Chiefs vs Eagles Super Bowl Picks

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  • SBR Andy
    Administrator
    • 02-09-22
    • 3511

    #36
    Chiefs vs Eagles rushing prop picks from SBR's Phillip Wood:

    Saquon Barkley Over 110.5 rushing yards (-110 FanDuel)

    "Barkley has rushed for at least 118 yards in five consecutive games, and he’s averaging nearly eight yards per carry in his last two. The Chiefs may have finished the year with the eighth-best rush defense, but that unit hasn't played well in the postseason for the Super Bowl odds favorites.

    James Cook ran for 85 yards and two touchdowns against them in the AFC Championship Game, and Joe Mixon finished with 88 yards during the divisional round. Both backs averaged at least 4.9 yards per carry.

    This number is set high, but Barkley has been playing incredibly well throughout the year. The only way he doesn’t hit the Over here is if the Chiefs jump out to a multi-score lead right away."


    Kareem Hunt Under 45.5 rushing yards (-110 bet365)

    "Hunt ran for 64 yards in the AFC Championship Game, his highest total since recording 68 against the Carolina Panthers on Nov. 24. While the performance is certainly a step in the right direction, I’m assuming the game was a fluke and not a sign of what's to come.

    The Eagles finished the regular season with the NFL's 10th-best rushing defense, allowing just 104.2 yards per game while giving up 4.3 yards per carry. And while Kyren Williams did run for over 100 yards in the divisional round, Philadelphia didn’t allow a single Washington Commanders running back to top 40 yards in the NFC Championship.

    Hunt has rushed for fewer than 46 yards in five of his last seven games. He’s also gone Under 70 yards in 10 consecutive outings, so his ceiling isn’t high enough to trust him under a spotlight like this."


    Patrick Mahomes Over 29.5 rushing yards (-110 FanDuel)

    "Mahomes has topped this number four times this year including the postseason. He ran for 43 yards in the AFC Championship, and he’s rushed at least seven times in both of Kansas City's playoff games this season. Additionally, the Super Bowl MVP odds favorite averaged 5.3 yards per carry during the regular season.

    It’s hard to fault a defense for giving up 48 rushing yards to Jayden Daniels, but the rookie quarterback hitting that number on just six carries is a bit alarming. If the Eagles bottle up Hunt, look for Mahomes to take what the defense gives him, just like Daniels.

    Three betting sites are setting this total at over 30 yards. Be sure to get in at FanDuel before the number goes up. One yard could be the difference between winning and losing this wager."
    Comment
    • klemopixx
      SBR MVP
      • 10-02-14
      • 3806

      #37
      Originally posted by DwightShrute
      QB: KC
      WR's: Push
      RB: Philly
      TE: KC
      K: KC
      Defence: Push/Philly
      Head Coach: KC
      Special Teams: KC
      Home Field: Push

      KC 30 Philly 28
      You forgot Offensive and Defensive lines which both favor Philly. KC is going to have to put 8 men in the box to stop Barkley and then you're talking single coverage on the outside. On the flip side Philly has been generating significant pressure with just four guys the entire playoffs and the secondary has been solid.


      Turnovers will dictate who wins this game but it's going to be a hard hitting battle. If Philly has a lead going into the fourth qtr, I don't see how KC stops that O-line from grinding out first downs to seal a win.
      Comment
      • Madison
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 09-16-11
        • 6435

        #38
        Originally posted by DwightShrute
        its even possible he could win the MVP and the Chiefs win the game.
        Has this even ever happened???
        Comment
        • Madison
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 09-16-11
          • 6435

          #39
          Originally posted by JIBBBY
          Hard to bet against the Chiefs. That's all I got to say about that.

          Philly D is tough though and force turn overs but Chiefs all year long have found a way to win in close games. KC ML bet for me.
          I like PHIL but one of my unwritten rules ... "Bet against Mahomes at your own risk".
          Comment
          • Madison
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 09-16-11
            • 6435

            #40
            Originally posted by JIBBBY
            QB play favors KC especially in big games. Coaching as well. Simple betting logic!
            Chix and egg. Brady/Belichik. Reid/Mahomes. We could have a whole other thread just on that.
            Comment
            • Madison
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 09-16-11
              • 6435

              #41
              Originally posted by DwightShrute
              I disagree with the saying that defense wins championships; the best team does. Both teams have strong defenses, and Chris Jones might be the top defensive player in the NFL.

              It'll be interesting to see if officiating becomes a major issue again after the game.
              2 things I'm thinking ... Jones impact or not and Barkley influence. I have a hunch PHI TE may have a big day. Thinking Brown/Smith put a lot of pressure on KC secondary. What's the Goddard o/u?? Might be the play?
              Comment
              • Madison
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 09-16-11
                • 6435

                #42
                Best Bet: Jalen Hurts Anytime TD (-105 BetMGM)

                "The only thing that's more of a guarantee than the Chiefs winning the Super Bowl is that one of Hurts' running backs or receivers will be tackled at the 1-yard line, and instead of any of them getting a second crack at finding the end zone, the quarterback will smash it in himself with a little help from his friends to cash this Super Bowl anytime touchdown scorer bet.

                Another interesting angle is that the Chiefs managed to stop nearly every single Josh Allen tush push in the AFC title game. I'm sure Hurts and the Eagles would love to remind NFL fans who, exactly, are the masters of yeeting their quarterback over the line.

                Hurts' TD projection is the highest of any player in the Super Bowl, and yet these -105 odds are still relatively fair after he scored three times against the Washington Commanders. I'm smashing this one."

                Kind of liking this one!!
                Comment
                • Madison
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 09-16-11
                  • 6435

                  #43
                  Originally posted by EddieMusher
                  Also teasing the Eagles and the under.
                  Like the tease but boy under in a national elongated (commercials) game is a tough one for me.
                  Comment
                  • SBR Andy
                    Administrator
                    • 02-09-22
                    • 3511

                    #44
                    Chiefs vs Eagles receiving prop picks from SBR's Brenden Schaeffer:


                    Travis Kelce Over 6.5 receptions (+130 Caesars)

                    DeAndre Hopkins Over 11.5 receiving yards (-110 BetMGM)

                    Dallas Goedert Over 50.5 receiving yards (-110 FanDuel)
                    Comment
                    • BHExchange
                      SBR High Roller
                      • 01-30-25
                      • 136

                      #45
                      Originally posted by Madison
                      Best Bet: Jalen Hurts Anytime TD (-105 BetMGM)

                      "The only thing that's more of a guarantee than the Chiefs winning the Super Bowl is that one of Hurts' running backs or receivers will be tackled at the 1-yard line, and instead of any of them getting a second crack at finding the end zone, the quarterback will smash it in himself with a little help from his friends to cash this Super Bowl anytime touchdown scorer bet.

                      Another interesting angle is that the Chiefs managed to stop nearly every single Josh Allen tush push in the AFC title game. I'm sure Hurts and the Eagles would love to remind NFL fans who, exactly, are the masters of yeeting their quarterback over the line.

                      Hurts' TD projection is the highest of any player in the Super Bowl, and yet these -105 odds are still relatively fair after he scored three times against the Washington Commanders. I'm smashing this one."

                      Kind of liking this one!!
                      -105 is a very nice price. I think he can score 2 or more in this game.
                      Comment
                      • JohnnyJamms
                        SBR Rookie
                        • 01-06-25
                        • 21

                        #46
                        Originally posted by DJK
                        Thanks for the suggestion, but I'm not a fan of live betting as every time I pick what's offered, shit changes instantly and it makes me rethink if I'm making the right decision. I just don't have the mindset to bet live. My dad would have been great as he is very decisive, but now he is too old at 91 to be doing that. He told me he likes the Chiefs and he wanted me to bet 1K on KC for him, but I like the Eagles so I told him we should wait and see. We could still end up betting KC; I just don't know what to do yet.

                        I will be staying at the Hard Rock casino in Atlant City on the Super Bowl Sunday, but their sportsbook has the worst odds and juice. Every Sunday to Friday, I've stayed in this casino for the past 3 months and being here ended up costing me a lot of winnings (literally tens thousands) I would've had if I just bet what I wanted to bet instead of passing because I didn't like their odds or the higher juice that they had. In hindsight, this sportsbook was probably discouraging people to bet the sides with the higher juice since they were probably the right sides to win. They certainly made me not bet them because I didn't want to pay the higher juice at -120 or higher when the other books had mostly -110. For example, I wanted to bet 5K on the Bills 1st half vs the Ravens, but when I went to bet it, the odd was Bills +0.5-120. I just didn't like laying -120 so I passed and sure enough that bet won.

                        I could go to the Resorts casino where they have DraftKings who has the best odds of all sportsbooks in AC, but because I wait until the last second on my laptop reading up on the latest before making my bets, I just don't have the time to walk over to Resorts even though it's only like 10 minute walk.

                        I may have to stay in the DraftKings sportsbook during the Super Bowl and try to bet live there, but I know it's going to be crazy busy and I may end up standing the whole time to watch the game and if the bet cage line is too long then I may not be able to make my bet even though they have a lot of bet kiosks which sucks when betting big.

                        I won enough for the season, so my wife told me don't bet it if I'm not sure and she may be right since if I end up losing then I will most likely venture into betting basketball where I just don't win.
                        Juice free bet w/Dad sounds like a win/win.
                        Comment
                        • SBR Andy
                          Administrator
                          • 02-09-22
                          • 3511

                          #47
                          Super Bowl passing prop picks from SBR's Mike Spector:

                          Patrick Mahomes Under 36.5 passing attempts (-120 DraftKings)

                          "The Eagles' pass defense is no joke this season. The unit has allowed 6.1 yards per attempt between the regular season and playoffs. That was the lowest among all NFL teams, and it's the franchise’s fewest in a season since 2001.

                          Philadelphia, which is the underdog by the Super Bowl odds, ranks first in total defense and second in points per game allowed. Its balanced rushing attack should also keep Mahomes and the Chiefs' offense off the field more than usual.

                          DraftKings is alone among our best Super Bowl betting sites while offering juice as low as -120 to back the Under here. BetMGM sits as high as -140 for the same total, which carries a 58.33% implied probability."


                          Patrick Mahomes Under 24.5 completions (-110 bet365)

                          "Mahomes, the front-runner in the Super Bowl MVP odds, has made 20 career playoff starts, and he's completed 25-plus passes in 10 of those outings. However, he's gone Under this total in five of his previous seven playoff games, and Mahomes is averaging just 17 completions per game through the first two playoff contests this year.

                          The Eagles ranked first with 81 batted passes this season, they were tied for third with 17 interceptions, and they allowed the third-lowest completion percentage (62%).

                          Meanwhile, the top four players with the most pass-rush wins this postseason are all Eagles players: Milton Williams (10), Jalen Carter (nine), Nolan Smith Jr. (eight), and Josh Sweat (seven). Philadelphia’s relentless pressure should make Mahomes uncomfortable in the pocket.

                          bet365 stands alone among the best sportsbooks while offering standard -110 juice to back the Under at 24.5 completions. Most other competing sportsbooks offer plus-money odds (as high as +105 at Caesars) to back the Under of 23.5 completions."


                          Jalen Hurts Over 1.5 passing touchdowns (+185 Caesars)

                          "Jalen Hurts threw for 304 yards and one touchdown in the Super Bowl matchup against the Chiefs two years ago. He instead did most of his damage from a scoring perspective on the ground with three rushing touchdowns.

                          These are great odds for Hurts to throw multiple touchdowns, especially given his success against the blitz this season.

                          Including the playoffs, Hurts ranks second with a 91 QBR when facing a blitz. His 11:1 touchdown-to-interception ratio in that split also ranks fourth among players with 100 attempts versus a blitz, and his 13% off-target percentage is third-best.

                          The Chiefs blitz on 18% of dropbacks (second-most), and have generated the most pressures (68) using the blitz.

                          Hurts has tallied eight passing touchdowns and nine rushing touchdowns across eight career playoff games. I'm hoping he trades off one of his usual rushing scores for a passing score in this game."
                          Comment
                          • Optional
                            Administrator
                            • 06-10-10
                            • 61052

                            #48
                            All over the Hurts ov1.5 already. Love that one at the +odds.

                            He prob targets Goedert, so 60+ receiving +145 looks good to me too.
                            .
                            Comment
                            • BCaldwell32
                              SBR MVP
                              • 12-13-08
                              • 1027

                              #49
                              Originally posted by klemopixx
                              You forgot Offensive and Defensive lines which both favor Philly. KC is going to have to put 8 men in the box to stop Barkley and then you're talking single coverage on the outside. On the flip side Philly has been generating significant pressure with just four guys the entire playoffs and the secondary has been solid.


                              Turnovers will dictate who wins this game but it's going to be a hard hitting battle. If Philly has a lead going into the fourth qtr, I don't see how KC stops that O-line from grinding out first downs to seal a win.

                              It appears that you haven't watch KC play all year! Lol
                              Comment
                              • SBR Andy
                                Administrator
                                • 02-09-22
                                • 3511

                                #50
                                Super Bowl defensive prop picks from SBR's Mike Spector:

                                Chris Jones Over 0.25 sacks (+114 DraftKings)

                                "Jones just needs a half-sack to go over this projected total, and these odds are too good to pass up. The Chiefs star has tallied one sack and six quarterback pressures through two playoff games this season.

                                Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts doesn't typically throw a ton, but he's taken two-plus sacks in all three playoff games thus far, including seven during a divisional-round win over the Rams.

                                FanDuel offers +136 odds for Jones to record a sack, but I'm taking advantage of DraftKings’ +114 odds in case he splits his sack with a teammate."


                                Jalen Carter Under 0.25 sacks (-138 DraftKings)

                                "From a pass-rush perspective, Jalen Carter has been enjoying more success than Chris Jones this postseason, recording two sacks and eight quarterback pressures.

                                However, I'm still taking the Under because of the success the Chiefs have been producing with a reshuffled offensive line.

                                The Chiefs averaged 23.2 points per game before moving Joe Thuney to left tackle in Week 15. They also allowed a 7% sack percentage, and Mahomes totaled a 64 QBR.

                                Kansas City’s offensive points per game average rose to 26.4 after moving Thuney to left tackle in Week 15 (excluding Week 18 when he didn't line up at the position). The Chiefs also allowed just a 3% sack rate, and Mahomes registered an 81 QBR.

                                Carter’s O/U for tackles is set at 1.5, so I'm backing him to go without a sack given that low total."


                                C.J. Gardner-Johnson Over 0.5 interceptions (+475 DraftKings)

                                "Gardner-Johnson has tallied six interceptions this season, and he's the only player with shorter than +600 odds at DraftKings to notch one during the Super Bowl.

                                The Eagles' defense has been opportunistic during the playoffs while scoring 41 points off turnovers, which is tied for the fourth-most in a single postseason all time.

                                That's why this is worth a flier at juicy +475 odds, especially with Mahomes getting an O/U of 36.5 pass attempts and -105 odds at bet365 to throw at least one interception."
                                Comment
                                • DJK
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 01-17-11
                                  • 2423

                                  #51
                                  Originally posted by BCaldwell32
                                  It appears that you haven't watch KC play all year! Lol
                                  I watched only the highlights of Bills vs Chiefs.

                                  The Bills were robbed by the refs when they clearly had the first down, so just maybe the Chiefs should not even be in this year's SB.

                                  Sure, the Bills also choked on their last drive so it's on them as well not knocking off the Chiefs.

                                  On that 4th down play, one idiot umpire whose view was blocked by the player as to where the ball was and therefore he should not have any say in where the ball should be marked over-rode the one who had the clear view and marked it first down. NFL is a joke with these idiot refs and they should be fined just like the players get fined. Then, maybe they won't be so many of these mistakes.
                                  Last edited by DJK; 02-06-25, 01:12 PM.
                                  Comment
                                  • JIBBBY
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 12-10-09
                                    • 83693

                                    #52
                                    Going large on the Chiefs. Hope it doesn't bite me in the arse. Better QB play is what I'm leaning on vs best Defense in the league which is sketchy. See what sticks?
                                    Comment
                                    • DJK
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 01-17-11
                                      • 2423

                                      #53
                                      I read on another site besides BMR that some of the very important defensive Eagles players such as Jalen Carter are dealing with the flu. That cannot possibly be good for the Eagles since I'm sure it isn't done spreading to the other players.

                                      Comment
                                      • SBR Andy
                                        Administrator
                                        • 02-09-22
                                        • 3511

                                        #54
                                        Super Bowl anytime touchdown scorer picks from SBR's Sean Tomlinson:

                                        Kareem Hunt (+145 FanDuel)

                                        "Workload was briefly a concern for Hunt when Isiah Pacheco first came back from his injury. But the latter has often been struggling to return to form, leading to plenty of opportunities for Hunt still.

                                        That includes three double-digit carry games over his last five outings, spiking at 17 during the tight AFC Championship Game. Hunt has scored in four straight contests too, and he's been efficient while notching seven regular-season red-zone touchdowns (tied for 11th).

                                        The appealing plus-money odds here are surely a product of the Eagles allowing only five rushing touchdowns to running backs throughout the campaign (second fewest). Still, Hunt has been too effective and relied on too heavily near the goal line to ignore at this price."


                                        Dallas Goedert (+320 FanDuel)

                                        "Opposing tight ends have regularly been torching the Chiefs' otherwise reliable defense. Kansas City allowed the most yards to the position and the second-most receptions during the regular season. The team tightens up in the red zone, but the clear weakness elsewhere could lead to plenty of opportunities for Goedert, who's often been plowing his way for chunk yardage after the catch.

                                        He's fresh off a seven-catch outing for 85 yards, and Goedert scored during the wild-card round against the Green Bay Packers."


                                        Noah Gray (+550 FanDuel)

                                        "The anytime touchdown market is the place to sprinkle a little on a long shot, especially ahead of a game likely to be a high-scoring one, with the total sitting at 49 in the Super Bowl odds.

                                        That means a sneaky red-zone weapon like Noah Gray could get more chances. The towering tight end scored four red-zone touchdowns this season on just 10 targets near the goal line. That's more red-zone scores than Travis Kelce (three), who led all tight ends with 26 targets near pay dirt.

                                        While there's been mostly minor movement elsewhere, Gray's odds have moved more significantly while getting shorter. Toward the end of the Super Bowl bye week the best price on him was +650, and now that's down to +550. Don't miss the opportunity if you're wanting a small recreational play in this market on a long shot with a decent chance."
                                        Last edited by SBR Andy; 02-07-25, 10:13 AM.
                                        Comment
                                        • Madison
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 09-16-11
                                          • 6435

                                          #55
                                          Originally posted by DJK
                                          I read on another site besides BMR that some of the very important defensive Eagles players such as Jalen Carter are dealing with the flu. That cannot possibly be good for the Eagles since I'm sure it isn't done spreading to the other players.

                                          https://www.si.com/nfl/jalen-carter-...er-bowl-chiefs
                                          Didn't they spew the same BS about Notre Dame in the semi-finals? Be always cautious about one reads and from who in the media.
                                          Comment
                                          • SBR Andy
                                            Administrator
                                            • 02-09-22
                                            • 3511

                                            #56
                                            Another best bet from SBR's C Jackson Cowart:

                                            Xavier Worthy Over 62.5 rushing + receiving yards (-115 Caesars)

                                            "It took a while for him to get going, despite scoring in Week 1, but Worthy has emerged as a critical piece in this Chiefs' passing attack as a rookie - and not just as a deep-ball merchant, either.

                                            Since fellow speedster Hollywood Brown returned to the lineup in Week 16, Worthy has feasted in the short-passing game for Kansas City's RPO-heavy offense. He's averaging 11 targets plus rush attempts in his last five weeks, and he leads the Chiefs' starters in target share (25.4%) over their last four games excluding Week 18.

                                            He's cleared this combined prop total in four of his last five games, including a 101-yard effort in the AFC Championship, and I love his chances of getting involved in a big way on Sunday. I'm also tempted by his +1200 odds via BetMGM to score the last touchdown."
                                            Comment
                                            • ChuckyTheGoat
                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                              • 04-04-11
                                              • 37041

                                              #57
                                              This is an interesting bet scenario IMHO:

                                              1) The Chiefs have so much pedigree. Some people feel compelled to back them.
                                              2) The boxscore analysts will like the Eagles. Pound-for-pound, Eagles look like the better team. Feel like the Chef 15-1 start was a bit phony, as they could have lost several other games.
                                              Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                              Comment
                                              • DJK
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 01-17-11
                                                • 2423

                                                #58
                                                Originally posted by Madison
                                                Didn't they spew the same BS about Notre Dame in the semi-finals? Be always cautious about one reads and from who in the media.
                                                Not that I know of about Notre Dame. I bet big on that game (over 10K), so I would've known if that was the case since I scoured the internet for any news that I can find about the teams I'm betting on.

                                                That flu news isn't just on SI but at various reputable sites such as NBCSports and a bunch of posts on X.

                                                I don't know why ESPN hasn't reported it yet.
                                                Comment
                                                • DJK
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 01-17-11
                                                  • 2423

                                                  #59
                                                  I just read who Chris Berman at ESPN has picked.

                                                  It said he correctly picked the winners and the winning margins for the past 3 years. That's pretty remarkable feat if true.

                                                  He picked KC 27-24.

                                                  Damn, I will definitely have to pay off the Eagles on ATS.

                                                  Either Eagles +3.5 or +6.5. Just bet huge to make up for the high juice.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • JIBBBY
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 12-10-09
                                                    • 83693

                                                    #60
                                                    Mahomes the goat now. Foolish to bet against him..
                                                    Comment
                                                    • SBR Andy
                                                      Administrator
                                                      • 02-09-22
                                                      • 3511

                                                      #61
                                                      Super bowl longshot predictions by the SBR writers:


                                                      Octopus to be scored by any player? Yes (+1400 Caesars)

                                                      "It wouldn't be shocking to see Super Bowl 2025 turn into an Octopus’ Garden given three key players: Saquon Barkley, Jalen Hurts, and Jake Elliott.

                                                      Elliott won’t get the Octopus himself, of course, but his kicking could lead to the necessity. While he only missed one extra point in the regular season, he’s just 9-for-12 in the postseason. The Eagles might need to get back on level footing with an eight-point scoring play if they drop an easy point.

                                                      And therein comes Barkley and Hurts. The running back-quarterback duo is amongst the league’s most dangerous offensively, so why not roll the dice on one of them punching in a touchdown and the two-point conversion in a game where every single point will count? They’re both lethal around the goal line."

                                                      - Andrew Reid


                                                      Noah Gray 1st Half Touchdown (+1000 FanDuel)

                                                      "Sure, the other Chiefs tight end is the superstar both on and off the field, and Travis Kelce is front and center in the Taylor Swift prop bets for the 2025 Super Bowl. But Gray has quietly been a productive and consistent red-zone option for the Chiefs.

                                                      His five touchdowns this season are one more than his total over the pass catcher’s previous three campaigns combined. Four of those scores came in the red zone on just 10 targets, while Kelce scored three times near pay dirt on 26 looks. Gray is an efficient and sneaky outlet near the opposition’s goal line."

                                                      - Sean Tomlinson


                                                      Any player to break the Super Bowl rushing record (+1100 DraftKings)

                                                      "My favorite long-shot play in Chiefs vs. Eagles is a Super Bowl record special offered by DraftKings. The sportsbook is offering a price of +1100 for any player to rush for 205-plus yards, but let’s not kid ourselves: this is a Saquon Barkley prop.

                                                      If Philadelphia is going to win this game, it’ll likely need a significant performance from the best running back in the NFL. Barkley’s rushed for 442 yards and five touchdowns already this postseason on just 66 carries.

                                                      If he maintains this superhuman pace (6.7 yards per carry), he would need 31 touches, something he’s done already this year. Barkley has gone over 204 yards twice this year, and with Kansas City being exposed by James Cook and Joe Mixon, the Eagles’ superstar making it three isn’t out of the question as he takes aim at Super Bowl records."

                                                      - Gabe Henderson


                                                      Dallas Goedert 1st Touchdown Scorer (+1900 DraftKings)

                                                      "I love the matchup for Goedert versus the Chiefs. He ripped the Washington Commanders apart for 85 yards on seven catches and will face a Chiefs defense that has trouble defending tight ends in the middle of the field.

                                                      Goedert should be primed to hit pay dirt with much of the Chiefs' defensive attention focused on stopping A.J. Brown, DeVonta Smith, Barkley, and Hurts. He scored a touchdown against the Green Bay Packers in the wild-card round and had two touchdowns in his last five regular-season games.

                                                      In addition, the Chiefs have struggled in the first half of Super Bowls, which should allow the Eagles to jump on top early."

                                                      - Gary Pearson
                                                      Comment
                                                      • POTVINSUX
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 10-14-08
                                                        • 2423

                                                        #62
                                                        Play is KC -1. Goodell pushing to hammer home Chief's dynasty. They simply know how to win!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • DJK
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 01-17-11
                                                          • 2423

                                                          #63
                                                          Originally posted by POTVINSUX
                                                          Play is KC -1. Goodell pushing to hammer home Chief's dynasty. They simply know how to win!
                                                          Ever think that Goodell wanting to prove a point that the refs aren't in KC's pockets that they will make the Eagles the SB winner?

                                                          Especially since he and the refs association recently denied behemently that they are not favoring the Chiefs.

                                                          Even Brady said the same.

                                                          So, they will have to prove their point and screw the Chiefs for once. That will be funny as shit.
                                                          Last edited by DJK; 02-08-25, 12:17 PM.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • SBR Andy
                                                            Administrator
                                                            • 02-09-22
                                                            • 3511

                                                            #64
                                                            Chiefs vs Eagles Same Game Parlay from SBR's Brenden Schaeffer

                                                            1) JuJu Smith-Schuster Over 15.5 receiving yards (-110)
                                                            2) Isiah Pacheco Over 21.5 rushing yards (-110)
                                                            3) Jalen Hurts Over 211.5 passing yards (-110)
                                                            = +521 at FanDuel
                                                            Comment
                                                            • SBR Andy
                                                              Administrator
                                                              • 02-09-22
                                                              • 3511

                                                              #65
                                                              Another best bet from SBR's Gabe Henderson:

                                                              Zack Baun Over 6.5 solo tackles (+118 DraftKings)

                                                              "Baun signed a one-year "prove it" deal with Philadelphia last offseason, and he's exceeded even the most ambitious aspirations. He's listed at plus-money to record Over 6.5 solo tackles in Super Bowl 2025, something he's done at a 47.37% clip this year, including in the NFC title game. Bettors are getting a 1.5% edge on this player prop at DraftKings.

                                                              While not a popular regular season betting market, solo tackles are relatively straightforward to describe: an individual tackle made by a defender, as opposed to a host of defenders. Those who aren't looking to put that much stock into Baun's individual output can also play related defensive markets at our same best sports betting apps.

                                                              Baun's tackles + assisted tackles prop is set at 10.5, and the Over is trading at +105."
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Snowball
                                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                • 11-15-09
                                                                • 30047

                                                                #66
                                                                They don't actually play real football anymore, so I'll do a friendly on the Under 49.5

                                                                Common sense dictates Chiefs, but then again, more $$ for the houses if Eagles pull the upset.

                                                                Rather not get involved, since the game isn't what it used to be.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • actiondan
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 10-16-10
                                                                  • 3424

                                                                  #67
                                                                  snowy!
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • mtofell
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 09-21-13
                                                                    • 744

                                                                    #68
                                                                    Eagles win by a few points on a last-minute controversial call..... or lack of a call. KC has gotten the benefit of so many that the refs will swallow their flags for once and the world will be outraged when the gravy train finally stops. Taylor Swift will use it as fodder for her next song as she's been stuck on the same guy for a year+ and has run out of material.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • DJK
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 01-17-11
                                                                      • 2423

                                                                      #69
                                                                      @ DraftKings Cash Out percentages as of this morning at 7:18 AM on 02/09/2025, so it's the same as it was on 02/05/2025.

                                                                      1) Eagles ML +110 100%
                                                                      2) Eagles +1.5 -110 95%
                                                                      3) Chiefs ML -130 90%
                                                                      4) Chiefs -1.5 -110 90%

                                                                      However, @ FanDuel, it's as follows.

                                                                      1) Eagles ML +102 100%
                                                                      2) Eagles +1.5 -115 100%
                                                                      3) Chiefs ML -120 85%
                                                                      4) Chiefs -1.5 -105 90%

                                                                      Neither books have ever offered me 100% of the amount wagered as Cash Out before the game has even started this whole season so this is kind of weird.

                                                                      Strictly based on these figures, I'm beginning to think that AI believes the Eagles will win SU. Whether AI is right or wrong, I have no clue.

                                                                      However, Gemini the Google's AI predicted that the Eagles and the Chiefs would win the conference championship games and they did.

                                                                      Below is what Gemini said when I asked "Who wins SB 59?" and "Who wins Super Bowl 59?". Interestingly, it's not picking a winner not like the championship games.

                                                                      "Predicting the Super Bowl winner is always a tough call, but here's a breakdown to help you think about it:

                                                                      Kansas City Chiefs:
                                                                      • Strengths:
                                                                        • Patrick Mahomes is a superstar QB, and Travis Kelce is a dominant tight end. Their offense is explosive.
                                                                        • They've been here before, winning the Super Bowl twice recently. They know how to handle the pressure.

                                                                      • Weaknesses:
                                                                        • Their defense can be shaky at times.
                                                                        • After winning two in a row, there's always a risk of getting a little complacent. <- I would disagree with this.

                                                                      Philadelphia Eagles:
                                                                      • Strengths:
                                                                        • They have a really strong, well-rounded team. Both their offense and defense are top-notch.
                                                                        • They're out for revenge after losing to the Chiefs in the Super Bowl a couple of years ago.

                                                                      • Weaknesses:
                                                                        • While they're talented, they don't have as much Super Bowl experience as the Chiefs.

                                                                      To really make a good guess, you need to consider:
                                                                      • How well each team is playing right now: Are they on a winning streak? Did they have any key injuries?
                                                                      • The specific matchups: How will the Chiefs' offensive line do against the Eagles' defensive line? Will the Eagles be able to stop Kelce?
                                                                      • The coaches: Andy Reid is a legendary coach for the Chiefs, but Nick Sirianni is excellent for the Eagles too.

                                                                      So, who wins?
                                                                      • It's honestly a very close call! The Chiefs have the star power and experience, but the Eagles have the motivation and a great all-around team.
                                                                      • It might come down to a few key moments in the game: a big play, a turnover, or even a crucial penalty.

                                                                      To get even more info, you can check out:
                                                                      • Sports websites: ESPN, CBS Sports, NFL.com will have lots of analysis.
                                                                      • Betting odds: Sites like DraftKings or FanDuel (just for fun, remember!) often have odds and predictions.
                                                                      • Expert opinions: Many sports commentators will share their predictions closer to the game.

                                                                      Ultimately, the best way to find out is to watch the game! It's going to be exciting."


                                                                      And


                                                                      "This is for entertainment purposes only.

                                                                      Super Bowl 59 is a rematch of Super Bowl 57, with the Kansas City Chiefs facing off against the Philadelphia Eagles.

                                                                      While it's still anyone's game, the Chiefs are currently favored by most sportsbooks. They are aiming for a historic "three-peat," having won the Super Bowl the past two years. However, the Eagles are hungry for revenge after their loss in Super Bowl 57 and are a strong team with a lot of talent.

                                                                      Ultimately, the winner will be decided on the field on February 9th, 2025, at the Caesars Superdome in New Orleans.

                                                                      It's sure to be an exciting and closely contested game!
                                                                      "
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • SBR Andy
                                                                        Administrator
                                                                        • 02-09-22
                                                                        • 3511

                                                                        #70
                                                                        Here's the full list of the best Super Bowl prop bets to make from the SBR staff:


                                                                        Patrick Mahomes Under 36.5 passing attempts (-120)

                                                                        Jalen Hurts Over 1.5 passing touchdowns (+185)

                                                                        Saquon Barkley Over 110.5 rushing yards (-110)

                                                                        Travis Kelce Over 6.5 receptions (+130)

                                                                        DeVonta Smith Over 50.5 receiving yards (-111)

                                                                        Xavier Worthy Over 62.5 rushing + receiving yards (-115)

                                                                        Chris Jones Over 0.25 sacks (+114)

                                                                        Jake Elliott Over 1.5 field goals made (+105)

                                                                        Kareem Hunt anytime touchdown scorer (+145)

                                                                        Noah Gray 1st-half touchdown scorer (+1000)

                                                                        Dallas Goedert 1st touchdown scorer (+1900)

                                                                        DeAndre Hopkins last touchdown scorer (+3000)

                                                                        Marquise Brown 1st Chiefs reception (+500)

                                                                        Saquon Barkley to break Super Bowl rushing yards record (+1100)

                                                                        George Karlaftis to win Super Bowl MVP (+1400)
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