My picks for NCAAF, NFL, and NCAAB for the next 150 days...

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  • usma1992
    SBR MVP
    • 08-02-11
    • 1410

    #71
    Sharp... I appreciate it...

    The Ball State loss was unfair for sure... and I actually lost track of Ole Miss game ... what I'm trying to do isn't remotely easy. And I have got several naysayers saying it can't be done.

    So I appreciate the encouragement... I just had a 14+ hour day... nothing to do with my programs. I got up at 430 to proofread my sons college paper for two hours... I taught high school a full day... then I did after-school care at elementary school for 3 hours... and finished off the day by giving plasma. True story.

    So the encouragement is appreciated.

    On to the next week... 1-0 to start. Hope everyone got in on South Alabama.

    Dave
    MacktheTeach
    Comment
    • redrum448
      SBR Rookie
      • 09-23-24
      • 24

      #72
      I didnt even know there was a game last night (damnit!)
      Comment
      • usma1992
        SBR MVP
        • 08-02-11
        • 1410

        #73
        Redrum...

        Sorry man... wait until college bball they are every day...
        You need to stay on top of the games.

        Dave
        MacktheTeach
        Comment
        • usma1992
          SBR MVP
          • 08-02-11
          • 1410

          #74
          Looks like 2-2 college... I apologize... I may loosen system up this week. It depends on how many games it picks.

          Dave
          MacktheTeach
          Comment
          • redrum448
            SBR Rookie
            • 09-23-24
            • 24

            #75
            My line shows -10 on the Washington game..... seems high, whats your thoughts?
            Comment
            • BCaldwell32
              SBR MVP
              • 12-13-08
              • 1027

              #76
              I am staying away from it at -10 for sure.
              Comment
              • usma1992
                SBR MVP
                • 08-02-11
                • 1410

                #77
                I am running it again at -10... what the steep line up really means is that my system... identified a line weakness in Vegas and so did a bunch of other people.

                My suggestion is if you trust my system... get you bets in quickly because lines will change.


                I got -7.5 but bought a point to -6.5.

                Dave
                MacktheTeach
                Comment
                • usma1992
                  SBR MVP
                  • 08-02-11
                  • 1410

                  #78
                  At -10... it would still be a bet... actually the system has the accurate spread around -16 or -17... I am very curious about Vegas game on over and Cincy game.

                  Those two games were close to betable.

                  Dave
                  MacktheTeach
                  Comment
                  • usma1992
                    SBR MVP
                    • 08-02-11
                    • 1410

                    #79
                    College Football Week 9 Picks...

                    NCAAF 2024Week9 O/U& SPREADS NO BETS UNTIL WEEK 4
                    Time AWAY TEAM PROJ AWAY SCORE HOME TEAM PROJ HOME SCORE TOTAL VEGAS SPREAD VEGAS O/U SPREAD BET O/U BET
                    8:30 PM Sam Houston State 34 Florida Internatio 14 48 6.5 46
                    9:00 PM UTEP 13 Louisiana Tech 33 46 -7 50
                    8:00 PM Liberty 42 Kennesaw State 0 42 23.5 46
                    8:30 PM Middle Tennessee 16 Jacksonville State 45 61 -21 63.5
                    8:00 PM Georgia Southern 30 Old Dominion 28 58 -2 54
                    8:30 PM Syracuse 36 Pittsburgh 35 71 -5.5 60.5 Away Plus 3*
                    8:30 PM Louisville 30 Boston College 16 46 7 53
                    11:30 PM Boise State 35 UNLV 27 62 3 66.5
                    12:00 AM Rutgers 18 USC 37 55 -14 54
                    1:00 PM Bowling Green 18 Toledo 23 41 -3 47
                    1:00 PM North Carolina 34 Virginia 34 68 -5.5 60.5
                    1:00 PM Georgia Tech 23 Virginia Tech 25 48 -9 52.5
                    1:00 PM Buffalo 13 Ohio 24 37 -7 46
                    1:00 PM Notre Dame 30 Navy 30 60 13 52
                    1:00 PM Washington 17 Indiana 30 47 -7 53
                    1:00 PM Oklahoma 6 Mississippi 44 50 -20 48
                    1:00 PM Tulane 37 North Texas 34 71 7.5 65.5
                    1:00 PM Charlotte 13 Memphis 45 58 -19 56.5
                    1:00 PM Nebraska 7 Ohio State 37 44 -24.5 48.5
                    1:45 PM Arkansas 42 Mississippi State 20 62 7 58 Away Minus 5*
                    2:00 PM Georgia State 30 Appalachian State 40 70 -8 62.5
                    2:00 PM UTSA 43 Tulsa 24 67 8 56 Away Minus 3*
                    3:00 PM Central Michigan 20 Miami (Ohio) 21 41 -12 47
                    3:00 PM Temple 18 East Carolina 31 49 -7 48
                    4:30 PM BYU 26 UCF 24 50 2.5 55.5
                    4:30 PM Eastern Michigan 38 Akron 16 54 3 51.5
                    4:30 PM Southern Mississip 2 James Madison 43 45 -24 54
                    4:30 PM Northern Illinois 44 Ball State 10 54 11.5 48.5 Away Minus 5*
                    4:30 PM Kent State 15 Western Michigan 40 55 -17 59.5
                    4:30 PM Rice 18 Connecticut 32 50 -6 46.5
                    4:30 PM Maryland 24 Minnesota 19 43 -4 45.5
                    4:30 PM Texas Tech 34 TCU 42 76 -6 67
                    4:30 PM Oklahoma State 25 Baylor 34 59 -4 65
                    4:30 PM Missouri 25 Alabama 22 47 -14 56.5
                    4:30 PM Wake Forest 33 Stanford 25 58 3 56
                    4:30 PM Northwestern 7 Iowa 20 27 -13.5 38
                    4:30 PM Illinois 8 Oregon 34 42 -21.5 55
                    5:00 PM Oregon State 27 California 28 55 -10 49 Over 3*
                    5:15 PM Texas 37 Vanderbilt 7 44 18 54
                    6:00 PM Louisiana-Monroe 11 South Alabama 29 40 -8 47 Home Minus 3*
                    6:00 PM New Mexico 35 Colorado State 35 70 -6 65
                    8:00 PM Florida State 5 Miami (Florida) 46 51 -21 54
                    8:00 PM Troy 17 Arkansas State 30 47 -7 52.5
                    8:00 PM Utah 23 Houston 5 28 3.5 38
                    8:00 PM Utah State 37 Wyoming 28 65 -2.5 55 Away Plus 5*
                    8:00 PM West Virginia 27 Arizona 27 54 -2.5 56
                    8:30 PM Michigan State 14 Michigan 14 28 -5.5 40.5
                    8:30 PM LSU 26 Texas A&M 24 50 -3 54
                    8:30 PM Penn State 24 Wisconsin 17 41 6.5 48
                    8:45 PM Auburn 15 Kentucky 15 30 -3 42
                    9:00 PM SMU 29 Duke 14 43 11 48
                    9:00 PM Kansas 19 Kansas State 28 47 -9.5 56
                    9:00 PM San Jose State 26 Fresno State 26 52 -6 55
                    11:15 PM Cincinnati 27 Colorado 28 55 -4.5 57.5
                    11:30 PM Washington State 37 San Diego State 17 54 14 55.5
                    12:59 AM Nevada 21 Hawai'i 22 43 2.5 48

                    Dave
                    MacktheTeach
                    Comment
                    • usma1992
                      SBR MVP
                      • 08-02-11
                      • 1410

                      #80
                      3-2 on the Weekend... NCAAF 2-2... NFL 1-0

                      Ill take it. 7 Games this weekend college.

                      Dave
                      MacktheTeach
                      Comment
                      • usma1992
                        SBR MVP
                        • 08-02-11
                        • 1410

                        #81
                        Any opinions on these upcoming bets...

                        NBA starts in a couple of days but my program sucks for the NBA. This year... I collect data... and hope to generate a program that works.

                        I feel like I have 3 programs that may work... why not a fourth. It seems that more people are starting to believe I am onto something which is encouraging.


                        Dave
                        MacktheTeach
                        Comment
                        • usma1992
                          SBR MVP
                          • 08-02-11
                          • 1410

                          #82
                          Week 8 NFL Picks

                          NFL 2024Week8 O/U& SPREADS No Bets Until Week 3 or 4
                          Time AWAY TEAM PROJ AWAY SCORE HOME TEAM PROJ HOME SCORE TOTAL VEGAS SPREAD VEGAS O/U SPREAD BET O/U BET
                          8:15 PM MINNESOTA 22 LARAMS 24 46 3.5 48
                          1:00 PM TENNESSEE 14 DETROIT 30 44 -11 45.5
                          1:00 PM BALTIMORE 28 CLEVELAND 16 44 10 43.5
                          1:00 PM GREENBAY 30 JACKSONVILLE 17 47 4.5 51
                          1:00 PM INDIANAPOLIS 20 HOUSTON 28 48 -6 46 Home Minus 5*
                          1:00 PM ARIZONA 17 MIAMI 21 38 -3 48
                          1:00 PM ATLANTA 28 TAMPABAY 28 56 2.5 46 Over 5*
                          1:00 PM NYJETS 23 NEWENGLAND 11 34 7 41.5
                          1:00 PM PHILADELPHIA 23 CINCINNATI 20 43 -2.5 48
                          4:05 PM BUFFALO 22 SEATTLE 26 48 3 47
                          4:05 PM NEWORLEANS 23 LACHARGERS 25 48 -7.5 40.5 Away Plus 5*
                          4:25 PM CHICAGO 22 WASHINGTON 23 45 2.5 43.5
                          4:25 PM KANSASCITY 26 LASVEGAS 21 47 10 41.5
                          4:25 PM CAROLINA 13 DENVER 28 41 -9 43.5 Home Minus 5*
                          8:20 PM DALLAS 24 SANFRANCISCO 30 54 -4.5 47 Home Minus 5*
                          8:15 PM NYGIANTS 15 PITTSBURGH 23 38 -6.5 36.5
                          Dave
                          MacktheTeach
                          Comment
                          • usma1992
                            SBR MVP
                            • 08-02-11
                            • 1410

                            #83
                            Curious how the system does this weekend....

                            Mostly positive on the college bets. NFL is a question mark for me mentally... SF is injured and my system can't take that into account. However, Vegas has to take that into account and lower their odds.

                            New Orleans +7.5... I don't even know the NO QB now... but I trust my system.

                            Atlanta ... TB over makes sense...

                            Dave
                            MacktheTeach
                            Comment
                            • usma1992
                              SBR MVP
                              • 08-02-11
                              • 1410

                              #84
                              Went 4-3 this weekend... wish it was better but...

                              I haven't had a losing weekend in college football yet... I hope NFL delivers.

                              I hope all is well.


                              Dave
                              MacktheTeach
                              Comment
                              • usma1992
                                SBR MVP
                                • 08-02-11
                                • 1410

                                #85
                                College Basketball is where the money is made... less than 30 days

                                to my program launch... I guess we will see... if I can duplicate last season.

                                Dave
                                MacktheTeach
                                Comment
                                • BCaldwell32
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 12-13-08
                                  • 1027

                                  #86
                                  Originally posted by usma1992
                                  I haven't had a losing weekend in college football yet... I hope NFL delivers.

                                  I hope all is well.


                                  Dave
                                  MacktheTeach
                                  Another great day yesterday, would have been 5-1 if not for Tulsa outscoring UTSA 29-3 in last 16 minutes!
                                  Comment
                                  • usma1992
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 08-02-11
                                    • 1410

                                    #87
                                    BCALDWELL... I appreciate you

                                    Dave
                                    MacktheTeach
                                    Comment
                                    • BCaldwell32
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 12-13-08
                                      • 1027

                                      #88
                                      I always wanted to look into building my own model. How do you suggest getting started, any tools or links you can suggest?
                                      Comment
                                      • DJK
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 01-17-11
                                        • 2424

                                        #89
                                        Originally posted by BCaldwell32
                                        I always wanted to look into building my own model. How do you suggest getting started, any tools or links you can suggest?
                                        Total waste of time.

                                        In this age of AI, if it was remotely possible, then don't you think someone has done it already?
                                        Comment
                                        • usma1992
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 08-02-11
                                          • 1410

                                          #90
                                          BCaldwell...

                                          It has taken me 15 years to get here... You need to be able to program... understand statistics... be a math guy and start collecting data... which is the toughest part. If you can do all that... than go for it.

                                          Dave
                                          MacktheTeach
                                          Comment
                                          • usma1992
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 08-02-11
                                            • 1410

                                            #91
                                            7-5 for the Weekend... just over 58%... not bad...

                                            Up another 2 units...

                                            +17 Units overall...

                                            Dave
                                            MacktheTeach
                                            Comment
                                            • usma1992
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 08-02-11
                                              • 1410

                                              #92
                                              Even I am impressed with the results... Week 10 NCAAF

                                              NCAAF 2024Week10 O/U& SPREADS NO BETS UNTIL WEEK 4
                                              Time AWAY TEAM PROJ AWAY SCORE HOME TEAM PROJ HOME SCORE TOTAL VEGAS SPREAD VEGAS O/U SPREAD BET O/U BET
                                              7:00 PM New Mexico State 16 Florida Internatio 26 42 -7.5 45
                                              7:30 PM Louisiana-Lafayett 25 Texas State 32 57 -3 58.5 Home Minus 5*
                                              8:00 PM Louisiana Tech 17 Sam Houston State 26 43 -10.5 45.5
                                              7:00 PM Jacksonville State 26 Liberty 33 59 -1 63
                                              7:30 PM Kennesaw State 3 Western Kentucky 39 42 -24.5 50
                                              7:30 PM Tulane 38 Charlotte 12 50 16 55
                                              7:00 PM Georgia State 19 Connecticut 37 56 -7 49 Over 3*
                                              7:30 PM South Florida 28 Florida Atlantic 24 52 2.5 53.5
                                              8:00 PM San Diego State 13 Boise State 41 54 -23.5 57.5
                                              12:00 PM Virginia Tech 23 Syracuse 35 58 4 54
                                              12:00 PM Air Force 17 Army 40 57 -23.5 41
                                              12:00 PM Mississippi 38 Arkansas 24 62 6.5 55
                                              12:00 PM Duke 12 Miami (Florida) 42 54 -20 54.5
                                              12:00 PM Buffalo 24 Akron 18 42 1 47
                                              12:00 PM Toledo 29 Eastern Michigan 27 56 7.5 52.5 Home Plus 5* Over 5*
                                              12:00 PM Northwestern 21 Purdue 12 33 1.5 47
                                              12:00 PM Minnesota 18 Illinois 13 31 2.5 45
                                              12:00 PM Stanford 20 North Carolina Sta 26 46 -9.5 47.5
                                              12:00 PM Memphis 38 UTSA 32 70 7 61
                                              12:00 PM Ohio State 22 Penn State 17 39 4 47
                                              12:45 PM Vanderbilt 14 Auburn 24 38 -6 48
                                              2:30 PM Old Dominion 31 Appalachian State 33 64 2.5 60
                                              2:30 PM Tulsa 31 UAB 35 66 -3.5 58
                                              3:30 PM Arizona 23 UCF 30 53 -6 55.5
                                              3:30 PM Louisiana-Monroe 12 Marshall 26 38 -10 47
                                              3:30 PM Indiana 31 Michigan State 8 39 7 51
                                              3:30 PM North Carolina 35 Florida State 15 50 3 50
                                              3:30 PM Florida 11 Georgia 33 44 -16 52.5
                                              3:30 PM Middle Tennessee 21 UTEP 27 48 -3 52
                                              3:30 PM Texas Tech 28 Iowa State 44 72 -14.5 56
                                              3:30 PM Kansas State 27 Houston 6 33 13 46.5
                                              3:30 PM UCLA 7 Nebraska 26 33 -7 40
                                              3:30 PM Oregon 33 Michigan 4 37 14.5 45
                                              4:00 PM Navy 36 Rice 17 53 12.5 51.5
                                              4:00 PM Coastal Carolina 28 Troy 19 47 4 52
                                              4:00 PM Wyoming 26 New Mexico 40 66 -7 60.5
                                              4:15 PM Massachusetts 22 Mississippi State 31 53 -18 59
                                              7:00 PM Arizona State 34 Oklahoma State 25 59 0 57
                                              7:00 PM Hawai'i 16 Fresno State 28 44 -13 48.5
                                              7:30 PM Louisville 25 Clemson 39 64 -11 61.5 Home Minus 3*
                                              7:30 PM Georgia Southern 27 South Alabama 40 67 -6 60.5
                                              7:30 PM USC 26 Washington 24 50 2.5 55.5
                                              7:30 PM Wisconsin 21 Iowa 15 36 -4 42
                                              7:30 PM Texas A&M 21 South Carolina 19 40 3.5 45.5
                                              7:45 PM Kentucky 2 Tennessee 36 38 -16 45
                                              8:00 PM TCU 29 Baylor 26 55 -3 64
                                              8:00 PM Pittsburgh 24 SMU 32 56 -7 59
                                              8:00 PM Colorado State 23 Nevada 23 46 1 44.5 Over 3*
                                              Dave
                                              MacktheTeach
                                              Comment
                                              • usma1992
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 08-02-11
                                                • 1410

                                                #93
                                                So Far this Year 55-38 ... Up 17 Units... 59.1%

                                                Very Happy!!! And we are just getting started.

                                                Dave
                                                MacktheTeach
                                                Comment
                                                • usma1992
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 08-02-11
                                                  • 1410

                                                  #94
                                                  Giving you fair warning on NFL... this week...

                                                  I might change one small feature after this weekend. I am not a fan of the picks but I going to bet them and run it anyway. The one thing I might change is the weighting of the spreads. I have a unique approach to taking the spreads into account. If it works again, I obviously won't change anything. I am skeptical.

                                                  NFL 2024Week9 O/U& SPREADS No Bets Until Week 3 or 4
                                                  Time AWAY TEAM PROJ AWAY SCORE HOME TEAM PROJ HOME SCORE TOTAL VEGAS SPREAD VEGAS O/U SPREAD BET O/U BET
                                                  8:15 PM HOUSTON 23 NYJETS 19 42 -2 42
                                                  1:00 PM NEWENGLAND 15 TENNESSEE 20 35 -3 38
                                                  1:00 PM LACHARGERS 22 CLEVELAND 21 43 1 42
                                                  1:00 PM NEWORLEANS 29 CAROLINA 18 47 7 45
                                                  1:00 PM MIAMI 16 BUFFALO 23 39 -6.5 50
                                                  1:00 PM DALLAS 25 ATLANTA 29 54 -3 52
                                                  1:00 PM DENVER 22 BALTIMORE 27 49 -9.5 45 Away Plus 5*
                                                  1:00 PM LASVEGAS 25 CINCINNATI 26 51 -7.5 46.5 Away Plus 5*
                                                  1:00 PM WASHINGTON 28 NYGIANTS 18 46 3.5 43
                                                  4:05 PM CHICAGO 24 ARIZONA 18 42 0 44.5
                                                  4:05 PM JACKSONVILLE 16 PHILADELPHIA 30 46 -7.5 45.5
                                                  4:25 PM LARAMS 27 SEATTLE 27 54 1 48.5
                                                  4:25 PM DETROIT 27 GREENBAY 24 51 3.5 48.5
                                                  8:20 PM INDIANAPOLIS 21 MINNESOTA 23 44 -6 45.5 Away Plus 5*
                                                  8:15 PM TAMPABAY 25 KANSASCITY 31 56 -9.5 45 Away Plus 5* Over 5*
                                                  12:00 AM 0 #N/A 0 #N/A #N/A 0 0 #N/A #N/A

                                                  Dave
                                                  MacktheTeach
                                                  Comment
                                                  • usma1992
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 08-02-11
                                                    • 1410

                                                    #95
                                                    Well... I looked at the parameters for Away + the points and in the past at the current algorithms... Away+ is hitting 91% of the time based on historical data.

                                                    I changed the parameters to tighten them a little and it dropped to 85% and it eliminated 3 of the 4 away+ games. The only one that it kept was the Las Vegas game which I hate the most.

                                                    So I am not sure what to do at this point. I guess I should just keep the bets as is and see what transpires. This is an unusual week because about 7 bets are a TD or more point spread. I am going to not make any adjustments... but I do believe this week will make my program stronger.

                                                    A suggestion. Lower your betting percentage on NFL this week. Maybe go 1% ... 3%. Sunday should be interesting.

                                                    Any real opinions... I appreciate your response.


                                                    Dave
                                                    MacktheTeach
                                                    Comment
                                                    • adrenalinerush
                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                      • 11-13-10
                                                      • 140

                                                      #96
                                                      I've been tailing Dave. Appreciate all the work you've put in and shared with everyone! Fully aware these systems aren't fool-proof and require tweaks from time to time, but so far so good! Agree the LV pick worries me (even as a life-long Raiders fan), but seems when I begin to pick and choose that I lose out.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • BCaldwell32
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 12-13-08
                                                        • 1027

                                                        #97
                                                        Originally posted by usma1992
                                                        BCaldwell...

                                                        It has taken me 15 years to get here... You need to be able to program... understand statistics... be a math guy and start collecting data... which is the toughest part. If you can do all that... than go for it.

                                                        Dave
                                                        MacktheTeach
                                                        I am very strong in math and statistics but never did any programming.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • usma1992
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 08-02-11
                                                          • 1410

                                                          #98
                                                          After the fact, I was able to add a feature that eliminated the Louisiana game and didn't affect the past. I will obviously still count it as a loss but I continue to upgrade.

                                                          My hope is to be on fire... next year. This year has been fantastic, but I plan to risk much higher stakes, next year.

                                                          Dave
                                                          MacktheTeach
                                                          Comment
                                                          • usma1992
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 08-02-11
                                                            • 1410

                                                            #99
                                                            Generated first NBA... picks today... not publishing

                                                            Now, that I think I got my NBA system up and accepting data, I might try and analyze the past years and come up with working algorithms.

                                                            NBA has been my toughest model so far.

                                                            I feel like it is a tale of two cities before and after the All Star break. It seems like the teams play defense after the break and don't prior to the break.

                                                            I am just brain storming. I will not be betting a penny on NBA this year until I get a working system. I will be betting college bball... which I believe to be my best system.


                                                            DO NOT BET MY PICKS!!! But I will provide them.

                                                            Dave
                                                            MacktheTeach
                                                            Comment
                                                            • usma1992
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 08-02-11
                                                              • 1410

                                                              #100
                                                              Screw it... here are my initial picks... Don't bet them... seriously...

                                                              I'm adjusting the model too much...

                                                              Time AWAY TEAM PROJ AWAY SCORE HOME TEAM PROJ HOME SCORE TOTAL VEGAS SPREAD VEGAS O/U SPREAD BET O/U BET
                                                              7:10 PM ATLANTA 117 WASHINGTON 112 229 5 234.0 Too Close Too Close
                                                              7:10 PM LA LAKERS 112 CLEVELAND 127 239 -4 227.0 Home Minus F Too Close
                                                              7:10 PM BOSTON 119 INDIANA 112 231 7 235.5 Too Close Too Close
                                                              7:10 PM TORONTO 112 CHARLOTTE 112 225 -6.5 225.0 Too Close Too Close
                                                              7:10 PM DETROIT 111 PHILADELPHIA 114 225 -4 219.5 Too Close Too Close
                                                              7:40 PM NEW YORK 112 MIAMI 112 224 1.5 214.0 Too Close Too Close
                                                              8:10 PM ORLANDO 123 CHICAGO 112 234 5.5 228.5 Away Minus F Too Close
                                                              8:10 PM BROOKLYN 114 MEMPHIS 127 240 -12 224.5 Too Close Too Close
                                                              9:40 PM SAN ANTONIO 99 OKLAHOMA CITY 115 214 -12.5 221.5 Too Close Too Close
                                                              10:10 PM NEW ORLEANS 109 GOLDEN STATE 118 227 -3.5 218.5 Too Close Too Close
                                                              10:40 PM PORTLAND 107 LA CLIPPERS 116 222 -8 220.0 Too Close Too Close
                                                              Comment
                                                              • usma1992
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 08-02-11
                                                                • 1410

                                                                #101
                                                                I am not betting them... so please if they go wrong... don't blame me... my system isn't good yet. It may never be... but I will continue to try.

                                                                I will post NBA picks by Nov 7th... even if I don't believe in them. I helped me learn. These two picks are just teasers.

                                                                Dave
                                                                MacktheTeach
                                                                Comment
                                                                • usma1992
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 08-02-11
                                                                  • 1410

                                                                  #102
                                                                  NBA PICKS STARTING TONIGHT... I DO NOT WANT ANY ONE TO BET ON PICKS BUT I WILL POST ANY WAY. College Basketball will be ready soon. That system is worth betting on.

                                                                  Time AWAY TEAM PROJ AWAY SCORE HOME TEAM PROJ HOME SCORE TOTAL VEGAS SPREAD VEGAS O/U SPREAD BET O/U BET
                                                                  8:10 PM MILWAUKEE 119 MEMPHIS 120 238.5565345 6.5 232.0 Home Plus 5* Over 5*
                                                                  8:40 PM HOUSTON 109 DALLAS 118 227.3175382 -6 226.0
                                                                  9:10 PM SAN ANTONIO 114 UTAH 108 222.1406711 -2 222.0 Away Plus 3*
                                                                  10:40 PM PHOENIX 112 LA CLIPPERS 112 223.6799341 5 221.0 Home Plus 5*
                                                                  12:00 AM 0 #N/A 0 #N/A #N/A 0 0.0 #N/A #N/A
                                                                  12:00 AM 0 #N/A 0 #N/A #N/A 0 0.0 #N/A #N/A
                                                                  12:00 AM 0 #N/A 0 #N/A #N/A 0 0.0 #N/A #N/A
                                                                  12:00 AM 0 #N/A 0 #N/A #N/A 0 0.0 #N/A #N/A
                                                                  12:00 AM 0 #N/A 0 #N/A #N/A 0 0.0 #N/A #N/A
                                                                  12:00 AM 0 #N/A 0 #N/A #N/A 0 0.0 #N/A #N/A
                                                                  12:00 AM 0 #N/A 0 #N/A #N/A 0 0.0 #N/A #N/A
                                                                  12:00 AM 0 #N/A 0 #N/A #N/A 0 0.0 #N/A #N/A
                                                                  12:00 AM 0 #N/A 0 #N/A #N/A 0 0.0 #N/A #N/A
                                                                  12:00 AM 0 #N/A 0 #N/A #N/A 0 0.0 #N/A #N/A
                                                                  12:00 AM 0 #N/A 0 #N/A #N/A 0 0.0 #N/A #N/A
                                                                  Dave
                                                                  MacktheTeach
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • usma1992
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 08-02-11
                                                                    • 1410

                                                                    #103
                                                                    NBA... underway... and I am upgrading and trying to produce picks at same time...

                                                                    So I am spending a tremendous amount of time right now... trying to fine tune my model for NBA. It was unsuccessful last season and I know I can do better.

                                                                    I launched it yesterday with the preface that you shouldn't bet it. I already made some upgrades that eliminated the Memphis over... but it increased the San Antonio bet to a 5 Star.

                                                                    Did the line really move on San Antonio game from -2 to +2.5. My system predicted a health margin of victory without getting the 2 points.

                                                                    Am I that tuned in where the lines are moving when I spot an anomaly? If you look at NBA post I had SA winning by 8 I think and they were getting two points... the line adjusted... accordingly.

                                                                    Dave
                                                                    MacktheTeach
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • usma1992
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 08-02-11
                                                                      • 1410

                                                                      #104
                                                                      Hey... my NBA program... is still developing...

                                                                      but... my friend... just asked me to continue to send him all the data because I am producing better numbers than most.

                                                                      Don't bet my NBA until it is ready. I don't know how many people are even tracking me but I don't want anyone to lose money unnecessarily.

                                                                      Dave
                                                                      MacktheTeach
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • usma1992
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 08-02-11
                                                                        • 1410

                                                                        #105
                                                                        NBA 2-1 last night... and only lost by .5 points on the loss. Again, I am not betting this year. I need to fine tune it. But for those that want action... I will be posting bets every night from here on out... NCAAB is worth betting... I killed it last year but I won't start that until Nov. Hope all is well...

                                                                        Time AWAY TEAM PROJ AWAY SCORE HOME TEAM PROJ HOME SCORE TOTAL VEGAS SPREAD VEGAS O/U SPREAD BET O/U BET
                                                                        7:10 PM BOSTON 129 CHARLOTTE 113 242 10.5 232.0
                                                                        7:10 PM NEW YORK 116 DETROIT 110 226 6.5 217.5
                                                                        7:10 PM ORLANDO 105 CLEVELAND 127 232 -7.5 217.5 Over 5*
                                                                        7:40 PM SACRAMENTO 123 ATLANTA 109 232 6.5 237.0 Away Minus 5*
                                                                        7:40 PM LA LAKERS 123 TORONTO 116 239 9.5 231.0
                                                                        7:40 PM CHICAGO 115 BROOKLYN 122 237 -1.5 226.5
                                                                        8:10 PM INDIANA 121 NEW ORLEANS 110 231 4.5 232.0 Away Minus 5*
                                                                        9:40 PM DENVER 113 MINNESOTA 118 231 -4 218.5 Over 5*
                                                                        10:10 PM OKLAHOMA CITY 127 PORTLAND 103 230 11.5 221.0 Over 5*
                                                                        Dave
                                                                        MacktheTeach
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