Confusing line move on Notre Dame vs Clemson

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  • ZIPPER HEAD
    SBR MVP
    • 10-17-13
    • 2592

    #36
    Originally posted by Husker36
    Bigdaddy only plays 1 game a year. And then trolls this site the rest of the year.
    The only thing LIL daddy plays with is his rooster
    Comment
    • Mike Huntertz
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 08-19-09
      • 11207

      #37
      Clemson wins unless gawd intervenes.
      Comment
      • pilebuck13
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 05-15-15
        • 17918

        #38
        Who gives a fuk can’t wait for college football to be over!
        Comment
        • tcarn01
          SBR MVP
          • 10-27-09
          • 1993

          #39
          Originally posted by BigdaddyQH
          Obviously you are just playing the game to get action on it. Successful gamblers NEVER wager that way. You either like a team or you do not. You cannot like both teams in the same game. You people simply refuse to listen. First, there is no guarantee that the information you have about how many people are wagering on which team is correct. Who releases that information? Second, I wager more than any 20 people do on a single game in here. That means if 19 of you took team A and I took team B there would be a huge difference in the number of people who wagered on team A and the amount of money wagered on Team A. The ONLY thing that counts is the money. Who do you think 85-90% of the people who wager are losers in the long run?
          you are the biggest POS in this forum. I have never seen you bring anything worth saying to the table. You don't know SH#* about betting sports. LOSER....
          Comment
          • grease lightnin
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 10-01-12
            • 16015

            #40
            Originally posted by LT Profits
            Those betting percentages are percent of BETS. Best guess is that line has gone up because Clemson has had the higher % of MONEY bet.

            OP did you see this post?
            Comment
            • KVB
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 05-29-14
              • 74817

              #41


              A lot of confusion in this thread and I'm about to make it worse by giving you reality, the facts.

              There is a more money AND bets on Notre Dame,period.

              I am not guessing, I don't need to guess, I have solid information.

              So yes LT, you were guessing and in this instance you guessed wrong.

              As usual, BigDaddy was guessing too, but he has far less of a clue.

              I also know what's happening here and have explained this behavior many times.

              It benefits to read my posts, as I consider it an edge that has often been described.

              But won't be described here. It's knowledge for the esoteric.


              Comment
              • KingKolzig
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 02-02-10
                • 5550

                #42
                Clemson first half down to -6.5
                Comment
                • grease lightnin
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 10-01-12
                  • 16015

                  #43
                  Originally posted by KVB


                  A lot of confusion in this thread and I'm about to make it worse by giving you reality, the facts.

                  There is a more money AND bets on Notre Dame,period.

                  I am not guessing, I don't need to guess, I have solid information.

                  So yes LT, you were guessing and in this instance you guessed wrong.

                  As usual, BigDaddy was guessing too, but he has far less of a clue.

                  I also know what's happening here and have explained this behavior many times.

                  It benefits to read my posts, as I consider it an edge that has often been described.

                  But won't be described here. It's knowledge for the esoteric.






                  How do you know this?

                  I have always thought the percentages that are released can’t be true.

                  What other info info can be accessed to determine this? When this was posted, based off percentages it had RLM written all over it.

                  Are you just saying this because the line is now at 11?
                  Comment
                  • JAKEPEAVY21
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 03-11-11
                    • 29307

                    #44
                    Just landed in Dallas and headed to the game shortly...

                    Quick day trip flying back home tonight, let's go Irish!!
                    Comment
                    • High3rEl3m3nt
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 09-28-10
                      • 8022

                      #45
                      Have fun, JP. KVB, drop some knowledge, pal. Looking forward to your thoughts.
                      Comment
                      • JoeCool20
                        SBR MVP
                        • 05-31-18
                        • 4440

                        #46
                        Originally posted by KingKolzig
                        Clemson first half down to -6.5




                        Yeah and the line is down to - 10.5 so clearly money is coming in on Notre Dame.

                        I don't know when he made the original post, but now it is moot because the line IS moving down.
                        Comment
                        • grease lightnin
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 10-01-12
                          • 16015

                          #47
                          Originally posted by JoeCool20
                          Yeah and the line is down to - 10.5 so clearly money is coming in on Notre Dame.

                          I don't know when he made the original post, but now it is moot because the line IS moving down.



                          Yep, but if any public can move the line... the Notre Dame public can.

                          -10 -120 for me
                          Comment
                          • Heltah Skeltah
                            SBR MVP
                            • 12-05-17
                            • 3499

                            #48
                            Originally posted by JAKEPEAVY21
                            Just landed in Dallas and headed to the game shortly...

                            Quick day trip flying back home tonight, let's go Irish!!
                            Have fun buddy!!
                            Comment
                            • Grits n' Gravy
                              Restricted User
                              • 06-10-10
                              • 13024

                              #49
                              Originally posted by BigdaddyQH
                              Obviously you are just playing the game to get action on it. Successful gamblers NEVER wager that way. You either like a team or you do not. You cannot like both teams in the same game. You people simply refuse to listen. First, there is no guarantee that the information you have about how many people are wagering on which team is correct. Who releases that information? Second, I wager more than any 20 people do on a single game in here. That means if 19 of you took team A and I took team B there would be a huge difference in the number of people who wagered on team A and the amount of money wagered on Team A. The ONLY thing that counts is the money. Who do you think 85-90% of the people who wager are losers in the long run?
                              You live in a trailer on govt assistance in San Bernardino. Stop acting like you are a big bettor. Virtually dead last in btp contest.

                              Stay away from kids too sicko.

                              OP- Your first problem in using odds service is actually believing the betting % #s posted. Not accurate and books under zero obligation to report #s to the services.
                              Comment
                              • Grits n' Gravy
                                Restricted User
                                • 06-10-10
                                • 13024

                                #50
                                Originally posted by ZIPPER HEAD
                                The only thing LIL daddy plays with is his rooster
                                And minors.
                                Comment
                                • DJK
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 01-17-11
                                  • 2424

                                  #51
                                  I went to Sugar House to place my bets earlier today and I was too late for the Florida vs Michigan game as it just kicked off. Even if I was there sooner, it would not have mattered as the freaking lines to make the bets, whether with the clerks or on the machines were long as hell. It sucks that I missed that game as I was planning on betting Florida based on what someone posted here (thomorino for one) as Florida covered the whole game and rather easily.

                                  Of all the favorites covering this bowl season, I'm hoping some dogs will cover nearing the end of the bowl season including Notre Dame.

                                  If they cover, then I'm free rolling on the rest of my bets. If not, then that's that and I lose 20% of what I won in the last two weekends.

                                  My thought is that I did a good deed this week to give 1/2 of my winnings to my parents ($3,500) when they lost $3,300 while they were in Atlantic City casinos for three weeks. They were scheduled to stay 4 weeks but they ran out of money and they were faced with going home early before Christmas if I didn't give them the cash. They told me it was the best Christmas present ever. So, karma is going to let me win all my bets.
                                  Comment
                                  • Grits n' Gravy
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 06-10-10
                                    • 13024

                                    #52
                                    If ND uses a lot of 3 step drops and quick passes they might be able to slow down Clemson Dline. I think Clemson pulls away in 2h.
                                    Comment
                                    • BigDofBA
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 09-30-09
                                      • 19313

                                      #53
                                      Originally posted by BigdaddyQH
                                      Obviously you are just playing the game to get action on it. Successful gamblers NEVER wager that way. You either like a team or you do not. You cannot like both teams in the same game. You people simply refuse to listen. First, there is no guarantee that the information you have about how many people are wagering on which team is correct. Who releases that information? Second, I wager more than any 20 people do on a single game in here. That means if 19 of you took team A and I took team B there would be a huge difference in the number of people who wagered on team A and the amount of money wagered on Team A. The ONLY thing that counts is the money. Who do you think 85-90% of the people who wager are losers in the long run?
                                      I’ve never seen this guy post a play.

                                      I realize it’s SBR and we bust each other’s balls and talk smack. No big deal....

                                      It’s just every one of these posts read the same.

                                      “You guys don’t know anything”

                                      “I know everything”

                                      “I bet way more money”

                                      .....I like Clemson btw.
                                      Comment
                                      • DJK
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 01-17-11
                                        • 2424

                                        #54
                                        Also, it doesn't hurt that Stanford Steve Coughlin picked Notre Dame +13.

                                        I don't know how he got +13 since I got only +11-117. It's bad enough that I got only +11 but I even had to pay higher juice at freaking Sugar House.
                                        Comment
                                        • navyblue81
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 11-29-13
                                          • 4143

                                          #55
                                          Excited for the game. Gut tells me this is going to be a lot closer than people think, especially with the big money coming in on ND late. Both games should be fun.
                                          Comment
                                          • grease lightnin
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 10-01-12
                                            • 16015

                                            #56
                                            Originally posted by BigDofBA
                                            I’ve never seen this guy post a play.

                                            I realize it’s SBR and we bust each other’s balls and talk smack. No big deal....

                                            It’s just every one one of these posts read the same.

                                            “You guys don’t know anything”

                                            “I know everything”

                                            “I bet way more money”

                                            I like Clemson btw.





                                            His system is to bet money line road favorites -1000 or higher in college football.

                                            And this is not a joke.
                                            Comment
                                            • NardVa
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 10-02-07
                                              • 8325

                                              #57
                                              If Notre Dame wins you pound Bama. If Clemson wins you pound Oklahoma. No way we get another Clemson vs Bama game.
                                              Comment
                                              • DJK
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 01-17-11
                                                • 2424

                                                #58
                                                Even though I truly believe it's a kiss of death posting picks on here, but what the hell.

                                                Below are my 2 ML parlays and a 8 team teaser.

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                                                Comment
                                                • DJK
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 01-17-11
                                                  • 2424

                                                  #59
                                                  Just for that cocky bastard coach of Clemson, Dabo Swinney, I hope Notre Dame not only covers but wins SU.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • DJK
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 01-17-11
                                                    • 2424

                                                    #60
                                                    Originally posted by DJK
                                                    Even though I truly believe it's a kiss of death posting picks on here, but what the hell.

                                                    Below are my 2 ML parlays and a 8 team teaser.

                                                    https://imgur.com/a/FKwf0a0
                                                    Since the pic is kind of small and maybe hard to read what's on those plays, they are listed below.

                                                    ML Parlay BM $150.00Alabama -650 -14.0 Neutral -560New England -775 -13.5 HOME -770Green Bay -375 -8.0 HOME -345N.Y. Giants -240 -6.0 HOME -278Kansas City -900 -14.0 HOME -770Philadelphia -325 -7.0 AWAY -315Pittsburgh -850 -17.0 HOME -910Seattle -715 -13.0 HOME -670L.A. Rams -450 -9.5 HOME -560Indianapolis -180 -3.0 AWAY -177Houston -300 -6.5 HOME -315 989.2 977.5 $1,483.84 $1,466.31 $1,633.84 $1,616.31ML Parlay BM $200.00Alabama -650 -14.0 Neutral -560New England -775 -13.5 HOME -770Green Bay -375 -8.0 HOME -345Kansas City -900 -14.0 HOME -770Pittsburgh -850 -17.0 HOME -910L.A. Rams -450 -9.5 HOME -560Seattle -715 -13.0 HOME -670Indianapolis -180 -3.5 AWAY -177 359.7 356.6 $719.31 $713.15 $919.31 $913.15Teaser $150.00Atlanta -2.0 +4.5 AWAY -250Green Bay -7.5 -1.0 HOME -345N.Y. Giants -6.0 +0.5 HOME -315Philadelphia -7.0 -0.5 AWAY -335Baltimore -6.0 +0.5 HOME -295Indianapolis -3.5 +3.0 AWAY -245Houston -6.5 +0.0 HOME -335Minnesota -5.5 +1.0 HOME -275 942.9 931.4 $1,414.28 $1,397.08 $1,564.28 $1,547.08
                                                    Comment
                                                    • LT Profits
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 10-27-06
                                                      • 90963

                                                      #61
                                                      Originally posted by NardVa
                                                      If Notre Dame wins you pound Bama. If Clemson wins you pound Oklahoma. No way we get another Clemson vs Bama game.
                                                      One has nothing to do with the other and it will most likely be Clemson vs Alabama again, although I do have Oklahoma +14 ATS,
                                                      Comment
                                                      • DJK
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 01-17-11
                                                        • 2424

                                                        #62
                                                        Originally posted by DJK
                                                        Even though I truly believe it's a kiss of death posting picks on here, but what the hell.

                                                        Below are my 2 ML parlays and a 8 team teaser.

                                                        https://imgur.com/a/FKwf0a0
                                                        Let me try that again.

                                                        $150 ML Parlay to win $1,483.84.

                                                        Alabama -560
                                                        New England -770
                                                        Green Bay -345
                                                        NY Giants -278
                                                        Kansas City -770
                                                        Philadelphia -315
                                                        Pittsburgh -910
                                                        Seattle -670
                                                        L.A. Rams -560
                                                        Indianapolis -177
                                                        Houston -315

                                                        $200 ML Parlay to win $719.31.

                                                        Alabama -560
                                                        New England -770
                                                        Green Bay -345
                                                        Kansas City -770
                                                        Pittsburgh -910
                                                        L.A. Rams -560
                                                        Seattle -670
                                                        Indianapolis -177

                                                        $150 8 team teaser for 6.5 points to win $1,414.28.

                                                        Atlanta +4.5
                                                        Green Bay -1.0
                                                        N.Y. Giants +0.5
                                                        Philadelphia -0.5
                                                        Baltimore +0.5
                                                        Indianapolis +3.0
                                                        Houston Pick
                                                        Minnesota +1.0

                                                        Since I haven't had a losing weekend for the whole season, my head tells me I could be due for a big loss and could go 0 for whatever.

                                                        So, I bet them much smaller than I normally do as I normally bet from $200 to $1,000 per play. I also made only 1/3 the number of plays.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • DJK
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 01-17-11
                                                          • 2424

                                                          #63
                                                          I know this could jinx my bet on Notre Dame, but that cocky asshole Dabo Swinney shit in his pants on that possible fumble.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • DJK
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 01-17-11
                                                            • 2424

                                                            #64
                                                            Nothing was conclusive on that review you idiot refs.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • DJK
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 01-17-11
                                                              • 2424

                                                              #65
                                                              Damn it, I want pick 6 NOW, PLEASE!!!
                                                              Comment
                                                              • kingdom
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 07-25-10
                                                                • 10099

                                                                #66
                                                                Originally posted by DJK
                                                                Let me try that again.

                                                                $150 ML Parlay to win $1,483.84.

                                                                Alabama -560
                                                                New England -770
                                                                Green Bay -345
                                                                NY Giants -278
                                                                Kansas City -770
                                                                Philadelphia -315
                                                                Pittsburgh -910
                                                                Seattle -670
                                                                L.A. Rams -560
                                                                Indianapolis -177
                                                                Houston -315

                                                                $200 ML Parlay to win $719.31.

                                                                Alabama -560
                                                                New England -770
                                                                Green Bay -345
                                                                Kansas City -770
                                                                Pittsburgh -910
                                                                L.A. Rams -560
                                                                Seattle -670
                                                                Indianapolis -177

                                                                $150 8 team teaser for 6.5 points to win $1,414.28.

                                                                Atlanta +4.5
                                                                Green Bay -1.0
                                                                N.Y. Giants +0.5
                                                                Philadelphia -0.5
                                                                Baltimore +0.5
                                                                Indianapolis +3.0
                                                                Houston Pick
                                                                Minnesota +1.0

                                                                Since I haven't had a losing weekend for the whole season, my head tells me I could be due for a big loss and could go 0 for whatever.

                                                                So, I bet them much smaller than I normally do as I normally bet from $200 to $1,000 per play. I also made only 1/3 the number of plays.
                                                                always dangerous to bet teams that have clinched or are out with nothing to play for.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • DJK
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 01-17-11
                                                                  • 2424

                                                                  #67
                                                                  Originally posted by kingdom
                                                                  always dangerous to bet teams that have clinched or are out with nothing to play for.
                                                                  There are no such picks on my plays.

                                                                  Every one of my picked teams have something to play for or winning. I intentionally avoided making picks on any of the games that were totally meaningless, such as Carolina vs New Orleans.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • kingdom
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 07-25-10
                                                                    • 10099

                                                                    #68
                                                                    Originally posted by DJK
                                                                    There are no such picks on my plays.

                                                                    Every one of my picked teams have something to play for or winning. I intentionally avoided making picks on any of the games that were totally meaningless, such as Carolina vs New Orleans.
                                                                    i guess the giants, gb and atlanta are playing for pride then. gl.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • DJK
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 01-17-11
                                                                      • 2424

                                                                      #69
                                                                      Originally posted by kingdom
                                                                      i guess the giants, gb and atlanta are playing for pride then. gl.
                                                                      That's about it as none of their opponents have any playoff implications.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • grease lightnin
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 10-01-12
                                                                        • 16015

                                                                        #70
                                                                        Originally posted by DJK
                                                                        Let me try that again.

                                                                        $150 ML Parlay to win $1,483.84.

                                                                        Alabama -560
                                                                        New England -770
                                                                        Green Bay -345
                                                                        NY Giants -278
                                                                        Kansas City -770
                                                                        Philadelphia -315
                                                                        Pittsburgh -910
                                                                        Seattle -670
                                                                        L.A. Rams -560
                                                                        Indianapolis -177
                                                                        Houston -315

                                                                        $200 ML Parlay to win $719.31.

                                                                        Alabama -560
                                                                        New England -770
                                                                        Green Bay -345
                                                                        Kansas City -770
                                                                        Pittsburgh -910
                                                                        L.A. Rams -560
                                                                        Seattle -670
                                                                        Indianapolis -177

                                                                        $150 8 team teaser for 6.5 points to win $1,414.28.

                                                                        Atlanta +4.5
                                                                        Green Bay -1.0
                                                                        N.Y. Giants +0.5
                                                                        Philadelphia -0.5
                                                                        Baltimore +0.5
                                                                        Indianapolis +3.0
                                                                        Houston Pick
                                                                        Minnesota +1.0

                                                                        Since I haven't had a losing weekend for the whole season, my head tells me I could be due for a big loss and could go 0 for whatever.

                                                                        So, I bet them much smaller than I normally do as I normally bet from $200 to $1,000 per play. I also made only 1/3 the number of plays.




                                                                        The weekends you have been winning..... were you betting like this?
                                                                        Comment
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