2016 NFL System - JM and Modified

[Andy3568]

No worries...we have a Jets Bet B on the JM system, and a Ravens Bet B on the modified system. Might have to just skip on betting this game until next week.

Yeah, normally I figure just bet both sides, but this game is close to even, it might be a good ideal to skip. It'll be interesting to see how the line moves throughout the week.

[Andy3568]

Modified System

System Record

A: 3 - 1
B: 0 - 1
C: 0 - 0

Units Won (Lost): 3


Week 7 Results

(2) Baltimore Ravens "B": Loss
(3) Philadelphia Eagles "A": Win
(4) Denver Broncos "A": Win


Week 8 Plays

None (Baltimore Ravens Bye Week; continue Week 9)

Rules: If a team loses SU AND ATS two (2) straight weeks, AND the team's record is 0.500 or better, we chase them for the next three games on a simple martingale chase. Betting rules the same as non-modified.

Special Circumstances:

(1) If two teams playing against each other both qualify, I will track it as placing both bets. Since you're betting M/L on the favorite and spread on the dog, you can win both bets. How you personally choose to play it is up to you.

(2) If a bet pushes on the "A" bet, I will treat it as a no-play for the series. If it pushes on the "B" or "C" bet, the team's next game will count as a repeat of the push bet. For instance, if you push on the "B" bet, the next bet will be a "B" and the following will be a "C."

Note: I use VegasInsider to track odds.

[betwithdaniel]

JM System Record: 4-1

Bet A: (3-4)
Bet B: (1-1)
Bet C: (0-1)

Week 7 Plays (Lost 3 SU and 3 ATS):
49ers ML Bet C - Lost
Jets ML Bet B - Won
Ravens +3 Bet A - Lost

The odds above were closing odds.

Week 8 Plays (Lost 3 SU and 3 ATS)

• Panthers Bet B
  
• Bears Bet A

• Ravens Bet B BYE Week
  
• Rams Bet A BYE Week

Week 9 Potential Plays (Lost 2 SU and 2 ATS)

• Ravens Bet B
• Rams Bet A
• Steelers

-- Let me know if I've made a mistake --


**rules are simple: if a team loses SU AND ATS 3 straight weeks, they become a play. we chase them for the next three games on a simple martingale chase. official rules state that favorites be played on the ML and dogs be bought to key numbers (3, 7, 10, 14).**

[JustTheSportsTip]

Anybody else going to take 49ers as an A bet next week since they have now lost 6 SU and ATS?

[JustTheSportsTip]

4 losses S/U and ATS:
**462 Ravens -165** I believe also a C bet for the other system some play

3 losses:
**464 49ers +3** actually 6 straight losses so you can keep chasing or start a new series
**466 Rams +3** lost 3 s/u 2nd game was a push ats. 1st and 3rd games were losses

2 losses:
461 Steelers +3
454 Vikings no line
473 Bills +6.5
451 Jaguars +9.5

[Andy3568]

Modified System

System Record

A: 3 - 1
B: 0 - 1
C: 0 - 0

Units Won (Lost): 3


Week 8 Results

No Plays


Week 9 Plays

(2) Baltimore Ravens "C"
(5) Minnesota Vikings (Record: 0.714) "A"
(6) Pittsburgh Steelers (Record: 0.571) "A"
(7) Buffalo Bills (Record: 0.500) "A"

Rules: If a team loses SU AND ATS two (2) straight weeks, AND the team's record is 0.500 or better, we chase them for the next three games on a simple martingale chase. Betting rules the same as non-modified.

Special Circumstances:

(1) If two teams playing against each other both qualify, I will track it as placing both bets. Since you're betting M/L on the favorite and spread on the dog, you can win both bets. How you personally choose to play it is up to you.

(2) If a bet pushes on the "A" bet, I will treat it as a no-play for the series. If it pushes on the "B" or "C" bet, the team's next game will count as a repeat of the push bet. For instance, if you push on the "B" bet, the next bet will be a "B" and the following will be a "C."

Note: I use VegasInsider to track odds.

[betwithdaniel]

JM System Record: 6-1

Bet A: (4-4)
Bet B: (2-1)
Bet C: (0-1)

Week 8 Plays (Lost 3 SU and 3 ATS):
Panthers ML Bet B - Won
Bears +5.5 (we are told to buy to +7) Bet A - Won

The odds above were closing odds.

Week 9 Plays (Lost 3 SU and 3 ATS)

• Ravens Bet B
  
• Rams Bet A

Week 10 Potential Plays (Lost 2 SU and 2 ATS)

• Steelers
• Vikings
• Bills
• Jaguars
• Browns

-- Let me know if I've made a mistake --


**rules are simple: if a team loses SU AND ATS 3 straight weeks, they become a play. we chase them for the next three games on a simple martingale chase. official rules state that favorites be played on the ML and dogs be bought to key numbers (3, 7, 10, 14).**

[Andy3568]

Modified System

System Record

A: 4 - 3
B: 0 - 1
C: 1 - 0

Units Won (Lost): 5


Week 9 Results

(2) Baltimore Ravens "C" Win
(5) Minnesota Vikings "A" Loss
(6) Pittsburgh Steelers "A" Loss
(7) Buffalo Bills "A" Win (Final Line = +6; buy up to +7)


Week 10 Plays

(5) Minnesota Vikings "B"
(6) Pittsburgh Steelers "B"
(8) Philadelphia Eagles (Record: 0.500) "A"

Rules: If a team loses SU AND ATS two (2) straight weeks, AND the team's record is 0.500 or better, we chase them for the next three games on a simple martingale chase. Betting rules the same as non-modified.

Special Circumstances:

(1) If two teams playing against each other both qualify, I will track it as placing both bets. Since you're betting M/L on the favorite and spread on the dog, you can win both bets. How you personally choose to play it is up to you.

(2) If a bet pushes on the "A" bet, I will treat it as a no-play for the series. If it pushes on the "B" or "C" bet, the team's next game will count as a repeat of the push bet. For instance, if you push on the "B" bet, the next bet will be a "B" and the following will be a "C."

Note: I use VegasInsider to track odds.

[Andy3568]

BTW, I know no one mentioned it in this thread, but did anyone else notice that "the bet that has never lost in the history of the NFL" lost this year?

[TechnicalTrader]

BTW, I know no one mentioned it in this thread, but did anyone else notice that "the bet that has never lost in the history of the NFL" lost this year?

Denver: 6-3 ATS. Who would've thought...

[betwithdaniel]

JM System Record: 7-1

Bet A: (4-4)
Bet B: (3-1)
Bet C: (0-1)

Week 9 Plays (Lost 3 SU and 3 ATS):

Ravens +3 Bet B - Won
Rams +3 Bet A - Push

The odds above were closing odds.

Week 10 Plays (Lost 3 SU and 3 ATS)

• Steelers Bet A
• Vikings Bet A
• Browns Bet A

Week 11 Potential Plays (Lost 2 SU and 2 ATS)

• Eagles
• Buccaneers

-- Let me know if I've made a mistake --

Notes:
I am not going to continue betting the Rams, because they pushed, and the 49ers, who have now lost 7 in a row (SU and ATS). I am not adding the 49ers as an official play because they already made us lose a Bet C (and possibly another Bet A for those who kept betting them).

**rules are simple: if a team loses SU AND ATS 3 straight weeks, they become a play. we chase them for the next three games on a simple martingale chase. official rules state that favorites be played on the ML and dogs be bought to key numbers (3, 7, 10, 14).**

[Andy3568]

Modified System

System Record

A: 5 - 3
B: 0 - 3
C: 1 - 0

Units Won (Lost): 6


Week 10 Results

(5) Minnesota Vikings "B" Loss
(6) Pittsburgh Steelers "B" Loss
(8) Philadelphia Eagles "A" Win

Week 11 Plays

(5) Minnesota Vikings "C"
(6) Pittsburgh Steelers "C"

Rules: If a team loses SU AND ATS two (2) straight weeks, AND the team's record is 0.500 or better, we chase them for the next three games on a simple martingale chase. Betting rules the same as non-modified.

Special Circumstances:

(1) If two teams playing against each other both qualify, I will track it as placing both bets. Since you're betting M/L on the favorite and spread on the dog, you can win both bets. How you personally choose to play it is up to you.

(2) If a bet pushes on the "A" bet, I will treat it as a no-play for the series. If it pushes on the "B" or "C" bet, the team's next game will count as a repeat of the push bet. For instance, if you push on the "B" bet, the next bet will be a "B" and the following will be a "C."

Note: I use VegasInsider to track odds.

[betwithdaniel]

JM System Record: 7-1

Bet A: (4-7)
Bet B: (3-1)
Bet C: (0-1)

Week 10 Plays (Lost 3 SU and 3 ATS):

Steelers ML Bet A - Loss
Vikings +3 Bet A - Loss
Browns +7.5 Bet A - Loss

The odds above were closing odds.

Week 11 Plays (Lost 3 SU and 3 ATS)

Steelers Bet B
Vikings Bet B
Browns Bet B


Week 12 Potential Plays (Lost 2 SU and 2 ATS)

Packers
Jets


-- Let me know if I've made a mistake --


**rules are simple: if a team loses SU AND ATS 3 straight weeks, they become a play. we chase them for the next three games on a simple martingale chase. official rules state that favorites be played on the ML and dogs be bought to key numbers (3, 7, 10, 14).**

[betwithdaniel]

JM System Record: 9-1

Bet A: (4-7)
Bet B: (5-2)
Bet C: (0-1)

Week 11 Plays (Lost 3 SU and 3 ATS):

Steelers ML Bet B - Win
Vikings ML Bet B - Win
Browns +8 Bet B - Loss

The odds above were closing odds.

Week 12 Plays (Lost 3 SU and 3 ATS)

Browns Bet C
Packers Bet A


Week 13 Potential Plays (Lost 2 SU and 2 ATS)

Bengals
Jets
Jaguars


-- Let me know if I've made a mistake --


**rules are simple: if a team loses SU AND ATS 3 straight weeks, they become a play. we chase them for the next three games on a simple martingale chase. official rules state that favorites be played on the ML and dogs be bought to key numbers (3, 7, 10, 14).**

[Andy3568]

Modified System

System Record

A: 5 - 3
B: 0 - 3
C: 3 - 0

Units Won (Lost): 8


Week 11 Results

(5) Minnesota Vikings "C" Win
(6) Pittsburgh Steelers "C" Win


Week 12 Plays

None


Rules: If a team loses SU AND ATS two (2) straight weeks, AND the team's record is 0.500 or better, we chase them for the next three games on a simple martingale chase. Betting rules the same as non-modified.

Special Circumstances:

(1) If two teams playing against each other both qualify, I will track it as placing both bets. Since you're betting M/L on the favorite and spread on the dog, you can win both bets. How you personally choose to play it is up to you.

(2) If a bet pushes on the "A" bet, I will treat it as a no-play for the series. If it pushes on the "B" or "C" bet, the team's next game will count as a repeat of the push bet. For instance, if you push on the "B" bet, the next bet will be a "B" and the following will be a "C."

Note: I use VegasInsider to track odds.

[betwithdaniel]

JM System Record: 10-2

Bet A: (5-7)
Bet B: (5-2)
Bet C: (0-2)

Week 12 Plays (Lost 3 SU and 3 ATS):

Browns +6.5 Bet C - Loss
Packers +4 Bet A - Win

The odds above were closing odds.

Week 13 Plays (Lost 3 SU and 3 ATS)

Bengals Bet A

Week 14 Potential Plays (Lost 2 SU and 2 ATS)

Rams
Cardinals
Eagles
Texans

-- Let me know if I've made a mistake --


**rules are simple: if a team loses SU AND ATS 3 straight weeks, they become a play. we chase them for the next three games on a simple martingale chase. official rules state that favorites be played on the ML and dogs be bought to key numbers (3, 7, 10, 14).**

[Andy3568]

Modified System

System Record

A: 5 - 3
B: 0 - 3
C: 3 - 0

Units Won (Lost): 8


Week 12 Results

No Plays


Week 13 Plays

Houston Texans (Record: 0.545) "A"


Rules: If a team loses SU AND ATS two (2) straight weeks, AND the team's record is 0.500 or better, we chase them for the next three games on a simple martingale chase. Betting rules the same as non-modified.

Special Circumstances:

(1) If two teams playing against each other both qualify, I will track it as placing both bets. Since you're betting M/L on the favorite and spread on the dog, you can win both bets. How you personally choose to play it is up to you.

(2) If a bet pushes on the "A" bet, I will treat it as a no-play for the series. If it pushes on the "B" or "C" bet, the team's next game will count as a repeat of the push bet. For instance, if you push on the "B" bet, the next bet will be a "B" and the following will be a "C."

Note: I use VegasInsider to track odds.

[Andy3568]

Modified System

System Record

A: 5 - 4
B: 0 - 3
C: 3 - 0

Units Won (Lost): 8


Week 13 Results

Houston Texans "A" Loss


Week 14 Plays

Houston Texans "B"


Rules: If a team loses SU AND ATS two (2) straight weeks, AND the team's record is 0.500 or better, we chase them for the next three games on a simple martingale chase. Betting rules the same as non-modified.

Special Circumstances:

(1) If two teams playing against each other both qualify, I will track it as placing both bets. Since you're betting M/L on the favorite and spread on the dog, you can win both bets. How you personally choose to play it is up to you.

(2) If a bet pushes on the "A" bet, I will treat it as a no-play for the series. If it pushes on the "B" or "C" bet, the team's next game will count as a repeat of the push bet. For instance, if you push on the "B" bet, the next bet will be a "B" and the following will be a "C."

Note: I use VegasInsider to track odds.

[betwithdaniel]

JM System Record: 11-2

Bet A: (6-7)
Bet B: (5-2)
Bet C: (0-2)

Week 13 Plays (Lost 3 SU and 3 ATS):

Bengals ML Bet A - Win

The odds above were closing odds.

Week 14 Plays (Lost 3 SU and 3 ATS)

Rams Bet A
Eagles Bet A
Texans Bet A

Week 15 Potential Plays (Lost 2 SU and 2 ATS)

None

-- Let me know if I've made a mistake --


**rules are simple: if a team loses SU AND ATS 3 straight weeks, they become a play. we chase them for the next three games on a simple martingale chase. official rules state that favorites be played on the ML and dogs be bought to key numbers (3, 7, 10, 14).**

[betwithdaniel]

JM System Record: 12-2

Bet A: (7-9)
Bet B: (5-2)
Bet C: (0-2)

Week 14 Plays (Lost 3 SU and 3 ATS):

Rams +5 Bet A - Loss
Eagles +3 Bet A - Loss
Texans +7 Bet A - Win

The odds above were closing odds.

Week 15 Plays (Lost 3 SU and 3 ATS)

Eagles Bet B

Week 16 Potential Plays (Lost 2 SU and 2 ATS)

Bills
Saints
Chargers

Rams eliminated from the playoffs, no longer chasing them

-- Let me know if I've made a mistake --


**rules are simple: if a team loses SU AND ATS 3 straight weeks, they become a play. we chase them for the next three games on a simple martingale chase. official rules state that favorites be played on the ML and dogs be bought to key numbers (3, 7, 10, 14).**

[Andy3568]

Modified System

System Record

A: 5 - 4
B: 1 - 3
C: 3 - 0

Units Won (Lost): 9


Week 14 Results

Houston Texans "B" Win


End of the Season

[betwithdaniel]

JM System Record: 13-2

Bet A: (7-9)
Bet B: (6-2)
Bet C: (0-2)

Week 15 Plays (Lost 3 SU and 3 ATS):

Eagles+5 Bet B - Win
The odds above were closing odds.

Chargers are not an official play because they were eliminated from the playoffs. Looks like the system is over.


End of the Season

[betwithdaniel]

Is anyone going to bet on the Broncos? Unofficial Modified system play.

[ken23lau]

We're not continuing with the Rams chase?

[betwithdaniel]

We're not continuing with the Rams chase?

They got knocked out of playoff contention after we lost Bet A so they weren't an official B play.

[ken23lau]

They got knocked out of playoff contention after we lost Bet A so they weren't an official B play.

I see, missed your note in your post. Will you be posting the unofficial plays? Broncos unofficial modified and Chargers unofficial for this week correct?

[betwithdaniel]

I wasn't planning to. Because 49ers and Browns would also be plays too. I have a sour taste about the 49ers and Browns because they already cost us a Bet C. As requested, the unofficial plays are below, and the results will not go against the record (I am not betting these personally):

Browns Bet C
Rams Bet C
Chargers Bet A
49ers Bet A

Modified:
Broncos Bet A

[Andy3568]

I don't know if I would count any A bets as unofficial because we cannot complete a 3-game chase with only two games left in the season.