Lkid1's Plays

[harthebar]

Race 11
Crumb bun
Trainer has a good% at this distance good longshot play
Lost to up in smoke last made a good solid move .before the half. Feel like it was to soon

[harthebar]

Good luck all. .kona making a pick 4 or 5 ticket. Pick some good one s

[veriableodds]

cant go wrong with a horse called crumb bun

[harthebar]

Bet type: Pick 4
Bet Amount $0.50
Bet Total: $24.00
Selection(s)
L1236
L22468
L34589
L42

[Louisvillekid1]

Man I’m just not enjoying gulfstream

been working on the Thursday gulf card

turning 35 , figured maybe some good luck

but really just waiting for Other tracks to open

[Louisvillekid1]

I cant believe we let the late pic 5 get away. Dicking around and so logical esp with the 2 Bafferts

$0.50 Pick-5 (3,11,14/1,6,7/12/2,5,8/9) Paid $964.55 (5OF5)

Yeah it was terrible

couldn’t figure last leg

[Wabashwonders]

Man I’m just not enjoying gulfstream

been working on the Thursday gulf card

turning 35 , figured maybe some good luck

but really just waiting for Other tracks to open

Happy Bday Kid(I’ll forget by Thursday). Looking at GP on Thursday also. A few that interest me at first glance...

Race 1...#4 Shell Beach Party 10/1, gets back on turf. #7 Businessindubai 8/1, cuts back from route races. #15 Dotdotdash 10/1, returns after that dreadful trip from post 1 two weeks ago but needs to draw I off AE.

Race 2...#5 Lyrical 6/1, shows steady works since mid February could be enough to upset Ward duo in here.

Race 4...#4 Formula 5/1, was shut off at the break in first start against much tougher and fell 16 lengths back at first call. Was only beaten 6 lengths and now gets Rosario for second start for good second out trainer. #7 El Scorcho 12/1, broke slow and raced 4 wide against much tougher finishing 9th, but was only a length from 3rd place. 2nd time blinkers.

Race 11...#12 Metcalf 5/1, ran second first try on the turf last time out finishing ahead of Venezuela Hug, who came back to win a state bred MSW by over 5 lengths in next start.

[Louisvillekid1]

Thanks for sharing , I’ll compare

[mrginandtonic]

Happy Bday Kid(I’ll forget by Thursday). Looking at GP on Thursday also. A few that interest me at first glance...

Race 1...#4 Shell Beach Party 10/1, gets back on turf. #7 Businessindubai 8/1, cuts back from route races. #15 Dotdotdash 10/1, returns after that dreadful trip from post 1 two weeks ago but needs to draw I off AE.

Race 2...#5 Lyrical 6/1, shows steady works since mid February could be enough to upset Ward duo in here.

Race 4...#4 Formula 5/1, was shut off at the break in first start against much tougher and fell 16 lengths back at first call. Was only beaten 6 lengths and now gets Rosario for second start for good second out trainer. #7 El Scorcho 12/1, broke slow and raced 4 wide against much tougher finishing 9th, but was only a length from 3rd place. 2nd time blinkers.

Race 11...#12 Metcalf 5/1, ran second first try on the turf last time out finishing ahead of Venezuela Hug, who came back to win a state bred MSW by over 5 lengths in next start.

Only looked at Race11, in addition to your 12, I also like the 9- Koko Star (ML 6-1). He seems like a reasonable pick. Second off short layoff, His last race wasn’t bad considering he was wide such a wide trip throughout. Trained by Maker, confidence boost. He is by Kitten’s Joy so we know he can turf. Lots to like. The long shot that I like is the 2- Two by Two (ML 10-1), he is by New Year’s Day. He is switching surface n I really like New Year’s Day as a turf sire. Trainer is doing well thus meet. GL

[Louisvillekid1]

thanks for sharing


I’ll have my thoughts up tomorrow , hoping to put together some tickets

just can’t force it in is this game,

go broke quick

[Louisvillekid1]

So it’s looking like travers moved up a month or so

The jockey club at Belmont is gonna interesting

lots going to these others opening sooner

I typically don’t do that well at my home track

But excited for these to open

im just thinking about these New York barns that haven’t run at all

like Linda rice’s Huge stable hasn’t ran a race in how long? And not shipping at all

among others

[Jellymancan]

Only looked at Race11, in addition to your 12, I also like the 9- Koko Star (ML 6-1). He seems like a reasonable pick. Second off short layoff, His last race wasn’t bad considering he was wide such a wide trip throughout. Trained by Maker, confidence boost. He is by Kitten’s Joy so we know he can turf. Lots to like. The long shot that I like is the 2- Two by Two (ML 10-1), he is by New Year’s Day. He is switching surface n I really like New Year’s Day as a turf sire. Trainer is doing well thus meet. GL

Agree with the #2 in that race 11. Seems to be a wide open race, like the turf pedigree and how he finished last time. Second time gelding, Landeros just won this past weekend with Wilkes. A price horse will win this one.

[Louisvillekid1]

https://www.horseracingnation.com/news/Total_wagering_on_U_S_races_down_6_9_through_April_123

not too shabby for a handful of tracks

[Louisvillekid1]

https://www.horseracingnation.com/news/Baffert_3_65_million_colt_Cezanne_30_days_away_from_debut_123

How many things have to go right for a 3.65 million purchase

[JBEX]

https://www.horseracingnation.com/ne...ough_April_123

not too shabby for a handful of tracks

huge increase $$ per race

[Louisvillekid1]

No doubt,

Side note: I just ordered a bunch of new camping / fishing gear

might get away doing that for a little

fukkin bored

Bring a few of my local OTB bartenders / waitresses / tellers

with me and get some human contact

[KnuckleHeadz]

No doubt,

Side note: I just ordered a bunch of new camping / fishing gear

might get away doing that for a little

fukkin bored

Bring a few of my local OTB bartenders / waitresses / tellers

with me and get some human contact

Wouldn’t you potentially bring all that back you your family? You criticized others for this same selfish act.. is it that time now?

[Louisvillekid1]

Wouldn’t you potentially bring all that back you your family? You criticized others for this same selfish act.. is it that time now?

Bring back what? The woods? The clap?



Not your best work

[Bcatswin]

Lk i'll be here with you on Thursday to celebrate with ya And to get some winners. We gonna have a drink?

[Louisvillekid1]

Hell yeah

whiskey And a pick 5 or two

[KnuckleHeadz]

Bring back what? The woods? The clap?



Not your best work

The Covid you crying Lil Hoe. You didn’t want to bring it back to grandpa and family and this shits just getting started

[Louisvillekid1]

Crying lil hoe?

sbr used to pay their troll handles better

this is weak material

isolating, camping , with hoes

is prob the safest bet

plus WiFi hot spot for horse racing

[KnuckleHeadz]

That’s how dumb a wigger like you is.. you just Combined Isolation and Hoes and said that it’s safe

[Louisvillekid1]

That’s how dumb a wigger like you is.. you just Combined Isolation and Hoes and said that it’s safe

Dude, all I said was I got some new outdoor gear

to treat my self for my 35th

fishing would be a nice a safe getaway

and step back from the racing form for a minute

fall back

[KnuckleHeadz]

Keep backpedaling now like most those little punks do when caught... will your homie be pulling another scam and try and get you commissary again?

[Bcatswin]

This is hilarious.

Lk meet you on the bank we shall toss a few lines in.

[KnuckleHeadz]

She’s not ready for that, at least here online. This little teddy bear was talking shit on others wanting to leave the house during this so called pandemic and now all the sudden it’s all good to leave.. she forgets what shit comes out that drunk mouth

[Louisvillekid1]

Gulf Thursday


Race 1


#6 Myfirstexwife (5/2) , Will be the post time favorite and looks like a single. Washer mentioned good reasoning on 3 others, (#4 Shell Beach Party , #7 Businessindubai, #15 Dotdotdash AE) but they might be riding for minor awards here. The only Knock could be that this 3 year old filly went to the bench for 2 months and cuts the tag in half. But Irad doesn’t get on dead horses. Another to consider underneath at a big number is the #10 Wonder Charm (20/1) , will most likely be higher. Debuted after a good work in an off the turf race and cuts the tag in half. Tyler and Clement always dangerous and they take the biggest drop in the game here with the #2 No No Nina, but I can’t get behind here.


Race 2


These 2 year old races, are impossible without being in the know. Check the tote, but looking at potential Multi Race play, you won’t’ have that privilege. Wesley Ward’s have been burning up money early in these running a lot of seconds at odds on. But You almost have to include. Especially #4 Gem Thief (9/5), but the #2 Tharos (5/2) , was a big price. Im a sucker for these Khozan’s as I’ve done quite well with these babies , so ill include the #3 Princess Secret (8/1). #7 Briella and #5 Lyrical have some positives entering this, but its all a guessing game.


Race 3


#2 Varsovia (4/1) , Had a rough trip off the layoff while trying winners for the first time, gets pilot upgrade in this spot. #5 Stormy Boss (3/1) , Cuts back in distance and just missing at this level here, 2 back. #3 Chic and Sexy (6/1) , Just put up the highest number in this group last out, but I’m not sure where that came from. #1 Take Charge Again (2/1) , Was really picking them up late after a bad start in the last. but 2/1? #7 Cherorama (8/1) , I like when Vasquez rides for Terry Pompay , 2nd off the layoff and draws in well, while adding the blinkers.


Race 4


#4 Formula (5/1) , as Washer said, made up lots of ground , after terrible onset on debut. They cut the tag down from 50 to 16. Do we get the Oaklawn version of Joel as he comes to back to Florida for 2 weeks before going to Louisville, or do we get the (76 -11-11-11) version he was doing when last here. #5 Garner State Park (4/1) , Is hard to ignore completely, but looking elsewhere. #7 El Scorcho (12/1) , what Wabashwonders said. This is a tough path to follow here on Mr. Wilkes mindset with the #2 Sequaya (15/1) , debuted at 11/1 and put up a decent number running second in a strung out 6 horse field at Churchill. Now remember this horse went for 55k on a 2k sire fee, goes to bench for 6 months and they move the filly up in class and does absolutely nothing. Now they plummet the horse while switching to grass, but keep in mind they did work this horse on the turf before. Zayas comes back after losing by 52 , tells me nothing is wrong with the horse. There is plenty more I can write on in here, but Already wasn’t feeling this sequence and now this race, makes me pass for sure.


Race 5


Another race where anyone in this field can win. Doesn’t look like any action, at least early for this card.


Race 6


Unless the Firster shows some early kick with Jaramillo , this looks like an easy wire job from the rail for #1 Celtic Brotherhood (9/5), Almost wired the field on debut from the rail, and is perfectly spotted here to graduate. I think its curious Juan Alvarad , moves #8 Ominous (20/1), wayup after a so-so debut at less than 5/1 for only 12.5k, They add the blinkers and the works that lead up debut were extremely strong. If it turns out to be a speed duel, with either the 3,6, or 8. Than Tyler might get the setup on #5 Victory Town (2/1). But for me Its the 1 wire to wire under Luis, to kick off the Rainbow six.


Race 7


#5 Heir Ball (5/2) , Should get the perfect setup here, but the speed numbers are below some others in here. #1 Midnight Miracle (8/1) , Moves up a level, and tries the turf for the first time, so who really knows. #6 Fiber Optic (7/2) , First off the claim for the Maker barn and ran behind top choice in the last.


Race 8


Barboza has 2 in here w/ the #4 Shall Return (8/1) and #8 Worth Avenue (5/2) , and his numbers are ridiculous. Wesley Ward drops the #5 Four Ks (7/2) , down to the lowest level coming off the layoff. #1 Gilda F. (8/1) , Just missed at a big number, while trying this level, last out.


Race 9


Finally a play I like, Jane Cibelli rested #4 Champagne Horizon (6/1) , after getting loose in the post parade before last asking. Could get the perfect off the freshening and should be tuned up for this comebacker. Should get great value here, Considering Irad and saez are riding other contenders, Pletcher has the favorite, Bravo on horse that won 4 in a row and 5 outta 6 vs weaker. Tyler rides for Maker. The scary one looms on the outside in the #10 Mikes Girl (9/2) , ran behind our betting choice last out , but that was off a 4 month layoff, now gets a freshening for this.


I’ll take WP on the #4 Champagne Horizon


Race 10


Another one I like, #2 Bion Magic (12/1), Is fairly hidden here. Before going to the bench , dueled in a race vs much tougher in which Tontalist’s Shape won. Held for the trifecta , losing only by 3. Didn’t do anything in the comeback, but I like that the horse is still protected here. This barn has good numbers 2nd off the layoff. This price would be a steal. Will need to be the speed of the speed here. Irad is going to great a perfect trip setup if my top choice ends up dueling on the lean, he will ride the #5 Flora Fantasy (6/5) to a strong contending chance. Always skeptical claiming from the Saffie Joseph barn.


So I’ll will be looking to bet this race as well. Something like WP #2 Bion Magic (12/1) , Along with a trifecta. 2,5 w/ 2,5 w/ 3,4,7


Race 11


Horses to close out Tickets


#2 Two by Two (10/1)
#5 Fake Muse (8/1)
#9 Koko Star (6/1)
#12 Metcalf (5/1)
#13 Call Curt (6/1) AE


Not sure If I’ll play Pick 4,5,6


Tickets could look like this


1
5
1,4,5,8
2,4,10
2,5
2,5,9,12,13

[Louisvillekid1]

So what would you prefer

the pick 6 tomorrow will be like 2 mil , but it’s obv a jackpot and my plays will not present a unique ticket

barring scratches the pick 6 cost cost $24

if I get the first 2 chalk singles


how much impact will they really have on a $.20 base bet

if I don’t I’d play back play the pick 4 for $80 (which I like much more)

do you try to get the pick 6 first , will the chalks pay that much more than the pick 4?

or save the $24 and just play the $80?

im guessing with scratches the pick 4 gonna be more like $60 tho

just curious to your guys thoughts




adding the 3 horse chalk in race 9 ( for these purposes)


the two horses I like that I’ll be playing individually , is the main reason for the ticket , trying to hit atleast one on top

[Louisvillekid1]

There are other options in the last leg

makers firster , who Tyler rides , Rajiv horse bred for lawn , nik juarez is listed as his only mount


if I loved the the singles I’d , add these 3 and just play pick 6

but had to cut ties in finally

Is Hector berrios really coming back to get one mount in finale

if so it’s a must include

[Louisvillekid1]

This is hilarious.

Lk meet you on the bank we shall toss a few lines in.

Fukkin sbr sensitivity training

I always shared my vulnerabilities

dude I remember the first time I fished on Ohio River

from the rocks, with crazy crashing waves

atleast how I remember it

but Landing the fish was crazy difficult

had to step down rock by Rock , I’m talking from the Indiana side

uncles just be like go land it, drunk as hell

I fukkin miss fishing that river

[JBEX]

So what would you prefer

the pick 6 tomorrow will be like 2 mil , but it’s obv a jackpot and my plays will not present a unique ticket

barring scratches the pick 6 cost cost $24

if I get the first 2 chalk singles


how much impact will they really have on a $.20 base bet

if I don’t I’d play back play the pick 4 for $80 (which I like much more)

do you try to get the pick 6 first , will the chalks pay that much more than the pick 4?

or save the $24 and just play the $80?

im guessing with scratches the pick 4 gonna be more like $60 tho

just curious to your guys thoughts




adding the 3 horse chalk in race 9 ( for these purposes)


the two horses I like that I’ll be playing individually , is the main reason for the ticket , trying to hit atleast one on top

take a stab at this..

play the pick 6 covering all your pick 4 combos =$32

if you hit the 1st 2 either sit tight or

chop up the pick 4 keying horses

5/4/4/2 =160(.50)
4/3/3/2 =72 main
4/1/1/2 =8
1/3/1/2 =6
1/1/3/2 =6

92(.50) =$46+$32 =$78

now you've got all your p4 combos covered in p6.. if you're alive you can sit tight and if not do the key horse strategy above for the p4

gives you a little taste of each for $2 less.. I do agree with you though that singling 2 chalks along with a .20 base bet is going to water down that carryover payoff.. not sure it's worth the trouble

[bballs84]

Happy Birthday Kid.. Get $$

[JBEX]

take a stab at this..

play the pick 6 covering all your pick 4 combos =$32

if you hit the 1st 2 either sit tight or

chop up the pick 4 keying horses

5/4/4/2 =160(.50)
4/3/3/2 =72 main
4/1/1/2 =8
1/3/1/2 =6
1/1/3/2 =6

92(.50) =$46+$32 =$78

now you've got all your p4 combos covered in p6.. if you're alive you can sit tight and if not do the key horse strategy above for the p4

gives you a little taste of each for $2 less.. I do agree with you though that singling 2 chalks along with a .20 base bet is going to water down that carryover payoff.. not sure it's worth the trouble

if you miss you can play the above key ticket.. so max risk $78

[Louisvillekid1]

Gulf r8
$0.50 Pick 4
1,4,5,8
2,3,4,10
2,5
2,5,9,12 ($64)


Gulf r9
$20 WP #4 ($40)
$2 DD 2,4,10 w/ 2,5 ($12)


Gulf r10
$10 WP #2 ($20)
$3 Tri 2,5 w/ 2,5 w/ 3,4 ($12)


$148 total investment