John Morrison 2012-13 NBA Thread

[TwoCats]

Nice 7/5 question & answer linking. Makes finding info a lot easier.

[MARCUS]

Nice 7/5 question & answer linking. Makes finding info a lot easier.

... thank$ limit..nice touch..why didn't u think of that wallco?..sorry bout'tha lakers,won 2 straight,kobe
thinks they have a shot at the play offs.....100$ million (in the nba) won't buy what it use 2. bol

[J.M. Disciple]

Excellent work, JMD. There is no doubt that labby lines soften the blow of a lost series.

What do you do at the end of a season when you have outstanding lines?

Up to each individual if he wants to carry them to next season, system, take the loss, or different sport.

I am curious to see how the labby plays out with only official jm b&c bets since they have hire win percentage. A few series losses were won on A officially but at -110 went on to lose B&C. I am sure
It would be less variance but may be less profit as well.

I enjoyed this backtest cause it provides a reality check for those trying to make couple thousand a season or hold labby on a pedalstel. Note during Feb the labby players were actually only even with a heavy line.

[MLefty]

Any updates on line for Houston tonight?

[Kev the Brit]

7/5 Plays JAN 15

<snip>
Have a Question about 7/5?
Click here for your Answer

Excellent presentation. The cherry on the icing on the cake would be to add a short informative note below the link: "Wait for the page to fully load up and you will then be taken to the post automatically"

Keep up the good work my friend. Good job with the double 7s last night.</snip>

[Kev the Brit]

Up to each individual if he wants to carry them to next season, system, take the loss, or different sport.

I am curious to see how the labby plays out with only official jm b&c bets since they have hire win percentage. A few series losses were won on A officially but at -110 went on to lose B&C. I am sure
It would be less variance but may be less profit as well.

I enjoyed this backtest cause it provides a reality check for those trying to make couple thousand a season or hold labby on a pedalstel. Note during Feb the labby players were actually only even with a heavy line.

At the end of last season, what labby lines were still outstanding, and what % of your BR did they represent?

[olmec]

Any updates on line for Houston tonight?

[J.M. Disciple]

At the end of last season, what labby lines were still outstanding, and what % of your BR did they represent?

Its all in the spread sheet. At end of last season there was a string of wins which kept all lines cleared. That is only one season though. If you look at the spread sheet I have the labby listed for each day, risk, amount won, and graph on sheet two.

You can divide the total amount in play by your unit size to figure out what percent of your bankroll would be in play. I believe total loss during the season was around $1,600 starting with a $200 labby line. Based on a 100 unit bankroll that represents a low point for last season of 16%. Biggest bet was almost $1,000, which represents 10 units based on a 100 unit bankroll or 2 units as a starting labby line. Because there was only a 16% decrease through out the season I think people can go as high as 5% for a starting labby line using this system while avoiding risk to ruin ratio. With a $4k starting bankroll noted in spread sheet and $1600 drop during the season that would make it a 40% decrease in bankroll or 40 unit drop. All really depends on how many units you start with on your labby line. The more systems you follow the less you want your labby line to start with.

Before I thought you could start with 10% on your labby line with out going bust, but I was wrong; that is the reason I wanted to test it first. If you always did 10% on your line instead of stagnant unit through the season you would go bust. I believe the heaviest labby line starting with $200 ($50 x 4) was $2400 in play.

All the answers are in the spread sheet or shown in the graph.

[J.M. Disciple]

Was [v1] +4 (A) vs SAC
HOU [v3]+4 (A) vs Dal

[olmec]

Was [v1] +4 (A) vs SAC
HOU [v3]+4 (A) vs Dal

Are these for 7/5 or for classic Walcoo's JM?

[DustyDiamond]

Its all in the spread sheet. At end of last season there was a string of wins which kept all lines cleared. That is only one season though. If you look at the spread sheet I have the labby listed for each day, risk, amount won, and graph on sheet two.

You can divide the total amount in play by your unit size to figure out what percent of your bankroll would be in play. I believe total loss during the season was around $1,600 starting with a $200 labby line. Based on a 100 unit bankroll that represents a low point for last season of 16%. Biggest bet was almost $1,000, which represents 10 units based on a 100 unit bankroll or 2 units as a starting labby line. Because there was only a 16% decrease through out the season I think people can go as high as 5% for a starting labby line using this system while avoiding risk to ruin ratio. With a $4k starting bankroll noted in spread sheet and $1600 drop during the season that would make it a 40% decrease in bankroll or 40 unit drop. All really depends on how many units you start with on your labby line. The more systems you follow the less you want your labby line to start with.

Before I thought you could start with 10% on your labby line with out going bust, but I was wrong; that is the reason I wanted to test it first. If you always did 10% on your line instead of stagnant unit through the season you would go bust. I believe the heaviest labby line starting with $200 ($50 x 4) was $2400 in play.

All the answers are in the spread sheet or shown in the graph.

JMD how many lines do you use for Morrison? Do you use a single line? Three lines?

[groovybrandone]

Are these for 7/5 or for classic Walcoo's JM?

those are the plays stevex would post

[Want2Win]

Wallco,

I think I read that you do your thing for the NHL. If so have you started that thread yet, and second will you post the link on this thread when you do start it?

[Mrscofield25]

Wallco,

I think I read that you do your thing for the NHL. If so have you started that thread yet, and second will you post the link on this thread when you do start it?

http://forum.sbrforum.com/hockey-betting/1343065-wallco-nhl-gold-453-units-6-years-p36.html

[Want2Win]

Thanks MRScofield. I will give you points tomorrow when I am able to

[Mrscofield25]

Thanks MRScofield. I will give you points tomorrow when I am able to

No problem.

[million2one]

Are these for 7/5 or for classic Walcoo's JM?

What is classic Wallco's JM, I think you are confusing a bunch of systems?

Washington and Houston are both JM plays tonight, both are A bets so they do not fall under 7/5.
Houston is a B bet under Wallco's system as well.

Good luck

[stevex]

JM Traditional

1/16/2013

V1

Current chase record W/OUT buying points: 26-1-1
Current chase record WITH buying 3 points: 27-1
Current series pending: 1

1. Washington Wizards A Bet +4 @ Sacramento Kings
Washington Wizards A Bet (with buying 3 points) +7 @ Sacramento Kings

V2

Current chase record W/OUT buying point: 13-2
Current chase record WITH buying 3 points: 13-2
Current series pending: 0

V3

Current chase record W/OUT buying points: 32-2-4
Current chase record WITH buying 3 points: 36-2
Current series pending: 1

1. Houston Rockets A Bet +4 @ Dallas Mavericks
Houston Rockets A Bet (with buying 3 points) +7 @ Dallas Mavericks

[Wallco99]

Oh, thanks a lot! I was under the impression that the excel file already cancelled all A bets, and that A bets under Wallco's chase system were tantamount to 7/5 A bets.

Thanks guys. Looking forward to utilizing this system.

Until this week, no one has confused the two systems. What the hell is the problem this week?

[Wallco99]

... thank$ limit..nice touch..why didn't u think of that wallco?..sorry bout'tha lakers,won 2 straight,kobe
thinks they have a shot at the play offs.....100$ million (in the nba) won't buy what it use 2. bol

Sorry, I've only been directing people where to go for two years, my fault.

[J.M. Disciple]

If i ever post plays it will not be for 7/5 or wallco's chase110. Both Limit and wallco post the plays way before game time.

[J.M. Disciple]

JMD how many lines do you use for Morrison? Do you use a single line? Three lines?

Single line. Did you look at the excel sheet? Whole season is based on using a single line.

[J.M. Disciple]

Hou is , gotta go bigger on was.

[hughesn2]

Ok, can someone explain how this system actually works!!!!!!!!!! Don't just say "refer to post #___" Like is this system actually a good idea and how many points do you have to buy to be successful?? Please answer, someone other than the dude posting Morrison's posts.

[million2one]

Ok, can someone explain how this system actually works!!!!!!!!!! Don't just say "refer to post #___" Like is this system actually a good idea and how many points do you have to buy to be successful?? Please answer, someone other than the dude posting Morrison's posts.

If you are playing the JM system you will take a team who is about to go on a three or more game road trip.
You are betting that they will cover (or win if favored) at least one of those three games with a progressive chase. V1 means the three teams they will be playing are from the opposing conference. V2 means two of the three are from the opposing conference. V3 means they will be playing teams from the same conference in at least two of the games. You will buy three points on the spread if the team you are betting is the underdog and play the moneyline if the team is favored.

Hope this helps.

I don't play the system to a tee and doing so is probably not a good idea, I however do not chase my losses.
I do feel that the system has validity however and combined with solid handicapping can give you a real edge.

[stickbit]

Single line. Did you look at the excel sheet? Whole season is based on using a single line.

if you started with $100 bets and ended up w/ $4k isn't that 40 units? or am I missing something? great work regardless, thanks.

[cape07]

Thank god I bought the 3 points for the Houston game!

[cambertos]

Why is there an influx of people this week?every second post "HOW DOES IT WORK HOW DO I WIN $100000000", people need to read the rules before asking stupid arse questions

[Kev the Brit]

Thank god I bought the 3 points for the Houston game!

Why did you do that?

[yelohell]

Thank god I bought the 3 points for the Houston game!

Good thing my Houston pick earlier was a push. (local)

[MARCUS]

If you are playing the JM system you will take a team who is about to go on a three or more game road trip.
You are betting that they will cover (or win if favored) at least one of those three games with a progressive chase. V1 means the three teams they will be playing are from the opposing conference. V2 means two of the three are from the opposing conference. V3 means they will be playing teams from the same conference in at least two of the games. You will buy three points on the spread if the team you are betting is the underdog and play the moneyline if the team is favored.

Hope this helps.

I don't play the system to a tee and doing so is probably not a good idea, I however do not chase my losses.
I do feel that the system has validity however and combined with solid handicapping can give you a real edge.

...".combined with solid handicapping can give u a REAL EDGE".

[MARCUS]

http://forum.sbrforum.com/hockey-bet...years-p36.html

..Thank-u Mr.S

[Wallco99]

Wallco NBA Chase 110
2012-13 System to date: 38-0 (fin. series)
System profit/loss: +38.00 units (fin. series)
Current open series: 2 (-5.57 units)

(1/16/13):
#40 Houston (+4) (B) - Loss

v1 Plays
(A) 22-18
(B) 10-7
(C) 6-0
(D) 0-0


Games for (1/17/13):
#39 L.A. Clippers @ Minnesota (+5) (B) (10:35 pm EST)
#40 Resumes (C) on 1/18/13


We will ALWAYS play the M/L on favorites and the point spread (-110) on dogs. The team underlined and highlighted blue is the play. There is no point buying in this system, with one exception, if your team is the favorite, and buying down to a (-½) point spread is cheaper than playing the M/L, then by all means, buy the points, otherwise, M/L on all favorites and point spread on dogs. All results will be based on this principle. All lines and standings are based on FINAL lines from ScoresandOdds.com/. If one of the teams we are playing switches from a favorite to a dog, after my initial post, make sure you get the appropriate line if it differs from what I have posted. The wins and losses will be based on who is the dog team, and who is the favorite on ScoresandOdds.com/ final lines. I will try to update my post as often as I can throughout the day, if the lines change. However, it is the individual bettor’s responsibility to get the appropriate line if it differs from the line in my post.
System rules and backtest can be found in post #219.

[Mrscofield25]

Why is there an influx of people this week?every second post "HOW DOES IT WORK HOW DO I WIN $100000000", people need to read the rules before asking stupid arse questions

I remember when I was a newly wet... I was also asking the same questions again and again. People became more and more irritated, the same did I. So I just thought f.u.c.k it, Then I must find my info self. And I did. If you do your homework correct you will quickly understand how things work out. It's not easy if you're not an American, but with a little edge in English, things will come easier.

[Mrscofield25]

..Thank-u Mr.S

Ur welcome Marcus.