2016 NFL System - JM and Modified

[imotiv8]

On3 isn't doing it this year so I figured I'd start the thread and everyone can pitch in and help

The system kicks in week 4 at the earliest. rules are simple: if a team loses SU AND ATS 3 straight weeks, they become a play. we chase them for the next three games on a simple martingale chase. official rules state that favorites be played on the ML and dogs be bought to key numbers (3, 7, 10, 14).

MODIFIED rules: if teams with a .500 or better record (AFTER they qualify) lose SU AND ATS 2 straight weeks, they become a play. we chase them for the next three games on a simple martingale chase. i play short faves on the ML and dogs i buy up to 1.5 points.

Last year's thread:
http://www.sportsbookreview.com/foru...-modified.html

[success27]

On3 isn't doing it this year so I figured I'd start the thread and everyone can pitch in and help

The system kicks in week 4 at the earliest. rules are simple: if a team loses SU AND ATS 3 straight weeks, they become a play. we chase them for the next three games on a simple martingale chase. official rules state that favorites be played on the ML and dogs be bought to key numbers (3, 7, 10, 14).

MODIFIED rules: if teams with a .500 or better record (AFTER they qualify) lose SU AND ATS 2 straight weeks, they become a play. we chase them for the next three games on a simple martingale chase. i play short faves on the ML and dogs i buy up to 1.5 points.

Last year's thread:
http://www.sportsbookreview.com/foru...-modified.html

Thanks for getting this started. I'll try to pitch in when I get a chance.

Also, I believe once a team is eliminated from playoff contention, they are no longer eligible correct?

[JustTheSportsTip]

Does anyone track or post the middle?

[success27]

System Record: 0-0
Mod System Record: 0-0
Units: +0

Week 4 Potential Plays (Lost 2 SU and 2 ATS):

Bills
Bears
Browns
Colts
Jaguars
Redskins

**the system kicks in week 4 at the earliest. rules are simple: if a team loses SU AND ATS 3 straight weeks, they become a play. we chase them for the next three games on a simple martingale chase. official rules state that favorites be played on the ML and dogs be bought to key numbers (3, 7, 10, 14).

MODIFIED rules: if teams with a .500 or better record (AFTER they qualify) lose SU AND ATS 2 straight weeks, they become a play. we chase them for the next three games on a simple martingale chase. i play short faves on the ML and dogs i buy up to 1.5 points.**

[ScorpionSnow]

Checking in

[imotiv8]

thank you Success27

[TechnicalTrader]

System Record: 0-0
Mod System Record: 0-0
Units: +0

Week 4 Potential Plays (Lost 2 SU and 2 ATS):

Bills
Bears
Browns
Colts
Jaguars
Redskins

**the system kicks in week 4 at the earliest. rules are simple: if a team loses SU AND ATS 3 straight weeks, they become a play. we chase them for the next three games on a simple martingale chase. official rules state that favorites be played on the ML and dogs be bought to key numbers (3, 7, 10, 14).

MODIFIED rules: if teams with a .500 or better record (AFTER they qualify) lose SU AND ATS 2 straight weeks, they become a play. we chase them for the next three games on a simple martingale chase. i play short faves on the ML and dogs i buy up to 1.5 points.**

5 for 6 so far with the Indy game looking like a winner. Great way to start the season! I'll do my best to help you guys out in here. Thanks for getting this up!

[success27]

5 for 6 so far with the Indy game looking like a winner. Great way to start the season! I'll do my best to help you guys out in here. Thanks for getting this up!

You don't bet on the teams till Week 4 but it sounds like you played them in week 3 and won so who cares!

[success27]

System Record: 0-0
Units: +0

Week 4 Plays (Lost 3 SU and 3 ATS):
Bears +3 -125 (5Dimes)

Week 5 Potential Plays (Lost 2 SU and 2 ATS)

• Bengals
• Lions
• Buccaneers
• 49ers

Week 6 Potential Plays (Lost 1 SU and 1 ATS)

• Jets
• Steelers
• Texans
• Titans
• Chargers
• Panthers
• Saints
• Cardinals

**the system kicks in week 4 at the earliest. rules are simple: if a team loses SU AND ATS 3 straight weeks, they become a play. we chase them for the next three games on a simple martingale chase. official rules state that favorites be played on the ML and dogs be bought to key numbers (3, 7, 10, 14).**


PS I personally don't have time to track the modified version so if someone else wants to track that please feel free to do so!

[oe473034]

System Record: 0-0
Units: +0

Week 4 Plays (Lost 3 SU and 3 ATS):
Bears +3 -125 (5Dimes)

Week 5 Potential Plays (Lost 2 SU and 2 ATS)

• Bengals
• Lions
• Buccaneers
• 49ers

Week 6 Potential Plays (Lost 1 SU and 1 ATS)

• Jets
• Steelers
• Texans
• Titans
• Chargers
• Panthers
• Saints
• Cardinals

**the system kicks in week 4 at the earliest. rules are simple: if a team loses SU AND ATS 3 straight weeks, they become a play. we chase them for the next three games on a simple martingale chase. official rules state that favorites be played on the ML and dogs be bought to key numbers (3, 7, 10, 14).**


PS I personally don't have time to track the modified version so if someone else wants to track that please feel free to do so!

Week 4
Bengals
Colts
Panthers
Ravens
Bears
Texans
Patriots
Seahawks
Redskins
Broncos
Rams
Cowboys
Steelers
Vikings

You can thank me later.

[oe473034]

Oh Chargers!

[boycali01]

what is dogs be bought to key numbers (3, 7, 10, 14). thks.

[thekoreanmang]

Week 4
Bengals
Colts
Panthers
Ravens
Bears
Texans
Patriots
Seahawks
Redskins
Broncos
Rams
Cowboys
Steelers
Vikings

You can thank me later.

Can you clarify what these are? Is it for the modified?

[House]

what is dogs be bought to key numbers (3, 7, 10, 14). thks.

It means whatever team is getting points make sure you buy up to those key numbers .... if the team, is getting +2 buy a point up to +3 , if they're getting 6 buy a point up to 7 ext ext .....hope nobody minded me answering that one lol no disrespect meant .

[oe473034]

Can you clarify what these are? Is it for the modified?

Teams to bet for Week 4.

[TechnicalTrader]

Teams to bet for Week 4.

I'm sorta lost here... The Bears are the only team which has lost 3 ATS and SU. What am I looking at incorrectly??

[success27]

I'm sorta lost here... The Bears are the only team which has lost 3 ATS and SU. What am I looking at incorrectly??

I think one of the posters is tryna be funny and mess up the thread or something. Not sure.

The only play I'm betting on is Bears +3. I have money on the ML as well. Good luck

[imotiv8]

Remember on 3,7, 10 you but half a point so today should be +3.5

[House]

Remember on 3,7, 10 you but half a point so today should be +3.5

How do you get Colts +3.5 ?

[oe473034]

Week 4
Bengals - WON
Colts - LOSS
Panthers - LOSS
Ravens - LOSS
Bears - WON
Texans - WON
Patriots - LOSS
Seahawks - WON
Redskins - WON
Broncos - WON
Rams - WON
Cowboys - WON
Steelers - WON
Vikings - IN PROGRESS

You can thank me later.

You guys should have listened.

9-4, almost 10-4. Vikings game in progress.

[success27]

You guys should have listened.

9-4, almost 10-4. Vikings game in progress.

Hey bud, you mind creating your own thread?

Thanks.

[success27]

System Record: 1-0
Units: +1

Week 4 Plays (Lost 3 SU and 3 ATS):
Bears +3 -125 (5Dimes) - Won

Week 5 Plays (Lost 3 SU and 3 ATS)

• Lions
• Buccaneers
• 49ers

Week 6 Potential Plays (Lost 2 SU and 2 ATS)

• Jets
• Titans
• Chargers
• Panthers
• Cardinals
• Giants

Week 7 Potential Plays (Lost 1 SU and 1 ATS)

• Patriots
• Browns
• Colts
• Chiefs

-- Let me know if I've made a mistake --


**rules are simple: if a team loses SU AND ATS 3 straight weeks, they become a play. we chase them for the next three games on a simple martingale chase. official rules state that favorites be played on the ML and dogs be bought to key numbers (3, 7, 10, 14).**


PS I personally don't have time to track the modified version so if someone else wants to track that please feel free to do so!

[Andy3568]

Modified System

System Record

A: 0 - 0
B: 0 - 0
C: 0 - 0

Units Won (Lost): 0


Week 5 Plays

New York Giants (Record: 0.500) "A"

Rules: If a team loses SU AND ATS two (2) straight weeks, AND the team's record is 0.500 or better, we chase them for the next three games on a simple martingale chase. Betting rules the same as non-modified.

Special Circumstances:

(1) If two teams playing against each other both qualify, I will track it as placing both bets. Since you're betting M/L on the favorite and spread on the dog, you can win both bets. How you personally choose to play it is up to you.

(2) If a bet pushes on the "A" bet, I will treat it as a no-play for the series. If it pushes on the "B" or "C" bet, the team's next game will count as a repeat of the push bet. For instance, if you push on the "B" bet, the next bet will be a "B" and the following will be a "C."

Note: I use VegasInsider to track odds.

[boycali01]

sf +4 ?

[oe473034]

sf +4 ?

49ERS +3 (High Confidence) and total OVER 43.5 (Medium Confidence)

[imotiv8]

http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/nba-basketball-betting/3317616-2016-17-jm-nba.html

[boycali01]

week 5

lion 3
buc 4.5

on modify system, how do u track team record .500 base on ?

[Andy3568]

lion 3
buc 4.5

on modify system, how do u track team record .500 base on ?

Total wins divided by total games.

[Andy3568]

Modified System

System Record

A: 0 - 0
B: 0 - 0
C: 0 - 0

Units Won (Lost): 0


Week 5 Results

(1) New York Giants (Record: 0.500) "A": Push


Week 6 Plays

(2) Baltimore Ravens (Record: 0.600) "A"

Rules: If a team loses SU AND ATS two (2) straight weeks, AND the team's record is 0.500 or better, we chase them for the next three games on a simple martingale chase. Betting rules the same as non-modified.

Special Circumstances:

(1) If two teams playing against each other both qualify, I will track it as placing both bets. Since you're betting M/L on the favorite and spread on the dog, you can win both bets. How you personally choose to play it is up to you.

(2) If a bet pushes on the "A" bet, I will treat it as a no-play for the series. If it pushes on the "B" or "C" bet, the team's next game will count as a repeat of the push bet. For instance, if you push on the "B" bet, the next bet will be a "B" and the following will be a "C."

Note: I use VegasInsider to track odds.

[betwithdaniel]

JM System Record: 3-0

Bet A: (3-1)
Bet B: (0-0)
Bet C: (0-0)

Week 5 Plays (Lost 3 SU and 3 ATS):

Lions +3.5 Bet A - Won
Buccaneers +5.5 Bet A - Won
49ers +3.5 Bet A - Lost

The odds above are closing odds.

Week 6 Plays (Lost 3 SU and 3 ATS)

• 49ers Bet B
• Jets Bet A
  
• Panthers Bet A

Week 7 Potential Plays (Lost 2 SU and 2 ATS)

• Dolphins
• Ravens
• Browns

-- Let me know if I've made a mistake, just trying to help out! --


**rules are simple: if a team loses SU AND ATS 3 straight weeks, they become a play. we chase them for the next three games on a simple martingale chase. official rules state that favorites be played on the ML and dogs be bought to key numbers (3, 7, 10, 14).**


PS I'm not following the modified version so if someone else wants to track that please feel free to do so!

[Andy3568]

Modified System

System Record

A: 1 - 0
B: 0 - 0
C: 0 - 0

Units Won (Lost): 1


Week 6 Results

(2) Baltimore Ravens "A": Loss


Week 7 Plays

(2) Baltimore Ravens "B"
(3) Philadelphia Eagles (Record: 0.600) "A"
(4) Denver Broncos (Record: 0.667) "A"

Rules: If a team loses SU AND ATS two (2) straight weeks, AND the team's record is 0.500 or better, we chase them for the next three games on a simple martingale chase. Betting rules the same as non-modified.

Special Circumstances:

(1) If two teams playing against each other both qualify, I will track it as placing both bets. Since you're betting M/L on the favorite and spread on the dog, you can win both bets. How you personally choose to play it is up to you.

(2) If a bet pushes on the "A" bet, I will treat it as a no-play for the series. If it pushes on the "B" or "C" bet, the team's next game will count as a repeat of the push bet. For instance, if you push on the "B" bet, the next bet will be a "B" and the following will be a "C."

Note: I use VegasInsider to track odds.

[betwithdaniel]

JM System Record: 3-0

Bet A: (3-3)
Bet B: (0-1)
Bet C: (0-0)

Week 6 Plays (Lost 3 SU and 3 ATS):
49ers +7.5 Bet B - Lost
Jets +7 Bet A - Lost
Panthers ML Bet A - Lost

The odds above were closing odds.

Week 7 Plays (Lost 3 SU and 3 ATS)

• 49ers Bet C
• Jets Bet B or Ravens Bet A
  

• Panthers Bet B (BYE Week, pick for Week 8)

Week 8 Potential Plays (Lost 2 SU and 2 ATS)

• Panthers Bet B
• Bears
• Rams
• Bengals
• Eagles
• Broncos

-- Let me know if I've made a mistake --


**rules are simple: if a team loses SU AND ATS 3 straight weeks, they become a play. we chase them for the next three games on a simple martingale chase. official rules state that favorites be played on the ML and dogs be bought to key numbers (3, 7, 10, 14).**

It was a tough week 6 for us. This week we have 9ers vs Bucs...it opened at a pick, but as of this post, I'm seeing Buccaneers -2. Jets is the Bet B play, who are facing the Ravens which is a Bet A play. Right now, Jets are -1, so I think we are supposed to bet Jets ML and not bet the Ravens?!?, I'm not exactly sure. Panthers are on BYE, so we will save them for next week. Good luck!

[betwithdaniel]

Week 6 Results

(2) Baltimore Ravens "A": Win

Doesn't VegasInsider show that the line closed at Ravens +3.5? The Giants beat the Ravens 27-23.

[Andy3568]

Doesn't VegasInsider show that the line closed at Ravens +3.5? The Giants beat the Ravens 27-23.

Good catch. I got the scores transposed. I will correct the post.

[betwithdaniel]

No worries...we have a Jets Bet B on the JM system, and a Ravens Bet B on the modified system. Might have to just skip on betting this game until next week.