2020 Election. The State by State Odds and MATH

**vitterd** · 10-26-20, 06:58 PM

Originally posted by Auto Donk

here's what the odds are in Texas:

What a pussy dog. Just like Donk.

**RudyRuetigger** · 10-26-20, 07:00 PM

Originally posted by vitterd

I have many times before.

I've posted all of you sports betting threads clown

**DwightShrute** · 10-26-20, 07:02 PM

Originally posted by vitterd

What a pussy dog. Just like Donk.

unlike you, the dog is doesn't pee in the house

**RudyRuetigger** · 10-26-20, 07:03 PM

Mods lock thread

Republicans won it

**vitterd** · 10-26-20, 07:08 PM

Originally posted by DwightShrute

unlike you, the dog is doesn't pee in the house

I don’t have a dog. You were caught banging yours. You and Donk both have dogs because you can’t get human friends.

**thomorino** · 10-26-20, 07:15 PM

CNN is so pathetic, they are trying to make barret a nomination a story about covid

**vitterd** · 10-26-20, 07:25 PM

Originally posted by thomorino

CNN is so pathetic, they are trying to make barret a nomination a story about covid

You guys always hate watching cnn

**RoyBacon** · 10-26-20, 07:44 PM

Originally posted by Auto Donk

here's what the odds are in Texas:

This shitt makes vitty shriek like a tranny with an over heated dildo! Great video!

**King Mayan** · 10-26-20, 07:52 PM

Originally posted by vitterd

You guys always hate watching cnn

Most of these homos don’t have a life except watching the news.

**vitterd** · 10-26-20, 07:53 PM

Originally posted by RoyBacon

This shitt makes vitty shriek like a tranny with an over heated dildo! Great video!

Huh? The fake deep voice. The little gay dog. You know Donk has aids right? He likes man ass like you do

**RoyBacon** · 10-26-20, 08:17 PM

Originally posted by vitterd

Huh? The fake deep voice. The little gay dog. You know Donk has aids right? He likes man ass like you do

I know he is real. Yes, I know he is married to a nice woman. And I know he is an educated professional.

I also know you are none of those.

**vitterd** · 10-26-20, 08:21 PM

Originally posted by RoyBacon

I know he is real. Yes, I know he is married to a nice woman. And I know he is an educated professional.

I also know you are none of those.

You don’t even know what state you live in. You screwed that up and got caught again. He has aids and is not educated or a professional. He didn’t even graduate high school.

**vitterd** · 10-26-20, 08:41 PM

Pa early voting 1.4 million

71 dems
20 Repubs
9 others

New voters who are voting for first time

66 Dems
17 repub
17 other

**RoyBacon** · 10-26-20, 08:46 PM

Originally posted by vitterd

You don’t even know what state you live in. You screwed that up and got caught again. He has aids and is not educated or a professional. He didn’t even graduate high school.

You want to see a video of where I live again?

We are real and you are not. I saw him in Punta Cana one year. He is not a section 8 guy like you. Those are just the facts.

Played the Teeth of the Dog golf course over there in Punta Cana. I'll tell you about it some time.

**DwightShrute** · 10-26-20, 08:49 PM

Originally posted by King Mayan

Most of these homos don’t have a life except watching the news.

Hey, your friends and family

**vitterd** · 10-26-20, 08:58 PM

Originally posted by RoyBacon

You want to see a video of where I live again?

We are real and you are not. I saw him in Punta Cana one year. He is not a section 8 guy like you. Those are just the facts.

Played the Teeth of the Dog golf course over there in Punta Cana. I'll tell you about it some time.

You said you lived in Florida last night. Donk wouldn’t meet me face to face. You wouldn’t take my phone call or accept my videos or pics because you knew. Everybody knows. Especially after the Dustyy nuke.

Those are the facts.

**thomorino** · 10-26-20, 09:00 PM

Originally posted by vitterd

Pa early voting 1.4 million

71 dems
20 Repubs
9 others

New voters who are voting for first time

66 Dems
17 repub
17 other

That means nothing everyone knows many democrats watch cnn all day and are afraid to leave their homes.

**pavyracer** · 10-26-20, 09:07 PM

Trump is +180 to win Pennsylvania.

**vitterd** · 10-26-20, 09:09 PM

Originally posted by thomorino

That means nothing everyone knows many democrats watch cnn all day and are afraid to leave their homes.

Great analysis!! Fox is looking for on air talent after half of their guys got corona. Give them a call....you’d fit in.

**RoyBacon** · 10-26-20, 09:12 PM

Originally posted by vitterd

You said you lived in Florida last night. Donk wouldn’t meet me face to face. You wouldn’t take my phone call or accept my videos or pics because you knew. Everybody knows. Especially after the Dustyy nuke.

Those are the facts.

You play dumb good!

**DwightShrute** · 10-26-20, 09:15 PM

Originally posted by RoyBacon

You play dumb good!

you think he's playing?

**vitterd** · 10-26-20, 09:16 PM

Originally posted by RoyBacon

You play dumb good!

Hey, the nuke hurt a lot people. Lives were turned upside down. Jt315 can’t even enter the thread, Donk hired a PI, you went to the hospital, the RX’ers almost committed mass suicide. It was a tough time for Vitterd stalkers.

**manny24** · 10-26-20, 09:45 PM

Originally posted by vitterd

Hey, the nuke hurt a lot people. Lives were turned upside down. Jt315 can’t even enter the thread, Donk hired a PI, you went to the hospital, the RX’ers almost committed mass suicide. It was a tough time for Vitterd stalkers.

all kidding aside you better get it together for 2024 or the DJ TJ stalkers will be ten times worse vitters

**vitterd** · 10-26-20, 09:48 PM

Originally posted by manny24

all kidding aside you better get it together for 2024 or the DJ TJ stalkers will be ten times worse vitters

Biden is winning and if trump steals it... most of these guys will be dead in 2 years. Vitterd withdrawal and they are all in terrible health. I mean, they could drop dead any minute.

**Kermit** · 10-26-20, 09:51 PM

Originally posted by pavyracer

Trump is +180 to win Pennsylvania.

As someone who lives in a Democratic city in Pa, I find that very odd. The Biden love here is very low.

**SEAHAWKHARRY** · 10-26-20, 10:07 PM

The books rate their line on polling that's all they can do. The media has pushed the idea Biden is winning as such Trump is +$$$.if you believe the polls buy Biden. If you don't buy Trump personally I don't even buy futures ever and this bet could end up in courts for months. Not worth it

**ace7550** · 10-26-20, 10:09 PM

Originally posted by SEAHAWKHARRY

The books rate their line on polling that's all they can do. The media has pushed the idea Biden is winning as such Trump is +$$$.if you believe the polls buy Biden. If you don't buy Trump personally I don't even buy futures ever and this bet could end up in courts for months. Not worth it

That's what I'm worried about. I would like to place some political bets but I'm worried they might not get graded for months.

**SEAHAWKHARRY** · 10-26-20, 10:10 PM

Yup hope for a Trump Landslide

**vitterd** · 10-26-20, 10:13 PM

Originally posted by SEAHAWKHARRY

Yup hope for a Trump Landslide

Hahahaha. Let’s think about this logically. He won pa, mich and wisc by a combined 77,000 votes in 2016. How in the world can you possibly think he’s not lost that? Use common sense. Throw your I love trump underwear out.

**JohnGalt2341** · 10-26-20, 10:28 PM

Originally posted by SEAHAWKHARRY

The books rate their line on polling that's all they can do. The media has pushed the idea Biden is winning as such Trump is +$$$.if you believe the polls buy Biden. If you don't buy Trump personally I don't even buy futures ever and this bet could end up in courts for months. Not worth it

Let's assume this is true. 538 has Biden as an 87% favorite. The Books have Biden at roughly 64% depending on the Book. That's a significant difference but I don't think it means you can disregard the polls entirely. I'm not saying they are perfect by any means but I don't think you can ignore them entirely.

If Trump was doing great in the Polls right now it would be mentioned every 12 seconds on FOX News and Trump would remind us how great he was doing at least 6 times a day and his supporters would mention it in every other post. But since it doesn't match your opinion, you think they can be ignored entirely.

I don't think the Books have forgotten about the last election. I think their line has been adjusted and it's much sharper in 2020 than it was in 2016.

Look at the Voter Turnout prices below from BetOnline and compare those numbers with the last voter turnout. This is a whole new ball game. In 2016 there wasn't nearly as many people paying attention. Voter turnout is going do Trump in and he knows it.

Voter Turnout in the U.S Presidential Election

08:00 AM

Over 149.5 million voters

-225

Under 149.5 million voters

+160

Voter Turnout in the U.S. Presidential Election

08:00 AM

Over 60.5 %

-150

Under 60.5 %

+110

**Judge Crater** · 10-26-20, 11:14 PM

I think there is a reasonable argument that the pollsters might be being extra conservative in publishing the Biden lead. At this point Trump would need an error greater than 2016 to win. If there is another major swing state error that effects the election like in 2016, the polling industry is finished. I suspect the Biden lead in PA, WI, and MI is understated.

**thomorino** · 10-26-20, 11:46 PM

Originally posted by Judge Crater

I think there is a reasonable argument that the pollsters might be being extra conservative in publishing the Biden lead. At this point Trump would need an error greater than 2016 to win. If there is another major swing state error that effects the election like in 2016, the polling industry is finished. I suspect the Biden lead in PA, WI, and MI is understated.

In 2016 Sussanha did a poll in Pennsylvania talking to people that came back Hillary +8, they then did the same poll using robincalls and it came back trump +2, people lie to pollsters.

**Judge Crater** · 10-26-20, 11:54 PM

Maybe, we will see.

I do not trust Robocall polls because they are not allowed to call cell phones, only land lines. These land line owners tend to be much older and own their homes.

Cell-Only Households Now the Majority As Landline Owners Continue to Recede - Marketing Charts

https://www.marketingcharts.com/demographics-and-audiences/youth-and-gen-x-77051

As mobile phone use becomes more widespread, the latest report [pdf] released by the US National Health Information Survey (NHIS) reveals that American households are continuing to abandon their landlines and go wireless-only. In fact, the percentage of wireless-only households finally broke through the halfway point in H2 2016, up…

**chico2663** · 10-26-20, 11:58 PM

Originally posted by vitterd

You said you lived in Florida last night. Donk wouldn’t meet me face to face. You wouldn’t take my phone call or accept my videos or pics because you knew. Everybody knows. Especially after the Dustyy nuke.

Those are the facts.

Guy has lived in California,Texas,Florida and now mexico.Truth be told he was born over a whore house in the Philippines.

**chico2663** · 10-26-20, 11:59 PM

Dude nooner that says Texas is voting blue needs to be in a mental home.