president futures are paying big

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  • Itsamazing777
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 11-14-12
    • 12602

    #106
    Bet on Trump to lose Galt. Where's your balls, you liberal cuck.
    Comment
    • JohnGalt2341
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 12-31-09
      • 9138

      #107
      Originally posted by Itsamazing777
      No. He can't stand that Trump is a huge favorite to win the election. I post my views and he attacks them. His arrogance stinks. He believes that anyone who believes that the heavy favorite will win the election must not bet. He is a coward and a loser.


      You're hliarious.

      #1 At the moment, Trump is somewhere between a 62% and 64% favorite to win the election as of right now. In my book, that is not a HUGE favorite. I make wagers based on 2 things and 2 things only, PROBABILITY and PRICE. I don't give a rats ass about anything else.

      #2 I don't attack your views, I just call you out on your nonsense. This seems to bother you, just like it does with your hero.

      Also... I do have a small wager on Biden to win the election at +575(I can post this for you as well if you'd like). But to be honest with you... I don't like his chances. But at +575 I'll take a small shot. I'm not a fan of Biden, none of this is emotional for me like it is for you. I'm actually trying to win money here! You could make a nice chunk of change just by tailing my Political wagers... but you let your emotions get involved. THIS is how people lose money!

      What would you say Trump's chances are of winning the 2024 election? Based on his current price(and your probability)... I'll tell you what your expected value is. I'm trying to help you here. I know you don't believe me, but I am.
      Comment
      • JohnGalt2341
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 12-31-09
        • 9138

        #108
        Originally posted by Itsamazing777
        Bet on Trump to lose Galt. Where's your balls, you liberal cuck.


        The hilarity continues. You think because I don't suck Trump's schlong like you do, that that automatically makes me a liberal right?

        I challenge you to find even a single post of mine where I am supporting ANY Liberal candidate or Liberal agenda.

        Better yet... here's a thread I started back in 2011 in support Republican Presidential Candidate Ron Paul. Do you REALLY think a "liberal" would start a thread like this?



        Let me explain something to you... in a Sporting event... such as an MMA fight or a Football game or such... there can be 2 GREAT teams, or fighters... OR there can be be 1 good and 1 bad. OR there can be 2 VERY VERY VERY BAD Teams, or fighters. Just because 1 is awful, it doesn't automatically make the other one great. Some people think things are like a teeter-totter. They see some mediocre team or fighter absolutely destroy their unbelievably terrible opponent, and in their brain... they get tricked into believing that the one team or fighter MUST be absolutely fantastic. This is often not the case. What we are dealing with here in this election are likely the 2 worst Presidential candidates in the history of mankind. What makes Trump worse than Biden is that he is more crooked. And that makes him FAR more dangerous.
        Comment
        • homie1975
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 12-24-13
          • 15453

          #109
          if trump loses it will Not because it is rigged,

          it will be because of the Dobbs decision overturning Roe (thanks to Trump's 3 SCOTUS nominees and it pissed off women big time) as well as Project 2025 which has 140 former Trump staffers behind it and last because most can see he is an autocrat and will do anything to stay in power even bend the will of the people and stress the checks and balances like no other.

          that alone will get people off the couch on 11/5 and earlier (mail in votes).

          Donnie believes in mail in voting now !!!

          Trump sucks and Biden sucks.

          Trump just scares people too much.

          Harris stinks too, but again less scary to people than Trump.
          Comment
          • coop-dog
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 07-11-20
            • 944

            #110
            clinton is in the conversation now,

            Polls are already asking voters whether they would support Hillary Clinton as president. Even international news outlets are posting this information. When
            Comment
            • ChuckyTheGoat
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 04-04-11
              • 37050

              #111
              As our model launches, either Biden or Trump could easily win — but the odds are in the ex-president’s favor.


              *Personally, I view the election as a betting event. If I can profit on it, great.

              Silver names the three battle-ground states as MI/WI/PA. Silver says that Biden is losing GA/AZ/NV, so Biden may need to sweep MI/WI/PA.

              The Electoral college is very tricky. US presidential election has a long history of the Electoral college not lining up w/ the Popular vote.
              Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
              Comment
              • ChuckyTheGoat
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 04-04-11
                • 37050

                #112
                Create your own forecast for the 2028 presidential election


                This map shows similar output. Very close race. Really six battle-ground states.
                Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                Comment
                • homie1975
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 12-24-13
                  • 15453

                  #113
                  Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
                  https://www.270towin.com/

                  This map shows similar output. Very close race. Really six battle-ground states.
                  I literally have it 270-268 Dems

                  i have NV AZ NC GA TX OH FL IA obviously going Red

                  i have MN, MI, WI PA VA all going blue

                  270 for blue
                  268 for red

                  how crazy would that be?
                  Comment
                  • homie1975
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 12-24-13
                    • 15453

                    #114
                    Originally posted by coop-dog
                    clinton is in the conversation now,

                    https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/i...harris-ticket/
                    i would be shocked if hillary was brought back after that awful turnout she brought in 2016.

                    she has been out of the scene for 8 years and i believe pretty much forgotten.

                    michelle obama and hillary clinton get hurt by their last names.

                    it will be kamala at the top of the ticket imo
                    Comment
                    • homie1975
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 12-24-13
                      • 15453

                      #115
                      there is enough MAGA fear in MN, WI, MI and PA that they are extremely likely to go Blue

                      MAGA and now the intro of Project 2025 is going to get people off the couch.
                      Comment
                      • DwightShrute
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 01-17-09
                        • 102771

                        #116
                        Originally posted by homie1975
                        there is enough MAGA fear in MN, WI, MI and PA that they are extremely likely to go Blue

                        MAGA and now the intro of Project 2025 is going to get people off the couch.
                        Comment
                        • ChuckyTheGoat
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 04-04-11
                          • 37050

                          #117
                          That's why they play the Games.

                          I'll be watching that interactive map. I mentioned that Trump may have swung the campaign vs Hillary with his late campaigning. In other words, he may have swung votes with more Hand-shakes.

                          That's the Old School way of doing it. Target the Swing States where you can sway voter sentiment. Speak there, shake some hands and try to win the Battleground states.

                          I heard Trump speak in Florida and talk about "the great people in Florida." Say whatever you want about Trump. This guy is a businessman and he knows how to influence people.
                          Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                          Comment
                          • homie1975
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 12-24-13
                            • 15453

                            #118
                            Originally posted by DwightShrute
                            keep laughing bro.

                            i am way more neutral on this than you think.

                            the red team is petrified of kamala as she is polling 50% of women vs 43% for donnie.

                            she will pull more women and independents.

                            if stubborn old sleepy creepy joe gets out of the way, look out.
                            Comment
                            • DwightShrute
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 01-17-09
                              • 102771

                              #119
                              Originally posted by homie1975
                              keep laughing bro.

                              i am way more neutral on this than you think.

                              the red team is petrified of kamala as she is polling 50% of women vs 43% for donnie.

                              she will pull more women and independents.

                              if stubborn old sleepy creepy joe gets out of the way, look out.
                              Comment
                              • homie1975
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 12-24-13
                                • 15453

                                #120
                                Comment
                                • JohnGalt2341
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 12-31-09
                                  • 9138

                                  #121
                                  Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
                                  That's why they play the Games.

                                  I'll be watching that interactive map. I mentioned that Trump may have swung the campaign vs Hillary with his late campaigning. In other words, he may have swung votes with more Hand-shakes.

                                  That's the Old School way of doing it. Target the Swing States where you can sway voter sentiment. Speak there, shake some hands and try to win the Battleground states.

                                  I heard Trump speak in Florida and talk about "the great people in Florida." Say whatever you want about Trump. This guy is a businessman and he knows how to influence people.
                                  I would describe Trump as a MASTERFUL bullshitter. Probably one of the best the world has ever known. He could say cat turds are the best tasting snacks in the world, and there would be millions of idiots in this country that would start eating cat turds. Trump is also very entertaining. People love that about him, especially the type of people who have a difficult time distguinshing fantasy from reality.

                                  To me Trump is VERY similar to Tommy Wiseau from the movie The Room. Sure he's entertaining, and often hilarious(usually unintentionally). But let's be honest, he's a delusional clown. And in Trump's case, he's a dangerous delusional clown.

                                  For people who can't figure out how big of a bullshitter Trump is... there are 2 very simple indicators for this. #1 Bet on the OVER for number of non-facts he will tell when he debates or speaks. I've bet on the Over every time, and I haven't lost yet. I've won close to a dozen(maybe more) of these now. #2 He said he weighs 215lbs. Anyone that's not legally blind should be able to figure out that this guy is VERY dishonest and delusional, just like Tommy Wiseau.
                                  Comment
                                  • DwightShrute
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 01-17-09
                                    • 102771

                                    #122
                                    Comment
                                    • k13
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 07-16-10
                                      • 18094

                                      #123
                                      Originally posted by homie1975
                                      there is enough MAGA fear in MN, WI, MI and PA that they are extremely likely to go Blue

                                      MAGA and now the intro of Project 2025 is going to get people off the couch.
                                      Go bet on it.
                                      All underdogs.
                                      Comment
                                      • Mac4Lyfe
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 01-04-09
                                        • 48366

                                        #124
                                        Originally posted by texhooper
                                        I think if the left chooses Harris she’ll likely lose and I think if they choose Gavin Newsom then he would win. I think he could present well enough to get blue voters off their chairs where they’d otherwise be apathetic

                                        However, the reason I did so many paragraphs on Trump v Biden and not a longshot as the thread suggests is because I have zero faith in the democratic party to do anything that ever makes any fukking sense. Bernie Sanders would have beaten Trump, I mean so many young people who didn’t show up for Hillary would have shown up for Bernie, and I do think Newsom would get more folks out than Biden. But they are too dumb to do anything that makes sense
                                        I think Dems can win with any man on the ticket. I think they win again with Biden, even if he's in a wheel chair. I don't think a woman, including Kamala can win BUT never discount how much people hate Trump. Folks in 2020 didn't really vote for Biden. They voted against Trump. Those same people are not changing their minds and there are millions. Dems need to ride it out with Biden. He'll beat Trump again just because.
                                        Comment
                                        • Mac4Lyfe
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 01-04-09
                                          • 48366

                                          #125
                                          Originally posted by JohnGalt2341
                                          I would describe Trump as a MASTERFUL bullshitter. Probably one of the best the world has ever known. He could say cat turds are the best tasting snacks in the world, and there would be millions of idiots in this country that would start eating cat turds. Trump is also very entertaining. People love that about him, especially the type of people who have a difficult time distguinshing fantasy from reality.

                                          To me Trump is VERY similar to Tommy Wiseau from the movie The Room. Sure he's entertaining, and often hilarious(usually unintentionally). But let's be honest, he's a delusional clown. And in Trump's case, he's a dangerous delusional clown.

                                          For people who can't figure out how big of a bullshitter Trump is... there are 2 very simple indicators for this. #1 Bet on the OVER for number of non-facts he will tell when he debates or speaks. I've bet on the Over every time, and I haven't lost yet. I've won close to a dozen(maybe more) of these now. #2 He said he weighs 215lbs. Anyone that's not legally blind should be able to figure out that this guy is VERY dishonest and delusional, just like Tommy Wiseau.
                                          Let's be honest. How many people here would want to work for Trump? He is the worst boss possibly ever. He wants loyalty but he is dishonest and will throw you under the bus. He's fired every person that's ever worked for him except his kids. He takes all the credit, is NEVER wrong and it is his way or the highway. He says he's smarter than everybody. He can't keep people. Every person, except his kids end up leaving him one way or another. His wives have left. Melania can't be found and said she won't live in the White House. His former VP was almost killed because of him. Pence who was his VP doesn't even support Trump now. Think about that. His own family do not associate with him.

                                          We all know that Trump is a first class asshole. Even Dwight has admitted it. I get the draw that many have to him but when will decent people realize that you can't have an indecent guy like him in charge. He just does not believe in playing fair.
                                          Comment
                                          • DwightShrute
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 01-17-09
                                            • 102771

                                            #126
                                            Originally posted by Mac4Lyfe
                                            Let's be honest. How many people here would want to work for Trump? He is the worst boss possibly ever. He wants loyalty but he is dishonest and will throw you under the bus. He's fired every person that's ever worked for him except his kids. He takes all the credit, is NEVER wrong and it is his way or the highway. He says he's smarter than everybody. He can't keep people. Every person, except his kids end up leaving him one way or another. His wives have left. Melania can't be found and said she won't live in the White House. His former VP was almost killed because of him. Pence who was his VP doesn't even support Trump now. Think about that. His own family do not associate with him.

                                            We all know that Trump is a first class asshole. Even Dwight has admitted it. I get the draw that many have to him but when will decent people realize that you can't have an indecent guy like him in charge. He just does not believe in playing fair.

                                            very little you say is true except the part about Trump being an asshole. I never said he is a first class asshole, only that he can be one. Millions of business owners are. So what? Firm but fair. No pussies.

                                            Still obsessed with Melania LOL

                                            Comment
                                            • homie1975
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 12-24-13
                                              • 15453

                                              #127
                                              DWIGHter after what happened in the 2018 Mids, the 2020 general, and the 2022 Mids,

                                              i would be very careful laughing at me or anyone else.

                                              I called all three of those elections almost to a tee.

                                              Comment
                                              • DwightShrute
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 01-17-09
                                                • 102771

                                                #128
                                                Comment
                                                • homie1975
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 12-24-13
                                                  • 15453

                                                  #129
                                                  You were not laughing in 18, 20 or 22.

                                                  "red wave" in 22. LMAO

                                                  could not flip the senate and barely took a house minority i mean majority.

                                                  LOL
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Itsamazing777
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 11-14-12
                                                    • 12602

                                                    #130
                                                    Originally posted by Mac4Lyfe
                                                    I think Dems can win with any man on the ticket. I think they win again with Biden, even if he's in a wheel chair. I don't think a woman, including Kamala can win BUT never discount how much people hate Trump. Folks in 2020 didn't really vote for Biden. They voted against Trump. Those same people are not changing their minds and there are millions. Dems need to ride it out with Biden. He'll beat Trump again just because.
                                                    Except millions of Democrats have said they aren't voting for him... he's 10 points behind Trump for a reason. It's not just made up
                                                    Comment
                                                    • DwightShrute
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 01-17-09
                                                      • 102771

                                                      #131
                                                      Originally posted by homie1975
                                                      You were not laughing in 18, 20 or 22.

                                                      "red wave" in 22. LMAO

                                                      could not flip the senate and barely took a house minority i mean majority.

                                                      LOL
                                                      I wasn't laughing at your bets. I couldn't give shit to be perfectly honest but congrats on your massive wins.

                                                      I never called a red wave. I did call Trump in 2016 and I am calling him in 2024. The senate and the house also.

                                                      I just want America to be great. The world is better place when it is.

                                                      Biden is purposely destroying the country by letting in tens of millions to enter illegally. He recently hired his crackhead son to be his advisor. What could possibly go wrong? He weaponized the justice department to go after his opponent etc. Its an long list so I won't bother at this time. I have explained it many times but I cannot make you understand it.

                                                      Washington and the msm are broken and have been for a long time. The only guy with the courage to take it head on is Trump. It's gonna take more than 4 years and its not gonna be easy. Yet, there are so many rooting for him to fail, while cheering for the same incompetent losers that have failed the country.

                                                      We are living in a time where people are proud of what they should be ashamed of. Its sad to watch it happening in real time.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • homie1975
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 12-24-13
                                                        • 15453

                                                        #132
                                                        Originally posted by DwightShrute
                                                        I wasn't laughing at your bets. I couldn't give shit to be perfectly honest but congrats on your massive wins.

                                                        I never called a red wave. I did call Trump in 2016 and I am calling him in 2024. The senate and the house also.

                                                        I just want America to be great. The world is better place when it is.

                                                        Biden is purposely destroying the country by letting in tens of millions to enter illegally. He recently hired his crackhead son to be his advisor. What could possibly go wrong? He weaponized the justice department to go after his opponent etc. Its an long list so I won't bother at this time. I have explained it many times but I cannot make you understand it.

                                                        Washington and the msm are broken and have been for a long time. The only guy with the courage to take it head on is Trump. It's gonna take more than 4 years and its not gonna be easy. Yet, there are so many rooting for him to fail, while cheering for the same incompetent losers that have failed the country.

                                                        We are living in a time where people are proud of what they should be ashamed of. Its sad to watch it happening in real time.
                                                        There is no proof of that (bolded).

                                                        sleepy creepy Joe did not pardon his own son.

                                                        Donnie would have 1,000% pardoned his own son.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • homie1975
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 12-24-13
                                                          • 15453

                                                          #133
                                                          Originally posted by Itsamazing777
                                                          Except millions of Democrats have said they aren't voting for him... he's 10 points behind Trump for a reason. It's not just made up
                                                          aggregate polls have him down 49-43.
                                                          harris down 45-47 to donnie so within the MOE
                                                          Comment
                                                          • DwightShrute
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 01-17-09
                                                            • 102771

                                                            #134
                                                            Originally posted by homie1975
                                                            There is no proof of that (bolded).

                                                            sleepy creepy Joe did not pardon his own son.

                                                            Donnie would have 1,000% pardoned his own son.
                                                            there is 100% proof.

                                                            Joe will pardon his son after he loses the election and before he leaves office. 100%!

                                                            Trump's kids aren't crackheads.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • JohnGalt2341
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 12-31-09
                                                              • 9138

                                                              #135
                                                              Originally posted by Gonad
                                                              Surprised no one has mentioned Michelle Obama. The money she could raise in a short time would be astronomical. Experience? She spent 8 years in the White House, and will have the "sage" advice of her husband (beloved by Democrats) going forward. Foot soldiers like Oprah would beat the bushes for votes, Michelle could do fluff interviews- after all, we already know her. She'll peel off much of the black vote Trump is supposedly gaining, and the vaunted suburban housewives demographic would be all aflutter. Kicking Kamala to the curb would be seamless. Frankly, I don't think there's a person on the planet that can beat her.

                                                              Of course, there is the "she doesn't want it" thing, and that's most likely true. However, if we get to the Democratic convention and the ship looks like it's sinking, who knows? Anything to keep Hitler out of office, right? "Michelle, your country needs you..". Maybe far-fetched, but worth a swing to me at 20-1.
                                                              It looks like BetOnline agrees with Gonad.



                                                              If the Dems were smart, this is what they would do.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • homie1975
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 12-24-13
                                                                • 15453

                                                                #136
                                                                Originally posted by DwightShrute
                                                                there is 100% proof.

                                                                Joe will pardon his son after he loses the election and before he leaves office. 100%!

                                                                Trump's kids aren't crackheads.
                                                                knuckleheads.

                                                                especially Eric, he is dumb as rocks. what a complete brainstem he is.

                                                                the best one is Ivanka. she has disappeared.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • homie1975
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 12-24-13
                                                                  • 15453

                                                                  #137
                                                                  Originally posted by Itsamazing777
                                                                  Except millions of Democrats have said they aren't voting for him... he's 10 points behind Trump for a reason. It's not just made up
                                                                  creepy Joe is in your state of MI tonight.

                                                                  wolverines 7-5 and miss playoffs this season.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • JohnGalt2341
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 12-31-09
                                                                    • 9138

                                                                    #138
                                                                    Originally posted by coop-dog
                                                                    clinton is in the conversation now,

                                                                    https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/i...harris-ticket/
                                                                    Originally posted by homie1975

                                                                    i would be shocked if hillary was brought back after that awful turnout she brought in 2016.

                                                                    she has been out of the scene for 8 years and i believe pretty much forgotten.

                                                                    michelle obama and hillary clinton get hurt by their last names.

                                                                    it will be kamala at the top of the ticket imo
                                                                    According to BetOnline, Biden is the IDEAL match-up for Trump, and I tend to agree.



                                                                    The Dems are terrible at strategy IMO. I think there is a very good chance that they will regret going with Biden.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • DwightShrute
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 01-17-09
                                                                      • 102771

                                                                      #139
                                                                      Originally posted by JohnGalt2341



                                                                      The Dems are terrible at strategy IMO. I think there is a very good chance that they will regret going with Biden.
                                                                      the country won't
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • JohnGalt2341
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 12-31-09
                                                                        • 9138

                                                                        #140
                                                                        Originally posted by DwightShrute
                                                                        there is 100% proof.

                                                                        Joe will pardon his son after he loses the election and before he leaves office. 100%!

                                                                        Trump's kids aren't crackheads.
                                                                        Care to wager some points on this straight up, since you are SO confident? How about we make a Gentlemen's Bet? Bovada disagrees with you, and I tend to agree.



                                                                        Question for anyone... what are we LEARNING in this thread? There is one(probably more) obvious answer IMO.
                                                                        Last edited by JohnGalt2341; 07-12-24, 07:36 PM.
                                                                        Comment
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