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John Morrison 2012-13 NBA Thread -
Sportsbook Review Forum
Memphis ML odds are very short tonight, guys. However, this season they are 61.5% successful on the ML and 60% successful ATS. Their opponents are 35% succesful on the ML and 43% succesful ATS but they haven't won ATS for 5 games, so they are kinda due a win ATS.
I'm usually reluctant to bet ATS on big favs, cos I think (what do I know?) they ease down at the end of the 4th once they know they will win the game and the opponents can squeeze into the large spread, so IMHO tonight is either a ML bet or a no bet.
This is only the A Bet, so there is no pressure whatsoever to play Memphis tonight.
I'm passing on Memphis and I've already passed on Minnesota. I'm not going to miss the 2 units.
Good luck everyone
Kev the Cautious
Comment
hagball52
SBR MVP
09-22-10
3053
#2312
I smell a teaser on mem and hou. gl all
Comment
brewersMKE
SBR High Roller
10-09-12
105
#2313
Originally posted by Kev the Brit
Memphis ML odds are very short tonight, guys. However, this season they are 61.5% successful on the ML and 60% successful ATS. Their opponents are 35% succesful on the ML and 43% succesful ATS but they haven't won ATS for 5 games, so they are kinda due a win ATS.
I'm usually reluctant to bet ATS on big favs, cos I think (what do I know?) they ease down at the end of the 4th once they know they will win the game and the opponents can squeeze into the large spread, so IMHO tonight is either a ML bet or a no bet.
This is only the A Bet, so there is no pressure whatsoever to play Memphis tonight.
I'm passing on Memphis and I've already passed on Minnesota. I'm not going to miss the 2 units.
Good luck everyone
Kev the Cautious
I totally agree
Comment
overcome
SBR Hustler
12-19-12
83
#2314
probably going to pass on houston tonight.. dont know how houston is going to beat pacers at home.. esp when harden cant shoot and lin is passive
Comment
hazeee
SBR Hustler
03-18-11
91
#2315
Originally posted by hagball52
I smell a teaser on mem and hou. gl all
along with GSW and DEN!
Comment
hagball52
SBR MVP
09-22-10
3053
#2316
Originally posted by hazeee
along with GSW and DEN!
I took HOU, MEM and GSW on an 8 pt. teaser at -130 odds.
Comment
MARCUS
SBR Sharp
06-19-09
358
#2317
Originally posted by Kev the Brit
Memphis ML odds are very short tonight, guys. However, this season they are 61.5% successful on the ML and 60% successful ATS. Their opponents are 35% succesful on the ML and 43% succesful ATS but they haven't won ATS for 5 games, so they are kinda due a win ATS.
I'm usually reluctant to bet ATS on big favs, cos I think (what do I know?) they ease down at the end of the 4th once they know they will win the game and the opponents can squeeze into the large spread, so IMHO tonight is either a ML bet or a no bet.
This is only the A Bet, so there is no pressure whatsoever to play Memphis tonight.
I'm passing on Memphis and I've already passed on Minnesota. I'm not going to miss the 2 units.
Good luck everyone
Kev the Cautious
..i would always prefer 2 b on the outside,wishing i could get in,vrs. being on the inside knowing i can't get out..however i like memphis who own the kings 8-2 L/10..5-0 at home winning avg. is 18.8 points..i look 4 a big bounce back having been blown out 3 straight..bol all.
Comment
Andy Vix
SBR Hustler
11-19-10
67
#2318
Looking forward to jumping into the 7/5
Comment
J.M. Disciple
SBR Hall of Famer
11-16-10
5154
#2319
You guys are crazy. i considered taking Houston ML. Indy averages what... 90pts a game? Houston way too much fire power.Also read my past post... ever seen a team lose back to back series?
Houston cashes one of the next two. i will have decent money on Hou and okc tonight.
Comment
overcome
SBR Hustler
12-19-12
83
#2320
Originally posted by J.M. Disciple
You guys are crazy. i considered taking Houston ML. Indy averages what... 90pts a game? Houston way too much fire power.Also read my past post... ever seen a team lose back to back series?
Houston cashes one of the next two. i will have decent money on Hou and okc tonight.
jeremy lin might not even play today, but that might help the rockets.. also houston has absolutely garbage d so that 90 pts will probably be 100 pts. so are you taking the ML or the points? i really want to take these houston home, but dammit they played so bad the last 4 games ive watched, its so hard to pull the trigger.
edit: also looking h2h in the last 10 games, both teams have scored over 100 on avg. 103.4 houston and 103.2 pacers. i locked in the bet regardless. IN THE SYSTEM LETS DO IT.
jeremy lin might not even play today, but that might help the rockets.. also houston has absolutely garbage d so that 90 pts will probably be 100 pts. so are you taking the ML or the points? i really want to take these houston home, but dammit they played so bad the last 4 games ive watched, its so hard to pull the trigger.
edit: also looking h2h in the last 10 games, both teams have scored over 100 on avg. 103.4 houston and 103.2 pacers. i locked in the bet regardless. IN THE SYSTEM LETS DO IT.
I am on OKC (-5)*(A&D bets for JM & STIFF), GSW +11.5 (C. for stiff), sac +9.5, & hou +4.5.
On covers Lin is expected to play with a bad ankle. Until Danny Granger comes back for INDY, they will be some what of a low scoring team.
Note* C bets = 64.85%
D bets = 74%
Flat bet these at least all day long...
Comment
stevex
SBR Hall of Famer
05-02-10
5122
#2323
JM Traditional
1/18/2013
V1
Current chase record W/OUT buying points: 27-1-1
Current chase record WITH buying 3 points: 28-1
Current series pending: 0
V2
Current chase record W/OUT buying point: 13-2
Current chase record WITH buying 3 points: 13-2
Current series pending: 0
V3
Current chase record W/OUT buying points: 32-2-4
Current chase record WITH buying 3 points: 37-2
Current series pending: 3 (Houston straight up)
1. Houston Rockets B Bet +4.5 @ Indiana Pacers
2. Oklahoma City Thunder A Bet -5 @ Dallas Mavericks Oklahoma City Thunder A Bet (since > -3 play ML) @ Dallas Mavericks
3. Sacramento Kings A Bet +9.5 @ Memphis Grizzlies Sacramento Kings A Bet (with buying 3 points) +12.5 @ Memphis Grizzlies
Comment
brewersMKE
SBR High Roller
10-09-12
105
#2324
waiting on the 7/5 has got me all sorts of worked up, i hope it comes before i have to leave for the night.
Comment
Postman78
SBR MVP
04-28-10
1159
#2325
I feel stupid for askin this but can someone please explain the v3 system or tell me hat post its described on?
Comment
dlunc3
SBR Hall of Famer
10-31-09
9129
#2326
Originally posted by brewersMKE
waiting on the 7/5 has got me all sorts of worked up, i hope it comes before i have to leave for the night.
the limit said his next 7/5 post wont be until 1/19
Comment
brewersMKE
SBR High Roller
10-09-12
105
#2327
ahh, i missed that post
Comment
groovybrandone
SBR Sharp
02-22-12
456
#2328
the 2 "A" bets from stevex's post have to lose by the spread plus an additional 3.5 more for a possible 7/5 play tomorrow
Comment
J.M. Disciple
SBR Hall of Famer
11-16-10
5154
#2329
Originally posted by groovybrandone
the 2 "A" bets from stevex's post have to lose by the spread plus an additional 3.5 more for a possible 7/5 play tomorrow
Since OKC does not play tomorrow, only SAC will be a possible 7/5 play tomorrow. They have to lose by at least 14, since pushes do not count as a loss. Spread is 9.5 + 3.5 = 13. Very doubtful that MEM wins by 14 pts. No 7/5 plays for a while it looks like.
Comment
Mrscofield25
SBR MVP
02-23-11
2483
#2330
Originally posted by Postman78
I feel stupid for askin this but can someone please explain the v3 system or tell me hat post its described on?
Post #140. And post #2266.
You havn't done any reading by yourself I can see.
..i would always prefer 2 b on the outside,wishing i could get in,vrs. being on the inside knowing i can't get out..however i like memphis who own the kings 8-2 L/10..5-0 at home winning avg. is 18.8 points..i look 4 a big bounce back having been blown out 3 straight..bol all.
As the earth turns, the chair sits askew. The hole in the doughnut was like an owl in a tree. If I ride my scooter, will the house sell in less than a month? And don't forget....wku jfho'fh 'oai sfvja pg hjsaz. Finally picking up what you're putting down!
Comment
yelohell
SBR Rookie
01-11-13
47
#2332
Houston lost! We're having a D bet!
Comment
Wallco99
SBR Hall of Famer
01-01-11
7261
#2333
Originally posted by yelohell
Houston lost! We're having a D bet!
It's been 2 1/2 months. It was bound to happen sooner or later.
Comment
dlunc3
SBR Hall of Famer
10-31-09
9129
#2334
Originally posted by Wallco99
It's been 2 1/2 months. It was bound to happen sooner or later.
Sucks its vs a C bet... Hopefully it works out on both sides
Comment
Mrscofield25
SBR MVP
02-23-11
2483
#2335
Originally posted by Wallco99
It's been 2 1/2 months. It was bound to happen sooner or later.
Wallco I've PM'ed you yesterday.
Comment
clamchowder
SBR Sharp
02-26-11
471
#2336
Houston, we have a problem.
Comment
BCC585
SBR Wise Guy
04-27-11
603
#2337
Sh*t is about to get serious now boys hahaha
Comment
BuckeyeKaptn
SBR Sharp
11-16-12
271
#2338
Originally posted by J.M. Disciple
Since OKC does not play tomorrow, only SAC will be a possible 7/5 play tomorrow. They have to lose by at least 14, since pushes do not count as a loss. Spread is 9.5 + 3.5 = 13. Very doubtful that MEM wins by 14 pts. No 7/5 plays for a while it looks like.
Memph won by 16!! Dang
Comment
overcome
SBR Hustler
12-19-12
83
#2339
friggin houston.. going to fade them next game. i shouldve done it this time.
Comment
Wallco99
SBR Hall of Famer
01-01-11
7261
#2340
Originally posted by Mrscofield25
Wallco I've PM'ed you yesterday.
Send it again.
Comment
J.M. Disciple
SBR Hall of Famer
11-16-10
5154
#2341
so we have SAC and Hou tomorrow. Hou is unofficial JM if you did not buy 3 points on (A). I think SAC should cash vs CHA tomorrow, so looking to be a big pay day with at least 2 out of 3.
Good LUCK
Comment
yelohell
SBR Rookie
01-11-13
47
#2342
Originally posted by J.M. Disciple
so we have SAC and Hou tomorrow. Hou is unofficial JM if you did not buy 3 points on (A). I think SAC should cash vs CHA tomorrow, so looking to be a big pay day with at least 2 out of 3.
Good LUCK
Agree. I think Sac will win straight up for tomorrow, right after being manhandled by the Grizz last night!