Let’s talk ncaaFB week 13!

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  • asiagambler
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 07-23-17
    • 6827

    #71
    Originally posted by Buckandadime
    Damn...
    Fog gonna penetrate with the over isn't it?
    Unless they can't find the ball..
    Well I have no idea how heavy the fog is but I assume it should affect visibility somewhat. Can't find any live shots of the stadium. WeatherSTEM actually has the wrong stadium (Washington's Huskie Stadium) listed for the game
    Comment
    • 2daBank
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 01-26-09
      • 88966

      #72
      That some thick ass fog if you think it makes throwing/wr able see ball a issue!!!!
      Comment
      • Buckandadime
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 04-21-15
        • 8847

        #73
        Originally posted by asiagambler
        Well I have no idea how heavy the fog is but I assume it should affect visibility somewhat. Can't find any live shots of the stadium. WeatherSTEM actually has the wrong stadium (Washington's Huskie Stadium) listed for the game
        Lol.
        Oops, Damn!!
        Comment
        • 2daBank
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 01-26-09
          • 88966

          #74
          Looks like I did the right thing jumping on gophers early, that line looks to be steaming up to -14 rather quickly!!
          Comment
          • Buckandadime
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 04-21-15
            • 8847

            #75
            Originally posted by 2daBank
            That some thick ass fog if you think it makes throwing/wr able see ball a issue!!!!
            I was thinking run a lot of bootlegs..
            Keystone cops play football..
            Comment
            • Buckandadime
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 04-21-15
              • 8847

              #76
              Originally posted by 2daBank
              Looks like I did the right thing jumping on gophers early, that line looks to be steaming up to -14 rather quickly!!
              Comment
              • 2daBank
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 01-26-09
                • 88966

                #77
                Originally posted by Buckandadime
                I’m far from a line movement expert but more than not lately they been going the way I suspect and it hurt me a few times being late. As in taking loss on ku at +17 but had I got down early at +18.5 woulda cashed, been more than I care to admit, lol. Getting on Wyoming early in the week was big last week!! glad I jumped and got better of this one. I’d still play at -13,5 but that be it, thinks I’d pass once it gets to -14.
                Comment
                • biggie12
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 12-30-05
                  • 13788

                  #78
                  Originally posted by 2daBank
                  Your guess prob better than mine brother. As mentioned I don’t really do the Mac. Hopefully someone else can give you some better incite than I,

                  Looks like a game that gonna have a ton of rushing attempts which obviously not ideal for the over. Also looks like a huge mismatch on paper, my general feeling on totals like these if you think dog has a good chance of staying inside number the over usually has much better chance of cashing. I dunno if that the case here or not?
                  i hate waiting lol impatient today

                  Bet placement date
                  19 Nov 2019, 17:05:30Live
                  Bet typeDoubleStake:$6000Odds+178Coupon ID2256295666Status1 of 2 settledPotential Returns$16680
                  Won
                  LiveNadal, Rafael - Khachanov, Karen
                  Tennis / Davis Cup / Singles
                  19 Nov 2019, 15:24
                  Set 2
                  Nadal, Rafael-210Result: 7-6
                  Open
                  Bowling Green Falcons - Ohio Bobcats
                  American Football / NCAAF
                  19 Nov 2019, 19:30
                  Total Points - Including Overtime
                  Over 55.5-114
                  Comment
                  • 2daBank
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 01-26-09
                    • 88966

                    #79
                    Originally posted by biggie12
                    i hate waiting lol impatient today

                    Bet placement date
                    19 Nov 2019, 17:05:30Live
                    Bet typeDoubleStake:$6000Odds+178Coupon ID2256295666Status1 of 2 settledPotential Returns$16680
                    Won
                    LiveNadal, Rafael - Khachanov, Karen
                    Tennis / Davis Cup / Singles
                    19 Nov 2019, 15:24
                    Set 2
                    Nadal, Rafael-210Result: 7-6
                    Open
                    Bowling Green Falcons - Ohio Bobcats
                    American Football / NCAAF
                    19 Nov 2019, 19:30
                    Total Points - Including Overtime
                    Over 55.5-114
                    Lol. Gl pal
                    Comment
                    • biggie12
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 12-30-05
                      • 13788

                      #80
                      gravy...nice 1st Q
                      Comment
                      • 2daBank
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 01-26-09
                        • 88966

                        #81
                        Originally posted by biggie12
                        gravy...nice 1st Q
                        Wow. Very nice!!!
                        Comment
                        • NEOHsports4life
                          SBR MVP
                          • 09-13-09
                          • 1149

                          #82
                          Bowling Green Falcons - Ohio Bobcats
                          American Football / NCAAF
                          19 Nov 2019, 19:30
                          Total Points - Including Overtime
                          Over 55.5-114

                          Is that scoring going to continue 2nd half?
                          Comment
                          • brock
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 01-07-08
                            • 8210

                            #83
                            Gophers QB Tanner Morgan on concussion protocol. As of Tuesday evening Gophers
                            are unsure if he will be ok to start Saturday.
                            Comment
                            • 2daBank
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 01-26-09
                              • 88966

                              #84
                              Originally posted by brock
                              Gophers QB Tanner Morgan on concussion protocol. As of Tuesday evening Gophers
                              are unsure if he will be ok to start Saturday.
                              That not good. I would love for it to hit 14 before I thought bout selling off. Dunno I get my chance tho if that becomes a thing.
                              Comment
                              • brock
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 01-07-08
                                • 8210

                                #85
                                I played the Gophers -12.5 Monday. See -14 at some shops. May put half
                                my bet on the +14 and try to middle. Going to check Morgan's status first.
                                Comment
                                • BigdaddyQH
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 07-13-09
                                  • 19530

                                  #86
                                  Brock. First of all, why middle 13? Really. Save your money. Next, Morgan is officially listed as questionable. He has to go through the concussion protocol. This is your basic meaningless game between a team headed for a huge let down and who is also in a look-ahead situation, against a team that has been a dismal failure all season. As far as Morgan is concerned, it probably will end up being one of those "game time" decisions. I do not think he plays. Minnesota has nothing to gain by him playing. Everything rides on the game against Wisconsin.

                                  Both MAC games easily went over last night. Look for more of the same tonight. They may as well televise JUCO or High School games. The MAC is just terrible.
                                  Comment
                                  • 2daBank
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 01-26-09
                                    • 88966

                                    #87
                                    Originally posted by BigdaddyQH
                                    Brock. First of all, why middle 13? Really. Save your money. Next, Morgan is officially listed as questionable. He has to go through the concussion protocol. This is your basic meaningless game between a team headed for a huge let down and who is also in a look-ahead situation, against a team that has been a dismal failure all season. As far as Morgan is concerned, it probably will end up being one of those "game time" decisions. I do not think he plays. Minnesota has nothing to gain by him playing. Everything rides on the game against Wisconsin.

                                    Both MAC games easily went over last night. Look for more of the same tonight. They may as well televise JUCO or High School games. The MAC is just terrible.
                                    If we can get a +14.5 it not a bad middle opportunity at all, crossing 13 and 14 pretty meaningful in game like this, equates so having -2.5 fav then coming back on dog at +4.5/5. I’d prob need 14.5 to attempt it but for only 2 numbers on middle it 2 pretty good/key numbers imo.,

                                    Far as this “basically meaningless” narrative being pushed I couldn’t disagree more. Gophers losing to Iowa if anything makes this game far more important to them. Their playoff chances are no better or worse than before the Iowa game, as in their path is identical to what it was prior to that loss. They were never getting in without beating osu for big 10 championship anyways. All last week did was take away their margin for error in this game they may have had if they beat Iowa.

                                    Maybe I’m off in that respect but I feel good with what I stated above, don’t foresee/worry bout a lack of effort/letdown being a issue. I am concerned about the qb which only reason I’d consider at least buying off a portion of the bet with small middle chance (only half would be what I did if I choose that route).
                                    Comment
                                    • BeatTheJerk
                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                      • 08-19-07
                                      • 31794

                                      #88
                                      (Banker) At 1st this annoyed me being left off then I remembered how awful my following weeks were when making one these list!! Lol.

                                      Feel for jerky, I might have to fade his opinions this week!! Lol


                                      (Jerky) I’ll make sure I post my fades in this thread, & no on the fence shit like the Baylor pick last week. Fade me & press submit it probably is a perfect time to do so.


                                      (Jerky) Fade them pal, fade them “2daBank”.

                                      Illinois +14.5

                                      Minnesota -13.5

                                      Boston College +19.5

                                      Michigan -8.5

                                      Texas +5.5

                                      San Diego St. +3
                                      Comment
                                      • Buckandadime
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 04-21-15
                                        • 8847

                                        #89
                                        Originally posted by 2daBank
                                        If we can get a +14.5 it not a bad middle opportunity at all, crossing 13 and 14 pretty meaningful in game like this, equates so having -2.5 fav then coming back on dog at +4.5/5. I’d prob need 14.5 to attempt it but for only 2 numbers on middle it 2 pretty good/key numbers imo.,

                                        Far as this “basically meaningless” narrative being pushed I couldn’t disagree more. Gophers losing to Iowa if anything makes this game far more important to them. Their playoff chances are no better or worse than before the Iowa game, as in their path is identical to what it was prior to that loss. They were never getting in without beating osu for big 10 championship anyways. All last week did was take away their margin for error in this game they may have had if they beat Iowa.

                                        Maybe I’m off in that respect but I feel good with what I stated above, don’t foresee/worry bout a lack of effort/letdown being a issue. I am concerned about the qb which only reason I’d consider at least buying off a portion of the bet with small middle chance (only half would be what I did if I choose that route).
                                        Agree that I don't think there will be a "let down" this week..
                                        Eyes on the prize..
                                        Only thing I'm worried about is the drop off if Morgan doesn't play..
                                        Know nothing about the back up Clark which could mean a lopsided run game plan..
                                        Middling?
                                        Never tried so I have nothing to offer there..
                                        With Morgan out ( that's the way I'm gonna look at this) I see Minny by an 8-10#..
                                        N'western did route UMass last week so they may think that they have a good team and play tough...
                                        Comment
                                        • Buckandadime
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 04-21-15
                                          • 8847

                                          #90
                                          Originally posted by BeatTheJerk
                                          (Banker) At 1st this annoyed me being left off then I remembered how awful my following weeks were when making one these list!! Lol.

                                          Feel for jerky, I might have to fade his opinions this week!! Lol


                                          (Jerky) I’ll make sure I post my fades in this thread, & no on the fence shit like the Baylor pick last week. Fade me & press submit it probably is a perfect time to do so.


                                          (Jerky) Fade them pal, fade them “2daBank”.

                                          Illinois +14.5

                                          Minnesota -13.5

                                          Boston College +19.5

                                          Michigan -8.5

                                          Texas +5.5

                                          San Diego St. +3
                                          Why did you have to go and like BC?
                                          Comment
                                          • 2daBank
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 01-26-09
                                            • 88966

                                            #91
                                            Originally posted by BeatTheJerk
                                            (Banker) At 1st this annoyed me being left off then I remembered how awful my following weeks were when making one these list!! Lol.

                                            Feel for jerky, I might have to fade his opinions this week!! Lol


                                            (Jerky) I’ll make sure I post my fades in this thread, & no on the fence shit like the Baylor pick last week. Fade me & press submit it probably is a perfect time to do so.


                                            (Jerky) Fade them pal, fade them “2daBank”.

                                            Illinois +14.5

                                            Minnesota -13.5

                                            Boston College +19.5

                                            Michigan -8.5

                                            Texas +5.5

                                            San Diego St. +3
                                            Surely you understand I was just joking around? I don’t make bets fading anyone, if I did you surely wouldn’t be my choice to fade brotha.

                                            Was just pointing out JJ really has a knack for fukkin up a wet dream! Like he does it on purpose as he hates when we winning! I know the times he included me on one those stupid list I tend to struggle afterwords. I’m sure you can overcome it!

                                            For the record only one of those I don’t like is Michigan, but I’m not really interested in being against it. Will almost assuredly be on the 1st 3 if I’m not already.
                                            Comment
                                            • BeatTheJerk
                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                              • 08-19-07
                                              • 31794

                                              #92
                                              Originally posted by 2daBank
                                              Surely you understand I was just joking around? I don’t make bets fading anyone, if I did you surely wouldn’t be my choice to fade brotha.

                                              Was just pointing out JJ really has a knack for fukkin up a wet dream! Like he does it on purpose as he hates when we winning! I know the times he included me on one those stupid list I tend to struggle afterwords. I’m sure you can overcome it!

                                              For the record only one of those I don’t like is Michigan, but I’m not really interested in being against it. Will almost assuredly be on the 1st 3 if I’m not already.
                                              Hey it's all good, I'm basing this off of the premise that JJ Gold is a straight mush. Could be an valid angle
                                              Comment
                                              • 2daBank
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 01-26-09
                                                • 88966

                                                #93
                                                Originally posted by BeatTheJerk
                                                Hey it's all good, I'm basing this off of the premise that JJ Gold is a straight mush. Could be an valid angle
                                                He has certainly done it to me once or 3 times. Lol. I’d say it not as much he a mush as he tends to pick guys who been running hot (when he not just trolling) and obviously none of us stay hot forever.,

                                                I like your card tho. I think you safe to continue winning!!
                                                Comment
                                                • BigdaddyQH
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 07-13-09
                                                  • 19530

                                                  #94
                                                  Originally posted by 2daBank
                                                  If we can get a +14.5 it not a bad middle opportunity at all, crossing 13 and 14 pretty meaningful in game like this, equates so having -2.5 fav then coming back on dog at +4.5/5. I’d prob need 14.5 to attempt it but for only 2 numbers on middle it 2 pretty good/key numbers imo.,

                                                  Far as this “basically meaningless” narrative being pushed I couldn’t disagree more. Gophers losing to Iowa if anything makes this game far more important to them. Their playoff chances are no better or worse than before the Iowa game, as in their path is identical to what it was prior to that loss. They were never getting in without beating osu for big 10 championship anyways. All last week did was take away their margin for error in this game they may have had if they beat Iowa.

                                                  Maybe I’m off in that respect but I feel good with what I stated above, don’t foresee/worry bout a lack of effort/letdown being a issue. I am concerned about the qb which only reason I’d consider at least buying off a portion of the bet with small middle chance (only half would be what I did if I choose that route).
                                                  I doubt if you will see 14 points. I have seen more 12 1/2 point lines. As far as this being a meaningless game, I refer to the fact that Iowa has already lost 3 conference games, so they are out. Ditto every other team in the Big 10 West except Wisconsin, who has 2 losses, and Minnesota, who has 1. Whether Minnesota has 1 or 2 losses does not matter at all. The winner of the Wisconsin-Minnesota game wins the Division. Whether Minnesota has 1 loss or 2 going into that game also does not matter. They must defeat Wisconsin, no matter what they do against Northwestern. They will not risk any type of injury for a meaningless game. That is why I think they sit Morgan. If he plays and suffers another blow to the head, they could lose him for the Wisconsin game and that would kill their chances of winning the Division.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • BeatTheJerk
                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                    • 08-19-07
                                                    • 31794

                                                    #95
                                                    Originally posted by 2daBank
                                                    He has certainly done it to me once or 3 times. Lol.

                                                    I like your card tho. I think you safe to continue winning!!
                                                    Thanks Banker, we good homie Who do you like this week thus far ?
                                                    Comment
                                                    • swordsandtequila
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 02-23-12
                                                      • 9757

                                                      #96
                                                      Originally posted by Buckandadime
                                                      Agree that I don't think there will be a "let down" this week..
                                                      Eyes on the prize..
                                                      Only thing I'm worried about is the drop off if Morgan doesn't play..
                                                      Know nothing about the back up Clark which could mean a lopsided run game plan..
                                                      Middling?
                                                      Never tried so I have nothing to offer there..
                                                      With Morgan out ( that's the way I'm gonna look at this) I see Minny by an 8-10#..
                                                      N'western did route UMass last week so they may think that they have a good team and play tough...
                                                      Good candidate for a tease.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Buckandadime
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 04-21-15
                                                        • 8847

                                                        #97
                                                        Originally posted by swordsandtequila
                                                        Good candidate for a tease.
                                                        Yes Sir
                                                        Got it..
                                                        Comment
                                                        • 2daBank
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 01-26-09
                                                          • 88966

                                                          #98
                                                          Originally posted by BigdaddyQH
                                                          I doubt if you will see 14 points. I have seen more 12 1/2 point lines. As far as this being a meaningless game, I refer to the fact that Iowa has already lost 3 conference games, so they are out. Ditto every other team in the Big 10 West except Wisconsin, who has 2 losses, and Minnesota, who has 1. Whether Minnesota has 1 or 2 losses does not matter at all. The winner of the Wisconsin-Minnesota game wins the Division. Whether Minnesota has 1 loss or 2 going into that game also does not matter. They must defeat Wisconsin, no matter what they do against Northwestern. They will not risk any type of injury for a meaningless game. That is why I think they sit Morgan. If he plays and suffers another blow to the head, they could lose him for the Wisconsin game and that would kill their chances of winning the Division.
                                                          I saw some +14s last night but decided to wait.

                                                          Not sure how you think minny having 1 or 2 losses is meaningless?? You correct far as getting to the big 10 championship game but I feel like you dismissing their chances of still being a playoff team?

                                                          Certainly not saying they gonna go to the big-10 championship and beat osu but I’m positive that their ultimate goal is in fact winning a national championship and while we think it incredibly unlikely the fact remains that is still a attainable/realistic goal for them as if they win out they are a undeniable playoff team wouldn't you agree?

                                                          If they lose to NW they out of the discussion even if they go on to beat wiscy and osu. You may have a point that they wouldn’t wanna risk not having their qb vs wiscy but I just can’t imagine they raise the white flag far as their natty champ hopes., of course I think they could beat NW with anyone at qb, obviously I wouldn’t feel as good about the cover.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • firedawg
                                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                            • 10-08-08
                                                            • 39219

                                                            #99
                                                            Vols
                                                            Comment
                                                            • 2daBank
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 01-26-09
                                                              • 88966

                                                              #100
                                                              Originally posted by firedawg
                                                              Vols
                                                              Disagree this week. Very mizzou MO to win these next 2, they love beating the bottom tear sec teams at end of year to push this redic narrative they heading in right direction. Despite their recent play and all around horribleness on the road I think at home this line short compared to the few others they have played at home and where the line was (namely ol miss but scary to lessor degree).

                                                              Think tigers have the vastly superior defense and I suspect Bryant has a much better game this week., not sure if I’m playing or not? Largely depends how my card shapes up and whether I want another game but it mizzou or nothing for me. Maybe I’m being a homer but seeing how I havnt bet on them once all year feel confident that not the case. Lol
                                                              Comment
                                                              • brock
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 01-07-08
                                                                • 8210

                                                                #101
                                                                Originally posted by BigdaddyQH
                                                                Brock. First of all, why middle 13? Really. Save your money. Next, Morgan is officially listed as questionable. He has to go through the concussion protocol. This is your basic meaningless game between a team headed for a huge let down and who is also in a look-ahead situation, against a team that has been a dismal failure all season. As far as Morgan is concerned, it probably will end up being one of those "game time" decisions. I do not think he plays. Minnesota has nothing to gain by him playing. Everything rides on the game against Wisconsin.

                                                                Both MAC games easily went over last night. Look for more of the same tonight. They may as well televise JUCO or High School games. The MAC is just terrible.
                                                                Took +14.5 -121 probably not a good bet.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • STANDARD BET
                                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                                  • 05-10-19
                                                                  • 224

                                                                  #102
                                                                  Some things I'm eyeing up for the Weekend:

                                                                  Memphis/USF under 59.5
                                                                  USF will not put up many points against another top AC defense. Cinci had an off week last week, USF offense really not capable of scoring much..

                                                                  Temple +10.5
                                                                  Big game for both teams. 2 tough defenses. Game will be within a touchdown.

                                                                  Oklahoma -17.5
                                                                  Playing this for no reason other than OK needs a blowout here for rankings.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • 2daBank
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 01-26-09
                                                                    • 88966

                                                                    #103
                                                                    Originally posted by STANDARD BET
                                                                    Some things I'm eyeing up for the Weekend:

                                                                    Memphis/USF under 59.5
                                                                    USF will not put up many points against another top AC defense. Cinci had an off week last week, USF offense really not capable of scoring much..

                                                                    Temple +10.5
                                                                    Big game for both teams. 2 tough defenses. Game will be within a touchdown.

                                                                    Oklahoma -17.5
                                                                    Playing this for no reason other than OK needs a blowout here for rankings.
                                                                    Only disagreement from me the Sooners. No way do I feel like they should be laying that, that defense makes it tough to blow teams out and tcu offense been pretty strong the last 3-4 weeks. Think it gonna be another nail biter for sooners. Suppose they might need style points but don’t think they would mean much even if they could.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • 2daBank
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 01-26-09
                                                                      • 88966

                                                                      #104
                                                                      Heard a fairly interesting take on the Akron game for you maction degens! Lol.

                                                                      Doesn’t hold as much water now since the line has came down off 31 but when it was +31 with a 45 total the theory was if Akron just scored 1 td you couldn’t lose both bets if you took zips and over. Surely they can score one td no?! Obviously I’m not condoning maction but made lot of sense if you had to have action tonight.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Tanko
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 09-19-09
                                                                        • 5141

                                                                        #105
                                                                        Two of the the worst offenses in the country tonight.
                                                                        Akron 130th out of 130 vs Miami OH 110th out of 130

                                                                        Its going to be an ugly game.
                                                                        Got to love Maction.
                                                                        Comment
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