Let’s talk ncaaFB week 13!

[2daBank]

I wanna play a nooner before work, but nothing looks good. Can’t see myself laying 14 with Minny though it probably hits. May just throw some on Cuse ML.

Didn’t even wanna give it to you at -14. Reason I jumped on that early cause I think -12.5 might get the cheese while 13-14 could be dicey.

[Cuse0323]

Do we know if Morgan is playing or not? I can’t find anything definitive. Was thinking Minny ML for the free money to jump up another hundo on my roll, but never know. Could have an Illini Wisky type upset here, though I really doubt it as Northwestern probably can’t score enough to beat Minny if they were playing with no QB at all.

[unde0087]

Cuser, how you doing brother? Is your health better these days?

[Cuse0323]

Cuser, how you doing brother? Is your health better these days?

Hey man. I’m doing pretty well. I feel healthy. The diabetes thing was just a dumb guess by some quack, so no worries there. Without the booze, I feel good. Thanks for asking brother.

[2daBank]

Do we know if Morgan is playing or not? I can’t find anything definitive. Was thinking Minny ML for the free money to jump up another hundo on my roll, but never know. Could have an Illini Wisky type upset here, though I really doubt it as Northwestern probably can’t score enough to beat Minny if they were playing with no QB at all.

Someone in here said earlier he was a go (sorry I forget who to give credit to), I took him at face value and assumed he had a solid source, I havnt checked. I don’t care who plays qb, minny offense better than wiscy and Illinois way better than NW imo, don’t see it at all. I do not buy the sandwich spot narrative for gophers at all, I think this team still believes it has playoff aspersions and while we may not like their chances I think it absolutely correct to say if they win out they in playoff. I can’t see the letdown here some have discussed.

[2daBank]

Man, anyone who got in on that Pitt/hokies under early at 47 or higher got a great line. Im debating still playing it at 44.5!! My only concern is some these acc games get some crazy scoring outbreaks you wouldn’t expect but I don’t see it here. I’ve spent a crazy amount of time on this game several times this week.

I do think Pitt w the points the right side but the weather concerns me for a panthers team who has to pass to move ball, Remember the Pitt/Miami game played it wet conditions? I feel like this might look very similar. Interestingly enough panthers had one their highest rushing outputs of season in that Game, both yardage wise and abound of carries, think we gotta assume that was at least somewhat because the weather made throwing tougher?

What scares me about pit, this gonna be bud fosters last home game as DC for Hokies after a legendary career. The defense been way better the last month than early on, both in yards allowed and creating turnovers. Gotta think they play w their hair on fire for the coach by all accounts everyone loves. That scares me for Pitt combined w the weather. Panthers offense makes a habit of putting Pickett in tough 3rd down spots, gotta think that be a problem vs foster here. When he throws picks they come in bunches, 4 games he has thrown a pick and all 4 he has thrown 2, and 3 of those 4 been in their last 5., as you can see very tough not to give the nod to the Hokies defense!!

On the other side as I’ve talked about plenty already hokies success came mostly when they switched QBs to hendon hooker, his legs have helped the running game but he has greatly improved his accuracy as the season has went on (as you would expect from a young qb) , unlike Pickett he not asked to do as much and that has kept him from turning the ball over (remember he sat out the Irish game and turnovers what kept them in that, think hokies win that game if he played). Panthers are 1st in the i country at havoc rate and since he sat out the Nd game he hasn’t faced many tough defenses with anywhere close to the front 7 panthers have. I strongly believe hokies gonna struggle to run the ball here and he has had that run game in majority of his starts. So without the run game putting him in favorable down and distance and in what supposed to be fairly steady rain can he still succeed while facing the best pass rush he will have seen? Gotta be advantage panthers defense.

You look at some the scores these teams been putting up and might think 44 super low but you have to take into account this well absolutely be the toughest d Hooker has faced. Panthers have seen a few tougher d’s but the conditions and situation along w a vastly improving hokies d is gonna be tough. Hokies sport a top 10 red zone defense and panthers isn’t far behind ranking around 25th.

4tds and 5 Fgs is under and that feels like a lot here. I’ve killed myself on this game and even with the lowered number I feel like under 44.5 is the best option since I can make a good case for both team, lean pit but the bud foster factor is something I think tough to quantify. Interestingly enough the games these 2 have played at Pitt recently been high scoring while last few at Vtech been very low. Doesn’t mean much but fun fact.

[mikmik]

Please post picks lol , way too long to read. And thank you

[unde0087]

Hey man. I’m doing pretty well. I feel healthy. The diabetes thing was just a dumb guess by some quack, so no worries there. Without the booze, I feel good. Thanks for asking brother.

You are one of the greats man. We know when you go missing. Keep fighting pal. Always on your side.

[PromiseLand]

Morgan is gonna be a game-time decision...my guess is that he doesn't play though since he's been in concussion protocol all week. NW is rolling with their 4th string QB, Andrew Marty, who I know nothing about. I'd actually feel better if Aidan Smith was starting since I know that guy is terrible. Despite how bad NW has looked this year, I just can't pull the trigger on Minny when I know nothing about these backup qb's. Regardless, hope Minny steamrolls em so get an easy W here. GL Bank

[unde0087]

Man, anyone who got in on that Pitt/hokies under early at 47 or higher got a great line. Im debating still playing it at 44.5!! My only concern is some these acc games get some crazy scoring outbreaks you wouldn’t expect but I don’t see it here. I’ve spent a crazy amount of time on this game several times this week.

I do think Pitt w the points the right side but the weather concerns me for a panthers team who has to pass to move ball, Remember the Pitt/Miami game played it wet conditions? I feel like this might look very similar. Interestingly enough panthers had one their highest rushing outputs of season in that Game, both yardage wise and abound of carries, think we gotta assume that was at least somewhat because the weather made throwing tougher?

What scares me about pit, this gonna be bud fosters last home game as DC for Hokies after a legendary career. The defense been way better the last month than early on, both in yards allowed and creating turnovers. Gotta think they play w their hair on fire for the coach by all accounts everyone loves. That scares me for Pitt combined w the weather. Panthers offense makes a habit of putting Pickett in tough 3rd down spots, gotta think that be a problem vs foster here. When he throws picks they come in bunches, 4 games he has thrown a pick and all 4 he has thrown 2, and 3 of those 4 been in their last 5., as you can see very tough not to give the nod to the Hokies defense!!

On the other side as I’ve talked about plenty already hokies success came mostly when they switched QBs to hendon hooker, his legs have helped the running game but he has greatly improved his accuracy as the season has went on (as you would expect from a young qb) , unlike Pickett he not asked to do as much and that has kept him from turning the ball over (remember he sat out the Irish game and turnovers what kept them in that, think hokies win that game if he played). Panthers are 1st in the i country at havoc rate and since he sat out the Nd game he hasn’t faced many tough defenses with anywhere close to the front 7 panthers have. I strongly believe hokies gonna struggle to run the ball here and he has had that run game in majority of his starts. So without the run game putting him in favorable down and distance and in what supposed to be fairly steady rain can he still succeed while facing the best pass rush he will have seen? Gotta be advantage panthers defense.

You look at some the scores these teams been putting up and might think 44 super low but you have to take into account this well absolutely be the toughest d Hooker has faced. Panthers have seen a few tougher d’s but the conditions and situation along w a vastly improving hokies d is gonna be tough. Hokies sport a top 10 red zone defense and panthers isn’t far behind ranking around 25th.

4tds and 5 Fgs is under and that feels like a lot here. I’ve killed myself on this game and even with the lowered number I feel like under 44.5 is the best option since I can make a good case for both team, lean pit but the bud foster factor is something I think tough to quantify. Interestingly enough the games these 2 have played at Pitt recently been high scoring while last few at Vtech been very low. Doesn’t mean much but fun fact.

Can I get that in a hard copy

[unde0087]

Guy cant call anyone but he can write the first half of lord of the rings sports addition

[JayDr3am]

Guy cant call anyone but he can write the first half of lord of the rings sports addition

yooo chilllll unde

[BetThenSweat]

yooo chilllll unde

Jay, do you ever sleep? LOL

[Cuse0323]

You are one of the greats man. We know when you go missing. Keep fighting pal. Always on your side.

Appreciate that my man.

[JayDr3am]

Jay, do you ever sleep? LOL

during the week i sleep like a baby. the weekend comes around im up till 3am

[asiagambler]

Man, anyone who got in on that Pitt/hokies under early at 47 or higher got a great line. Im debating still playing it at 44.5!! My only concern is some these acc games get some crazy scoring outbreaks you wouldn’t expect but I don’t see it here. I’ve spent a crazy amount of time on this game several times this week.

I do think Pitt w the points the right side but the weather concerns me for a panthers team who has to pass to move ball, Remember the Pitt/Miami game played it wet conditions? I feel like this might look very similar. Interestingly enough panthers had one their highest rushing outputs of season in that Game, both yardage wise and abound of carries, think we gotta assume that was at least somewhat because the weather made throwing tougher?

What scares me about pit, this gonna be bud fosters last home game as DC for Hokies after a legendary career. The defense been way better the last month than early on, both in yards allowed and creating turnovers. Gotta think they play w their hair on fire for the coach by all accounts everyone loves. That scares me for Pitt combined w the weather. Panthers offense makes a habit of putting Pickett in tough 3rd down spots, gotta think that be a problem vs foster here. When he throws picks they come in bunches, 4 games he has thrown a pick and all 4 he has thrown 2, and 3 of those 4 been in their last 5., as you can see very tough not to give the nod to the Hokies defense!!

On the other side as I’ve talked about plenty already hokies success came mostly when they switched QBs to hendon hooker, his legs have helped the running game but he has greatly improved his accuracy as the season has went on (as you would expect from a young qb) , unlike Pickett he not asked to do as much and that has kept him from turning the ball over (remember he sat out the Irish game and turnovers what kept them in that, think hokies win that game if he played). Panthers are 1st in the i country at havoc rate and since he sat out the Nd game he hasn’t faced many tough defenses with anywhere close to the front 7 panthers have. I strongly believe hokies gonna struggle to run the ball here and he has had that run game in majority of his starts. So without the run game putting him in favorable down and distance and in what supposed to be fairly steady rain can he still succeed while facing the best pass rush he will have seen? Gotta be advantage panthers defense.

You look at some the scores these teams been putting up and might think 44 super low but you have to take into account this well absolutely be the toughest d Hooker has faced. Panthers have seen a few tougher d’s but the conditions and situation along w a vastly improving hokies d is gonna be tough. Hokies sport a top 10 red zone defense and panthers isn’t far behind ranking around 25th.

4tds and 5 Fgs is under and that feels like a lot here. I’ve killed myself on this game and even with the lowered number I feel like under 44.5 is the best option since I can make a good case for both team, lean pit but the bud foster factor is something I think tough to quantify. Interestingly enough the games these 2 have played at Pitt recently been high scoring while last few at Vtech been very low. Doesn’t mean much but fun fact.

I had similar thoughts and really liked the under but just couldn't do it after it moved so much already. Feels like a field goal game so leaned Pitt too but doesn't seem like enough of an advantage getting just 3.5. I believe Pitt also missing their top receiver Maurice French. This is one of those games I spent a bit of time on and couldn't come up with a bet. Almost feel like forcing it sometimes so as the work wasn't wasted lol

[asiagambler]

I like Navy/SMU under 66

So SMU is 9-0 to the over and Navy is 6-3. But, it's going to be rainy throughout which can slow the game down. SMU plays fast but Sonny Dykes said recently he's noticed his defense tires late because they are on the field so much (duh lol). I think maybe he takes a slower approach to keep them fresh. Navy looks to play clock control anyway and SMU should be well prepared for the option coming off the bye


Also New Mexico/Air Force under 55.5

I don't think Air Force is going to want to run it up here against a team they should dominate. New Mexico hit hard with injuries but I believe their coach Bob Davies has experience with the option so I think they can be prepared here. The strength has been their linebackers which should be key against option. New Mexico also has a good punter.


California +1.5

So Mills starting for Stanford. Garbers hasn't been ruled out for Cal but it's not looking good so most likely will be Mobster. But QBs aside, I think Cal has the advantage with their defense. Mills isn't as experienced as Costello and I think he'll struggle to read all the different looks and schemes Cal uses in coverage. Stanford doesn't have many weapons anyway and their running game is not explosive at all. Stanford's defense has really struggled and I think Modster's mobility can cause problems. Stanford also forced to have their punter Ryan Sanborn kick their field goals with Jet Toner done for the year. Sanborn's made all the extra points but he's missed 2 of 6 field goals, both in 30-39 range. With low total, every point matters and making field goals extremely important. I think Cal should win


Colorado +14.5

Backing these idiots again because Washington just isn't elite this year. Colorado defense plays much better at home, hopefully Montez does too. Colorado has a good rushing attack and Washington has been vulnerable stopping the run. I think staying within 2 touchdowns is manageable

[2daBank]

Guy cant call anyone but he can write the first half of lord of the rings sports addition

Lmao. I said I put a lot of time in on that Game, anyone can say it, thought I’d prove it!

Far as that over calling, I was laying in bed w old lady trying to sleep, woke up right away like always and felt inspired to talk bout Game, posting quite, phone call not. Was too chilly to get out of bed!’ You know me, I’ll call you at some point this weekend!! Lol

[2daBank]

Jay, do you ever sleep? LOL

Sleep is for wussies. Ain’t no wussies in this thread!! Lol

[leetreaper]

I don't see NAVY losing to SMU today

[leetreaper]

Sleep is for wussies. Ain’t no wussies in this thread!! Lol

[2daBank]

I don't see NAVY losing to SMU today

16 in a row on senior day. Pretty strong!

[2daBank]

Updated card so far:

Gophers -12.5
Beavers +10.5 (favorite)
Temple/cincy u47.5
Pitt/Vtech u44.5

[leetreaper]

Updated card so far:

Gophers -12.5
Beavers +10.5 (favorite)
Temple/cincy u47.5
Pitt/Vtech u44.5

Nice, I lean Tulane, S Bama and Indy so far.

P.S. Not touching totals in college at this time for obv reasons.

[fecgp40]

Updated card so far:

Gophers -12.5
Beavers +10.5 (favorite)
Temple/cincy u47.5
Pitt/Vtech u44.5

Beavers look really good. Yes I'm a fan of Beaver! LOL. I'm waiting for the ultimate matchup one day. Beavers vs. Cocks. LMAO.

Already played Tulane +6.5 and ML. I think I'm going to stay away from Minny game. Already at -14 and the QB situation such an unknown for both teams. Temple under is already down to 45. YUCK.

[2daBank]

Mizzou and under both feel like good plays. Just waiting out mizzou cause I see lot of 3.5s w juice on Vols, might actually get -3 here which imo is insanely cheap.

[fecgp40]

Anyone have any thoughts on Liberty/UVA game? Lot of chalk but I feel like UVA covers here.

[2daBank]

Beavers look really good. Yes I'm a fan of Beaver! LOL. I'm waiting for the ultimate matchup one day. Beavers vs. Cocks. LMAO.

Already played Tulane +6.5 and ML. I think I'm going to stay away from Minny game. Already at -14 and the QB situation such an unknown for both teams. Temple under is already down to 45. YUCK.

Wish I had gotten the Pitt/tech under early like I did with cincy game. It took me hours to come up w that after finally giving up on side, lol. At this point I’d prob have temple +10.5 opposed under current total.

I’m trying to talk myself into Tulane. Dunno what keeps holding me back but I think they the right side. Will prob make my card sometime before kick.

At -14 id prob leave gophers alone too. Whole reason I bet them early was to avoid being on or over any the key teen numbers. I could def see -12.5 cashing with -13.5 or more losing especially if qb don’t play.

[irishstuey]

I'm going against my strategy all year and playing NU -240. NU looked improved against Wisconsin. Actually ran the ball well, 7.5 yards per rush and almost 10 yards per attempt. If Wisconsin doesn't have Taylor that game would have been tight. Maryland defense nowhere near the Badgers and Martinez will finally have a huge game.

[U2.5]

I would bet ohio st -18.5 if penn st was healthy, but penn st is not healthy. O linemen injured, defense injured, and ohio st is at home getting their first round draft pick back on defense. Im taking -18.5 to pound town today, I don't see this one being close. I have a parlay with this play in it too.

[5mike5]

Morgan starting for Minny.

I think they win by 3+ TDs. Or hoping. i expect NW to have a good 1st Q and then be the usual doormats they are

[2daBank]

I'm going against my strategy all year and playing NU -240. NU looked improved against Wisconsin. Actually ran the ball well, 7.5 yards per rush and almost 10 yards per attempt. If Wisconsin doesn't have Taylor that game would have been tight. Maryland defense nowhere near the Badgers and Martinez will finally have a huge game.

If I was gonna go that route I’d prob find another bigger fav or 2 I fall great about and parlay together to get the price down. Or just lay the number, my theory on this with spreads under 7 is if I’m confident to lay that kind of price I better like them by at least a td. End of day if it is indeed closer than spread (as in one possession) laying more than 2 to 1 was not a good play even if it wins, if that makes sense?

[irishstuey]

If I was gonna go that route I’d prob find another bigger fav or 2 I fall great about and parlay together to get the price down. Or just lay the number, my theory on this with spreads under 7 is if I’m confident to lay that kind of price I better like them by at least a td. End of day if it is indeed closer than spread (as in one possession) laying more than 2 to 1 was not a good play even if it wins, if that makes sense?

Considered teasing with ND v BC under 70.5. Will probably still play the under 64.5 in that game. Expect a few long time eating drives for BC that will end in a couple fg's. ND will get their 35-40, but I don't think BC can go over 21 here. If NU had a normal husker kicker I'd lay the 6.

[2daBank]

Considered teasing with ND v BC under 70.5. Will probably still play the under 64.5 in that game. Expect a few long time eating drives for BC that will end in a couple fg's. ND will get their 35-40, but I don't think BC can go over 21 here. If NU had a normal husker kicker I'd lay the 6.

Oh don’t do that! I mean if you wanna play that total more power to ya but I wouldn’t ever tease a ncaa total lined that high, when those off they often off by a lot so don’t think using in teaser is wise choice at all.

I kinda disagree about bc scoring 21 or less. I think they will run all over Irish and give them all they want today., now teasing a team like bc to tcu up to huge number makes sense to me.

[5mike5]

Morgan starting for Minny.

I think they win by 3+ TDs. Or hoping. i expect NW to have a good 1st Q and then be the usual doormats they are

Here comes the steam

Up to 16 most places now