Advanced System Strategies NFL/CFB

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  • ShivaBowl
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 03-09-10
    • 5133

    #596
    Originally posted by ShivaBowl
    No PlaySecond-half San Fran at New Orleans unless you want out of the over bet the under 25 2nd half
    If you played the under in the second half you hit it both ways.
    Over for the game and the under in the second-half.


    A great hedge that goes uncounted towards any record.
    Comment
    • HoulihansTX
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 02-12-09
      • 30566

      #597
      I live bet Giants @ -200, when they went up 7-0.

      nail biter.
      Comment
      • ShivaBowl
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 03-09-10
        • 5133

        #598
        A/I Plays Went
        3-1 yesterday +$220.00
        On the week, NFL 4-1 +$370.00
        One more play for (week 12) NFL

        Shiva Plays Went
        2-1 yesterday +$295.00



        Today’s A/I Play 1 Unit
        Not updated, may drop out.
        I am in at 41.
        Carolina Panthers v Philadelphia Eagles
        Game Total OVER 41 -110



        Today’s Shiva Play
        Carolina Panthers v Philadelphia Eagles
        Carolina Panthers -150
        150/100
        Comment
        • ShivaBowl
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 03-09-10
          • 5133

          #599
          Play is on tonight good luck
          Comment
          • Tommygunn
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 02-26-09
            • 669

            #600
            How come only 1 unit on the over not 1.5 Shiva?
            Comment
            • ShivaBowl
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 03-09-10
              • 5133

              #601
              I don't know whether it's right or wrong, but I'm trying to hold on to a good week,
              for AI As far as the NFL goes.
              take care buddy
              Comment
              • Tommygunn
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 02-26-09
                • 669

                #602
                Originally posted by ShivaBowl
                I don't know whether it's right or wrong, but I'm trying to hold on to a good week,
                for AI As far as the NFL goes.
                take care buddy
                I was just politely reminding you since you gave me shit yesterday haha
                Comment
                • ShivaBowl
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 03-09-10
                  • 5133

                  #603
                  TG please post a link to Houlihan's TX thread for me thanks buddy

                  Originally posted by HoulihansTX
                  NCAAB 11/26

                  ND/Chicago St Ov136
                  NBA 11/16
                  Pistons -1
                  Originally posted by ShivaBowl

                  Plus $250 on what was supposed to be a horrific night.
                  Let the real pros shine.
                  thanks again Houlihan's TX
                  Comment
                  • HoulihansTX
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 02-12-09
                    • 30566

                    #604
                    Over looks good. Just need Cam to score another, and Philly should follow.
                    Comment
                    • ShivaBowl
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 03-09-10
                      • 5133

                      #605
                      Originally posted by Tommygunn
                      I was just politely reminding you since you gave me shit yesterday haha
                      You're too much Tommy gunn. Look, so that there is no confusion in the future.
                      When wagering on AI with in the NFL. You're minimum wager, should be at least a $1000 okay?
                      there the secret is now out.
                      .
                      Comment
                      • ny92mike
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 11-26-12
                        • 230

                        #606
                        Hello,

                        New to the forum, found the site using goggle search as I'm working on a similar project of my own using NFL stats in correlation with wins to determine the better opponent. It doesn't account for injuries so for example: Quarterback for the Steelers is out so regardless what the final result is for the formula I use, it typically is ignored and I simply don't bet on that team. The formula I use isn't helpful until about the 4th week as it needs to collect statistical data. On average, its picking 72% of the time correctly. With the potential to do better if the formula incorporated variables such as injury.

                        I know that last weeks projections don't mean much posting them after the games have been played but I'm looking for feedback.
                        The score next the the team is the projected score and the number out to the far right is the match up score. The higher the number the better the match up in terms of statistics: pass offense > pass defense, etc.

                        November 22, 2012 / 12:30 Houston Texans 37 @ Detroit Lions 24__________________14
                        November 22, 2012 / 16:15 Washington Redskins @ Dallas Cowboys_________________7
                        November 22, 2012 / 20:20 New England Patriots 49 @ New York Jets 7______________15
                        November 25, 2012 / 13:00 Minnesota Vikings 20 @ Chicago Bears 23________________9
                        November 25, 2012 / 13:00 Oakland Raiders @ Cincinnati Bengals__________________13
                        November 25, 2012 / 13:00 Pittsburgh Steelers 26 @ Cleveland Browns 12___________12
                        November 25, 2012 / 13:00 Buffalo Bills 18 @ Indianapolis Colts 25_________________1
                        November 25, 2012 / 13:00 Tennessee Titans 14 @ Jacksonville Jaguars 13___________11
                        November 25, 2012 / 13:00 Denver Broncos 37 @ Kansas City Chiefs 18______________16
                        November 25, 2012 / 13:00 Seattle Seahawks @ Miami Dolphins___________________8
                        November 25, 2012 / 13:00 Atlanta Falcons @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers_______________4
                        November 25, 2012 / 16:05 Baltimore Ravens @ San Diego Chargers________________5
                        November 25, 2012 / 16:25 St. Louis Rams @ Arizona Cardinals____________________3
                        November 25, 2012 / 16:25 San Francisco 49ers @ New Orleans Saints_____________10
                        November 25, 2012 / 20:20 Green Bay Packers 24 @ New York Giants 41_____________2
                        November 26, 2012 / 20:30 Carolina Panthers 41 @ Philadelphia Eagles 23____________6


                        Previous week

                        November 15, 2012 / 20:20 Miami Dolphins @ Buffalo Bills-------------------------------2
                        November 18, 2012 / 13:00 Arizona Cardinals 18 @ Atlanta Falcons 25---------------13
                        November 18, 2012 / 13:00 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 19 @ Carolina Panthers 17-----11
                        November 18, 2012 / 13:00 Cleveland Browns @ Dallas Cowboys------------------------7
                        November 18, 2012 / 13:00 Green Bay Packers 24 @ Detroit Lions 17-------------------4
                        November 18, 2012 / 13:00 Jacksonville Jaguars 11 @ Houston Texans 30-----------14
                        November 18, 2012 / 13:00 Cincinnati Bengals 30 @ Kansas City Chiefs 18----------10
                        November 18, 2012 / 13:00 Indianapolis Colts 20 @ New England Patriots 30------12
                        November 18, 2012 / 13:00 New York Jets 17 @ St. Louis Rams 19------------------------3
                        November 18, 2012 / 13:00 Philadelphia Eagles 18 @ Washington Redskins 24-----9
                        November 18, 2012 / 16:05 New Orleans Saints @ Oakland Raiders--------------------6
                        November 18, 2012 / 16:25 San Diego Chargers 3 @ Denver Broncos 33---------------8
                        November 18, 2012 / 20:20 Baltimore Ravens @ Pittsburgh Steelers--------------------1
                        November 19, 2012 / 20:30 Chicago Bears @ San Francisco 49ers----------------------5


                        Thanks for reading
                        Mike
                        Comment
                        • ShivaBowl
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 03-09-10
                          • 5133

                          #607
                          A/I Plays Went 1-0 Yesterday +$100.00
                          Carolina Panthers v Philadelphia Eagles
                          Game Total OVER 41 -110 WIN


                          AI Record: CFB & NFL 2012
                          83-45-1
                          +$5,296.50

                          Shiva Plays Went 1-0 Yesterday +$100.00
                          Carolina Panthers -150 WIN

                          Shiva Play Record NFL & CFB 2012
                          Teaser Plays
                          9-11 -$35.00

                          Straight Plays
                          Including 2nd half and hedge plays.
                          12-6 +$1,605.50
                          Last edited by ShivaBowl; 11-27-12, 09:19 AM.
                          Comment
                          • CypherNautz
                            SBR Hustler
                            • 03-14-10
                            • 73

                            #608
                            Good call again yesterday Shiva!
                            Comment
                            • franklee168
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 03-06-11
                              • 5544

                              #609
                              Great picks yesterday Shiva.​ Thanks!
                              Comment
                              • ShivaBowl
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 03-09-10
                                • 5133

                                #610
                                Originally posted by CypherNautz
                                Good call again yesterday Shiva!
                                Originally posted by franklee168
                                Great picks yesterday Shiva.​ Thanks!
                                Thanks guys!
                                If I haven't already reminded you, I have two of the smartest guys on SBR

                                Working on our NBA thread. Please check it out http://forum.sbrforum.com/nba-basket...ba-cbb-p3.html
                                Thanks again, take care
                                Comment
                                • ny92mike
                                  SBR High Roller
                                  • 11-26-12
                                  • 230

                                  #611
                                  Not certain but from the looks of it, it seems most of you are betting on the over/under. As I mentioned in an earlier post, I’m working on a system using a correlation between stats and wins to project a winner for each week. Below is my results for this week. If any of you consider this formula when betting please remember that the formula does not take into account for injuries. Feedback is welcome and I’ll be happy to discuss how the correlation works should you be interested. Also, if I'm stepping on toes, please let me know as I'm new to the forum.

                                  Good luck this week.

                                  November 29, 2012 / 20:20 New Orleans Saints 20 @ Atlanta Falcons 23… 11 -3.5 NO +3.5
                                  December 2, 2012 / 13:00 Jacksonville Jaguars 23 @ Buffalo Bills 41… 12 -6 BUF-6
                                  December 2, 2012 / 13:00 Seattle Seahawks @ Chicago Bears… 10 -3.5
                                  December 2, 2012 / 13:00 Indianapolis Colts @ Detroit Lions… 4 -4.5
                                  December 2, 2012 / 13:00 Minnesota Vikings 22 @ Green Bay Packers 23… 6 -9 MIN+9
                                  December 2, 2012 / 13:00 Carolina Panthers 37 @ Kansas City Chiefs 9… 13 -3 CAR-3
                                  December 2, 2012 / 13:00 New England Patriots 40 @ Miami Dolphins 16… 16 -7.5 NE-7.5
                                  December 2, 2012 / 13:00 Arizona Cardinals 17 @ New York Jets 18… 1 -4.5 ARI-4.5
                                  December 2, 2012 / 13:00 San Francisco 49ers 33 @ St. Louis Rams 18… 14 -7 SF-7
                                  December 2, 2012 / 13:00 Houston Texans 30 @ Tennessee Titans 19… 15 -6 HOU-6
                                  December 2, 2012 / 16:05 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 28 @ Denver Broncos 30… 8 -7 TB+7
                                  December 2, 2012 / 16:25 Pittsburgh Steelers 11 @ Baltimore Ravens 27… 2 na
                                  December 2, 2012 / 16:25 Cleveland Browns 20 @ Oakland Raiders 20… 5 na
                                  December 2, 2012 / 16:25 Cincinnati Bengals 14 @ San Diego Chargers 3… 7 -2 CIN-2
                                  December 2, 2012 / 20:20 Philadelphia Eagles 11 @ Dallas Cowboys 23… 9 -10 DAL-10
                                  December 3, 2012 / 20:30 New York Giants 26 @ Washington Redskins 20… 3 -2.5
                                  Comment
                                  • franklee168
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 03-06-11
                                    • 5544

                                    #612
                                    Shiva, is this nymike someone you know?
                                    Comment
                                    • ny92mike
                                      SBR High Roller
                                      • 11-26-12
                                      • 230

                                      #613
                                      franklee168,

                                      No I don't know Shiva, I'm new to the forum. Perhaps I'm posting in the wrong section, just looking for some feedback is all.
                                      Comment
                                      • dandel
                                        SBR Rookie
                                        • 11-28-12
                                        • 2

                                        #614
                                        cost

                                        what does shiva charge? and how has been his record?
                                        thinking of not signing up with intpicks to go with shiva
                                        Comment
                                        • ShivaBowl
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 03-09-10
                                          • 5133

                                          #615
                                          [QUOTE=ny92mike;16935802]Not certain but from the looks of it, it seems most of you are betting on the over/under. [QUOTE]

                                          Hey Mike, I would start your own thread and put in a description of what exactly it is you are trying to do. That way we can all give you some feedback.
                                          thank you
                                          Comment
                                          • dandel
                                            SBR Rookie
                                            • 11-28-12
                                            • 2

                                            #616
                                            Hi, what do you charge for your predictions?

                                            [QUOTE=ShivaBowl;16937706]
                                            Originally posted by ny92mike
                                            Not certain but from the looks of it, it seems most of you are betting on the over/under. [QUOTE]

                                            Hey Mike, I would start your own thread and put in a description of what exactly it is you are trying to do. That way we can all give you some feedback.
                                            thank you
                                            Comment
                                            • ShivaBowl
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 03-09-10
                                              • 5133

                                              #617
                                              Originally posted by dandel
                                              what does shiva charge? and how has been his record?
                                              thinking of not signing up with intpicks to go with shiva
                                              All the information posted in this form is free for all to use good luck
                                              Comment
                                              • ny92mike
                                                SBR High Roller
                                                • 11-26-12
                                                • 230

                                                #618
                                                Thanks.
                                                Comment
                                                • ShivaBowl
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 03-09-10
                                                  • 5133

                                                  #619
                                                  Originally posted by ny92mike
                                                  Thanks.
                                                  Hey New York mike, things are starting to wind down now, is the last weekend for college football basically with a few games left.
                                                  If you don't start a thread send me a PM with a description of what you are doing. How are you coming up with all these numbers next to all the teams that you posted, send it off to me and I will take a look at it. I'm always interested in anything new I just can't get in to something new in this thread.
                                                  thanks
                                                  Comment
                                                  • ny92mike
                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                    • 11-26-12
                                                    • 230

                                                    #620
                                                    I did however create a new thread titled "Correlation for the win" if anyone is interested. Feedback or questions are welcomed.

                                                    Thanks
                                                    Comment
                                                    • ShivaBowl
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 03-09-10
                                                      • 5133

                                                      #621
                                                      No Plays Today
                                                      Comment
                                                      • ShivaBowl
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 03-09-10
                                                        • 5133

                                                        #622
                                                        Originally posted by franklee168
                                                        Shiva, is this nymike someone you know?

                                                        Thanks bol
                                                        Last edited by ShivaBowl; 11-29-12, 09:49 AM.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • HoulihansTX
                                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                          • 02-12-09
                                                          • 30566

                                                          #623
                                                          Does the systems go into Bowl Season?
                                                          Comment
                                                          • ShivaBowl
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 03-09-10
                                                            • 5133

                                                            #624
                                                            Shiva Plays (Week 14) CFB
                                                            Teddy Bridgewater is expected to play with a broken left wrist (non throwing)
                                                            and sprained right ankle.


                                                            QB Gary Nova, I don’t trust this kid at all.
                                                            Especially, when playing in big games.

                                                            Louisville v Rutgers
                                                            Louisville +3.5 -125

                                                            125/100
                                                            Comment
                                                            • ShivaBowl
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 03-09-10
                                                              • 5133

                                                              #625
                                                              Originally posted by HoulihansTX
                                                              Does the systems go into Bowl Season?
                                                              Yes it does HoulihansTX and I had a new filter last year for the bowl games, that did pretty well.
                                                              I will go back and look it up and give you the results.
                                                              Good luck today
                                                              Comment
                                                              • ShivaBowl
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 03-09-10
                                                                • 5133

                                                                #626
                                                                ST- College Football Artificial Intelligence CFB
                                                                Team Projected Points for 12/01/2012 (Week 14)
                                                                Never lay a 1/2-point, buy it down.
                                                                Based on early lines.
                                                                1.5 Unit

                                                                A/I Over The Total Plays (Week 14) CFB
                                                                NCAAF: Nov 30 8:00 PM ET UCLA @ Stanford 43 -120
                                                                Comment
                                                                • ShivaBowl
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 03-09-10
                                                                  • 5133

                                                                  #627
                                                                  The total this game was trending lower for the past two or three days so I held a play for a few hours today don't you know it went back to 44 1/2 crazy line do your best.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • ShivaBowl
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 03-09-10
                                                                    • 5133

                                                                    #628
                                                                    I'm one of a few on SBR that is still alive, as far as a bank roll goes. SWTS
                                                                    I'm going to do something that's out of character. I have four big underdogs this week in CFB
                                                                    and I'm going to give them all a shot. So stay tuned, It could end up being a nice weekend.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Tommygunn
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 02-26-09
                                                                      • 669

                                                                      #629
                                                                      NFL Week 14 (29/11/12)

                                                                      **FL&A**


                                                                      ATL

                                                                      **AI**

                                                                      ATL
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • CypherNautz
                                                                        SBR Hustler
                                                                        • 03-14-10
                                                                        • 73

                                                                        #630
                                                                        Shiva, you are on fire!!
                                                                        Comment
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