NCAA Basketball with John Ryan

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  • John Ryan
    SBR MVP
    • 11-20-10
    • 2428

    #561
    5* graded play on Columbia as they host Brown in IVY League action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Columbia will win this game by 10 or more points. Columbia has a huge edge in rebounding and this will be a dominant reason this game may turn into a 15+ Columbia win. The sim shows a high probability that Brown will have a minimum of four fewer rebounds than Columbia. In past games Brown is just 3-12 ATS when they have had four to nine fewer rebounds than the opponent since spanning the past three seasons. The sim shows a high probability that Brown will not score more than 60 points in this game and is past games Brown is just 1-8 ATS when the fail to score more than 60 points. Take Columbia.
    Comment
    • repski
      SBR MVP
      • 02-01-09
      • 1929

      #562
      nice play!
      Comment
      • John Ryan
        SBR MVP
        • 11-20-10
        • 2428

        #563
        Originally posted by repski
        nice play!
        thanks.. we are heading in the right direction..
        Comment
        • John Ryan
          SBR MVP
          • 11-20-10
          • 2428

          #564
          58-63 ATS for 5* plays , 8-2-1 ATS for 10* plays , and 2-1 ATS for 20* plays.

          10* Idaho State + 1 -110 at Northern Arizona 8:35 PM ET
          10* Davidson - 5 1/2 at College of Charleston 3:00 PM ET
          5* Buffalo - 9 1/2 hosting Western Michigan 6:00 PM ET

          I will be back around 4:00 with some detail and a look at tonight's potential plays.
          Comment
          • Wolfpacker
            SBR Rookie
            • 12-04-10
            • 8

            #565
            davidson is on the road. does that change your play John?
            Comment
            • John Ryan
              SBR MVP
              • 11-20-10
              • 2428

              #566
              Originally posted by Wolfpacker
              davidson is on the road. does that change your play John?
              NO,, just a typo; I always list the team being played first
              Comment
              • DontGetGot818
                SBR Rookie
                • 02-11-12
                • 9

                #567
                damn

                I Got got with davidson
                Comment
                • johno35
                  SBR MVP
                  • 10-19-11
                  • 1123

                  #568
                  I really hope Idaho gets up, Buffalo not looking good
                  Comment
                  • sweethook
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 11-21-07
                    • 12667

                    #569
                    gl man
                    Comment
                    • dayrichland
                      SBR Rookie
                      • 02-11-12
                      • 42

                      #570
                      total record

                      Before I start betting, I was wondering if you had any idea what your record for 10* and 20* plays have been over the last year or so in all sports combined.
                      Comment
                      • John Ryan
                        SBR MVP
                        • 11-20-10
                        • 2428

                        #571
                        5* graded play on V-tech as they take on Boston College in an ACC matchup set to start at 6:00 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that V-Tech will win this game by 14 or more points. I fully expect that BC will struggle eon offense and will not score more than 60 points. In past games, V-Tech is a solid 19-7 ATS in home games when they allow 55 to 60 points in a game since 1997. V=Tech is a solid 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in home games after 3 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers since 1997. This also reflects that they will turn up the defensive heat against a struggling BC offense that ranks 320th in the nation scoring just 59.5 points per game. Moreover, they rank a horrid 287th in the nation posting a 0.775 assist/turnover ratio. This ratio when below 1.000 reflects a team that commits more turnovers than record assists and is obviously not a favorable stat for any team. BC is a sol a terrible rebounding team ranking 319th averaging just 30.3 rebounds per game. V-Tech will dominate on both glasses and will get far more second chance scoring opportunities that the Eagles. Take the Hokies to the Bank.
                        Comment
                        • John Ryan
                          SBR MVP
                          • 11-20-10
                          • 2428

                          #572
                          Season record now entering Sunday action:

                          58-64 ATS for 5* plays , 9-3-1 ATS for 10* plays , and 2-1 ATS for 20* plays.
                          Comment
                          • Beez1973
                            SBR Rookie
                            • 11-16-09
                            • 35

                            #573
                            Over the season BC has been a poor team but check out there last three games.....3-0 ATS with a straight up win at Florida State, this is a young team that is playing good ball of late... take the 14 points here

                            BC gets it done !!!

                            BC+14
                            Comment
                            • LUNT101
                              Restricted User
                              • 03-12-07
                              • 919

                              #574
                              John, your supporting system today for Syracuse -3 states the following:

                              Play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 that are average three-point shooting teams making between 32 to 36.5% of those shot attempts and now facing an average three point shooting defense allowing 32 to 36.5% shooting after 15 or more regular season games and after a game where a team made 55% of their shots or better.

                              Syracuse is the road team here... what gives?
                              Comment
                              • Sacdaddy05
                                SBR High Roller
                                • 12-06-11
                                • 189

                                #575
                                Lunt 101. Whats your lean on this game? I haven't seen John post but I'm lean UL + points
                                Comment
                                • 5mike5
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 09-21-11
                                  • 52010

                                  #576
                                  Originally posted by Sacdaddy05
                                  Lunt 101. Whats your lean on this game? I haven't seen John post but I'm lean UL + points
                                  john picked syracuse-3, his write-up is on the cbb page
                                  Comment
                                  • John Ryan
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 11-20-10
                                    • 2428

                                    #577
                                    Originally posted by LUNT101
                                    John, your supporting system today for Syracuse -3 states the following:

                                    Play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 that are average three-point shooting teams making between 32 to 36.5% of those shot attempts and now facing an average three point shooting defense allowing 32 to 36.5% shooting after 15 or more regular season games and after a game where a team made 55% of their shots or better.

                                    Syracuse is the road team here... what gives?
                                    good catch it is a typo.. sorry about that.. the play is Syracuse! and the research only supports the grading of the play.
                                    Comment
                                    • John Ryan
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 11-20-10
                                      • 2428

                                      #578
                                      5* Syracuse -2 1/2 -110 playing at Louisville.

                                      58-65 ATS for 5* plays , 9-3-1 ATS for 10* plays , and 2-1 ATS for 20* plays.

                                      This also marks the beginning of the Challenge I received from good old friend LT Profits. This will be a serious, yet, good-hearted contest making between 100 to 150 plays over the next 30 days. I hope we both do very well in this contest as that will make it a win-win situation you and us. Check it out when you can.
                                      Comment
                                      • jjaycuny
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 07-01-11
                                        • 1617

                                        #579
                                        Originally posted by John Ryan
                                        5* Syracuse -2 1/2 -110 playing at Louisville. 58-65 ATS for 5* plays , 9-3-1 ATS for 10* plays , and 2-1 ATS for 20* plays. This also marks the beginning of the Challenge I received from good old friend LT Profits. This will be a serious, yet, good-hearted contest making between 100 to 150 plays over the next 30 days. I hope we both do very well in this contest as that will make it a win-win situation you and us. Check it out when you can.
                                        Thanks John, looking forward to it
                                        Comment
                                        • Kurtz
                                          SBR High Roller
                                          • 02-04-12
                                          • 182

                                          #580
                                          Good luck in your contest!
                                          Comment
                                          • John Ryan
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 11-20-10
                                            • 2428

                                            #581
                                            Originally posted by Kurtz
                                            Good luck in your contest!
                                            Thanks to all wishing me good Luck! Heard that my fello patriot LT is loading up the barrel here on Day 2 with 13 selections... certainly worth checking into for possible plays.
                                            Comment
                                            • John Ryan
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 11-20-10
                                              • 2428

                                              #582
                                              5* play UC-Davis + 6 1/2 playing Pacific
                                              5* play James Madison +5 -110 playing Georgia State
                                              10* play Northeastern - 13 1/2 playing Towson.

                                              research is on the front page of the College section and/or the front page of the SBR Forum site. Thanks and BOL
                                              Comment
                                              • Kurtz
                                                SBR High Roller
                                                • 02-04-12
                                                • 182

                                                #583
                                                Cash the first 2!
                                                Comment
                                                • chief42
                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                  • 01-06-10
                                                  • 315

                                                  #584
                                                  i know it's still early but i'm breaking out the
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Kurtz
                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                    • 02-04-12
                                                    • 182

                                                    #585
                                                    Thanks!
                                                    Comment
                                                    • John Ryan
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 11-20-10
                                                      • 2428

                                                      #586
                                                      60-66 ATS for 5* plays , 10-3-1 ATS for 10* plays , and 2-1 ATS for 20* plays.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • cant call it
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 08-29-10
                                                        • 8817

                                                        #587
                                                        Is okie state getting 16 points tonight a trap?
                                                        Comment
                                                        • John Ryan
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 11-20-10
                                                          • 2428

                                                          #588
                                                          So far I have 5* on DePaul Research on the side
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Beez1973
                                                            SBR Rookie
                                                            • 11-16-09
                                                            • 35

                                                            #589
                                                            Really Like your Depaul play tonight !!!! The demons can run with Uconn..too many points here

                                                            Depaul +13.5
                                                            Comment
                                                            • nqteee
                                                              SBR Rookie
                                                              • 02-13-12
                                                              • 19

                                                              #590
                                                              John, what's your opinion on Detroit +2.5 against Wright St. tonight?
                                                              Comment
                                                              • John Ryan
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 11-20-10
                                                                • 2428

                                                                #591
                                                                Originally posted by nqteee
                                                                John, what's your opinion on Detroit +2.5 against Wright St. tonight?
                                                                no opinion.. I do like DePaul... and I would make it a bit more than the 5* amount. maybe even a 7* quantity or add a tad on the money line.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • John Ryan
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 11-20-10
                                                                  • 2428

                                                                  #592
                                                                  Originally posted by cant call it
                                                                  Is okie state getting 16 points tonight a trap?
                                                                  I don'tt hink it is..
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • John Ryan
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 11-20-10
                                                                    • 2428

                                                                    #593
                                                                    5* DePaul +13 1/2 -110 playing UCONN.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • nqteee
                                                                      SBR Rookie
                                                                      • 02-13-12
                                                                      • 19

                                                                      #594
                                                                      Originally posted by John Ryan
                                                                      no opinion.. I do like DePaul... and I would make it a bit more than the 5* amount. maybe even a 7* quantity or add a tad on the money line.
                                                                      yeah staying away now. i like your depaul bet but also looking for one more. -6 for UNC looks great. last time they played Miami, UNC won by 17 (at home). Why do you think the number is far less this time?
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • John Ryan
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 11-20-10
                                                                        • 2428

                                                                        #595
                                                                        5* California
                                                                        5* Maryland..

                                                                        check on the challenge thread to from LT Profits. he is off to a slow start, but mark my words, I don't like seeing him in a my rear view mirror. he is a good handicapper and he will make a winning run. i hope I can hang on till the end.
                                                                        Comment
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