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  • A4K
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 10-08-12
    • 5243

    #491
    Originally posted by homie1975
    AK
    can you elaborate, Sir? thanks!
    Programmed into my watchlist are a few things..... SOXX (semi conductor index), RCD (consumer discretionary), the yield curve on government treasuries...These are just a few. I also read the COT report every week. Gives you a sense where the institutional players are relative to the retail crowd. https://www.cftc.gov/MarketReports/C...ders/index.htm

    If one of these things is slightly off it is not a BIG deal. However, if BIG players start going the opposite of the retail crowd and SOXX drops hard combined with news about consumer confidence falling I will start trimming away positions I do not plan on holding for the next 20 years or so. Would rather have ca$h on hand for a large pullback.
    Comment
    • RoyBacon
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 09-21-05
      • 37074

      #492
      Originally posted by A4K
      Why do you bother with this low float stuff?
      UEPS is a holding of IPAY. I've been a big buyer of V and MA for a long time which I can hold through IPAY.

      I agree valuations will get a closer look once real growth of inflation and interest rates are fully priced in. I don't think we overheat. Just be very choppy.
      Comment
      • A4K
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 10-08-12
        • 5243

        #493
        Originally posted by RoyBacon
        UEPS is a holding of IPAY. I've been a big buyer of V and MA for a long time which I can hold through IPAY.

        I agree valuations will get a closer look once real growth of inflation and interest rates are fully priced in. I don't think we overheat. Just be very choppy.
        Good for you. I made a lot of money on **** LEAPS last year. Hope it works out for you.
        Comment
        • homie1975
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 12-24-13
          • 15442

          #494
          i don't like being on the sidelines for the rally. no one but myself to blame. waiting for the next run of bad news so i can get back in
          Comment
          • KRIT
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 01-11-14
            • 12874

            #495
            All I know is that May has been very kind to me. Up nearly $1500 this month.
            Comment
            • homie1975
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 12-24-13
              • 15442

              #496
              Originally posted by KRIT
              All I know is that May has been very kind to me. Up nearly $1500 this month.
              nice. they saying is "may go away" but i think that is dead. it's a new world now
              Comment
              • homie1975
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 12-24-13
                • 15442

                #497
                BIDU dropping like a rock after hitting a new high 3 days ago. It's pulling everything down with it
                Comment
                • homie1975
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 12-24-13
                  • 15442

                  #498
                  picked up BIDU at 253. stock dropped after management was reshuffled. just a few days ago it reached all time highs. blood in the streets there so i scooped it up
                  Comment
                  • homie1975
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 12-24-13
                    • 15442

                    #499
                    trade war tensions easing or at least being pushed down the road so the market will open way up tomorrow
                    Comment
                    • homie1975
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 12-24-13
                      • 15442

                      #500
                      pretty much everything is up...........except BIDU lol
                      Comment
                      • homie1975
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 12-24-13
                        • 15442

                        #501
                        doubled up my shares and took BIDU at 242.

                        hoping the sellers are tired now because this is now a stock that is 15% off its All time high last week
                        Comment
                        • RoyBacon
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 09-21-05
                          • 37074

                          #502


                          Don't follow BIDU but just looked up their earnings estimates. Off the fuggin charts! Looking for $104 in '21. That's some serious earnings.
                          Comment
                          • KVB
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 05-29-14
                            • 74817

                            #503
                            Forgot to check this thread, I'll get caught up soon.

                            Here's one I posted a few days back....LNG. The management team is good and just simple price and volume action implies we could see $74 or $75 and that run, even if it drops between now and then, is poised to happen with a pretty high degree of probability.

                            I may dip a few more hundred shares just to take some profit at one point.

                            Originally posted by KVB
                            ...Getting my trading desk in order, then I'll share what I come up with. One of the best stocks I've seen in a while is LNG.

                            Energy company, I know the relative of the CEO and have followed his management for some time. They are good for companies in energy and I think the stock, technically, seems to have already built in his improvements.

                            Investors are getting positioned. It just broke out a bit but I see it as a $75 stock, even if it falls back through and tanks a bit. I would buy for sure on the drop...
                            Comment
                            • A4K
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 10-08-12
                              • 5243

                              #504
                              Originally posted by homie1975
                              doubled up my shares and took BIDU at 242.

                              hoping the sellers are tired now because this is now a stock that is 15% off its All time high last week
                              I'm long with 15JUN calls. This stock has dropped waaaay too fast over the last 2 sessions, IMO
                              Comment
                              • KVB
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 05-29-14
                                • 74817

                                #505
                                Originally posted by A4K
                                I'm long with 15JUN calls. This stock has dropped waaaay too fast over the last 2 sessions, IMO
                                Interesting, it looks like some serious profit taking but a decent issue.

                                Good Luck here.

                                Comment
                                • A4K
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 10-08-12
                                  • 5243

                                  #506
                                  Originally posted by KVB
                                  Interesting, it looks like some serious profit taking but a decent issue.

                                  Good Luck here.

                                  Thanks. Great thing about this stock is that it can really move when it takes off. Hoping for $15k by Friday's close.
                                  Comment
                                  • KVB
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 05-29-14
                                    • 74817

                                    #507
                                    I recently shifted a significant amount of sports betting money and opened a new account just with that.

                                    It’s meant to be aggressive with options being traded as well, particularly around these positions. For now, I looked for income, and allocated a bit for a pullback in the market, going long with the big guys as a base. I realize some of these are bought at highs, but the time frame for the long position is out there for now. I ignored some technicals and wouldn’t be surprised if the account value fell a bit. GME and GE are positions serving both as a dividend and a long position for option gambles, they are questionable as short term trades for sure.

                                    The small and mid interest is a little high in allocation but MORT is income as well and LNG is being held a little higher for eventual leverage. I often have great probability indications on time frame and price movement for LNG.

                                    The international interest is small with USRT.

                                    I still don’t have options approved on this account, it’s a new account and I forgot to apply but it should happen anytime. As my trading desk ramps up this account will take a different form and will have a more trades.

                                    This is not an investment account so much as it is a gambling account branching into the markets that will evolve over time. I may post other investment accounts with different objectives as I build new positions in them.

                                    % Alloc Totals Cost Basis
                                    US Lrg Cap
                                    GE 3.45 14.70
                                    AMZN 7.68 1604.24
                                    AAPL 5.63 188.47
                                    MSFT 5.87 98.65
                                    PFE 5.31 35.84
                                    27.94
                                    Mid/Small/Int
                                    LNG 7.44 62.99
                                    GME 3.02 12.69
                                    MORT 11.12 23.38
                                    USRT 5.57
                                    27.15
                                    Fixed Income
                                    PFFD 5.77 24.20
                                    SCHZ 6.02 50.48
                                    HYLB 5.88 49.37
                                    17.67
                                    Cash 27.24
                                    27.24
                                    100

                                    Comment
                                    • KVB
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 05-29-14
                                      • 74817

                                      #508
                                      Originally posted by homie1975
                                      i don't like being on the sidelines for the rally. no one but myself to blame. waiting for the next run of bad news so i can get back in
                                      I feel that. Sitting on the side and things kept going up.

                                      I saw some symbols on the other page, sorry I didn't get back. You'll see that I've been a little busy in a few posts. I will check out your post tonight.

                                      I got a little impatient and bought some stocks at highs. A pullback won't surprise me and I may even try to lessen the blow in the options market.

                                      I was going to pick up some commodity exposure to offset a pullback with the rest of the portfolio but think it's just a bit too soon. Good thing...they all dropped....

                                      GLTR, SGOL, DBB, USL

                                      I was hoping USL would fall, the world news is still a little bit of bullshit and it will go up again for sure. Some economies threatening to suppress prices rely on those prices...they'll only damage themselves so much.

                                      We might be able to trade USL for profit over the next year, with a long position and options around it.

                                      The US is the worry, they can manipulate the market to damage those economies.

                                      CELG

                                      I think it was Motley Fool that brought CELG to my attention. A beat up pharma that should recover with solid cash flow from a drug for the next few years.

                                      CELG is at $78 and I think that it will hit $96 or so then break out to about the mid $120's. The real buy point is around $96. I want to buy part of the position now to take advantage of the low price.

                                      The problem and gamble is that it may not be ready to go to $96 yet and if there is a broader pullback this stock could fall. If this stock falls, I am having trouble identifying a support point.

                                      Yikes. It probably won't fall far as I still think it will go to $96 and then to $124 or so.

                                      So maybe I buy a partial position now, average down if it drops, or finish my position if it sets to break out. If it paid a dividend I wouldn't hesitate to take a whole position over a couple of days next week.

                                      The stock is CELG and is $78.63 a share.

                                      Take a look at it guys.

                                      Comment
                                      • guitarjosh
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 12-25-07
                                        • 5740

                                        #509
                                        If you're wanting to invest in pharma, ABMD, ALGN, PEN, QDEL, ICUI are great choices.
                                        Comment
                                        • KVB
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 05-29-14
                                          • 74817

                                          #510
                                          Originally posted by A4K
                                          Recessions are always coming but what is the time horizon?

                                          The economy is relatively strong. However, market participants priced a lot of this great news in already in 2017. I want to see how the economy reacts as inflation rises and the Fed attempts to reign it in with rate hikes. As rates climb so will credit card payments, student loans, etc. If the working and lowering working class have to spend more of their money on things like loans and gasoline we will probably see earnings start to suffer for discretionary items.

                                          I'm keeping my eye on a number of market "canary's" so to speak to avoid being the last out. We are fine right now.
                                          I had some fears, but I think you're right. I think the get out folks will start to bail and the institutions and traders will could buy into that pressure resulting in rising broader markets. Eventually, when the sellers dissipate and the markets seem strong, we might see some sort of consolidation before a fall.

                                          I think.

                                          I hope it's not consolidating now.
                                          Comment
                                          • guitarjosh
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 12-25-07
                                            • 5740

                                            #511
                                            Let's see how these do this week:

                                            ABMD

                                            ADBE

                                            ALGN

                                            ATHM

                                            BOOT

                                            ETFC

                                            FTNT

                                            HTHT

                                            LPLA

                                            M

                                            MED

                                            MU

                                            NFLX

                                            NSP

                                            SIVB

                                            TAL

                                            TCMD

                                            TTD

                                            TTGT

                                            TWTR

                                            WWE

                                            ZBRA
                                            Comment
                                            • guitarjosh
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 12-25-07
                                              • 5740

                                              #512
                                              Originally posted by KVB
                                              I had some fears, but I think you're right. I think the get out folks will start to bail and the institutions and traders will could buy into that pressure resulting in rising broader markets. Eventually, when the sellers dissipate and the markets seem strong, we might see some sort of consolidation before a fall.

                                              I think.

                                              I hope it's not consolidating now.
                                              It's not. One of the things I like to look at is the consumer discretionary vs consumer staples. CD is around an all time high vs CS, which means people are still aggressive. You'll see CS outperform CD before you have a real fall.
                                              Comment
                                              • KVB
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 05-29-14
                                                • 74817

                                                #513
                                                Good stuff GuitarJosh, I think we get some more money into the markets yet as well.

                                                I set up a watch list in my Schwab StreetSmartedge trading console called "GuitarJosh" for your stocks above.

                                                Some good stocks in there that indicate the flow of money in those sectors, good ones to watch. Eventually I'll break it down by sector for this platform.
                                                Comment
                                                • RoyBacon
                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                  • 09-21-05
                                                  • 37074

                                                  #514
                                                  Is there a BIDU quote available from the Chinese exchange?
                                                  Comment
                                                  • RoyBacon
                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                    • 09-21-05
                                                    • 37074

                                                    #515
                                                    Italy drops a turd in the global market punch bowl. Germany and France bearing the brunt of things off 1.6%. Everywhere else down 1%. US down nearly 1%.

                                                    It's always tempting to dismiss problems from a non major Euro country. But I think we have to sit on our hands a bit when they are able to drag all markets down.

                                                    Back to looking at gold, GLD. After challenging $1400 gold has dropped back to $1300 mostly on peace in Korea potential and rising short rates. Meanwhile, the world is awash in debt and inflation is creeping back.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • KVB
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 05-29-14
                                                      • 74817

                                                      #516
                                                      Definitely a knee jerk reaction to Italy, but there are real problems there awaiting elections.

                                                      We just might see the markets come back a bit today, we just might...lol.

                                                      Here's a new idea I came up with but we may be riding a pull back for a while...

                                                      KVB Total Return Fund
                                                      Comment
                                                      • KVB
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 05-29-14
                                                        • 74817

                                                        #517
                                                        Originally posted by KVB
                                                        ...The stock is CELG and is $78.63 a share...
                                                        Just picked up some at 79.

                                                        Comment
                                                        • RoyBacon
                                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                          • 09-21-05
                                                          • 37074

                                                          #518
                                                          Originally posted by KVB
                                                          Definitely a knee jerk reaction to Italy, but there are real problems there awaiting elections.

                                                          We just might see the markets come back a bit today, we just might...lol.

                                                          Here's a new idea I came up with but we may be riding a pull back for a while...

                                                          KVB Total Return Fund
                                                          Love MORT and USRT is pretty good too. I've got a kin to PFFD and like it.

                                                          Don't like HYLB. Those others are already risky in both quality and to rate increases. Rather see a diversified in there like a YYY or a high quality tax free in there fetching over 5% like a MYI.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • KVB
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 05-29-14
                                                            • 74817

                                                            #519
                                                            Thanks Roy, good looking out.

                                                            One of my favorite plain ole stocks here is LNG.

                                                            Up today in the down market I can say that I know the current LNG CEO and he does fantastic work.

                                                            Investments in individual companies often require looking at management as well as the company.

                                                            LNG has a real winner with Jack and I'm sure he'll eventually be recruited elsewhere to turn another energy or gas company around.
                                                            Take a look at LNG everyone, it's a solid company.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • RoyBacon
                                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                              • 09-21-05
                                                              • 37074

                                                              #520
                                                              Originally posted by KVB
                                                              Thanks Roy, good looking out.

                                                              One of my favorite plain ole stocks here is LNG.

                                                              Up today in the down market I can say that I know the current LNG CEO and he does fantastic work.

                                                              Investments in individual companies often require looking at management as well as the company.

                                                              LNG has a real winner with Jack and I'm sure he'll eventually be recruited elsewhere to turn another energy or gas company around.
                                                              Take a look at LNG everyone, it's a solid company.
                                                              Lost money 8 of the last 12 quarters. But stock has been on a tear lately.



                                                              Made $2 a share in earnings past 2 quarters. I'd have to take a hard look at that guy. What's driving profit? Not just the price increase of NG I wouldn't think.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • KVB
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 05-29-14
                                                                • 74817

                                                                #521
                                                                Originally posted by RoyBacon
                                                                Love MORT...

                                                                ...like a YYY or a high quality tax free in there fetching over 5% like a MYI.
                                                                MORT is the largest allocation right now in my "Fund"

                                                                Great suggestions for the income, including tax free. I was initially going to go tax free but some research changed my mind.

                                                                I like what you are putting down RoyBacon, thanks.

                                                                Here's quick headline for from early May LNG...

                                                                Cheniere Energy's profits soared almost sevenfold in the first quarter, driven by higher liquefied gas cargoes from its Sabine Pass LNG terminal...

                                                                ...Solid LNG market fundamentals and the strategic positioning of our world-class LNG platform reinforce my confidence in our long-term growth prospects," Cheniere CEO Jack Fusco said in a statement.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • KVB
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 05-29-14
                                                                  • 74817

                                                                  #522
                                                                  In my watchlists I'm placing virtually every recently suggested ticker symbol in this thread for further examination.

                                                                  I'll be bringing some to the table as well.

                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • RoyBacon
                                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                    • 09-21-05
                                                                    • 37074

                                                                    #523
                                                                    Two of my bigger holdings are two of MORT's biggest holdings; STWD and AGNC.

                                                                    AGNC is really interesting with it's near 12% dividend. Can't be scared out of this one when rates creep up. This is leveraged so not saying something can't go wrong but boy making 1% a month is nice.

                                                                    I got a much bigger position in STWD. It's 9% dividend is safe. Very well managed.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • guitarjosh
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 12-25-07
                                                                      • 5740

                                                                      #524
                                                                      Originally posted by guitarjosh
                                                                      Let's see how these do this week:

                                                                      ABMD

                                                                      ADBE

                                                                      ALGN

                                                                      ATHM

                                                                      BOOT

                                                                      ETFC

                                                                      FTNT

                                                                      HTHT

                                                                      LPLA

                                                                      M

                                                                      MED

                                                                      MU

                                                                      NFLX

                                                                      NSP

                                                                      SIVB

                                                                      TAL

                                                                      TCMD

                                                                      TTD

                                                                      TTGT

                                                                      TWTR

                                                                      WWE

                                                                      ZBRA
                                                                      S&P 500 today: -1.16%

                                                                      The above picks today: -.0259%
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • KVB
                                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                                        • 05-29-14
                                                                        • 74817

                                                                        #525
                                                                        A couple of those plays up nicely for today Guitar. That could be a good sign for those issues.
                                                                        Comment
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