(2024 Olympics) Men's BASK - Notes/Plays

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  • ChuckyTheGoat
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 04-04-11
    • 37062

    #141
    Originally posted by Optional
    A bit more support for Jock Landale than last two games and it could be close. Aussie men have a good record v Serbia. 3-2 since Rio to Australia.

    Women should roll though I think.
    Opti, so far so good. Aussies up 44-20.
    Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
    Comment
    • ChuckyTheGoat
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 04-04-11
      • 37062

      #142
      Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
      Opti, so far so good. Aussies up 44-20.
      Mills is going crazy. 18 pts, he's shutting me up.
      Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
      Comment
      • Igor_1965
        SBR MVP
        • 04-18-15
        • 2631

        #143
        Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
        Mills is going crazy. 18 pts, he's shutting me up.
        Only way Serbia has a chance is double team this Australian version of S. Curry circa 2017

        Force his teammates to make jump shots
        Comment
        • ChuckyTheGoat
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 04-04-11
          • 37062

          #144
          Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
          Opti, so far so good. Aussies up 44-20.
          SERBs with a big comeback. 65-64, going to be a wire-job.
          Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
          Comment
          • IBetYou
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 07-03-15
            • 8158

            #145
            Serbs by 7 or 8 I reckon.
            Comment
            • ChuckyTheGoat
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 04-04-11
              • 37062

              #146
              Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
              SERBs with a big comeback. 65-64, going to be a wire-job.
              Overtime!
              Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
              Comment
              • Optional
                Administrator
                • 06-10-10
                • 61065

                #147
                Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
                Opti, so far so good. Aussies up 44-20.
                Bet365 paid out my bet early for being 18 ahead but nail biting here for the win hard.
                .
                Comment
                • Optional
                  Administrator
                  • 06-10-10
                  • 61065

                  #148

                  .
                  Comment
                  • ChuckyTheGoat
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 04-04-11
                    • 37062

                    #149
                    Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
                    Overtime!
                    Tough one, Opti. Listen to this Steven Adams clip. I know he's from New Zealand:

                    Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                    Comment
                    • SomeDayinBuffalo
                      SBR MVP
                      • 08-12-11
                      • 1454

                      #150
                      I like the France pick. I'm rolling with the under in the USA game.
                      Comment
                      • MalikHusam
                        SBR MVP
                        • 09-07-16
                        • 2671

                        #151
                        Oh wow... France is looking fine
                        Comment
                        • SomeDayinBuffalo
                          SBR MVP
                          • 08-12-11
                          • 1454

                          #152
                          Great game. What a shot by France at the end. The crowed was great.
                          Comment
                          • ChuckyTheGoat
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 04-04-11
                            • 37062

                            #153
                            Originally posted by MalikHusam
                            Oh wow... France is looking fine
                            What's up, Malik? How are things?

                            France wins:
                            1) I thought France couldn't play any worse.
                            2) Figured they'd get a jolt from the Home crowd.
                            3) Felt like Canada was being over-hyped.
                            Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                            Comment
                            • MalikHusam
                              SBR MVP
                              • 09-07-16
                              • 2671

                              #154
                              They get major points from players I never even heard of. Great stuff

                              Good bet C
                              Comment
                              • ChuckyTheGoat
                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                • 04-04-11
                                • 37062

                                #155
                                Originally posted by SomeDayinBuffalo
                                I like the France pick. I'm rolling with the under in the USA game.
                                I scouted out this game. I expected the USA to (not surprisingly) have an easy game. Thought about laying the -27 but Passed.
                                Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                Comment
                                • ChuckyTheGoat
                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                  • 04-04-11
                                  • 37062

                                  #156
                                  Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
                                  *PR covers comfortably.
                                  *Serbia play was a disaster. Other plays have been OK.
                                  ytd = 10-11 ATS.
                                  France wins. ytd = 13-11 ATS.

                                  USA blitzing. Looks like the Sem-finals will be Germ/FRA and Serb/USA.
                                  Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                  Comment
                                  • ChuckyTheGoat
                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                    • 04-04-11
                                    • 37062

                                    #157
                                    Two 1* plays for the Semi-finals. Playing both dogs:

                                    Serbia +16 1.92: 1 to win .92
                                    France +5.5 1.91: 1 to win .91. Gobert should play more MIN (than last game).
                                    Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                    Comment
                                    • ChuckyTheGoat
                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                      • 04-04-11
                                      • 37062

                                      #158
                                      Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
                                      Two 1* plays for the Semi-finals. Playing both dogs:

                                      Serbia +16 1.92: 1 to win .92
                                      France +5.5 1.91: 1 to win .91. Gobert should play more MIN (than last game).
                                      2nd unit on each:
                                      *Serb +16 1.95: 1 to win .95
                                      *FRA +6 1.91: 1 to win .91
                                      Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                      Comment
                                      • SomeDayinBuffalo
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 08-12-11
                                        • 1454

                                        #159
                                        Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
                                        2nd unit on each:
                                        *Serb +16 1.95: 1 to win .95
                                        *FRA +6 1.91: 1 to win .91
                                        I like both picks. Just a little worried about France. They have home court and that's a bigger deal than the NBA.
                                        Comment
                                        • ChuckyTheGoat
                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                          • 04-04-11
                                          • 37062

                                          #160
                                          Originally posted by SomeDayinBuffalo
                                          I like both picks. Just a little worried about France. They have home court and that's a bigger deal than the NBA.
                                          Hey, Buffalo. Thx for the post.

                                          I'm pretty honest about this. These are my best attempts at +EV:

                                          1) FRA: Yes, the HCA should be a big deal. It's a Semi-Final, support should be good.
                                          ...Team is in some transition. Word is that Gobert got benched last game (instead of a finger injury). I expect him to play more today. Got contributions from others last game. I'm looking for a good effort, and I like the line-value.

                                          2) SERB: I've been high on them. I just don't think Serbia has played their best in the two games vs USA. Last meet was the game where Durant was perfect in the 1st half. On most days I think SERB hangs with the USA. And how can you not like the big Dog when you have a world-class player like Jokic?
                                          Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                          Comment
                                          • Optional
                                            Administrator
                                            • 06-10-10
                                            • 61065

                                            #161
                                            Strong start by the Krauts
                                            .
                                            Comment
                                            • ChuckyTheGoat
                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                              • 04-04-11
                                              • 37062

                                              #162
                                              Originally posted by Optional
                                              Strong start by the Krauts
                                              Ya. French closing the gap. 33-33 now.

                                              The two guys losing minutes are Fournier/Gobert. The coach is not messing around. This could be a good thing.

                                              I've said this a million times. These are just my bets. If I'm wrong, I'm wrong.
                                              Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                              Comment
                                              • SomeDayinBuffalo
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 08-12-11
                                                • 1454

                                                #163
                                                I like James Pts & R 22.5
                                                Comment
                                                • ChuckyTheGoat
                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                  • 04-04-11
                                                  • 37062

                                                  #164
                                                  Big comeback. USA survives.
                                                  Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                                  Comment
                                                  • ChuckyTheGoat
                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                    • 04-04-11
                                                    • 37062

                                                    #165
                                                    Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
                                                    France wins. ytd = 13-11 ATS.

                                                    USA blitzing. Looks like the Sem-finals will be Germ/FRA and Serb/USA.
                                                    Two dogs cover. ytd = 17-11 ATS.
                                                    Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                                    Comment
                                                    • super mario 48
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 10-01-20
                                                      • 830

                                                      #166
                                                      Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
                                                      Hey, Buffalo. Thx for the post.

                                                      I'm pretty honest about this. These are my best attempts at +EV:

                                                      1) FRA: Yes, the HCA should be a big deal. It's a Semi-Final, support should be good.
                                                      ...Team is in some transition. Word is that Gobert got benched last game (instead of a finger injury). I expect him to play more today. Got contributions from others last game. I'm looking for a good effort, and I like the line-value.

                                                      2) SERB: I've been high on them. I just don't think Serbia has played their best in the two games vs USA. Last meet was the game where Durant was perfect in the 1st half. On most days I think SERB hangs with the USA. And how can you not like the big Dog when you have a world-class player like Jokic?
                                                      Good analysis. Serbia punched them hard.

                                                      Did you keep track of live betting lines? Was the U.S. ever a ML underdog, like late in the third?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Optional
                                                        Administrator
                                                        • 06-10-10
                                                        • 61065

                                                        #167
                                                        Originally posted by super mario 48

                                                        Good analysis. Serbia punched them hard.

                                                        Did you keep track of live betting lines? Was the U.S. ever a ML underdog, like late in the third?
                                                        Yes, for a while actually. +115 was biggest I saw.
                                                        .
                                                        Comment
                                                        • ChuckyTheGoat
                                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                          • 04-04-11
                                                          • 37062

                                                          #168
                                                          Originally posted by super mario 48
                                                          Good analysis. Serbia punched them hard.

                                                          Did you keep track of live betting lines? Was the U.S. ever a ML underdog, like late in the third?
                                                          Thx, Mario! Serbia was in good shape. Props to USA, they hit the clutch shots in the 4th qtr.

                                                          I really don't track Live-betting. Primary reason = the 30-cent standard juice, way too high. I have to think the US was a Dog at some point late in 3q (or early 4q).
                                                          Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                                          Comment
                                                          • ChuckyTheGoat
                                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                            • 04-04-11
                                                            • 37062

                                                            #169
                                                            My thoughts on the Bronze/Gold medal games. Very likely passes from a betting perspective:

                                                            *Bronze: Situationally, I give the Edge to GERM. Serbia comes off a heavy-wt bout versus Team USA. Serbs played great, had one foot into the Finals. Team USA hit clutch shots down the stretch, pulled it out. That said, I'd have a hard time going against Serbia (w/ Jokic) at a short price. Pass for me.

                                                            *Gold: Team USA faced their stiffest test versus Serbia. So close to having the Gold go up in smoke. France off two great Underdog wins. My big hesitation is that Gobert is now (virtually) out of the rotation. Finger injury or in the Coach's dog-house, I would not feel good about backing FRA when their big-name player is likely to get only a few minutes. Pass for me.
                                                            Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                                            Comment
                                                            • ChuckyTheGoat
                                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                              • 04-04-11
                                                              • 37062

                                                              #170
                                                              Wow, FRA came to win, they played their hearts out. Curry too good down the stretch, Amazing!
                                                              Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Optional
                                                                Administrator
                                                                • 06-10-10
                                                                • 61065

                                                                #171
                                                                Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
                                                                Wow, FRA came to win, they played their hearts out. Curry too good down the stretch, Amazing!
                                                                I think he went on a one man 14 point run that suddenly crushed the French hopes in about 90 secs of play time
                                                                .
                                                                Comment
                                                                • ChuckyTheGoat
                                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                  • 04-04-11
                                                                  • 37062

                                                                  #172
                                                                  Originally posted by Optional
                                                                  I think he went on a one man 14 point run that suddenly crushed the French hopes in about 90 secs of play time
                                                                  Ya, Opti. France was right there.

                                                                  I've been critical of this Team USA. But that was an amazing finish. What a capper by Curry.
                                                                  Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                                                  Comment
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