2, +43.90 units

            NFL
            includes sides, totals, props
            wk 1: 6-9, -3.35 units
            wk 2: 6-4-1, +2.35 units
            wk 3: 14-7, +13.25 units
            wk 4: 13-11, -.15 units
            wk 5: 16-7, +8.20 units
            wk 6: 1-2, -1.10 units

            NFL total year to date 56-40-1, +19.20 units

            Grand total 154-108-3, +63.10 units
            Comment
            • jihadvillager
              SBR MVP
              • 11-25-11
              • 2134

              #1511
              Originally posted by The Seer
              Season update through Sat 10/13/2012

              NCAAF
              includes sides & totals
              wk 1: 3-3, +2.70 units
              wk 2: 11-6, +10.05 units
              wk 3: 11-9, -.50 units
              wk 4: 16-15, +5.25 units
              wk 5: 22-9, +20.90 units
              wk 6: 21-12-1, +9.05 units
              wk 7: 14-14-1, -3.55 units ( I excluded the 2 unit win on Ark since not all books paid)
              NCAAF total year to date 98-68-2, +43.90 units

              NFL
              includes sides, totals, props
              wk 1: 6-9, -3.35 units
              wk 2: 6-4-1, +2.35 units
              wk 3: 14-7, +13.25 units
              wk 4: 13-11, -.15 units
              wk 5: 16-7, +8.20 units
              wk 6: 1-2, -1.10 units

              NFL total year to date 56-40-1, +19.20 units

              Grand total 154-108-3, +63.10 units
              Thanks for the picks- most of the lines we locked in last night got worse this morning so it was good to have locked in a little early. Bol to us today!
              Comment
              • The Seer
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 10-29-07
                • 10641

                #1512
                Originally posted by jihadvillager
                Thanks for the picks- most of the lines we locked in last night got worse this morning so it was good to have locked in a little early. Bol to us today!
                I just decided to get the final work in late last night and felt like I knew which way the movement was going. GL to us.

                some notes on todays games that influenced my bets:
                Whichever team was favored in the last 25 games involving Dallas has only covered 4 times. Lines based on public perception seem to be spot on in their games. They are also historically a good bet off a bye. They still have the number 1 pass defense in the NFL which should prove too much for a QB like Flacco. I loved the match up of DWare & the Baltimore Oline.

                Atl wins at home. Smith is 30-13 as a fave. It was also about the ineptness of the raiders especially on the road where this year they have been beaten 21-3, 35-13, & 37-6. They have lost SU & AS their last 8 games out of the bye. I still hate big spreads though in the NFL.

                Detroit's Dline with Suh should have a field day vs Vick. Plus, I was taking anything over a fg as other than Philly's blowout loss to AZ all of their other games were decided by 2 points and 1 point.

                Clev outgained Cin when they played in week 2. The Bengals have only covered 3 of 16 as a fave and in this series the fave has only covered 1 of 10. They play close games. Cincy is perceived to be as good as they were last year but they're not.

                Miami has the number 1 rushing defense in the NFL and are tied for 3rd in interceptions which puts pressure on Bradford to make the plays. St L's 2 losses were on the road.
                Comment
                • falcon42
                  SBR Rookie
                  • 09-19-12
                  • 31

                  #1513
                  Here are my plays (with a lot of influence from your plays)

                  Rams/Dolphins OVER 38 (1.5u)
                  Dolphins -5.5 (2u)
                  Lions +3.5 (3u)
                  Cowboys +3 (2u) & 1 unit on ML
                  Raiders +10 (1.5u)
                  Browns +1.5 and ML (1 unit a piece)
                  Giants/49ers OVER 46.5 (2u)
                  Giants +6.5 (2u)
                  Cardinals -4 (1.5u)
                  Seahawks +3.5 (1.5u)
                  Chargers SU (1u)


                  the only one I am against you on is Raiders +10, and that is kind of by the reasoning that you stated not liking big NFL lines. I also think they get a few things fixed coming out of the bye.

                  Interested to see the rest of your plays this weekend, and thanks again for all the picks and insight
                  Comment
                  • The Seer
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 10-29-07
                    • 10641

                    #1514
                    Originally posted by falcon42
                    Here are my plays (with a lot of influence from your plays)

                    Rams/Dolphins OVER 38 (1.5u)
                    Dolphins -5.5 (2u)
                    Lions +3.5 (3u)
                    Cowboys +3 (2u) & 1 unit on ML
                    Raiders +10 (1.5u)
                    Browns +1.5 and ML (1 unit a piece)
                    Giants/49ers OVER 46.5 (2u)
                    Giants +6.5 (2u)
                    Cardinals -4 (1.5u)
                    Seahawks +3.5 (1.5u)
                    Chargers SU (1u)


                    the only one I am against you on is Raiders +10, and that is kind of by the reasoning that you stated not liking big NFL lines. I also think they get a few things fixed coming out of the bye.

                    Interested to see the rest of your plays this weekend, and thanks again for all the picks and insight
                    looks good
                    Comment
                    • briedward
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 03-24-12
                      • 982

                      #1515
                      Whew my under 19 first half cashed for STL/MIA thanks to two missed FGs by STL.
                      Comment
                      • tusky26
                        SBR Rookie
                        • 11-27-07
                        • 40

                        #1516
                        I think I got lucky with my local book. We live in Arkansas and he is honoring the play. Makes sense though. He would have a freakin' mutiny if he called it a no play with how they have been playing. SOOOO many people played them that I think he knows how much he would lose in futures if he didn't. honor it.
                        Comment
                        • Smutbucket
                          SBR MVP
                          • 03-14-08
                          • 3996

                          #1517
                          Originally posted by Dexter
                          Did you ever track your plays like this in years past? I see you've been here since 2007 but don't recall seeing you before - then again i dont venture much into other thread esp in PT

                          Good Luck today...
                          he had a thread last year. its not totaled up entirely. from what I saw he was up units before having a rough end of season.....-30units + in ncaaf, not sure how he finished NFL,

                          this was copy and pasted from his thread from last year.....dated 12/28/11 (before his 2-14 -27units bowl run)

                          update:
                          NCAAF total YTD: 163-146 for +21.4 units
                          separately NCAAF Bowl games are: 13-4-1 +10.4
                          the best part is the bowls are on a 11-1-1 run gaining +13 units
                          NFL YTD: 154-131 +25.6 units
                          football total YTD: 317-277-16 for +47 units
                          the past week and a half run is 30-10-2 for +33.5 units which is nice since the end is near

                          heres his thread:
                          http://forum.sbrforum.com/players-ta...hread-p33.html
                          Comment
                          • The Seer
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 10-29-07
                            • 10641

                            #1518
                            adding:
                            Seattle +4 -110 3 units
                            Arizona -5 -110 1 unit
                            Comment
                            • jihadvillager
                              SBR MVP
                              • 11-25-11
                              • 2134

                              #1519
                              Originally posted by The Seer
                              adding:
                              Seattle +4 -110 3 units
                              Arizona -5 -110 1 unit
                              Lets get it!we got backdoored on miami lets say a prayer for dallas but not keeping too many high hopes. Feel like the refs screwed the cowboys this most of this game.
                              Comment
                              • The Seer
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 10-29-07
                                • 10641

                                #1520
                                adding:
                                7 pt teaser SF pick & GB +10 -130 2 units
                                Comment
                                • groovybrandone
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 02-22-12
                                  • 456

                                  #1521
                                  best we couldve hoped for there on dal
                                  Comment
                                  • jihadvillager
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 11-25-11
                                    • 2134

                                    #1522
                                    Originally posted by The Seer
                                    adding:
                                    7 pt teaser SF pick & GB +10 -130 2 units
                                    love it. we got some love on dallas!
                                    Comment
                                    • moodyt2
                                      SBR Sharp
                                      • 11-04-09
                                      • 448

                                      #1523
                                      Come on Detroit!
                                      Comment
                                      • jihadvillager
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 11-25-11
                                        • 2134

                                        #1524
                                        nice morning session. would have been monster if we didnt get backdoored on Miami but still nice to make out with a decent profit!
                                        Comment
                                        • jihadvillager
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 11-25-11
                                          • 2134

                                          #1525
                                          seahawks need to give flynn a shot. wilson in a slump- that fumble NE 30 might have cost us the cover. tough luck
                                          Last edited by jihadvillager; 10-14-12, 05:37 PM.
                                          Comment
                                          • The Seer
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 10-29-07
                                            • 10641

                                            #1526
                                            only two plays for me tonight, gonna be out, GL

                                            Foster over 105 1/2 yds -115 1 unit
                                            Rogers under 285.5 yds -115 1 unit
                                            Comment
                                            • jihadvillager
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 11-25-11
                                              • 2134

                                              #1527
                                              Originally posted by The Seer
                                              only two plays for me tonight, gonna be out, GL
                                              Foster over 105 1/2 yds -115 1 unit
                                              Rogers under 285.5 yds -115 1 unit
                                              Thanks Seer- have a Good night!
                                              Comment
                                              • jihadvillager
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 11-25-11
                                                • 2134

                                                #1528
                                                cmon seattle. One time!
                                                Comment
                                                • groovybrandone
                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                  • 02-22-12
                                                  • 456

                                                  #1529
                                                  hell of a throw by wilson
                                                  Comment
                                                  • jihadvillager
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 11-25-11
                                                    • 2134

                                                    #1530
                                                    penetrate YEA! hell of a hit Seer.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • briedward
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 03-24-12
                                                      • 982

                                                      #1531
                                                      I'm happy to report I made up yesterday's loss with winning 100% today. So I can have a healthy bankroll to follow seer next Saturday. I bet 5 units under first half MIA/STL, 5 units DET spread, 10 units ML ATL (sweatfest), 5 units NYG ML (I believe in Eli, especially on the road). Wish I had bet more on NYG - I stared at second half ML for that game which was +230 but I didn't pull the trigger. My motto: lose big, win small.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • jihadvillager
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 11-25-11
                                                        • 2134

                                                        #1532
                                                        public on the over 2nite. no lean on the under Seer?
                                                        Comment
                                                        • tr4sh
                                                          SBR Sharp
                                                          • 09-06-12
                                                          • 311

                                                          #1533
                                                          Did Seahawks really pull that off? wow I stopped following when Pats had the ball in redzone up 13.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • jihadvillager
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 11-25-11
                                                            • 2134

                                                            #1534
                                                            Originally posted by tr4sh
                                                            Did Seahawks really pull that off? wow I stopped following when Pats had the ball in redzone up 13.
                                                            yeah brady picked, then seahawks ran it down to NE 30 and fumbled, then they stopped NE, then got and TD, then stopped NE then failed to score, then stopped NE again, and then Scored the winning TD.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • The Seer
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 10-29-07
                                                              • 10641

                                                              #1535
                                                              Originally posted by jihadvillager
                                                              public on the over 2nite. no lean on the under Seer?
                                                              Yes only because I found a 47 & I think Hou will grind it best they can & don't want to get in a shootout

                                                              GB/Hou under 47 -105 1 unit
                                                              Comment
                                                              • The Seer
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 10-29-07
                                                                • 10641

                                                                #1536
                                                                adding:
                                                                2nd half Hou -4 -110 1 unit
                                                                Comment
                                                                • tblues2005
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 07-30-06
                                                                  • 9235

                                                                  #1537
                                                                  Thanks The Seer.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Dexter
                                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                    • 12-24-08
                                                                    • 25829

                                                                    #1538
                                                                    Originally posted by Smutbucket
                                                                    he had a thread last year. its not totaled up entirely. from what I saw he was up units before having a rough end of season.....-30units + in ncaaf, not sure how he finished NFL,

                                                                    this was copy and pasted from his thread from last year.....dated 12/28/11 (before his 2-14 -27units bowl run)

                                                                    update:
                                                                    NCAAF total YTD: 163-146 for +21.4 units
                                                                    separately NCAAF Bowl games are: 13-4-1 +10.4
                                                                    the best part is the bowls are on a 11-1-1 run gaining +13 units
                                                                    NFL YTD: 154-131 +25.6 units
                                                                    football total YTD: 317-277-16 for +47 units
                                                                    the past week and a half run is 30-10-2 for +33.5 units which is nice since the end is near

                                                                    heres his thread:
                                                                    http://forum.sbrforum.com/players-ta...hread-p33.html


                                                                    thanks for the reply - i guess TheSeer is big time here in PT and has others reply for him....
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • jihadvillager
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 11-25-11
                                                                      • 2134

                                                                      #1539
                                                                      tough night game for us. thanks for the picks and get some rest Seer!
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • The Seer
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 10-29-07
                                                                        • 10641

                                                                        #1540
                                                                        Originally posted by jihadvillager
                                                                        tough night game for us. thanks for the picks and get some rest Seer!
                                                                        yep, 4-7 today,at least we hit the biggest one
                                                                        we'll see what we can't come up with for tomorrow
                                                                        Originally posted by Dexter

                                                                        [/B]thanks for the reply - i guess TheSeer is big time here in PT and has others reply for him....
                                                                        not sure what you mean but sometimes with all of the posts I miss a few when it's busy
                                                                        Last edited by The Seer; 10-14-12, 10:19 PM.
                                                                        Comment
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