Lol they just can't get out of their own way
MNF POLL : Bears at Chargers
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BbfromgptSBR Hall of Famer
- 09-24-12
- 6115
#36Comment -
BbfromgptSBR Hall of Famer
- 09-24-12
- 6115
#37Wow refs took care of SD first half bets with a real shady call. Only can shake your head at the bs in the league todayComment -
intermissionSBR MVP
- 05-12-15
- 2499
#38fukkkkk I hope floyd come back, I have him and woodhead in fantasy and I need 10 more points!!! come on woody give me 11 more points!!!Comment -
BbfromgptSBR Hall of Famer
- 09-24-12
- 6115
#39Floyd looks like he may be done. Probably a separated shoulderComment -
intermissionSBR MVP
- 05-12-15
- 2499
#40goddammit I dropped allen for floydComment -
Montana77SBR Rookie
- 09-30-15
- 17
#41is it just me or that punter for SD kinda blows?Comment -
BbfromgptSBR Hall of Famer
- 09-24-12
- 6115
#42Bahaha Robbie Gould paid offComment -
KVBSBR Aristocracy
- 05-29-14
- 74817
#43Horrible kicking game tonight.Comment -
recon1SBR MVP
- 08-13-12
- 2579
#44I have a predicted score of Chicago winning 28-24. This differs from most forecasts who have SD winning by anywhere from 4 to 12 points. The higher the margin for San Diego, in general, the lower the Total predicted. Basic models predicting San Diego by about 4 have totals of about 50. More sophisticated models can predict San Diego by more with a total closer to 45.
While my model differs on the winner I have plenty of reason to side with the more common numbers. I have metrics indicating my moneyline prediction will fail here but it is difficult to predict the spread.
It seems that most discussion pulls this common money away from San Diego towards my line. This money is split as the more sophisticated common models seek San Diego.
I think there is a target group of bettors tonight that should fail. Those bettors are, for the most part, likely buying Chicago and the books will take any extra money that way. Those seeking San Diego may get a win here tonight but shouldn’t feel too emboldened when they do.
Because of this last warning to those bettors, I believe we will see attempts to embolden those bettors.
This would imply San Diego to not only win, but possibly kill many teasers with Chicago in them.
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xdodger19SBR Posting Legend
- 11-20-12
- 18012
#45winner sd -2 first half, thought 4.5 points was too muchComment -
Pick9SBR High Roller
- 10-18-15
- 215
#48what was the name of the idiot charger player who spiked the ball at bears 3 yard line? bears ml betters should send him a cutComment -
pavyracerSBR Aristocracy
- 04-12-07
- 82728
#49We all nailed the Bears ML. Books burial.Comment
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