TK & Stackin 2014 NFL Thread

firekillex · 10-12-14, 07:03 PM

Looking at next week I'm really liking browns -3 over jags and lions by -2.5 over the saints plus ravens -6 at home over falcons

thoughts ?

Tommy Karate · 10-12-14, 07:15 PM

Originally posted by KRIT

Great call on Oakland. Takes a lot of guts to lay that kind of money on that team. It's too bad they couldn't pull off the upset.

You know how I feel about angles like that.

These are the kind of games that built Vegas.

Tommy Karate · 10-12-14, 07:17 PM

Booked under @ 51.5/120

Tommy Karate · 10-13-14, 06:53 PM

Originally posted by Tommy Karate

Monday 10.13

(2u) 49ers -3/-125 (N14)

(1u) Under 49ers/Rams 44.5

StackinGreen · 10-13-14, 07:25 PM

Originally posted by Tommy Karate

(1u) Under 49ers/Rams 44.5

I want to bet this but my luck on totals has been brutal, jeez

StackinGreen · 10-13-14, 07:26 PM

Originally posted by firekillex

Looking at next week I'm really liking browns -3 over jags and lions by -2.5 over the saints plus ravens -6 at home over falcons

thoughts ?

Ravens and Colts are two of the most underrated teams right now, esp at home.

Tommy Karate · 10-13-14, 08:15 PM

i hated this SF play...

firekillex · 10-13-14, 09:09 PM

Common didn't think they'd reverse that play. 49ers getting momentum to

Tommy Karate · 10-13-14, 09:24 PM

Thur 10.16

(3u) Patriots -9.5 (N12)

thetrinity · 10-13-14, 09:26 PM

where do you have what your n's mean

Tommy Karate · 10-13-14, 09:27 PM

Sunday 10.19

(2u) Cowboys -5.5 (N7)
(2u) Broncos (N7 - NBY)
(1u) Colts -3
(2u) Lions -2.5
(6u) Chiefs (NBY)

Tommy Karate · 10-13-14, 09:28 PM

Originally posted by thetrinity

where do you have what your n's mean

i dont list details anymore...i just note them here for my own tracking.

firekillex · 10-13-14, 09:47 PM

On lions with ya, I think that front 7 at home will give Bree's problems especially with graham supposed to be out... Chiefs is a gutsy play chargers been playing great and especially at home

praying 49ers keep this up

Great comeback

Tommy Karate · 10-13-14, 10:39 PM

I knew that was gonna happen.
That's what I get for adding an action play on the total.

Tommy Karate · 10-13-14, 10:41 PM

Vegas closing it's lights tomorrow?

StackinGreen · 10-13-14, 10:45 PM

Unbelievable. The only plays that hurt you there are the first 3. QB doesn't throw it outside and the WR can't tackle him. After onside and no 1st down, that is just a crazy beat for under backers.

unders in prime time, except for last night, have crushed "sharps"

KRIT · 10-13-14, 10:50 PM

Originally posted by firekillex

On lions with ya, I think that front 7 at home will give Bree's problems especially with graham supposed to be out... Chiefs is a gutsy play chargers been playing great and especially at home

praying 49ers keep this up

Great comeback

Hard to take Lions without Megatron against Brees and Saints. Lions have been able to sneak past bad teams without Megatron, but I think they'll need him if they want to win. No clue if he plays or not. Hope so since I have him on my fantasy team. And I think Graham expects to play.

I feel like this is a good spot to take Peyton and Broncos. Peyton in primetime. Going for the all-time TD record. At home. Weather still good. Niners depleted on defense.

firekillex · 10-13-14, 10:53 PM

another big weekend, glad the 49ers held on

but i honestly cant trust saints away, and im pretty sure graham is supposed to be out unless i read wrong?
i see lions getting to much pressure on brees, this game is basically the saints season but i dont see them winning

im really liking cardinals -3 at oakland, i think this cards defense will get to the rookie carr a lot and take this game over, plus palmer should be a bit more comfortable and let loose

any thoughts on thursday nights game ?? might tease pats down with seahawks

ram1502 · 10-14-14, 12:31 AM

Books got absolutely destroyed this week in nfl. Colts, pats, pack, phi, sf all largely public sides in games that the books took a stand against and lost all 5. I cant remember a week like this in recent years...can you TK?

Tommy Karate · 10-14-14, 07:19 AM

Originally posted by ram1502

Books got absolutely destroyed this week in nfl. Colts, pats, pack, phi, sf all largely public sides in games that the books took a stand against and lost all 5. I cant remember a week like this in recent years...can you TK?

not that i can recall....it was the public dream week.
everyone turning pro this week and quitting their jobs. haha

Tommy Karate · 10-14-14, 05:37 PM

Originally posted by Tommy Karate

Week 5: 13-8 (+11.3u)
N3: 0-1
N7: 1-1
N8: 3-1
N12: 1-0
N13: 1-0
N14: 1-0
Non-Auto: 8-5 (+3.8u)
=======================
NFL YTD: 49-41 (+3.7u)
N2: 0-1
N3: 0-3
N4: 0-1
N7: 3-3
N8: 3-1
N12: 4-1
N13: 3-1
N14: 2-2
Non-Auto: 37-29 (+6.1u)

Week 6: 9-9 (+6.2u)
N1: 1-0
N3: 1-0
N7: 1-1
N12: 0-1
N14: 1-0
Non-Auto: 5-9 (+.10)
======================
NFL YTD: 58-50 (+9.9u)
N1: 1-0
N2: 0-1
N3: 1-3
N4: 0-1
N7: 4-4
N8: 3-1
N12: 4-2
N13: 3-1
N14: 3-2
Non-Auto: 42-38 (+6.2u)

Ebumdude · 10-14-14, 11:11 PM

Originally posted by Tommy Karate

not that i can recall....it was the public dream week.
everyone turning pro this week and quitting their jobs. haha

Lol. I wish!

StackinGreen · 10-15-14, 05:40 PM

Gettin' worked so far. The number of bad beat unders I have had is crazy.

Doesn't this have to turn around?

---
10-17 straights
2-7 teasers
1-1 parlays
2-2-1 2H

-87.3 units

Tommy Karate · 10-15-14, 08:32 PM

Originally posted by Tommy Karate

Thur 10.16

(3u) Patriots -9.5 (N12)

(2u) Under Patriots/Jets 45/-120

Tommy Karate · 10-15-14, 08:33 PM

Originally posted by StackinGreen

Gettin' worked so far. The number of bad beat unders I have had is crazy.

Doesn't this have to turn around?

---
10-17 straights
2-7 teasers
1-1 parlays
2-2-1 2H

-87.3 units

you with me on the under tomorrow?

KRIT · 10-15-14, 08:53 PM

Originally posted by Tommy Karate

(2u) Under Patriots/Jets 45/-120

Under looks good tomorrow. It's suppose to downpour tomorrow in Foxborough. Forecast calls for heavy rain and t-storms. Gl with the play.

Tommy Karate · 10-15-14, 08:55 PM

Originally posted by KRIT

Under looks good tomorrow. It's suppose to downpour tomorrow in Foxborough. Forecast calls for heavy rain and t-storms. Gl with the play.

yup....this is going down to 42/43.

thetrinity · 10-16-14, 07:37 AM

Originally posted by ram1502

Books got absolutely destroyed this week in nfl. Colts, pats, pack, phi, sf all largely public sides in games that the books took a stand against and lost all 5. I cant remember a week like this in recent years...can you TK?

happened a few times late 2 years ago, public sides have cashed last 4 weeks, but not nearly to the degree of this week, oakland was the only real winner for the books

StackinGreen · 10-16-14, 08:46 AM

Originally posted by Tommy Karate

you with me on the under tomorrow?

I do like the Jets and the under, but I thought the Jets would look even better at home in a desperate situation against the Broncos. Now, I know they should have covered but it was a ditch digging effort (comeback). I guess what goes more in their favor this time is that it's a divisional team that recently has pounded people after sucking and that number is scary high. But hey, who can tell when favs stop rolling?

Originally posted by KRIT

Under looks good tomorrow. It's suppose to downpour tomorrow in Foxborough. Forecast calls for heavy rain and t-storms. Gl with the play.

I just checked a pretty reliable radar and it shows me rain at game time and then lasting at max 30-45 minutes (only 1st quarter). Then clear the rest of the night. Lots of rain prior to that but what kind of surface, do they still have natural grass or is it nexturf?

Originally posted by Tommy Karate

yup....this is going down to 42/43.

I'm showing 44.5. Still good?

firekillex · 10-16-14, 01:28 PM

Turf field

KRIT · 10-16-14, 02:55 PM

Yeah I just saw a shot of the field on NFL network, Gillette Stadium looks like it's about to flood lol. I'm hearing heaviest rain will be before the game, and then just normal rain throughout the game. Any Bostonians out there, how does it look?

I'm trying to decide if I should start Brady in fantasy tonight. Damn mother nature.

StackinGreen · 10-16-14, 05:00 PM

Originally posted by Tommy Karate

you with me on the under tomorrow?

Let's rock it it out

NY Jets/New England UNDER 44.5, 5 units

Mercy, let's cash one.

StackinGreen · 10-16-14, 05:05 PM

Originally posted by KRIT

Yeah I just saw a shot of the field on NFL network, Gillette Stadium looks like it's about to flood lol. I'm hearing heaviest rain will be before the game, and then just normal rain throughout the game. Any Bostonians out there, how does it look?

I'm trying to decide if I should start Brady in fantasy tonight. Damn mother nature.

It's getting crushed right now. By game time it'll go away, but then at halftime into 3rd quarter light rain will continue ... wonder what the realturf drainage system is like ...

as you see above, I'm going under

Tommy Karate · 10-16-14, 06:12 PM

Originally posted by KRIT

Yeah I just saw a shot of the field on NFL network, Gillette Stadium looks like it's about to flood lol. I'm hearing heaviest rain will be before the game, and then just normal rain throughout the game. Any Bostonians out there, how does it look?

I'm trying to decide if I should start Brady in fantasy tonight. Damn mother nature.

jets secondary sucks, but they may pound all night; alternatives?

KRIT · 10-16-14, 06:21 PM

Originally posted by Tommy Karate

jets secondary sucks, but they may pound all night; alternatives?

Romo. Think I'm just gonna roll with Romo.