Hey banker , whats up ? Was looking at this OSU/PSU game. This line does look a little too high. And the high price has little to do with Youngs return. IMO the PSU defensive secondary is it's weak link. And the OSU passing attack will have a field day.....the over on this game is worth a look !....................................... ....BOL
Let’s talk ncaaFB week 13!
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CappinTerpSBR Hall of Famer
- 11-26-09
- 9650
#176Comment -
BuckandadimeSBR Hall of Famer
- 04-21-15
- 8847
#177Jfc. Ya’ll realize navy has won 16 straight on senior day? Sounds like something mr Nash should have told us!!
Please don’t be like the dickhead who told me that stuff didn’t matter when I said I was pounding pats off a loss and bye last week. I agree a lot of trends are stupid, some are not and while they don’t guarantee anything they certainly make for some strong bets!!
Montgomery's first recruitment class is graduating..
2 players that lead the conference in tackles and interceptions are both seniors...
Food for thought..Comment -
asiagamblerSBR Hall of Famer
- 07-23-17
- 6827
#178Looks like windy conditions in Wyoming tonight. May not bode well for CSUComment -
asiagamblerSBR Hall of Famer
- 07-23-17
- 6827
#179Rutgers +1041
Small bet. I think Michigan State is finished. Lost 5 in a row to mostly good teams but they've struggled to put away bad teams too. Let Indiana come back to tie. Let Illinois come back from 25 down and lost outright
Losing their best defensive player hurts and they are dealing with lots of injuries too. Rutgers can run the ball a little and their QB has improved from horrific to just below average
Rutgers playing hard for interim coach and players should be excited to get Greg Schiano back. Senior day for them as well
Michigan State having trouble running the ball and their QB has been underwhelming. If Rutgers can get some turnover luck, I think this has a chanceComment -
TankoSBR Hall of Famer
- 09-19-09
- 5141
#180
Idk... I'm seeing 8 mph winds tonight is not too bad. Source: http://www.donbest.com/ncaaf/weather/
AG, you seeiing something different?
Also, I vaguely remember reading about someone doing an analysis on how wind impacts game performance. The trend I thought indicated significant impact on passing games starts once you go above 12-13 mph. They had used data over years. Wish I'd kept the reference. I've kind of used that as a reference point over the years for "passing" team plays.Comment -
TankoSBR Hall of Famer
- 09-19-09
- 5141
#181Hawaii/SD St Projected weather 18 mph winds. Now that is going to impact the passing game.
I haven't looked at the layout of the Hawaii stadium to see how it would play out "on the field". I think its open on the ends.?.?
Some stadiums are not domes but enclosed enough, wind may not be as big an impact.Comment -
U2.5SBR MVP
- 02-21-14
- 1953
#182Hawaii/SD St Projected weather 18 mph winds. Now that is going to impact the passing game.
I haven't looked at the layout of the Hawaii stadium to see how it would play out "on the field". I think its open on the ends.?.?
Some stadiums are not domes but enclosed enough, wind may not be as big an impact.Comment -
2daBankSBR Aristocracy
- 01-26-09
- 88966
#183I took GT just before kickoff last night at +2.5. I loved the line move. Not sure if it's just my perception and I'm full of crap (very possible!) but it seems to me when a team goes from a short fave to a short dog they usually cover. Seems kind of strange because the supposed "sharp" money moving the line would be on the losing side more often than not? I dunno. Thoughts?
Dunno why you wernt in here posting anything bout it tho since we had some discussion?!?! Party foul bro! Wouldn’t have taken much to push me into a tech play, I was close anyways!! As I mentioned tho for some reason I was seeing it as tech being fav, had I realized I coulda got plus money I prob would have played, lol. Just couldn’t stomach trusting them as favs!!Last edited by 2daBank; 11-22-19, 03:04 PM.Comment -
2daBankSBR Aristocracy
- 01-26-09
- 88966
#184I locked in Miami -18.5 earlier on Tuesday before the line move. I would still take it at -20.5; might look like a homer play given my avatar lol, but FIU is straight trash and this is a neutral site game at Marlins Park, the former home of one of the most electric environments in all of college football in the old Orange Bowl. The players on Miami have been talking all week about playing on "sacred ground" and know that this is FIU's Super Bowl per say. Don't look at last year's score - obviously Malik Rosier was an abomination at the QB position and Mark Richt just flat out ran 5 plays all frickin year (inside run, outside run, bubble screen, verts, TE shallow cross) which is why we couldn't score for sh!t.
The offense just hung 55 on Louisville and it could have been 60+ no problem if we didn't take the foot off the gas. Jarren Williams is the truth, this offense is just starting to click, and there's no way FIU scores more than 17 (including garbage time). I think it'll be, at worst, 45-17.
I’ve always said fans of teams should be a great resource for us but unfortunately too many of them have emotional blinders both ways. Some like a moron Vikings homer I won’t mention refuses to say anything negative about his team and totally useless to us. Others so damaged they can never see the good!! You sound like one the rare reasonable ones I wish we had more of! Welcome to thread.Comment -
2daBankSBR Aristocracy
- 01-26-09
- 88966
#185Anyone tempted by taking Texas as a dog again? I did it last week both spread and ML and it nearly worked out, we all know Herman is a beast as an underdog ATS. I can't tell if Baylor is still going to be hungover from that brutal choke job against OU, or they'll come out pissed and make a statement.
As disappointing Herman has been in horns fans eyes he still remains excellent as a dog not only covering at a insanely high clip but also winning a great deal of them outright. I think if horns spread the field and go hurry up right from the jump they will have a very good chance of wearing bears down. I don’t like laying points w bears as is cause their offense tends to look very lackluster. Even last week a great deal of their total came curtesy of hurts making mistakes early and giving them lot of short fields.,Comment -
2daBankSBR Aristocracy
- 01-26-09
- 88966
#186I already posted 1st half +3.5. Little afraid Wyoming wears them down as the game goes on but think CSU can compete early. Actually think they have a decent shot at the upset but I do think they need to be leading/close at half to have a shot. They actually rank fairly closely to wyo in 1st half play, but they tend to fade late and wyo physical play wears teams down late.
Hence 1st half play for me, I think CSU will have success moving ball thru air, just need them to avoid the turnovers and they be right in this game imo.Comment -
2daBankSBR Aristocracy
- 01-26-09
- 88966
#187"Nearly worked out" means it lost. Herman is becoming a major disappointment at Texas. He has lost 10 games in two seasons and is showing no improvement at all this season. This team was suppose to challenge for the Big 12 title and instead, will finish as just another also-ran in the Big 12. I would not touch Texas.Comment -
2daBankSBR Aristocracy
- 01-26-09
- 88966
#188It did lose but I put more on the spread than ML so I came out perfectly content...no doubt he is becoming a big disappointment there. He's bringing in elite talent and yet still struggles to field a competent defense and has a QB that makes way too many mistakes in Ehlinger. I probably won't touch this game but thought it could be interesting to analyze.Comment -
2daBankSBR Aristocracy
- 01-26-09
- 88966
#189Hey banker , whats up ? Was looking at this OSU/PSU game. This line does look a little too high. And the high price has little to do with Youngs return. IMO the PSU defensive secondary is it's weak link. And the OSU passing attack will have a field day.....the over on this game is worth a look !....................................... ....BOLComment -
2daBankSBR Aristocracy
- 01-26-09
- 88966
#191Idk... I'm seeing 8 mph winds tonight is not too bad. Source: http://www.donbest.com/ncaaf/weather/
AG, you seeiing something different?
Also, I vaguely remember reading about someone doing an analysis on how wind impacts game performance. The trend I thought indicated significant impact on passing games starts once you go above 12-13 mph. They had used data over years. Wish I'd kept the reference. I've kind of used that as a reference point over the years for "passing" team plays.
Personally I don’t sweat anything under 15 mph.Comment -
2daBankSBR Aristocracy
- 01-26-09
- 88966
#192Rutgers +1041
Small bet. I think Michigan State is finished. Lost 5 in a row to mostly good teams but they've struggled to put away bad teams too. Let Indiana come back to tie. Let Illinois come back from 25 down and lost outright
Losing their best defensive player hurts and they are dealing with lots of injuries too. Rutgers can run the ball a little and their QB has improved from horrific to just below average
Rutgers playing hard for interim coach and players should be excited to get Greg Schiano back. Senior day for them as well
Michigan State having trouble running the ball and their QB has been underwhelming. If Rutgers can get some turnover luck, I think this has a chanceComment -
2daBankSBR Aristocracy
- 01-26-09
- 88966
#193You know I love that Tulsa team. Not too interested backing them as favs tho.Comment -
2daBankSBR Aristocracy
- 01-26-09
- 88966
#194Ok. Think I answered everyone who posted since last night!! If I missed any I apologize and just bring it up again!!
Updated Card so far:
Gophers -12.5
Temple/cincy u47.5
Beavers +10.5
CSU 1st half +3.5Comment -
5mike5SBR Aristocracy
- 09-21-11
- 51975
#195Minnesota QB is starting. Great newsComment -
stevenashModerator
- 01-17-11
- 65448
#196Texas A&M will beat Georgia outright.
I’m serious as a heart attack.Comment -
2daBankSBR Aristocracy
- 01-26-09
- 88966
#197Originally posted by Lance Flaun@kentelola is the best in the gambling business!
No automated system, you talk to the real deal. #sportsbetting
“Real deals” don’t have to sell picks. We here sharing for free.Comment -
2daBankSBR Aristocracy
- 01-26-09
- 88966
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2daBankSBR Aristocracy
- 01-26-09
- 88966
#201You playing Aggies ml?? They such a pain in the ass cause it usually comes down to whether you get good or bad Mond. The problem for me is AM doesn’t tend to show well vs the ranked teams.
Navy looks really good, think they gonna make my card. Little worried about their pass d, and little worried smu rates very good in some run d metrics. That said they also have tendency to have issues maintaining gap discipline which obviously a terrible thing against the military academies!! That has shown to be very true vs navy as well, navy has scored 30-43-75 the last 3 meetings!!!Comment -
stevenashModerator
- 01-17-11
- 65448
#202You playing Aggies ml?? They such a pain in the ass cause it usually comes down to whether you get good or bad Mond. The problem for me is AM doesn’t tend to show well vs the ranked teams.
Navy looks really good, think they gonna make my card. Little worried about their pass d, and little worried smu rates very good in some run d metrics. That said they also have tendency to have issues maintaining gap discipline which obviously a terrible thing against the military academies!! That has shown to be very true vs navy as well, navy has scored 30-43-75 the last 3 meetings!!!
Aggies for like 10 bucks on the money line.Comment -
fecgp40SBR Hall of Famer
- 02-01-11
- 5750
#204Someone I have a great deal of respect that posted on here years ago always told me he loved teams that opened as favs and flipped to dogs. The logic being he trusted oddsmakers line more than the money that flipped it which I thought was sound. I’ve never tracked it cause well I’m lazy and not much a tracker! But ever since we had that conversation I’ve always been cognizant of that to the point im wary if I agree w move and more confident when I’m against. Can’t say how much weight it holds but my perception lines up w yours and think it has served me fairly well.
Dunno why you wernt in here posting anything bout it tho since we had some discussion?!?! Party foul bro! Wouldn’t have taken much to push me into a tech play, I was close anyways!! As I mentioned tho for some reason I was seeing it as tech being fav, had I realized I coulda got plus money I prob would have played, lol. Just couldn’t stomach trusting them as favs!!Comment -
fecgp40SBR Hall of Famer
- 02-01-11
- 5750
#205You playing Aggies ml?? They such a pain in the ass cause it usually comes down to whether you get good or bad Mond. The problem for me is AM doesn’t tend to show well vs the ranked teams.
Navy looks really good, think they gonna make my card. Little worried about their pass d, and little worried smu rates very good in some run d metrics. That said they also have tendency to have issues maintaining gap discipline which obviously a terrible thing against the military academies!! That has shown to be very true vs navy as well, navy has scored 30-43-75 the last 3 meetings!!!Comment -
fecgp40SBR Hall of Famer
- 02-01-11
- 5750
#206We like “homer plays” from guys that bring good info as you are! We just don’t like the blind homer dipshits!
I’ve always said fans of teams should be a great resource for us but unfortunately too many of them have emotional blinders both ways. Some like a moron Vikings homer I won’t mention refuses to say anything negative about his team and totally useless to us. Others so damaged they can never see the good!! You sound like one the rare reasonable ones I wish we had more of! Welcome to thread.Comment -
2daBankSBR Aristocracy
- 01-26-09
- 88966
#208
I do think we should expect a clean game from navy qb after last week nightmare. I went back and watched replay of the ND game and wasn’t as if they had problems moving the ball, it was just the turnovers buried them in a huge hole. Turns out that game wasn’t nearly the ass kicking I thought/appeared to be. Perry took full responsibility for it as you would expect a navy kid and think he will play much better here.
Can smu continue matching them if navy plays clean and every smu drive leaves has no margin for error? That would be my question and I think the answer is no, they will make mistakes that allows navy to push a lead. Navy gets up a few scores and it game over imo. No smu comeback here as navy will then bleed them!Comment -
Cuse0323BARRELED IN @ SBR!
- 12-09-09
- 30169
#209Doing everyone on CSU a favor, and all in on Wyoming -5.5Comment -
2daBankSBR Aristocracy
- 01-26-09
- 88966
#210I dunno, prob be lopsided, just dunno if it has huge appeal to be one the more highly bet games? I’m not real worried bout it. At -14 tho that would be my cutoff, not sure I’d even play there honestly. Of course I think push the fear at 14 not really a loss so guess still ok. I have it around 31-14 but that total is only 39.5 so maybe I’m over shooting w scoring? 14 could def be high for NW! Lol. Feel fairly confident gophers can give us 4 tds.Comment
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