Dollars2Donuts Daily NBA, NHL and NFL wagers

**gregmav1** · 11-11-14, 01:06 AM

Originally posted by Dollars2Donuts

It will be a while before I bet I the Clips again. This was ugly down the stretch.

Hard to cap a team not scoring for 6 minutes. Spent hung seriously wrong there. Seriously.

I've made two threads about how right now the Clippers are the most overrated NBA team so far. They're a good team, but right now they're just middle of the road. Been fading them all year until they turn it around which wont happen for a few weeks I bet.

**radostin.dimi** · 11-11-14, 04:56 AM

Good call on IND and ATL !

**RainMaker3392** · 11-11-14, 11:54 AM

Hi Dollar,

I saw your post a few pages back, and you made me create an account literally just to reach out to you.

I've been lurking the forums for a while and try to find some winners here and there, and you're thread and picks have been the most consistent out of anyone. I've been tailing you forever, and just wanted to let you know I'm sure there's more people like me who lurk and follow your picks. Whatever you do, don't stop posting!!!! Your efforts are definitely appreciated! Thank you for everything!

**Rudeboy** · 11-11-14, 11:57 AM

Dollar what you liking for pucks today pal?

**Dollars2Donuts** · 11-11-14, 12:28 PM

Originally posted by RainMaker3392

Hi Dollar,

I saw your post a few pages back, and you made me create an account literally just to reach out to you.

I've been lurking the forums for a while and try to find some winners here and there, and you're thread and picks have been the most consistent out of anyone. I've been tailing you forever, and just wanted to let you know I'm sure there's more people like me who lurk and follow your picks. Whatever you do, don't stop posting!!!! Your efforts are definitely appreciated! Thank you for everything!

Thanks man, much appreciated. Check in now and again, the more the merrier.

And Ruder, I like the Stars right now....and will post my picks in the NHL and NBA within the hour.

Cheers

**Rudeboy** · 11-11-14, 12:33 PM

Originally posted by Dollars2Donuts

Thanks man, much appreciated. Check in now and again, the more the merrier.

And Ruder, I like the Stars right now....and will post my picks in the NHL and NBA within the hour.

Cheers

Sounds good.

**shaunovery** · 11-11-14, 12:35 PM

Awaiting picks with great anticipation

Keep up the great work d2d

**xelemental** · 11-11-14, 12:39 PM

keep up the great work D2D. PM me your paypal. Ill send you some funds for lunch.

**azsportswin** · 11-11-14, 12:55 PM

Originally posted by Dollars2Donuts

It will be a while before I bet I the Clips again. This was ugly down the stretch.

Hard to cap a team not scoring for 6 minutes. Spent hung seriously wrong there. Seriously.

With you on this D2D....have felt Clippers overrated for a while. Griffin can't do anything but dunk and they just never seem to have a lot of team chemistry. Fortunately there are plenty of other places to try to make money, right!! Anyways, thanks a ton for posting your plays.....you obviously put a lot of work into this and it's paying off!

**the_mathman** · 11-11-14, 01:51 PM

HI D2D

I'm discovering this thread only now and.... IT'S FANTASTIC!
Thank you for your tips!

**witteveentommy** · 11-11-14, 01:53 PM

I've tailed you the last couple of nights after destroying my bankroll and you have me back to even. Will keep tailing! Thanks my man! Easily the best poster on SBR right now.

**Dollars2Donuts** · 11-11-14, 02:55 PM

OK, first off to recap:

Yesterday:

4-4

- $34

Total (2 days):

12-4

+ $766

For those of you that just jumped on the regular pics, you went 3-1 in the early games and 4-2 overall, and for those of you (like me) that made the two halftime bets we basically broke even. Please do not let the discourage you from making further in game bets as there is a load of money to made there.

On to today:

273464372-1	11/11/14 2:16pm	$212.00	$200.00	Pending	11/11/14 7:05pm Reduced Hockey 3 Colorado Avalanche/New York Islanders Over 5½ -106*
273464372-2	11/11/14 2:16pm	$100.00	$139.00	Pending	11/11/14 7:35pm Reduced Hockey 9 Winnipeg Jets +139* <small style="padding: 0px; margin: 0px;">vs</small> Montreal Canadiens
273464372-3	11/11/14 2:16pm	$125.00	$100.00	Pending	11/11/14 8:05pm Reduced Hockey 14 St. Louis Blues -1½ -125* <small style="padding: 0px; margin: 0px;">vs</small> Buffalo Sabres

273464241-1	11/11/14 2:14pm	$102.00	$100.00	Pending	11/11/14 7:35pm Reduced Basketball 502 Toronto Raptors -11 -102* <small style="padding: 0px; margin: 0px;">vs</small> Orlando Magic
273464241-2	11/11/14 2:14pm	$107.00	$100.00	Pending	11/11/14 8:05pm Reduced Basketball 504 Memphis Grizzlies -9½ -107* <small style="padding: 0px; margin: 0px;">vs</small> Los Angeles Lakers
273464241-3	11/11/14 2:14pm	$107.00	$100.00	Pending	11/11/14 8:05pm Reduced Basketball 505 Oklahoma City Thunder/Milwaukee Bucks Under 190½ -107*
273464241-4	11/11/14 2:14pm	$315.00	$300.00	Pending	11/11/14 10:05pm Reduced Basketball 509 Charlotte Hornets/Portland Trailblazers Over 192½ -105*
273464241-5	11/11/14 2:14pm	$204.00	$200.00	Pending	11/11/14 10:35pm Reduced Basketball 511 San Antonio Spurs/Golden State Warriors Over 197½ -102*

Colorado Avs - New York Isles - Over 5.5

Two teams that are loaded at the tops of their roster with offensive talent, the Islanders and the Avs have both been languishing for Goals although the Isles have managed to put three wins in a row together. The last time these two teams played those on the over got hooped, as the Isles fired 43 shots at Varlamov and were stymied in a 5-0 defeat.

These teams can both fly and neither plays a defensive scheme, neither G has been particularly spectacular (aside from their earlier game) and I can honestly see a 5-4 or 6-4 type of final here....for who? If I had to lay money on it I would be taking the Avs at +129. They have the skill to shred the Isles defense.

Either way this should be a fun game to watch.

Prediction: 5-4 Avalanche

Charlotte Hornets - Portland Trail Blazers - Over 192.5

Yes, Portland is playing better defense these days, yes, Portland has changed their offense and are practicing a ball control that they did not last year, yes Portland has cut down on their fast break point.....I still love the over here.

Last year when these two teams played at the Rose Garden the final score was 134-101 (or something similar). I agree with you, the Hornets could be a better team this year but I haven't seen that lately. The Blazers last two home games would have qualified as under, but both of those were against quality opponents. Tonight is the Blazer's 4th game in 5 nights as well....but that just means that they can play, no need to think about tomorrow.

Charlotte can throw up points as well, and their recent struggles have come with both teams playing poorly, not because of exceptional defense. In this game they will get to spread their wings a bit, so look for Jefferson to put up a steady 20-12 and for Lance Stephenson to finally get it going with a 20+ point game. I think Batum's long arms not being in the lineup will be a big advantage for Charlotte's O as well.

If I had to take a side here I would say Portland covers the 7 points.

Prediction: Portland 108 Charlotte 98

Good luck the rest of today guys....

D2D

**Dollars2Donuts** · 11-11-14, 03:20 PM

One quick note, for those of you that may wonder why I didn't place a wager on the Dallas Star's game....it is because I missed the good number. Last night they were +103 and today they are -107....and that 10 point swing is enough to keep me off of this game. I should have known that they line would move as John Q loves teams that can score, but that is my bad.

**dalogester** · 11-11-14, 03:25 PM

tailing the portland hornets over. gl guys

**madshakes** · 11-11-14, 03:25 PM

D2D, Batum is out for Blazers. You still stickin to the over? And for the Spurs game, Pops might sit some guys on a back-to-back.

**Dollars2Donuts** · 11-11-14, 03:27 PM

Originally posted by madshakes

D2D, Batum is out for Blazers. You still stickin to the over?

I mentioned this.....Batum being out, helps the OVER IMO. Long arms, decent defender, good rebounder and his scoring is easily replaced for the Blazers.

**tailingcuzisuck** · 11-11-14, 03:34 PM

Long time lurker, just registered now to thank you for doing what you do D2D. Tailed your picks yesterday and finally won. Time to just keep tailing instead of making my own crappy picks.

**Dollars2Donuts** · 11-11-14, 03:38 PM

Originally posted by tailingcuzisuck

Long time lurker, just registered now to thank you for doing what you do D2D. Tailed your picks yesterday and finally won. Time to just keep tailing instead of making my own crappy picks.

Lol, love the handle. Check in often, and good luck.

**Playoff_Beard** · 11-11-14, 03:42 PM

D2D... I'm on mobile so I apologize if you placed a wager on it and I didn't see. How do you feel about stars over 2.5?

**Dollars2Donuts** · 11-11-14, 03:44 PM

Originally posted by Playoff_Beard

D2D... I'm on mobile so I apologize if you placed a wager on it and I didn't see. How do you feel about stars over 2.5?

I rarely bet individual team totals, just a personal preference....but if you aren't getting juiced to death it is a pretty solid play. I would not go over -115 to -125 on it though.

**breakingbad** · 11-11-14, 03:45 PM

Originally posted by Dollars2Donuts

Lol, love the handle. Check in often, and good luck.

D2D , the man the myth the legend! Let's get thi$!, just inquiring , do you bet college football?

**FlyinAir** · 11-11-14, 03:56 PM

Gl dd

**Dollars2Donuts** · 11-11-14, 03:58 PM

Originally posted by breakingbad

D2D , the man the myth the legend! Let's get thi$!, just inquiring , do you bet college football?

Rarely my friend. You may see 5 or 6 selections during the season and they only come around when I either have fantastic info or I see a game as clear as day. I understand that it may be a a great sport to make money on, but I just don't have enough info on it to make any really good decisions.

In the NHL, NBA and especially the NFL I really know the games and the teams....add some select CFL games and MLB (where I had a good year after a crap 2013) and I feel comfortable placing wagers. Get me out of my comfort zone....and yikes. I had actually deleted the ATP from my plays now....after having a great 2012,2013 and start to 2014 I got killed at the US Open and in the hardcourt season and I won't touch it again....

Basically my advice is to bet what you know....

**iHateBetting12** · 11-11-14, 04:04 PM

RLM on lakers game. Most money on memphis yet line is down from 11 to 9.5

**iHateBetting12** · 11-11-14, 04:05 PM

Might not matter, it is the Lakers after all

**Dollars2Donuts** · 11-11-14, 04:14 PM

Originally posted by iHateBetting12

Might not matter, it is the Lakers after all

Haha, very true. I believe (I do not have the hard facts to back this up) that RLM has worked for me being on the opposite side more often than not. I understand that RLM hits and average of something like 55% across all major sports (just guessing a number from the data I have read)....but I make my pick and stick with it, and if RLM can get me a better number, then more power to me!

My original lean (before I looked at anything else) was 'Lakers', but when you boil it down the play here is definitely the Grizz. I know that teams typically coming off of winning streaks tend to struggle, but I think the Grizz are entirely too mature for that. I just don't see the Lakers defending down low at all, and getting the ball movement that is needed to score on the D of the Grizz. At the same time, a great capper hits 55%, and this is still only a one unit wager....

GL

**incomeraise** · 11-11-14, 04:21 PM

Originally posted by Dollars2Donuts

Nothing major for today.....good luck people.

273034757-1	11/9/14 12:50pm	$115.00	$100.00	Pending	11/9/14 1:00pm Reduced Football 251 Dallas Cowboys -7 -115* <small style="padding: 0px; margin: 0px;">vs</small> Jacksonville Jaguars
273034757-2	11/9/14 12:50pm	$216.00	$200.00	Pending	11/9/14 1:00pm Reduced Football 262 New York Jets +4½ -108* <small style="padding: 0px; margin: 0px;">vs</small> Pittsburgh Steelers
273034757-3	11/9/14 12:50pm	$108.00	$100.00	Pending	11/9/14 8:30pm Reduced Football 271 Chicago Bears/Green Bay Packers Over 53 -108*

273033759-1	11/9/14 12:49pm	$105.00	$100.00	Pending	11/9/14 7:05pm Reduced Basketball 507 Philadelphia 76ers/Toronto Raptors Over 204½ -105*
273033759-2	11/9/14 12:49pm	$107.00	$100.00	Pending	11/9/14 7:35pm Reduced Basketball 509 Miami Heat/Dallas Mavericks Under 205 -107*
273033759-3	11/9/14 12:49pm	$160.00	$100.00	Pending	11/9/14 7:05pm Reduced Hockey 6 Chicago Blackhawks -160* <small style="padding: 0px; margin: 0px;">vs</small> San Jose Sharks
273033759-4	11/9/14 12:49pm	$100.00	$120.00	Pending	11/9/14 6:05pm Reduced Hockey 9 Toronto Maple Leafs +120* <small style="padding: 0px; margin: 0px;">vs</small> Ottawa Senators

273006338-1	11/9/14 11:06am	$100.00	$100.00	Pending	11/9/14 1:00pm Reduced Football 254 Detroit Lions -3 +100* <small style="padding: 0px; margin: 0px;">vs</small> Miami Dolphins

WHY CAN'T I see your actually plays... All I see is the dollar amount... A, I doing something wrong here

**Smoke** · 11-11-14, 04:23 PM

That lakers game is tough. GL donuts

**16kredit** · 11-11-14, 04:23 PM

havent dropped in since a while

hows it goin D2D? Wish you all the best man!

**Smoke** · 11-11-14, 04:23 PM

Originally posted by incomeraise

WHY CAN'T I see your actually plays... All I see is the dollar amount... A, I doing something wrong here

Slide the box to the left. Your welcome

**iHateBetting12** · 11-11-14, 04:35 PM

Originally posted by Dollars2Donuts

Haha, very true. I believe (I do not have the hard facts to back this up) that RLM has worked for me being on the opposite side more often than not. I understand that RLM hits and average of something like 55% across all major sports (just guessing a number from the data I have read)....but I make my pick and stick with it, and if RLM can get me a better number, then more power to me!

My original lean (before I looked at anything else) was 'Lakers', but when you boil it down the play here is definitely the Grizz. I know that teams typically coming off of winning streaks tend to struggle, but I think the Grizz are entirely too mature for that. I just don't see the Lakers defending down low at all, and getting the ball movement that is needed to score on the D of the Grizz. At the same time, a great capper hits 55%, and this is still only a one unit wager....

GL

No wager on the game for me, just something I noticed while researching some games. I would not touch the lakers against a defensive team, let alone a D like Memphis' D. GL tonight

**incomeraise** · 11-11-14, 04:42 PM

Thanks smoke.... I think I figured it out Damn Samsung tablet is giving me a hard time!
Did I'd dollar2donuts already posted a play... I am not sure my tablet will let me figure it out

**Russian Rocket** · 11-11-14, 04:43 PM

Originally posted by Dollars2Donuts

Colorado Avs - New York Isles - Over 5.5

Two teams that are loaded at the tops of their roster with offensive talent, the Islanders and the Avs have both been languishing for Goals although the Isles have managed to put three wins in a row together. The last time these two teams played those on the over got hooped, as the Isles fired 43 shots at Varlamov and were stymied in a 5-0 defeat.

These teams can both fly and neither plays a defensive scheme, neither G has been particularly spectacular (aside from their earlier game) and I can honestly see a 5-4 or 6-4 type of final here....for who? If I had to lay money on it I would be taking the Avs at +129. They have the skill to shred the Isles defense.

Either way this should be a fun game to watch.

Prediction: 5-4 Avalanche

you might be on something here pal

**Rudeboy** · 11-11-14, 05:32 PM

Like the picks Dollar, I'm rolling with the Blues PL with you although hope you lose the Jets as I think Habs got this in regulation...BTW Pavelec is horrible very inconsistent.

**Dollars2Donuts** · 11-11-14, 05:57 PM

Originally posted by Russian Rocket

you might be on something here pal

Originally posted by Rudeboy

Like the picks Dollar, I'm rolling with the Blues PL with you although hope you lose the Jets as I think Habs got this in regulation...BTW Pavelec is horrible very inconsistent.

Pavelic was terribly inconsistent last year, in fact enough so that the fans in Winnipeg constantly shouted for Al Montoya.....Al Montoya? Fans in Winnipeg were insane to do that. While Pavy has been inconsistent, so was the defense in front of him.

This year he looks like the guy that many (including myself) believe him to be.

Good luck, and I totally understand your reticence....but at +139 on a game that I think (based on the way both teams are playing right now) is a 50/50 I will take my chances and congratulate you if the Habs happen to cash.