Danshan NBA Picks

[danshan11]

those big name player trades take me a few games to get a feel for what the line will do

[danshan11]

Record 11-17

Date	Team	My Line	Bet at	Line	Closed at	Line	Result	CLV	Avg CLV
11/9	Nuggets	217	210.5	-105	215	-128	W	4.92%	2.13%
11/10	Bulls	220.5	213	-105	212	106	L	-2.68%
11/10	Grizzlies	213.5	208.5	-105	211	-125	W	4.34%
11/11	Hornets	224	221.5	100	221.5	-102	L	0.50%
11/12	Grizzlies	206.5	203.5	100	203	106	L	-1.46%
11/12	Kings	222	216.5	-105	220	-137	L	6.59%
11/14	Trailblazers	1	2.5	-105	2.5	-104	L	-0.14%
11/16	Heat	214.5	211	-105	213.5	-135	L	6.23%
11/16	Knicks	224	227	-105	227.5	-106	L	0.24%
11/16	Knicks	6.5	10.5	-105	10.5	106	W	-2.68%
11/16	Raptors	217.5	214	-105	218	-143	W	7.63%

[danshan11]

11/17
Nuggets +1.5
Pelicans U227

[danshan11]

11-18 Lines

11/18		Grizzlies	214.5
11/18		Timberwolves	-3
11/18		Trailblazers	-0.5
11/18		Wizards	221.5
11/18		Lakers	228
11/18		Heat	-0.5
11/18		Knicks	212.5
11/18		Magic	-3
11/18		Warriors	220
11/18		Spurs	-1

Green GSW ???, Gordon ORL ???? Gay SAS ????

[jets96]

you have den -3.5 and i have no -3.68 in a pk game

[danshan11]

11-18
Wizards U 224
Warriors O216

[danshan11]

11-17 Bulls O214.5

[danshan11]

Team	SAG	SAG	MY PR	BET/SAG
Rockets	93.75	-3.75	-7.25	-3.98
Warriors	97.94	-7.94	-7.71	-8.54
Raptors	95.7	-5.70	-8.71	-6.91
Jazz	91.77	-1.77	-6.07	-3.36
Trailblazers	93.8	-3.80	-4.93	-2.95
Nuggets	94.55	-4.55	-6.89	-5.98
Celtics	96.18	-6.18	-6.19	-5.68
Thunder	93.35	-3.35	-3.24	-4.00
Seventysixers	92.12	-2.12	-4.40	-2.90
Cavaliers	83.06	6.94	4.74	5.70
Bucks	96.65	-6.65	-7.21	-5.92
Wizards	87.86	2.14	-3.35	-1.15
Spurs	89.84	0.16	-2.33	-1.92
Clippers	92.17	-2.17	-4.14	-1.61
Heat	89.19	0.81	-2.56	-0.72
Timberwolves	88.98	1.02	-1.92	0.89
Pacers	92.72	-2.72	-4.97	-3.56
Pelicans	91.87	-1.87	-2.48	-2.71
Hornets	90.09	-0.09	-2.67	-2.47
Lakers	92.25	-2.25	-4.22	-2.92
Pistons	88.37	1.63	-1.63	0.22
Mavericks	88.49	1.51	0.44	1.83
Nets	87.67	2.33	0.60	2.01
Kings	86.32	3.68	2.81	3.64
Magic	85.35	4.65	2.19	3.46
Bulls	83.4	6.60	3.76	6.39
Knicks	84.04	5.96	3.03	4.01
Hawks	80.27	9.73	4.59	7.71
Suns	83.1	6.90	4.03	6.85
Grizzlies	89.17	0.83	-1.37	0.80

power rating Den -7, NOP -2.5 thats makes NOP say .5.5 at home so Denver about a 1.5 pt favorite and Sagarin basically has it at pick as well

[danshan11]

Date	Team	My Line	Bet at	Line	Closed at	Line	Result	CLV	Avg CLV
11/9	Nuggets	217	210.5	-105	215	-128	W	4.92%	1.97%
11/10	Bulls	220.5	213	-105	212	106	L	-2.68%
11/10	Grizzlies	213.5	208.5	-105	211	-125	W	4.34%
11/11	Hornets	224	221.5	100	221.5	-102	L	0.50%
11/12	Grizzlies	206.5	203.5	100	203	106	L	-1.46%
11/12	Kings	222	216.5	-105	220	-137	L	6.59%
11/14	Trailblazers	1	2.5	-105	2.5	-104	L	-0.14%
11/16	Heat	214.5	211	-105	213.5	-135	L	6.23%
11/16	Knicks	224	227	-105	227.5	-106	L	0.24%
11/16	Knicks	6.5	10.5	-105	10.5	106	W	-2.68%
11/16	Raptors	217.5	214	-105	218	-143	W	7.63%
11/17	Nuggets	-1.5	1.5	-108	Pick	-120	L	2.62%
11/17	Pelicans	224	227	-105	227	-108	L	0.70%
11/17	Bulls	220.5	214.5	-105	-108	-108	L	0.70%

[danshan11]

11-18
Wizards U 224
Warriors O216

Bad play should have waited did not know Green would be out again!

[danshan11]

11-18 Knicks U217

[danshan11]

11-19 Lines

11/19		Celtics	-2
11/19		Hornets	218.5
11/19		Jazz	207
11/19		Pacers	-2
11/19		Suns	220.5
11/19		Seventysixers	-11.5
11/19		Cavaliers	213
11/19		Pistons	-8.5
11/19		Clippers	-8.5
11/19		Hawks	230
11/19		Nuggets	224
11/19		Bucks	-4.5
11/19		Spurs	222.5
11/19		Pelicans	-5.5
11/19		Mavericks	208
11/19		Grizzlies	-3
11/19		Thunder	-4
11/19		Kings	222.5

Westbrook???, Gay???, Prince???, Oladipo????

[jets96]

fwiw , green is worth nothing in my model

[danshan11]

he is worth about 2 to the game and about 1.5 to the total

I hope I can keep getting pounded like this I will be rich fading myself, LOL

[jets96]

Way too many pts for game with green , id he scores 9 pts , any nba player can do that if he were scoring 15 a game that would be another story ..i think

[danshan11]

My great NBA win streak continues, LOL

Date	Team	My Line	Bet at	Line	Closed at	Line	Result	CLV	Avg CLV
11/9	Nuggets	217	210.5	-105	215	-128	W	4.92%	1.50%
11/10	Bulls	220.5	213	-105	212	106	L	-2.68%
11/10	Grizzlies	213.5	208.5	-105	211	-125	W	4.34%
11/11	Hornets	224	221.5	100	221.5	-102	L	0.50%
11/12	Grizzlies	206.5	203.5	100	203	106	L	-1.46%
11/12	Kings	222	216.5	-105	220	-137	L	6.59%
11/14	Trailblazers	1	2.5	-105	2.5	-104	L	-0.14%
11/16	Heat	214.5	211	-105	213.5	-135	L	6.23%
11/16	Knicks	224	227	-105	227.5	-106	L	0.24%
11/16	Knicks	6.5	10.5	-105	10.5	106	W	-2.68%
11/16	Raptors	217.5	214	-105	218	-143	W	7.63%
11/17	Nuggets	-1.5	1.5	-108	Pick	-120	L	2.62%
11/17	Pelicans	224	227	-105	227	-108	L	0.70%
11/17	Bulls	220.5	214.5	-105	-108	-108	L	0.70%
11/18	Wizards	221.5	224	-107	220.5	-128	L	4.45%
11/18	Warriors	220	216	-105	212.5	119	L	-5.56%
11/18	Knicks	212.5	217	-105	217.5	-101	L	-0.97%

[danshan11]

11/19		Nuggets	Under	228.5
11/19		Mavericks	Over	203.5

[oilcountry99]

he is worth about 2 to the game and about 1.5 to the total

I hope I can keep getting pounded like this I will be rich fading myself, LOL

I've often wanted to fade myself....extremely hard to actually do it though LOL. I would be better off though.

Stick with it, things will turn

[danshan11]

oh yeah its early in the season, I will be just fine! When it comes to sports betting one thing I dont do is quit !LOL

[danshan11]

Lines for 11-20
I am counting Dragic out

11/20		Raptors	-7
11/20		Magic	220
11/20		Clippers	0
11/20		Wizards	227.5
11/20		Trailblazers	-8
11/20		Knicks	217
11/20		Nets	218.5
11/20		Heat	-3

[danshan11]

Mr "Only way to win is beat the line" 4-13! Hold this L for me!

you show your ignorance with that comment, you think my losses are from lack of skill. If it was lack of skill that would be beautiful I could just bet the other side and be rich!, are you really dumb enough to think that this is that easy, probably bad question for you because by your comment you do, SMH

[danshan11]

Mr "Only way to win is beat the line" 4-13! Hold this L for me!

i guess the line is -890 this is another algoladyboy account

[danshan11]

Yea you'll be just fine lol just stop you think your so smart but your not your a LOSER face the numbers boy your 4-13!! Time to change your little model up kid

how would you suggest I change my model up? I am all ears, please help me.

[danshan11]

The guy who corrects everyone in every thread and your 4-13!!! Just stop talking now no it all.

what does 4-13 tell you?

[danshan11]

The guy who corrects everyone in every thread and your 4-13!!! Just stop talking now no it all.

if it bothers you correct me in every thread, I am always open to dialogue any time!

[danshan11]

11-20
Knicks Under 221.5

[snapperman2]

The guy who corrects everyone in every thread and your 4-13!!! Just stop talking now no it all.

I think you are AlgoLady. I just "no" it!

[danshan11]

Current Record
CLV is too low

Date	Team	My Line	Bet at	Line	Closed at	Line	Result	CLV	Avg CLV
11/9	Nuggets	217	210.5	-105	215	-128	W	4.92%	1.31%
11/10	Bulls	220.5	213	-105	212	106	L	-2.68%
11/10	Grizzlies	213.5	208.5	-105	211	-125	W	4.34%
11/11	Hornets	224	221.5	100	221.5	-102	L	0.50%
11/12	Grizzlies	206.5	203.5	100	203	106	L	-1.46%
11/12	Kings	222	216.5	-105	220	-137	L	6.59%
11/14	Trailblazers	1	2.5	-105	2.5	-104	L	-0.14%
11/16	Heat	214.5	211	-105	213.5	-135	L	6.23%
11/16	Knicks	224	227	-105	227.5	-106	L	0.24%
11/16	Knicks	6.5	10.5	-105	10.5	106	W	-2.68%
11/16	Raptors	217.5	214	-105	218	-143	W	7.63%
11/17	Nuggets	-1.5	1.5	-108	Pick	-120	L	2.62%
11/17	Pelicans	224	227	-105	227	-108	L	0.70%
11/17	Bulls	220.5	214.5	-105	-108	-108	L	0.70%
11/18	Wizards	221.5	224	-107	220.5	-128	L	4.45%
11/18	Warriors	220	216	-105	212.5	119	L	-5.56%
11/18	Knicks	212.5	217	-105	217.5	-101	L	-0.97%
11/19	Nuggets	224	228.5	-105	224.5	-123	W	3.94%
11/19	Mavericks	208	203.5	-105	200	114	L	-4.49%

[springfield27]

Hey Danshan, Galinari out. Should we go for UNDER 230?

[danshan11]

Hey Danshan, Galinari out. Should we go for UNDER 230?

He does not move the line for me

[springfield27]

Ok thanks! BOL

[danshan11]

Lines 11-21

11/21		Pelicans	232
11/21		Seventysixers	-2.5
11/21		Pacers	216
11/21		Hornets	-0.5
11/21		Raptors	-10.5
11/21		Hawks	227.5
11/21		Knicks	213
11/21		Celtics	-13
11/21		Pistons	212.5
11/21		Rockets	-7
11/21		Trailblazers	225.5
11/21		Bucks	-7
11/21		Nuggets	-1
11/21		Timberwolves	219
11/21		Suns	213.5
11/21		Bulls	-2
11/21		Lakers	-7.5
11/21		Cavaliers	221.5
11/21		Grizzlies	202
11/21		Spurs	-3.5
11/21		Nets	216
11/21		Mavericks	-3
11/21		Kings	219
11/21		Jazz	-9
11/21		Thunder	221
11/21		Warriors	-4.5

Redick???

Turner Oladipo ???

MKG???

[danshan11]

11/21
Nuggets +2
Nets +5.5
Pistons +9.5

[danshan11]

record 11/21

Date	Team	My Line	Bet at	Line	Closed at	Line	Result	CLV	Avg CLV
11/9	Nuggets	217	210.5	-105	215	-128	W	4.92%	1.28%
11/10	Bulls	220.5	213	-105	212	106	L	-2.68%	Wins
11/10	Grizzlies	213.5	208.5	-105	211	-125	W	4.34%	5
11/11	Hornets	224	221.5	100	221.5	-102	L	0.50%	Losses
11/12	Grizzlies	206.5	203.5	100	203	106	L	-1.46%	15
11/12	Kings	222	216.5	-105	220	-137	L	6.59%	Ties
11/14	Trailblazers	1	2.5	-105	2.5	-104	L	-0.14%	0
11/16	Heat	214.5	211	-105	213.5	-135	L	6.23%
11/16	Knicks	224	227	-105	227.5	-106	L	0.24%
11/16	Knicks	6.5	10.5	-105	10.5	106	W	-2.68%
11/16	Raptors	217.5	214	-105	218	-143	W	7.63%
11/17	Nuggets	-1.5	1.5	-108	0	-120	L	2.62%
11/17	Pelicans	224	227	-105	227	-108	L	0.70%
11/17	Bulls	220.5	214.5	-105	-108	-108	L	0.70%
11/18	Wizards	221.5	224	-107	220.5	-128	L	4.45%
11/18	Warriors	220	216	-105	212.5	119	L	-5.56%
11/18	Knicks	212.5	217	-105	217.5	-101	L	-0.97%
11/19	Nuggets	224	228.5	-105	224.5	-123	W	3.94%
11/19	Mavericks	208	203.5	-105	200	114	L	-4.49%
11/20	Knicks	217	221.5	-107	220.5	-116	L	0.79%

[danshan11]

11-21
Raptors -7.5