Niners will be a huge play for me MNF

[No coincidences]

Big on the line, small on the ML.

Indy's huge square win at home tonight only upped my bet and strengthened my belief. Public will get buried tomorrow night.

See my home dog thread. 4-2 in Week 1, 3-0-1 this week. Singletary will have them ready when Joe Public least expects it.

[No coincidences]

http://www.sportsbook.com/betting-trends/

Will probably take the under as well.

[TheBet]

The sharps are on the 49ers, the squares are the Saints.

Simple as that.

I'm waiting until the squares finalize the Saints and push the line up to 6.5.

Then I'm going to pound it.

[No coincidences]

The sharps are on the 49ers, the squares are the Saints.

Simple as that.

I'm waiting until the squares finalize the Saints and push the line up to 6.5.

Then I'm going to pound it.

Good idea, because it will go up.

Watch the last-minute action. If it drops, go huge. If it doesn't, keep the bet medium.

I don't see the public hitting big both SNF and MNF.

[xxxvince]

saints all the way baby

[lakerboy]

No coin the line has gone up mostly. When its a big public bloodbath the line usually goes down during the week like the chiefs line did last week form +6 to +4 or holds steady. Just like the skins line went RLM . THere is hardly any sign that the sharps are on the niners.

[No coincidences]

No coin the line has gone up mostly. When its a big public bloodbath the line usually goes down during the week like the chiefs line did last week form +6 to +4 or holds steady. Just like the skins line went RLM . THere is hardly any sign that the sharps are on the niners.

Like I said LB, we'll see where it goes late. FWIW, I don't necessarily think SF wins here, like I did with KC last week.

I will say this -- the line went down initially from 4.5 to 4 at Pinny, and while it did reach 5.5, it's now back at 5. I think as long as it is 5 or less by game time, I'll be OK here.

I think at the very least, over backers are going to get destroyed here.

[tanner40]

Like it too

[Aristocles]

I'm really considering making a HUGE play on this one. I really believe that SF is the way to go, here. Somebody talk me out of it! I am thinking of going 50% of my bankroll although it violates my tenant to never bet over 1%.

My thought when I decided to give this a go was stay in it for a while and I know that the only way to ever have any chance is to grind along making as smart of plays as you have the edification to make. In only three weeks of regularly betting I have managed to stay even. I know this is an error, but. . .

I must sleep on it, I suppose.

[lakerboy]

Like I said LB, we'll see where it goes late. FWIW, I don't necessarily think SF wins here, like I did with KC last week.

I will say this -- the line went down initially from 4.5 to 4 at Pinny, and while it did reach 5.5, it's now back at 5. I think as long as it is 5 or less by game time, I'll be OK here.

I think at the very least, over backers are going to get destroyed here.

if you take a home dog the ml on them should be lower. just offering my opinion

[No coincidences]

if you take a home dog the ml on them should be lower. just offering my opinion

Should I watch the ML movement more than the line movement right before kickoff?

Like I said, I don't necessarily see SF winning. I just think the 5 is an awkward number. I could easily see a 20-17 or 24-20 Saints win (as soon as the total creeps to 44.5 or 45).

[dolphan34]

I like the Niners too, but thinking that the Colts winning will have some bearing on how the Niners and Saints play is a bit of a stretch.

[tanner40]

I'm really considering making a HUGE play on this one. I really believe that SF is the way to go, here. Somebody talk me out of it! I am thinking of going 50% of my bankroll although it violates my tenant to never bet over 1%.

My thought when I decided to give this a go was stay in it for a while and I know that the only way to ever have any chance is to grind along making as smart of plays as you have the edification to make. In only three weeks of regularly betting I have managed to stay even. I know this is an error, but. . .

I must sleep on it, I suppose.

No play is worth 50% of your bankroll.

[lakerboy]

Should I watch the ML movement more than the line movement right before kickoff?

Like I said, I don't necessarily see SF winning. I just think the 5 is an awkward number. I could easily see a 20-17 or 24-20 Saints win (as soon as the total creeps to 44.5 or 45).

I just think the game has no real edge. I say you watch the first half and make a play on the second hf.


As for the ML movement look at the home dogs that won today. Nothing over +140.

[Rbyrne]

I like Under 44.......49ers will eat up a lot of clock with their running game...they dont want Alex Smith throwing anymore ints like last week so their gonna be running a lot more than passing...49ers defense will give up some pass plays against Brees and company but i think they will do a good job in the red zone and hold the Saints to field goals a couple times so i like the under


20-13 Saints win is my prediction....which is 33 total points

[No coincidences]

I just think the game has no real edge. I say you watch the first half and make a play on the second hf.


As for the ML movement look at the home dogs that won today. Nothing over +140.

But there also weren't any at +5, either.

What was the ML last week when KC was +4? I'll have to look that up and compare it to this one.

[No coincidences]

I like Under 44.......49ers will eat up a lot of clock with their running game...they dont want Alex Smith throwing anymore ints like last week so their gonna be running a lot more than passing...49ers defense will give up some pass plays against Brees and company but i think they will do a good job in the red zone and hold the Saints to field goals a couple times so i like the under


20-13 Saints win is my prediction....which is 33 total points

Sharp line movement agrees with this.

88% on the over. Total is dropping.

[uanl]

But there also weren't any at +5, either.

What was the ML last week when KC was +4? I'll have to look that up and compare it to this one.

weren't the steelers +5 or 5.5 and they won ML ...im making a play on the niners +the points.. i think that their coach will have them ready to play, maybe the saints will be a little rusty after 11 days off, the 9ers are retiring Jerry Rice's jersey...i think the 9ers will put up a good fight and at least cover..

[Rbyrne]

i think it was around +180.....dont over think this one NoCoin....Saints, Under, or no play

[No coincidences]

i think it was around +180.....dont over think this one NoCoin....Saints, Under, or no play

I would just really be surprised to see a huge public road fave like the Saints win in a MNF game. I still think it will be a 3-4 point NO win.

[Rbyrne]

Saints also have a huge advantage in coaching...Sean Payton and Greg Williams with extra time to prepare...basically 2 head coaches vs the dumbasss Singletary and the horrible play calling of the 49ers

[raiders32]

I like the Saints to win big.

[lakerboy]

I would just really be surprised to see a huge public road fave like the Saints win in a MNF game. I still think it will be a 3-4 point NO win.

Bears +3.5 next monday is the better play. You might be right but im not buying the niners thing and that has nothing to do with the seattle game.

[bilsonx_nc]

Niners gonna be a great play tomorrow. got them at +6

[I Like Poon]

Who has more weapons on offense....Saints
Who has better coaching....Saints
Who plays better on primetime....Saints
Who has the far superior qb....Saints
Who has better playmakers....Saints
Who has better kickers....49ers

Unless you think this game is going to be decided by a few punts and a FieldGoal....I think the obvious choice is.....

[JR007]

Looks a little too easy

[superman613]

like the 49ers also in this spot.,..GL

[phillybadboy]

i'm playing saints 1st quarter -.5 gl dude

[Ralphie]

The 49ers looked about as bad as a team could last week...

[bigjonson]

I like Under 44.......49ers will eat up a lot of clock with their running game...they dont want Alex Smith throwing anymore ints like last week so their gonna be running a lot more than passing...49ers defense will give up some pass plays against Brees and company but i think they will do a good job in the red zone and hold the Saints to field goals a couple times so i like the under


20-13 Saints win is my prediction....which is 33 total points

Did you actually have to say the total?????

If people cannot add then they should not be betting.

[gshock1]

Be careful here. Week 2 has been too unpredictable.

[bigjonson]

Guys - I am on the 9rs tonight.

Let the public keep hammering the Saints.

They are laying an egg tonight.

Frank Gore will be on a mission.

Book it.

But hold out until a few minutes until game time!!!

[bluegg]

interesting advice lb

[bypp]

Liking the Niners as well. GL

[ger25pic25]

Niners +6 is a great bet! hope we cash it! BOL