John Morrison 2011-12 NBA Thread

[on3]

^ parlay with knicks ML

[Aiwiz]

Need to bet Boston ML or -9.5?

[bisturis]

I like playing the systems exactly the way they are meant to be so I went ahead and took the ML on Boston game.

Good luck everyone!!

[knugen]

U are insane , but good luck!

I prefer to stop the serie here than take that line, i think i buy 3 points and play it that way!

[Kev the Brit]

Well, since Wallco's records began (in 2003), the system is 96.7% successful. So, even if Boston loses at -550, the odds should still be in the bettor's favour tomorrow night.

I'm betting as per the system. Like all chases, the key is to set small targets, so tonight's bet will not significantly dent my bankroll if it loses.

[Maxi_EV]

U are insane , but good luck!

I prefer to stop the serie here than take that line, i think i buy 3 points and play it that way!

That's what I did.
-6.5 @ -186

[Maxi_EV]

I mean if they can't beat toronto by 6.5 points...
That means that laying down -550 on ML is SUICIDAL!

[Maxi_EV]

@ -186: you need 65% equity.

@ -550: you need 84.6% equity.

That's one point. The second point is that if you lose that (C) bet you would have to lat down AT LEAST another 30 units on a (D) bet....For a potential series lost of almost 60 units!!!!!
ARE WE THAT NUTS !?!?!

And if the (D) bet is also a ML play @ -300...What will you do?

[Maxi_EV]

Well, since Wallco's records began (in 2003), the system is 96.7% successful. So, even if Boston loses at -550, the odds should still be in the bettor's favour tomorrow night.

I'm betting as per the system. Like all chases, the key is to set small targets, so tonight's bet will not significantly dent my bankroll if it loses.

The system might be 96% succesful. But each game is not! Tonight's odds arr ridiculous and DANGEROUS!

[Maxi_EV]

Skipping tonight's play and assuming the 3.34 units loss is far more clever than betting ML @ -550

[knugen]

i took the game on -6,5..

[Maxi_EV]

With the (C) and (D) bets combined you would risk AT LEAST 54 units to win 1 unit...
You would need 98.18% equity to make that an EVEN bet!

[Maxi_EV]

i took the game on -6,5..

[keemosabi]

Are we supposed to just hope for a middle on the Suns-Knicks game?

[adidas-b 88]

Skipping tonight's play and assuming the 3.34 units loss is far more clever than betting ML @ -550

That's what I'm doing, I'm skipping this series and will make up the lost units on upcoming series. It seems like the best way to go with these crazy odds.

[bisturis]

Lol. I might be a little insane taking the ML. But I run a labby line instead of chasing.

Come on guys! Have faith!

[knugen]

im also doing labby line, but if celtic loss today, they will probably be favs with some points against suns also... and i will not even imagine what u have to lay on that bet to win your unit..... crazy if u as me

[Maxi_EV]

That's what I'm doing, I'm skipping this series and will make up the lost units on upcoming series. It seems like the best way to go with these crazy odds.

[dlunc3]

Well, since Wallco's records began (in 2003), the system is 96.7% successful. So, even if Boston loses at -550, the odds should still be in the bettor's favour tomorrow night.

I'm betting as per the system. Like all chases, the key is to set small targets, so tonight's bet will not significantly dent my bankroll if it loses.

so say you bet to profit .5% per series... do you mind me asking what % you have risked tonight? and if tonight loses, how much you will have risked on the D bet at approximately -300+ on Friday?

I personally havent done the math... but seems like dividing the total lost from the A and B and adding that amount to the next 5/10 bets, might be the best way to go.

BOL whichever way you go

[Swan4brownlow]

Toughest thing to do is to make a system play when you don't think that play is a good play... with that in mind I'm finding it really tough to play the Suns after what I witnessed yesterday

[Wallco99]

I am on the Boston M/L, as far as Phoenix goes, I guess at this point it has to be official, since we have already played two of the bets. I will have to be more careful in the future, and I actually was, until this. Good luck to everyone on all the games however you decide to play them. I am pulling for Boston to win by 16, and NYK to win by 7.

[Maxi_EV]

so say you bet to profit .5% per series... do you mind me asking what % you have risked tonight? and if tonight loses, how much you will have risked on the D bet at approximately -300+ on Friday?

I personally havent done the math... but seems like dividing the total lost from the A and B and adding that amount to the next 5/10 bets, might be the best way to go.

BOL whichever way you go

If betting each series to win 0.5% of roll:

Risking tonight: around 12% of roll
Risking on (D) bet @ -300: 42.3% of roll (with already 12% lost)
Total risk with these 2 bets: 54.3% of roll

[juice050]

as a knicks fan im not even scared to take suns vs my nyk. knicks allways let scrub teams come into the garden and play us better in our own home. dont be scared of the suns in this situation.

[Aiwiz]

congratulations !

[ChiLLx]

PHX and BOS both take care of business. Let's go Kings!

[bisturis]

Whew! Won the Boston game and lost on the NYK game which I got at -350.

[stevex]

Love those C bet wins at -110 odds....

[dominate.]

Love those C bet wins at -110 odds....

x2!!
Boston Celtics 1/18/2012 6:48:01 PM - (EST)
-9 -110

[stevex]

Looking for a 3 - 0 night!

Don't screw up Indy

[1gamer]

BOSTON CASH IT!
SUNS CASH IT!
WIZARDS! CASH IT!

I love it when a plan comes together.

[Wallco99]

Looking for a 3 - 0 night!

Don't screw up Indy

BOSTON CASH IT! SUNS CASH IT! WIZARDS! CASH IT! I love it when a plan comes together.

WE already have one!!!!!

[Wallco99]

Love those C bet wins at -110 odds....

Love them even more playing 1/3/5.

[patocarranza84]

Hey guys i have been starting a system that it´s 25-1 this sistem over 9.7 units this season....
Tomorrow its
Fade Los Angeles Lakers (A)
No need to buy points..
Great job Wallco on your nba system following since last year

[jcygts6]

haha the refs are fixing the game so kings win... so obvious

[jcygts6]

team dominates whole game and gets blown out in 4th omg