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We down to the nitty gritty with only a few weeks left before conference championship weekend.
Here are my top 3 this weekend:
Mizzou -3.5
SMU/Navy u67
Zona +23
*disclosure: I have not put these in yet as I'm hoping the numbers keeps moving in my favor.
Here are several more leans:
Pitt +4
UMass +40
Iowa -15.5
Tx St +28.5
BC/ND u65
A&M/UGA o43.5Comment -
My plays for Saturday:
Georgia Tech +2.5 (cashed last night)
Washington -14
Texas +6
Indiana +8.5
Texas A&M +14
Missouri -3.5
Ohio St/Penn St U58
Kansas St/TTech O55
Boise State -9.5
Kansas State +2.5
Arizona State +14.5
Oregon/ASU O54
Hawaii -1
Iowa -12Comment -
Fri night leaning col st wyoming game over 51 . Any thoughtsComment -
Also liking col st ml +170
Good luck gentsComment -
Takes some stones to play a smu under! Bigger than mine (theoretically of course, certainly not literally, lol).
We agree on mizzou.
You have to talk to me bout what you like bout zona? I think utes rolling right now and feel like they could steamroll that crappy zona team. I like asu much more than wildcats this week. Herm Edwards team rarely loses by Double digits!
Agree w Pitt, think they gonna make my card but little concerned w potential weather problems and Pitt being the more pass reliant team. I don’t expect Hokies to have much success rushing vs panthers d but Pitt def needs to throw to score. Have to see what weather like!!
Umass? Are you smoking crack tonight? Not judging, I like a nice rock as much as next guy but not good idea to cap games after hitting the pipe!! Lol. Seriously tho, don’t do it. NW beat this team by 40, BYU should destroy them like 55-7.,
I can’t lay 15.5 vs my Illini club! I understand it cause not sure how Illini can score but no chance I’d be against. Don’t think I’d ever lay dd with Iowa, certainly not against Lovies team who exceeding expectations every week!!
No opinion on the last 3.Comment -
I just read this whole thread. All I can say I NW must be a shitty azz team. Tanner Morgan the gophers an is a back up on about half the acc schools. I laughed when i watched that guy play penn st.Comment -
Have you seen NW box scores? They even struggled to score early on umass before getting a blocked kick for a score. Nw one of the worst power 5 offenses I ever seen. Not real sure how you referencing the psu game to knock gophers qb? He played incredibly well and is throwing to a couple nfl wrs.Comment -
Big card, hate the season is coming to an end but we still got games! Bunch of straights and a handful of teasers.
Straights
Wyoming -5
Minny -14
Okie St. -5.5
Georgia St. -10
Arky St. -1.5
USC -14
Memphis -14
FAU -21
Wash -14
Teasers
(3-teamers pay 2.40, 4-teamer 3.00)
Iowa -8.5
Iowa St. -18
Ohio St. -11.5
Air Force -15.5
ND -14
Indy +16.5
Georgia -6
Miami -13.5
Oregon -7
Wake +0.5
Okie -11
Utah -15.5
UCF/Tulane over 62.5
SMU/Navy over 60
Houston/Tulsa over 51.5
Ore St./Wash St. over 69.5
Was leaning Boise but the uncertainty @ qb for both teams made it a no go. Good luck all, let's keep the winning streak going
Last edited by swordsandtequila; 11-22-19, 10:00 PM.Comment -
Lot of freaking chalk swords!! I couldn’t stomach a card like that, it would give me a ulcer just thinking bout it!! Lol. You add up the number of points you laying and it prob rival how many I’ve laid the last month combined! Lol
You don’t worry bout okie lite qb situation?Comment -
God dammit. CSU just got sacked out of fg range.Comment -
Virginia tech should cover that # easily, no?Comment -
Not sure your point. Don’t really care. NW would have been +14 ever day of week and Tuesday. Those kids are students first. I hope they whoop up on the gophers and you lose you $25 on the game.
The 14 points for that NW squad is such no brainer for odds makers. Just throwing that out there.
Normal fuks would never bet that game.
So small time it ain’t even funny.Comment -
Nobody gives a fukk what you hope. Just another coward ghost on his 15th name hoping one day you pick some winners. Crawl back or your hole cause nobody here (or anywhere I’d assume) gives a fukk what you have to say.
Some of us contribute and post winners every week, some cowards troll good threads cause they can’t get attention on their own. Everyone knows which is which around here. NextComment -
I dated the attorney general for Arizona for a short time. Just to give you glimpse of what I’m sayingzzzComment -
I don’t think so. I lean Pitt but it is a tough game, solid cases to be made for both. I’ve been cashing tickets w Hokies lately but been pretty good w Pitt also. I feel like Hokies turn around has been directly related to their run game w the new qb who a good runner. I don’t think they will have a lot of success on ground vs panthers very good front 7. I lean to panthers w +4 or better but I gotta see weather 1st, panthers ground game sucks, if conditions are bad enough throwing is tough I will most likely pass or look under.Comment -
This thread not for you, don’t care how many men have fukked you. Move along little boy, you wasting our time. Do I have to make these pro only since you can’t afford the Hundo? Funny how that works. I’m silly to you, then why you here? You a straight up bitch to me. Would never see me in your threads, see how that works? Or you too stupid?Comment -
Im out get your drift. You bring a tear to my eye. That there’s people in this world that are still good people. Honestly your write up made chock up. I’m not a little boy im a big boy.
Tons of chopped salad. I love it.Comment -
Yeah, it looks chalky but the sources I use/trust show those lines (straight bets) being short. Was pretty significant in the Okie St. game. Even after adjusting for the Sanders injury, at less than a td I feel comfortable taking a shot. From what I read, Dru Brown is starting. Couple of years experience at Hawaii, decent passing stats so not a hindrance to their rushing attack. At least I hope so 
The teasers are teams I like but like better less chalky. Just don't see a lot of dogs I like enough to bet, other than maybe Indiana (hence the tease). At the end of the day, some of the picks are strictly numbers plays, some have a little gut thrown in. Just seems to be one of those weeks. Who knows, it may all blow up in my face. I do this for action/fun, so I don't get in over my head (online). I go bigger in Vegas (for me anyway). Either way its all good
Knock 'em dead Banker!Comment -
Cowboys on the board
Disregard Redlilly, funnyb outed him earlier in another thread:
Apparently got banned begging for money, funny for a "big time playa"
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I’m not trying to pee in your Cheerios pal. Lots of favs cover every week I just don’t play a lot of them, different strokes for different folks. Lots of ways to skin a cat, 6 to one half dozen to another, insert cliche here. Lol. Yeah, it looks chalky but the sources I use/trust show those lines (straight bets) being short. Was pretty significant in the Okie St. game. Even after adjusting for the Sanders injury, at less than a td I feel comfortable taking a shot. From what I read, Dru Brown is starting. Couple of years experience at Hawaii, decent passing stats so not a hindrance to their rushing attack. At least I hope so
The teasers are teams I like but like better less chalky. Just don't see a lot of dogs I like enough to bet, other than maybe Indiana (hence the tease). At the end of the day, some of the picks are strictly numbers plays, some have a little gut thrown in. Just seems to be one of those weeks. Who knows, it may all blow up in my face. I do this for action/fun, so I don't get in over my head (online). I go bigger in Vegas (for me anyway). Either way its all good
Knock 'em dead Banker!
Certainly not saying my way better, I just tend to have more success/have better comfort level w dogs. Last month or so my favs have actually cashed at a really high clip I’ve just been real selective with how many I play. You know I love the gophers, tigers will prob make my card, I’m close w navy, those 3 prob all make it, maybe I get talked into canes! I think BYU covers but not sure I can lay it. Gl my dude.Comment -
I’m done with him. Won’t respond again and hope nobody else does either. We have always managed to keep from letting clowns infiltrate and screw up these threads. That bitch ain’t gonna be the one to change that!Cowboys on the board
Disregard Redlilly, funnyb outed him earlier in another thread:
Apparently got banned begging for money, funny for a "big time playa"Comment -
Apologies, just remembered some of you have a 1st half bet on CSU. On mute as of now
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Bang. CSU ties it up!! Just have to hold them out of endzone for 4 minutes and change!!Comment -
All good. I just don't do well with games that seem to be right on the number. Navy/SMU, VTech/Pitt, those lines by all account are tight. I might as well throw a dart. There are smarter people than me who devote a lot more time/energy/knowledge into breaking down the games and looking for soft lines. I've done better starting there and working back, if that makes sense. This week just happens to be extra chalky. I was late in changing my approach so the verdict is still out, but so far so good. Kind of wish we could start the season over, as evidenced by my contest results
This thread has been great too, reminds me of when I first joined SBR. I got into betting soccer because of the soccer forum, used to be a lot of really good posters. Nothing but plays and plenty of info, none of the bullshit posers/trolling that's overrun the joint. It's a ghost town now, most of them got tired of all the bs and left. Only a few guys bother posting plays anymore. Sad.
1:25 to hit yall's 1st half bet. Win it then jump on the Cowboy's bandwagon!Comment -
You guys should send Wyoming's qb a thank you note for that 3rd down pass
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For sure, that why I try to have one place round here that has guys sharing things of value. I learned a great deal bout capping I had yet to know back when I joined this place and few others., gotta pay it forward to those interested!All good. I just don't do well with games that seem to be right on the number. Navy/SMU, VTech/Pitt, those lines by all account are tight. I might as well throw a dart. There are smarter people than me who devote a lot more time/energy/knowledge into breaking down the games and looking for soft lines. I've done better starting there and working back, if that makes sense. This week just happens to be extra chalky. I was late in changing my approach so the verdict is still out, but so far so good. Kind of wish we could start the season over, as evidenced by my contest results
This thread has been great too, reminds me of when I first joined SBR. I got into betting soccer because of the soccer forum, used to be a lot of really good posters. Nothing but plays and plenty of info, none of the bullshit posers/trolling that's overrun the joint. It's a ghost town now, most of them got tired of all the bs and left. Only a few guys bother posting plays anymore. Sad.
1:25 to hit yall's 1st half bet. Win it then jump on the Cowboy's bandwagon!
Honestly I try not to get hung up on dog/fav, I try to just bet where I perceive value, just happens I find that more often lies w dogs for me and majority of favs I like end up being passes to a extent.
I think I can make a really good case for panthers +4 or more having some value but I just been waiting to see weather cause if conditions bad enough throwing a issue don’t think I can play them. There is a case for hokies too, I actually leaned them to start week but more I dug into more I thought catching over a fg or over +150 has some value. The one area that be a concern if weather ok (not tripping on little rain just can’t have bunch of wind or monsoon!) would be hokies very strong in red zone on both sides, but if conditions ok I think Pitt will have more success moving the ball. We see.
Navy is tough but hard to look past that senior day win streak!Comment -
Part of the reason we don’t like wyo as favs is they have no passing game!! Their passing game sucked before the starter was lost for year a few weeks ago! When you suck at passing typically means the backup probably awful! LolComment -
Cash CSU 1st half!
Love starting week with a winner!!! Bang bangComment
