(Coll FB) Week 07 plays

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  • ChuckyTheGoat
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 04-04-11
    • 37060

    #1
    (Coll FB) Week 07 plays
    2* UCF +13.5 1.91: 2 to win 1.82
    Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
  • ChuckyTheGoat
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 04-04-11
    • 37060

    #2
    1* Florida St +3 1.91: 1 to win .91
    Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
    Comment
    • ChuckyTheGoat
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 04-04-11
      • 37060

      #3
      1* Charlotte +17 1.94: 1 to win .94
      Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
      Comment
      • ChuckyTheGoat
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 04-04-11
        • 37060

        #4
        Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
        1* Florida St +3 1.91: 1 to win .91
        2nd unit on FlaSt +3 1.94: 1 to win .94
        Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
        Comment
        • ChuckyTheGoat
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 04-04-11
          • 37060

          #5
          2* COASTAL CAROL +4 1.94: 2 to win 1.88
          Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
          Comment
          • ChuckyTheGoat
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 04-04-11
            • 37060

            #6
            1* MIAMI OH -4 1.92: 1 to win .92
            Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
            Comment
            • ChuckyTheGoat
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 04-04-11
              • 37060

              #7
              1* Iowa -5.5 1.87: 1 to win .87
              Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
              Comment
              • ChuckyTheGoat
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 04-04-11
                • 37060

                #8
                1* TENNESSEE +3 1.88: 1 to win .88
                ...South Carolina gift-wrapped the game last week. That really should have been Loss #2 for Alab.
                Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                Comment
                • ChuckyTheGoat
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 04-04-11
                  • 37060

                  #9
                  1* Tulsa +3 1.87: 1 to win .87
                  ...Temple starting QB Simon missed last game. Pretty big dropoff to Brock (if Simon misses again).
                  Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                  Comment
                  • ChuckyTheGoat
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 04-04-11
                    • 37060

                    #10
                    Some commentary on the plays:

                    *UCF: I don't really care who plays QB. Brown was a pretty big recruit.
                    ...Big12 is a conference of parity. The points may play out as too fat.

                    *FlaSt: Un-thinkable line, based on pre-season view. If they care, good value.

                    *Charlotte: I'm expecting QB Brown to miss. But they've played better with backup Purdie. Based on talent, this matchup is more equitable than the line suggests.

                    *CCU/MiaOH/Iowa: Just look like line-value to me.
                    Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                    Comment
                    • veriableodds
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 08-22-17
                      • 5093

                      #11
                      Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
                      1* MIAMI OH -4 1.92: 1 to win .92
                      Literally might be my only play next week chuck. Have not decided yet.
                      games of interest any thoughts?
                      fiu -5
                      houston +7
                      tx tech -6
                      Comment
                      • ChuckyTheGoat
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 04-04-11
                        • 37060

                        #12
                        Originally posted by veriableodds
                        Literally might be my only play next week chuck. Have not decided yet.
                        games of interest any thoughts?
                        fiu -5
                        houston +7
                        tx tech -6
                        Hi, Veri. Probably not playing any of those three.

                        Can give you one note on Hou/Kansas. Kansas on-campus stadium is under construction, so they're playing at Arrowhead instead (I think). It's 47 miles from campus, so not a true Home Field advantage.
                        Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                        Comment
                        • ChuckyTheGoat
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 04-04-11
                          • 37060

                          #13
                          2* Troy +12 1.91: 2 to win 1.82
                          Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                          Comment
                          • ChuckyTheGoat
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 04-04-11
                            • 37060

                            #14
                            1* Western KY +3 2.04: 1 to win 1.04

                            1* EASTERN MICH -2 1.92: 1 to win .92
                            Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                            Comment
                            • ChuckyTheGoat
                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                              • 04-04-11
                              • 37060

                              #15
                              Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
                              1* Tulsa +3 1.87: 1 to win .87
                              ...Temple starting QB Simon missed last game. Pretty big dropoff to Brock (if Simon misses again).
                              2nd unit - Tulsa +3 1.90: 1 to win .90

                              2nd unit - MiaOH -3.5 1.91: 1 to win .91

                              3rd unit - COAST CAROL +4.5 1.91: 1 to win .91

                              1* Oklahoma St +10 1.95: 1 to win .95
                              ...I do like this angle of the Big12 teams cancelling each other out. Can't see the gap being this big. And I know Okla St has been awful so far this year.
                              Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                              Comment
                              • ChuckyTheGoat
                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                • 04-04-11
                                • 37060

                                #16
                                2* LOUISVILLE +5 1.91: 2 to win 1.82
                                Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                Comment
                                • Eddy Munny
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 08-13-13
                                  • 15762

                                  #17
                                  These

                                  are

                                  week 8

                                  plays,

                                  asshole!
                                  Comment
                                  • ChuckyTheGoat
                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                    • 04-04-11
                                    • 37060

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
                                    2* Troy +12 1.91: 2 to win 1.82
                                    3rd unit on Troy +13.5 1.93: 1 to win .93

                                    1* LSU -2.5 1.87: 1 to win .87
                                    Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                    Comment
                                    • ChuckyTheGoat
                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                      • 04-04-11
                                      • 37060

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
                                      2* UCF +13.5 1.91: 2 to win 1.82
                                      3rd unit - UCF +13.5 2.00: 1 to win 1.00

                                      1* Toledo +3 1.87: 1 to win .87
                                      ...Chance that NoILL QB Hampton misses. Check status.
                                      Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                      Comment
                                      • ChuckyTheGoat
                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                        • 04-04-11
                                        • 37060

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
                                        1* Iowa -5.5 1.87: 1 to win .87
                                        There's been some discussion on this game on the msg-boards:

                                        1) I like the early -5.5 I got. Wouldn't bet it now.

                                        2) I'm not confident in Chiles versus this defense. Chiles is mistake-prone, and the Iowa 2ndary tends to be good at ball-hawking.

                                        3) I also don't think the Spartans are advanced enough to dominate the trenches. So, I don't see any surefire way for them to move the ball.

                                        Respect to Smith on the Spartans re-build. They COULD hang the #. I just point toward IA winning by > 6.5.
                                        Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                        Comment
                                        • ChuckyTheGoat
                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                          • 04-04-11
                                          • 37060

                                          #21
                                          2* TCU +4.5 1.93: 2 to win 1.86
                                          Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                          Comment
                                          • ChuckyTheGoat
                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                            • 04-04-11
                                            • 37060

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
                                            1* TENNESSEE +3 1.88: 1 to win .88
                                            ...South Carolina gift-wrapped the game last week. That really should have been Loss #2 for Alab.
                                            2nd unit on TENN +3 1.95: 1 to win .95
                                            ...I see reasons to back the Vols. They slowed down after a rocket start. Could have named the score vs Kent.
                                            ...TENN has a very tough rush defense. Good technical factors pointing me to TENN.
                                            ...DeBoer now has to answer. Transition maybe not as smooth as it first appeared. Tide DEF might just not be that good.
                                            Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                            Comment
                                            • ChuckyTheGoat
                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                              • 04-04-11
                                              • 37060

                                              #23
                                              1* Colorado +4.5 1.91: 1 to win .91
                                              ...Ariz QB Fifita is throwing too many INTs. Not good when CB Hunter is on the other side.
                                              Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                              Comment
                                              • ChuckyTheGoat
                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                • 04-04-11
                                                • 37060

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
                                                1* Colorado +4.5 1.91: 1 to win .91
                                                ...Ariz QB Fifita is throwing too many INTs. Not good when CB Hunter is on the other side.
                                                Travis Hunter injury update: Colorado star on track to play vs. Arizona after exiting in loss to Kansas State

                                                Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                                Comment
                                                • ChuckyTheGoat
                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                  • 04-04-11
                                                  • 37060

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
                                                  2* TCU +4.5 1.93: 2 to win 1.86
                                                  3rd unit on TCU +4.5 1.91: 1 to win .91
                                                  ...I know Rising looked bad last game. But Wilson is very green. The win Wilson had @OklaSt now looks like 'So What?'

                                                  1* KANSAS -5.5 1.93: 1 to win .93
                                                  ...Jayhawks have been dry as a well. The # they're laying here is < the number they laid versus UNLV.
                                                  Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                                  Comment
                                                  • ChuckyTheGoat
                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                    • 04-04-11
                                                    • 37060

                                                    #26
                                                    2* OKLAHOMA -1.5 1.92: 2 to win 1.84
                                                    ...I know they look bad. And they have guys out.
                                                    ...How is this # possible? WR Burks may return this week.
                                                    Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                                    Comment
                                                    • ChuckyTheGoat
                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                      • 04-04-11
                                                      • 37060

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
                                                      2* COASTAL CAROL +4 1.94: 2 to win 1.88
                                                      3rd unit on COASTAL CAROL +5 1.91: 1 to win .91

                                                      3rd unit on TENNESSEE +3 2.00: 1 to win 1.00
                                                      Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • ChuckyTheGoat
                                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                        • 04-04-11
                                                        • 37060

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
                                                        3rd unit on COASTAL CAROL +5 1.91: 1 to win .91

                                                        3rd unit on TENNESSEE +3 2.00: 1 to win 1.00
                                                        EDIT: That's actually 4th unit on Coastal.
                                                        Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                                        Comment
                                                        • ChuckyTheGoat
                                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                          • 04-04-11
                                                          • 37060

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
                                                          1* Charlotte +17 1.94: 1 to win .94
                                                          2nd unit on Charlotte +17.5 1.91: 1 to win .91

                                                          1* Ball St +27 1.83: 1 to win .83
                                                          ...Know I'm not getting the best #.
                                                          Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                                          Comment
                                                          • ChuckyTheGoat
                                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                            • 04-04-11
                                                            • 37060

                                                            #30
                                                            Talk about a let-down spot for Vanderbilt:
                                                            1) Off the biggest win in school history over Alab.
                                                            2) Follow it up with an impressive road win @ Kentucky.
                                                            3) Lookahead spot to another home game versus top-ranked Texas.

                                                            Does Ball St sound appealing when you line it up with Alabama and Texas? Pavia played thru injury in the game @Kentucky. He played thru a knock in the 4th quarter.

                                                            The Vandy coaching staff will want to play Texas. It's just about getting thru this game. So, I could see some combination of:
                                                            a) Not running Pavia as much.
                                                            b) Very slow pace which feels like running clock.
                                                            c) Even sitting out Pavia some series.
                                                            Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                                            Comment
                                                            • ChuckyTheGoat
                                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                              • 04-04-11
                                                              • 37060

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
                                                              1* Iowa -5.5 1.87: 1 to win .87
                                                              2nd unit on Iowa -5.5 1.90: 1 to win .90
                                                              ...I know there's resistance on this play. Just think the Mich St re-build is too big.
                                                              ...And it's not a huge #. Hawkeyes will feel comfortable playing this game.

                                                              3rd unit on Tulsa +3.5 1.86: 1 to win .86
                                                              ...Not too worried about who Temple plays at QB.
                                                              ...Temple has very little HFA. Will struggle to win by margin.
                                                              Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                                              Comment
                                                              • ChuckyTheGoat
                                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                • 04-04-11
                                                                • 37060

                                                                #32
                                                                2nd unit on Ball St +27 1.95: 1 to win .95
                                                                ...Love this anti-Vandy spot.

                                                                1* ILLINOIS +4 1.94: 1 to win .94
                                                                ...# has moved a bunch. Home Dog w/ decidedly more productive QB.

                                                                2nd unit on OKLA -1 1.95: 1 to win .95
                                                                ...Can't wrap my head around this #.

                                                                4th unit on Tulsa +3.5 1.93: 1 to win .93
                                                                ...Can't believe in Temple laying > a FG.
                                                                Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                                                Comment
                                                                • johnnyvegas13
                                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                  • 05-21-15
                                                                  • 27882

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Chuck what’s good today
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • ChuckyTheGoat
                                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                    • 04-04-11
                                                                    • 37060

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by johnnyvegas13
                                                                    Chuck what’s good today
                                                                    Hey, john.

                                                                    1) Honestly, my results have gone south. Making a few bad picks, plus I'm getting unlucky on close games.

                                                                    2) Do as you see fit. Will list these DD Dogs as potential upsets: UCF, Ball St.
                                                                    Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • ChuckyTheGoat
                                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                      • 04-04-11
                                                                      • 37060

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Adding one unit each:

                                                                      *ILLINOIS +5 1.91: 1 to win .91

                                                                      *KANSAS -5 1.91: 1 to win .91

                                                                      *OKLAHOMA +1.5 1.93: 1 to win .93

                                                                      *Ball St +27.5 1.93: 1 to win .93
                                                                      Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                                                      Comment
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