My first day at SBR........

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  • tto827
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 10-01-12
    • 9078

    #1086
    BTW this thread really is a marvel. Quite incredible.
    Comment
    • Dollars2Donuts
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 02-07-13
      • 8803

      #1087
      Originally posted by tto827
      I'll take care of any troll that fukkin tries to mess with you D2D.....

      Oh wait, it's MikeJamm

      He buries himself, guess I don't need to step in here
      Awww, tto, It's good to know that SOMEBODY has my back. Like I mentioned before...I knew eventually I would have some clown on here talking trash....I just hope he has the balls to back up his words.....

      Thanks for the support.....
      Comment
      • Dollars2Donuts
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 02-07-13
        • 8803

        #1088
        Originally posted by tto827
        BTW this thread really is a marvel. Quite incredible.
        Thanks man, I am still pretty new....I don't really have any basis for comparison....I am sure there are others that are hitting the same percentages and win rates out there?
        Comment
        • tto827
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 10-01-12
          • 9078

          #1089
          Originally posted by Dollars2Donuts
          Awww, tto, It's good to know that SOMEBODY has my back. Like I mentioned before...I knew eventually I would have some clown on here talking trash....I just hope he has the balls to back up his words.....

          Thanks for the support.....
          Have you seen the other shit this whiny bitch posts? He was complaining about SBR not handing out enough free points in the poker tourney today.

          I think he got his nuts caught in a woodchipper in like the third grade. So no balls to back up his words.
          Comment
          • tto827
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 10-01-12
            • 9078

            #1090
            Originally posted by Dollars2Donuts
            Thanks man, I am still pretty new....I don't really have any basis for comparison....I am sure there are others that are hitting the same percentages and win rates out there?
            If they've done it for as long as you have here, they disappear from the forums and start charging for their picks. Then hit around 50% from that point on. Which is what I and everyone else was expecting here I think.

            Your sample size is still not definitive, and variance could be playing a part in your absurd win rate, but day after day you seem to squash that notion. Keep it up
            Comment
            • Dollars2Donuts
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 02-07-13
              • 8803

              #1091
              Originally posted by tto827
              Have you seen the other shit this whiny bitch posts? He was complaining about SBR not handing out enough free points in the poker tourney today.

              I think he got his nuts caught in a woodchipper in like the third grade. So no balls to back up his words.
              Ahhhhh.......

              Then it is me that is almost embarrassed that I even brought up a challenge....and that I took any sort of offense. Thanks for clearing that up tto.....

              PS....when are we going to pick one game and get on the same side of it? Lol
              Comment
              • tto827
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 10-01-12
                • 9078

                #1092
                Since I am not a magical capper like you I gave up on my thread, just not worth it. You make people $ tailing blindly, I don't.

                Anyway, Duke, Illinois, Minnesota, La Salle tomorrow, you like any of those?
                Comment
                • Dollars2Donuts
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 02-07-13
                  • 8803

                  #1093
                  Originally posted by tto827
                  If they've done it for as long as you have here, they disappear from the forums and start charging for their picks. Then hit around 50% from that point on. Which is what I and everyone else was expecting here I think.

                  Your sample size is still not definitive, and variance could be playing a part in your absurd win rate, but day after day you seem to squash that notion. Keep it up
                  No worries here. I won't ever need to charge for picks....in fact that has always seemed sooo absurd to me. I pick 65%, so you should pay me for picks???

                  Has anyone ever done the math? If you start with $1000 and bet 5% of your roll every single day on one game....and win 60% of your games......in 2 years you will have over $500,000. Seem crazy? It is.

                  That is why I keep telling people not to take money out!! If you have an edge, keep the money there and let it build. I now have my own account and two backers playing this exact scenario in other accounts. Both starting with $10k and betting 5% across multiple offshore books, just betting one play per day from me. I invested 50% of the money in both scenarios and trust them beyond reproach.

                  We will see where we are in 2 years. Even on POD's I don't think I can hit 60%, but I know that I am over 58% across 1200 picks, so 56-58% is my goal here.

                  If I win I will never need 'tout' money......why the hell would I want to be calling people, selling picks, degrading myself.....not me, no thanks!
                  Comment
                  • Dollars2Donuts
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 02-07-13
                    • 8803

                    #1094
                    Originally posted by tto827
                    Since I am not a magical capper like you I gave up on my thread, just not worth it. You make people $ tailing blindly, I don't.

                    Anyway, Duke, Illinois, Minnesota, La Salle tomorrow, you like any of those?
                    So funny....I have Duke advancing and the other 3 going home........Minny may win ATS, but I would stay away from all 4 if I were you.
                    Comment
                    • Dollars2Donuts
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 02-07-13
                      • 8803

                      #1095
                      Originally posted by tto827
                      Since I am not a magical capper like you I gave up on my thread, just not worth it. You make people $ tailing blindly, I don't.

                      Anyway, Duke, Illinois, Minnesota, La Salle tomorrow, you like any of those?
                      You gave up on your thread? Like today? Come on, where's your fighting spirit??

                      Not every day is a good one.....but you seem to have a good head on your shoulders....my only worry is that you overthink things. 'public side', etc can be terrifying.........

                      My advice:

                      Look at the board,pick what you like (not overanalyzing anything), bet it and win.....cash your check and drink your face off!
                      Comment
                      • tto827
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 10-01-12
                        • 9078

                        #1096

                        Unreal.

                        Locked in all 4 already, least heavily on La Salle.

                        Anyway, I've got to be at the golf course in 6 hours so I should probably get off the computer.

                        I'm going to check back tomorrow and hopefully see some picks to tail to offset my losses that are coming on those 4 games

                        Comment
                        • tto827
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 10-01-12
                          • 9078

                          #1097
                          Originally posted by Dollars2Donuts
                          You gave up on your thread? Like today? Come on, where's your fighting spirit??

                          Not every day is a good one.....but you seem to have a good head on your shoulders....my only worry is that you overthink things. 'public side', etc can be terrifying.........

                          My advice:

                          Look at the board,pick what you like (not overanalyzing anything), bet it and win.....cash your check and drink your face off!

                          Ya, ya I get into that a little bit, but if I feel strongly I don't let it sway me, its only on those ehh should I play it or not that it might be a deal-breaker.

                          I had abandoned the thread a while ago, still post picks and insight, just not all neat and organized in one spot.
                          Comment
                          • Dollars2Donuts
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 02-07-13
                            • 8803

                            #1098
                            Originally posted by tto827

                            Unreal.

                            Locked in all 4 already, least heavily on La Salle.

                            Anyway, I've got to be at the golf course in 6 hours so I should probably get off the computer.

                            I'm going to check back tomorrow and hopefully see some picks to tail to offset my losses that are coming on those 4 games

                            I think that means 4-0 for you..have a good round and I will see you tomorrow.

                            Cheers
                            Comment
                            • Dollars2Donuts
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 02-07-13
                              • 8803

                              #1099
                              PPPPPPS, going to bed now....just watch that Minny game until the end........HINT: Bet it 5 seconds before the game goes off, ATS and ML are both good bets tomorrow.

                              UCLA is a great pck both ways.......you may not need the points, so maybe 2 units ATS and 2 units SU so you are covered.....I am telling you this will be a great play!
                              Comment
                              • skyline001
                                SBR Rookie
                                • 03-17-13
                                • 16

                                #1100
                                3-0 on your NBA! congrats
                                Comment
                                • Enjoi
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 02-12-13
                                  • 328

                                  #1101
                                  What are the criteria for your picks? You are a good capper and I would love to learn how you do it. THanks
                                  Comment
                                  • Dollars2Donuts
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 02-07-13
                                    • 8803

                                    #1102
                                    I throw darts



                                    Technically, I would be called a 'feel' capper. Trends are a part of as is history, but the biggest factors I use are looking for let down games, 'looking ahead games', matchups where you know a team will play down to it's opponents level and matchups where a team will play up to another team's.

                                    I can't really get into it much deeper than that....butg it's a start.
                                    Comment
                                    • Dollars2Donuts
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 02-07-13
                                      • 8803

                                      #1103
                                      OK, here are today's plays. I have not decided on a POD, so it may be one of these or it may be a game I am looking at. I will updte as soon as I know.

                                      170097740-1 3/22/13 11:59am $50.00 $100.00 Pending 3/22/13 7:05pm NHL Hockey 1 Calgary Flames (1st 60 min) -½ +200* <small>vs</small> Columbus Blue Jackets (1st 60 min)
                                      170097740-2 3/22/13 11:59am $100.00 $116.00 Pending 3/22/13 7:05pm NHL Hockey 4 Winnipeg Jets (1st 60 min) -½ +116* <small>vs</small> Washington Capitals (1st 60 min)
                                      170097740-3 3/22/13 11:59am $200.00 $210.00 Pending 3/22/13 7:05pm NHL Hockey 5 Pittsburgh Penguins (1st 60 min) -½ +105* <small>vs</small> New York Islanders (1st 60 min)
                                      170097343-1 3/22/13 11:56am $102.00 $100.00 Pending 3/22/13 7:05pm Reduced Basketball 805 Oklahoma City Thunder/Orlando Magic Under 207½ -102*
                                      170097343-2 3/22/13 11:56am $105.00 $100.00 Pending 3/22/13 7:35pm Reduced Basketball 807 Detroit Pistons/Miami Heat Under 200 -105*
                                      170097343-3 3/22/13 11:56am $105.00 $100.00 Pending 3/22/13 8:35pm Reduced Basketball 815 Boston Celtics +4½ -105* <small>vs</small> Dallas Mavericks
                                      170097343-4 3/22/13 11:56am $20.00 $730.00 Pending 3/22/13 7:25pm Reduced Basketball 847 Northwestern State +3650* <small>vs</small> Florida
                                      169858594-4 3/21/13 1:45pm $60.00 $66.00 Pending 3/22/13 1:05pm MLB Baseball 905 Boston Red Sox +110* <small>vs</small> Toronto Blue Jays (Fixed Price)
                                      169817810-1 3/21/13 3:11am $67.50 $50.00 Pending 3/22/13 12:00pm International Soccer 181 Canada (Friendly)/Japan (Friendly) Over 2,2½ -135*
                                      Comment
                                      • Dollars2Donuts
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 02-07-13
                                        • 8803

                                        #1104
                                        Adding:

                                        170102157-1 3/22/13 12:21pm $52.50 $50.00 Pending 3/22/13 7:20pm Reduced Basketball 841 Villanova/North Carolina Over 144½ -105*
                                        170102157-2 3/22/13 12:21pm $86.40 $80.00 Pending 3/22/13 9:55pm Reduced Basketball 850 UCLA +4 -108* <small>vs</small> Minnesota
                                        170102157-3 3/22/13 12:21pm $40.00 $64.00 Pending 3/22/13 9:55pm Reduced Basketball 850 UCLA +160* <small>vs</small> Minnesota
                                        Comment
                                        • Enjoi
                                          SBR Sharp
                                          • 02-12-13
                                          • 328

                                          #1105
                                          I get where you are coming from as I am also a 'feel' capper. With you on the Magic/OKC under

                                          What are your 3 strongest plays for today?
                                          Comment
                                          • Dollars2Donuts
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 02-07-13
                                            • 8803

                                            #1106
                                            Originally posted by Enjoi
                                            I get where you are coming from as I am also a 'feel' capper. With you on the Magic/OKC under

                                            What are your 3 strongest plays for today?
                                            Just look at my $$$s assigned. That should tell you.

                                            I may also designate a POD later today.
                                            Comment
                                            • thelovefool
                                              SBR Rookie
                                              • 05-06-11
                                              • 21

                                              #1107
                                              Hey D2D. First of all, this thread is exactly what I have been looking for. Secondly, your greatest asset is your GUT and that is exactly what makes you money. Lastly, I wanted to ask you when you take out money, if you have to. Do you have a certain goal and when you reach that goal you pull lets say, 20% of your roll out or do you just try to accumulate as much without pulling out as possible?

                                              Keep it up man,

                                              thelovefool
                                              Comment
                                              • Dollars2Donuts
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 02-07-13
                                                • 8803

                                                #1108
                                                Originally posted by thelovefool
                                                Hey D2D. First of all, this thread is exactly what I have been looking for. Secondly, your greatest asset is your GUT and that is exactly what makes you money. Lastly, I wanted to ask you when you take out money, if you have to. Do you have a certain goal and when you reach that goal you pull lets say, 20% of your roll out or do you just try to accumulate as much without pulling out as possible?

                                                Keep it up man,

                                                thelovefool
                                                I have only made one withdrawl so far, for $7k and that was only to clear out my Bodog account.

                                                As I have mentioned, it is important to have as much as possible designated for 'wagering' and then make your bets relevant to that number. If you continue to withdraw monies you will never advance. As I have said before my goal is to have an average wager of $500+ by the end of 2013 and I do believe that this will be possible.

                                                I understand that some people that are successful take out money to live on....imo those people are just cheating themselves as they will never achieve their maximums.

                                                I am lucky, I have an amazing career, that gives me time to do this, gives me a great standard of living, etc, all without having to use these funds.....I can afford to let it roll....and I do understand those that cannot, but imo they should go out, grind out a living at even a crappy job and keep those funds accumulating!!


                                                Cheers,

                                                D2D
                                                Comment
                                                • DiggityDaggityDo
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 11-30-08
                                                  • 81450

                                                  #1109
                                                  SO at which point will you withdrawal? And how much will it be? You have to have a goal?
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Dollars2Donuts
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 02-07-13
                                                    • 8803

                                                    #1110
                                                    Originally posted by DiggityDaggityDo
                                                    SO at which point will you withdrawal? And how much will it be? You have to have a goal?
                                                    I will slowly begin to take out if I get to a point that I am beginning to feel 'uncomfortable' with the amount at any one book. At the same time those funds will go into a 'holding account' and not into my every day $$$s. In other words I will still be betting LIKE those funds are still in my account, so that my wagers can keep increasing.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Coreos
                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                      • 01-18-13
                                                      • 464

                                                      #1111
                                                      Should just start calling you honey badger. Beware trolls.

                                                      Comment
                                                      • 2178ice
                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                        • 03-12-13
                                                        • 138

                                                        #1112
                                                        Hey D2D what does it mean first 60 mins in your hockey bets. How would i bet that on 5 dimes?? Thanks
                                                        Comment
                                                        • DocZ
                                                          SBR Hustler
                                                          • 03-05-13
                                                          • 58

                                                          #1113
                                                          I believe that is in regulation time, no Shootout. So a draw would lose if you have the -.5 bet.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • 2178ice
                                                            SBR High Roller
                                                            • 03-12-13
                                                            • 138

                                                            #1114
                                                            Im so confused???
                                                            Comment
                                                            • tto827
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 10-01-12
                                                              • 9078

                                                              #1115
                                                              Originally posted by 2178ice
                                                              Im so confused???
                                                              Select hockey at 5dimes and they have 60 minutes (regulation only lines)
                                                              Comment
                                                              • mikejamm
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 08-24-09
                                                                • 11045

                                                                #1116
                                                                Originally posted by Dollars2Donuts

                                                                Awww, tto, It's good to know that SOMEBODY has my back. Like I mentioned before...I knew eventually I would have some clown on here talking trash....I just hope he has the balls to back up his words.....

                                                                Thanks for the support.....
                                                                Originally posted by tto827
                                                                Have you seen the other shit this whiny bitch posts? He was complaining about SBR not handing out enough free points in the poker tourney today.

                                                                I think he got his nuts caught in a woodchipper in like the third grade. So no balls to back up his words.


                                                                Wow! Can you press you lips any tighter up against this guy's ass tto? Maybe if you suk hard enough you'll figure out how to suk pick winners too!And by the way asshole, my thread got sbr to increase the poker payouts to 25 places rather than 10! So eat shit both of you cockmouths! Love how posting pms and starting a thread about me "welcoming you to sbr", backfired on your stupid ass donut shit. Funny how you can dog a guy who lost 26k in another thread, calling him a liar and yet you're a fuk'in lying degenerate yourself! Like I said pal, enjoy your ego ass kissing minions, because when you lose your ass, and you will, your fuk'in suk ups will turn on you.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • kuru
                                                                  SBR Rookie
                                                                  • 02-28-13
                                                                  • 45

                                                                  #1117
                                                                  Maybank Malaysian Open

                                                                  Hello D2D,

                                                                  Can I please have your views on this.,

                                                                  European Tour : Charl Schwartzel is 9 under after 2 rounds. There are lot of players hanging around 9 under. The play has been suspended for round 2, resumes tomorrow morning. Some are half-way through the second round hanging at 6 under. I believe after the round 2 there will be around 6-7 players in between 11-8 under.

                                                                  Do you find any value here ???
                                                                  Charl scwartzel -- +165
                                                                  Field -- -185

                                                                  Thanks in advance...
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Dollars2Donuts
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 02-07-13
                                                                    • 8803

                                                                    #1118
                                                                    Originally posted by mikejamm
                                                                    Wow! Can you press you lips any tighter up against this guy's ass tto? Maybe if you suk hard enough you'll figure out how to suk pick winners too!And by the way asshole, my thread got sbr to increase the poker payouts to 25 places rather than 10! So eat shit both of you cockmouths! Love how posting pms and starting a thread about me "welcoming you to sbr", backfired on your stupid ass donut shit. Funny how you can dog a guy who lost 26k in another thread, calling him a liar and yet you're a fuk'in lying degenerate yourself! Like I said pal, enjoy your ego ass kissing minions, because when you lose your ass, and you will, your fuk'in suk ups will turn on you.
                                                                    I am a liar? Please, send me some more info on this. All picks are posted before game times, all math is correct and ALL games are counted in my record.

                                                                    As for my other thread 'backfiring', I am not sure that is the case, lol.

                                                                    As I keep mentioning....if you have anything important to say, fire away.....if not, bugger off.

                                                                    Cheers (again)

                                                                    D2D
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Dollars2Donuts
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 02-07-13
                                                                      • 8803

                                                                      #1119
                                                                      Originally posted by kuru
                                                                      Hello D2D,

                                                                      Can I please have your views on this.,

                                                                      European Tour : Charl Schwartzel is 9 under after 2 rounds. There are lot of players hanging around 9 under. The play has been suspended for round 2, resumes tomorrow morning. Some are half-way through the second round hanging at 6 under. I believe after the round 2 there will be around 6-7 players in between 11-8 under.

                                                                      Do you find any value here ???
                                                                      Charl scwartzel -- +165
                                                                      Field -- -185

                                                                      Thanks in advance...
                                                                      I don't know enough about the field or enough about the European Golf Tour to give you any insight here. If I was to go either way it would be a guess.

                                                                      Cheers!
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • tto827
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 10-01-12
                                                                        • 9078

                                                                        #1120
                                                                        Originally posted by kuru
                                                                        Hello D2D,

                                                                        Can I please have your views on this.,

                                                                        European Tour : Charl Schwartzel is 9 under after 2 rounds. There are lot of players hanging around 9 under. The play has been suspended for round 2, resumes tomorrow morning. Some are half-way through the second round hanging at 6 under. I believe after the round 2 there will be around 6-7 players in between 11-8 under.

                                                                        Do you find any value here ???
                                                                        Charl scwartzel -- +165
                                                                        Field -- -185

                                                                        Thanks in advance...
                                                                        Schwartzel is beyond solid, but if he doesn't have a 2+ shot lead, I'm not sure anything under +200 is a good bet on him this early in the tournament. Also depends on who those 6-7 players are.
                                                                        Comment
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