BTW this thread really is a marvel. Quite incredible.
My first day at SBR........
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tto827SBR Hall of Famer
- 10-01-12
- 9078
#1086Comment -
Dollars2DonutsSBR Hall of Famer
- 02-07-13
- 8803
#1087
Thanks for the support.....Comment -
Dollars2DonutsSBR Hall of Famer
- 02-07-13
- 8803
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tto827SBR Hall of Famer
- 10-01-12
- 9078
#1089
I think he got his nuts caught in a woodchipper in like the third grade. So no balls to back up his words.Comment -
tto827SBR Hall of Famer
- 10-01-12
- 9078
#1090
Your sample size is still not definitive, and variance could be playing a part in your absurd win rate, but day after day you seem to squash that notion. Keep it upComment -
Dollars2DonutsSBR Hall of Famer
- 02-07-13
- 8803
#1091
Then it is me that is almost embarrassed that I even brought up a challenge....and that I took any sort of offense. Thanks for clearing that up tto.....
PS....when are we going to pick one game and get on the same side of it? LolComment -
tto827SBR Hall of Famer
- 10-01-12
- 9078
#1092Since I am not a magical capper like you I gave up on my thread, just not worth it. You make people $ tailing blindly, I don't.
Anyway, Duke, Illinois, Minnesota, La Salle tomorrow, you like any of those?Comment -
Dollars2DonutsSBR Hall of Famer
- 02-07-13
- 8803
#1093If they've done it for as long as you have here, they disappear from the forums and start charging for their picks. Then hit around 50% from that point on. Which is what I and everyone else was expecting here I think.
Your sample size is still not definitive, and variance could be playing a part in your absurd win rate, but day after day you seem to squash that notion. Keep it up
Has anyone ever done the math? If you start with $1000 and bet 5% of your roll every single day on one game....and win 60% of your games......in 2 years you will have over $500,000. Seem crazy? It is.
That is why I keep telling people not to take money out!! If you have an edge, keep the money there and let it build. I now have my own account and two backers playing this exact scenario in other accounts. Both starting with $10k and betting 5% across multiple offshore books, just betting one play per day from me. I invested 50% of the money in both scenarios and trust them beyond reproach.
We will see where we are in 2 years. Even on POD's I don't think I can hit 60%, but I know that I am over 58% across 1200 picks, so 56-58% is my goal here.
If I win I will never need 'tout' money......why the hell would I want to be calling people, selling picks, degrading myself.....not me, no thanks!Comment -
Dollars2DonutsSBR Hall of Famer
- 02-07-13
- 8803
#1094So funny....I have Duke advancing and the other 3 going home........Minny may win ATS, but I would stay away from all 4 if I were you.Comment -
Dollars2DonutsSBR Hall of Famer
- 02-07-13
- 8803
#1095
Not every day is a good one.....but you seem to have a good head on your shoulders....my only worry is that you overthink things. 'public side', etc can be terrifying.........
My advice:
Look at the board,pick what you like (not overanalyzing anything), bet it and win.....cash your check and drink your face off!Comment -
tto827SBR Hall of Famer
- 10-01-12
- 9078
#1096
Unreal.
Locked in all 4 already, least heavily on La Salle.
Anyway, I've got to be at the golf course in 6 hours so I should probably get off the computer.
I'm going to check back tomorrow and hopefully see some picks to tail to offset my losses that are coming on those 4 games
Comment -
tto827SBR Hall of Famer
- 10-01-12
- 9078
#1097You gave up on your thread? Like today? Come on, where's your fighting spirit??
Not every day is a good one.....but you seem to have a good head on your shoulders....my only worry is that you overthink things. 'public side', etc can be terrifying.........
My advice:
Look at the board,pick what you like (not overanalyzing anything), bet it and win.....cash your check and drink your face off!
Ya, ya I get into that a little bit, but if I feel strongly I don't let it sway me, its only on those ehh should I play it or not that it might be a deal-breaker.
I had abandoned the thread a while ago, still post picks and insight, just not all neat and organized in one spot.Comment -
Dollars2DonutsSBR Hall of Famer
- 02-07-13
- 8803
#1098
Unreal.
Locked in all 4 already, least heavily on La Salle.
Anyway, I've got to be at the golf course in 6 hours so I should probably get off the computer.
I'm going to check back tomorrow and hopefully see some picks to tail to offset my losses that are coming on those 4 games
CheersComment -
Dollars2DonutsSBR Hall of Famer
- 02-07-13
- 8803
#1099PPPPPPS, going to bed now....just watch that Minny game until the end........HINT: Bet it 5 seconds before the game goes off, ATS and ML are both good bets tomorrow.
UCLA is a great pck both ways.......you may not need the points, so maybe 2 units ATS and 2 units SU so you are covered.....I am telling you this will be a great play!Comment -
skyline001SBR Rookie
- 03-17-13
- 16
#11003-0 on your NBA! congratsComment -
EnjoiSBR Sharp
- 02-12-13
- 328
#1101What are the criteria for your picks? You are a good capper and I would love to learn how you do it. THanksComment -
Dollars2DonutsSBR Hall of Famer
- 02-07-13
- 8803
#1102I throw darts
Technically, I would be called a 'feel' capper. Trends are a part of as is history, but the biggest factors I use are looking for let down games, 'looking ahead games', matchups where you know a team will play down to it's opponents level and matchups where a team will play up to another team's.
I can't really get into it much deeper than that....butg it's a start.Comment -
Dollars2DonutsSBR Hall of Famer
- 02-07-13
- 8803
#1103OK, here are today's plays. I have not decided on a POD, so it may be one of these or it may be a game I am looking at. I will updte as soon as I know.
170097740-1 3/22/13 11:59am $50.00 $100.00 Pending 3/22/13 7:05pm NHL Hockey 1 Calgary Flames (1st 60 min) -½ +200* <small>vs</small> Columbus Blue Jackets (1st 60 min) 170097740-2 3/22/13 11:59am $100.00 $116.00 Pending 3/22/13 7:05pm NHL Hockey 4 Winnipeg Jets (1st 60 min) -½ +116* <small>vs</small> Washington Capitals (1st 60 min) 170097740-3 3/22/13 11:59am $200.00 $210.00 Pending 3/22/13 7:05pm NHL Hockey 5 Pittsburgh Penguins (1st 60 min) -½ +105* <small>vs</small> New York Islanders (1st 60 min) 170097343-1 3/22/13 11:56am $102.00 $100.00 Pending 3/22/13 7:05pm Reduced Basketball 805 Oklahoma City Thunder/Orlando Magic Under 207½ -102* 170097343-2 3/22/13 11:56am $105.00 $100.00 Pending 3/22/13 7:35pm Reduced Basketball 807 Detroit Pistons/Miami Heat Under 200 -105* 170097343-3 3/22/13 11:56am $105.00 $100.00 Pending 3/22/13 8:35pm Reduced Basketball 815 Boston Celtics +4½ -105* <small>vs</small> Dallas Mavericks 170097343-4 3/22/13 11:56am $20.00 $730.00 Pending 3/22/13 7:25pm Reduced Basketball 847 Northwestern State +3650* <small>vs</small> Florida 169858594-4 3/21/13 1:45pm $60.00 $66.00 Pending 3/22/13 1:05pm MLB Baseball 905 Boston Red Sox +110* <small>vs</small> Toronto Blue Jays (Fixed Price) 169817810-1 3/21/13 3:11am $67.50 $50.00 Pending 3/22/13 12:00pm International Soccer 181 Canada (Friendly)/Japan (Friendly) Over 2,2½ -135* Comment -
Dollars2DonutsSBR Hall of Famer
- 02-07-13
- 8803
#1104Adding:
170102157-1 3/22/13 12:21pm $52.50 $50.00 Pending 3/22/13 7:20pm Reduced Basketball 841 Villanova/North Carolina Over 144½ -105* 170102157-2 3/22/13 12:21pm $86.40 $80.00 Pending 3/22/13 9:55pm Reduced Basketball 850 UCLA +4 -108* <small>vs</small> Minnesota 170102157-3 3/22/13 12:21pm $40.00 $64.00 Pending 3/22/13 9:55pm Reduced Basketball 850 UCLA +160* <small>vs</small> Minnesota Comment -
EnjoiSBR Sharp
- 02-12-13
- 328
#1105I get where you are coming from as I am also a 'feel' capper. With you on the Magic/OKC under
What are your 3 strongest plays for today?Comment -
Dollars2DonutsSBR Hall of Famer
- 02-07-13
- 8803
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thelovefoolSBR Rookie
- 05-06-11
- 21
#1107Hey D2D. First of all, this thread is exactly what I have been looking for. Secondly, your greatest asset is your GUT and that is exactly what makes you money. Lastly, I wanted to ask you when you take out money, if you have to. Do you have a certain goal and when you reach that goal you pull lets say, 20% of your roll out or do you just try to accumulate as much without pulling out as possible?
Keep it up man,
thelovefoolComment -
Dollars2DonutsSBR Hall of Famer
- 02-07-13
- 8803
#1108Hey D2D. First of all, this thread is exactly what I have been looking for. Secondly, your greatest asset is your GUT and that is exactly what makes you money. Lastly, I wanted to ask you when you take out money, if you have to. Do you have a certain goal and when you reach that goal you pull lets say, 20% of your roll out or do you just try to accumulate as much without pulling out as possible?
Keep it up man,
thelovefool
As I have mentioned, it is important to have as much as possible designated for 'wagering' and then make your bets relevant to that number. If you continue to withdraw monies you will never advance. As I have said before my goal is to have an average wager of $500+ by the end of 2013 and I do believe that this will be possible.
I understand that some people that are successful take out money to live on....imo those people are just cheating themselves as they will never achieve their maximums.
I am lucky, I have an amazing career, that gives me time to do this, gives me a great standard of living, etc, all without having to use these funds.....I can afford to let it roll....and I do understand those that cannot, but imo they should go out, grind out a living at even a crappy job and keep those funds accumulating!!
Cheers,
D2DComment -
DiggityDaggityDoSBR Aristocracy
- 11-30-08
- 81450
#1109SO at which point will you withdrawal? And how much will it be? You have to have a goal?Comment -
Dollars2DonutsSBR Hall of Famer
- 02-07-13
- 8803
#1110I will slowly begin to take out if I get to a point that I am beginning to feel 'uncomfortable' with the amount at any one book. At the same time those funds will go into a 'holding account' and not into my every day $$$s. In other words I will still be betting LIKE those funds are still in my account, so that my wagers can keep increasing.Comment -
CoreosSBR Sharp
- 01-18-13
- 464
#1111Should just start calling you honey badger. Beware trolls.
Comment -
2178iceSBR High Roller
- 03-12-13
- 138
#1112Hey D2D what does it mean first 60 mins in your hockey bets. How would i bet that on 5 dimes?? ThanksComment -
DocZSBR Hustler
- 03-05-13
- 58
#1113I believe that is in regulation time, no Shootout. So a draw would lose if you have the -.5 bet.Comment -
2178iceSBR High Roller
- 03-12-13
- 138
#1114Im so confused???Comment -
mikejammSBR Posting Legend
- 08-24-09
- 11045
#1116
Wow! Can you press you lips any tighter up against this guy's ass tto? Maybe if you suk hard enough you'll figure out how to suk pick winners too!And by the way asshole, my thread got sbr to increase the poker payouts to 25 places rather than 10! So eat shit both of you cockmouths! Love how posting pms and starting a thread about me "welcoming you to sbr", backfired on your stupid ass donut shit. Funny how you can dog a guy who lost 26k in another thread, calling him a liar and yet you're a fuk'in lying degenerate yourself! Like I said pal, enjoy your ego ass kissing minions, because when you lose your ass, and you will, your fuk'in suk ups will turn on you.
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kuruSBR Rookie
- 02-28-13
- 45
#1117Maybank Malaysian Open
Hello D2D,
Can I please have your views on this.,
European Tour : Charl Schwartzel is 9 under after 2 rounds. There are lot of players hanging around 9 under. The play has been suspended for round 2, resumes tomorrow morning. Some are half-way through the second round hanging at 6 under. I believe after the round 2 there will be around 6-7 players in between 11-8 under.
Do you find any value here ???
Charl scwartzel -- +165
Field -- -185
Thanks in advance...Comment -
Dollars2DonutsSBR Hall of Famer
- 02-07-13
- 8803
#1118Wow! Can you press you lips any tighter up against this guy's ass tto? Maybe if you suk hard enough you'll figure out how to suk pick winners too!And by the way asshole, my thread got sbr to increase the poker payouts to 25 places rather than 10! So eat shit both of you cockmouths! Love how posting pms and starting a thread about me "welcoming you to sbr", backfired on your stupid ass donut shit. Funny how you can dog a guy who lost 26k in another thread, calling him a liar and yet you're a fuk'in lying degenerate yourself! Like I said pal, enjoy your ego ass kissing minions, because when you lose your ass, and you will, your fuk'in suk ups will turn on you.
As for my other thread 'backfiring', I am not sure that is the case, lol.
As I keep mentioning....if you have anything important to say, fire away.....if not, bugger off.
Cheers (again)
D2DComment -
Dollars2DonutsSBR Hall of Famer
- 02-07-13
- 8803
#1119Hello D2D,
Can I please have your views on this.,
European Tour : Charl Schwartzel is 9 under after 2 rounds. There are lot of players hanging around 9 under. The play has been suspended for round 2, resumes tomorrow morning. Some are half-way through the second round hanging at 6 under. I believe after the round 2 there will be around 6-7 players in between 11-8 under.
Do you find any value here ???
Charl scwartzel -- +165
Field -- -185
Thanks in advance...
Cheers!Comment -
tto827SBR Hall of Famer
- 10-01-12
- 9078
#1120Hello D2D,
Can I please have your views on this.,
European Tour : Charl Schwartzel is 9 under after 2 rounds. There are lot of players hanging around 9 under. The play has been suspended for round 2, resumes tomorrow morning. Some are half-way through the second round hanging at 6 under. I believe after the round 2 there will be around 6-7 players in between 11-8 under.
Do you find any value here ???
Charl scwartzel -- +165
Field -- -185
Thanks in advance...Comment
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