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  • t-wizzle
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 12-18-09
    • 38099

    #10886
    Originally posted by Love The Action
    Anything is possible, but why not?

    The regular season matchups mean nothing. Both offenses are weak, but Boston is statistically better in most important categories. Both defenses are great, but here again Boston is better. I don't think Philly has the mental toughness to beat Boston in Boston and would not be surprised to see Boston beat up on Philly in this first game just like the bulls did and would have continued to do had they not suffered injuries to their best players. Philly does not have a consistent scoring presence or team leadership like Boston. I think their mental weakness will be their undoing. I hope you are investing with your head and not your heart with this one. Good luck.
    Completely agree regular season doesn't mean much. Each of those games were unique situations. But the sixers have given Boston problems for 5 years running now. Basketball-wise, their defensive energy makes things tough and Holiday makes things tough on Rondo.

    But the 76ers are a young team riding on an emotional high right now and we've seen in the past how that often leads to the. underdog stealing game 1. Sharps pounded philly out of the gate so they are thinking thats what could very well happen here.

    The big advantage for Boston here is there experience obviously. Late in games they play with a lot more poise. I think just about every game in this series comes down to the wire but that the Celtics pull most of them out. But you have to remember that with old teams things can turn bad quickly. Boston was very hot/cold this season because sometimes these older players just don't have that extra step they need.

    GL though the rest of the way.
    Comment
    • Love The Action
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 11-08-10
      • 10952

      #10887
      Originally posted by hawley
      Think they tried to, they just set up so badly they couldn't actually get a hand on the Grizz player with the ball
      You are correct. They did try to foul, but Conley broke loose and ran down the court, threw the ball high up in the air before he could get fouled and when it landed the game was over.
      Comment
      • Love The Action
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 11-08-10
        • 10952

        #10888
        Originally posted by t-wizzle
        Completely agree regular season doesn't mean much. Each of those games were unique situations. But the sixers have given Boston problems for 5 years running now. Basketball-wise, their defensive energy makes things tough and Holiday makes things tough on Rondo.

        But the 76ers are a young team riding on an emotional high right now and we've seen in the past how that often leads to the. underdog stealing game 1. Sharps pounded philly out of the gate so they are thinking thats what could very well happen here.

        The big advantage for Boston here is there experience obviously. Late in games they play with a lot more poise. I think just about every game in this series comes down to the wire but that the Celtics pull most of them out. But you have to remember that with old teams things can turn bad quickly. Boston was very hot/cold this season because sometimes these older players just don't have that extra step they need.

        GL though the rest of the way.
        Perhaps this early Philly money is just setting up for a big buyback on Boston. Remember, until the limits open up, we really don't know what the sharps are fully thinking. I mean, I would have passed at -6, but -5 is more palatable. We'll see, I like Boston to win this first game and the series. However, I think Philly will have some success as well and take a few games. Just not this first one. GL to you as well....keep killing the books.
        Last edited by Love The Action; 05-12-12, 07:28 AM.
        Comment
        • zilchy
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 03-31-12
          • 695

          #10889
          Why play the side on this LTA? I'm with t-wizzle on this one, series will be tight and games too. So why the prediction on the first game? Didn't work out with Denver last round. Two side plays after that were bang on though. I'd rather take Denver ML today (and might do) than pick any side in this game. The under 170 looks much better to me.

          DEN/LAL under looks great though.
          Comment
          • Love The Action
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 11-08-10
            • 10952

            #10890
            Originally posted by zilchy
            Why play the side on this LTA? I'm with t-wizzle on this one, series will be tight and games too. So why the prediction on the first game? Didn't work out with Denver last round. Two side plays after that were bang on though. I'd rather take Denver ML today (and might do) than pick any side in this game. The under 170 looks much better to me.

            DEN/LAL under looks great though.
            I explained my reasoning in my response to TWizz. In addition, and to expound a bit, I think Philly is getting too much credit in this series, but especially in this first game. First and foremost, they have never been in this position before and they acted like they won the Championship when they beat the depleted Bulls. I expect a big let down tonight. Remember last season when the Heat beat the Celtics in the 2nd round and cried like little girls as if they had actually won something. That is just like how Philly responded after beating the Bulls. Well, the Heat ended up getting beaten up by the Bulls in the first game of their series because of an emotional letdown and I would not be surprised to see Philly do the same. On the other hand, Boston knows how much focus it takes to get it done in the playoffs. Philly is mentally weak already and when you add a little hangover effect from their series win over the Bulls, that leads me to expect a letdown from Philly today. When you combine those qualititative factors to the statistical advantage that Boston has and to me this is Boston's series and game 1 to lose.

            To be honest, however, I am really not concerned about this side play win or lose. I am watching the total and praying for a high scoring game. If this one goes over by 10 or more points, we are going to get a ton of value on the under in game 2 and I will come out swinging with a 5x play. As long as the over hits tonight, I will be happy....
            Last edited by Love The Action; 05-12-12, 07:48 AM.
            Comment
            • zilchy
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 03-31-12
              • 695

              #10891
              Originally posted by Love The Action
              To be honest, however, I am really not concerned about this side play win or lose. I am watching the total and praying for a high scoring game. If this one goes over by 10 or more points, we are going to get a ton of value on the under in game 2 and I will come out swinging with a 5x play. As long as the over hits tonight, I will be happy....
              Nice, now I kinda don't want my under 170 bet to win . BOL on the Celts play at any rate!
              Comment
              • GoggsViggs
                SBR MVP
                • 06-05-10
                • 1884

                #10892
                Originally posted by Love The Action
                Play #2

                Celtics (-5) 1x (Locked)

                Good luck.
                Yes, Bro. Yes. on the C's too tonight.

                hope those philly boys didn't pop too many cristals and celebrate series win over bulls.
                Comment
                • dmitean
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 03-30-11
                  • 364

                  #10893
                  Originally posted by Love The Action
                  Anything is possible, but why not?

                  The regular season matchups mean nothing. Both offenses are weak, but Boston is statistically better in most important categories. Both defenses are great, but here again Boston is better. I don't think Philly has the mental toughness to beat Boston in Boston and would not be surprised to see Boston beat up on Philly in this first game just like the bulls did and would have continued to do had they not suffered injuries to their best players. Philly does not have a consistent scoring presence or team leadership like Boston. I think their mental weakness will be their undoing. I hope you are investing with your head and not your heart with this one. Good luck.
                  I think that two biggest things going against Boston are the fact that Pierce looks very bad and his injury needs some rest and he won't get it.
                  Another thing is that Sixers made amazing win and I think that most people couldn't believe the way that game finished. If Collins will know how to use this momentum and carry it on to this game, Sixers can do some damage.
                  Also, historically it's known that first game of the series always biggest chance for an upset.
                  I'm hardly ever play anything in first games of the series and this one won't be any different.
                  Good luck to you if you play anything.

                  Under in Staples Center makes perfect sense, since I doubt Denver will score anything close to 95 points and Lakers won't score above 105+ points as well.
                  Should be 98 - 87 type of game or something close to it.
                  Kobe and Mike Brown talked mostly about defensive effort, Artest should bring some defense as well and Game 7 for young Nuggets can really turn in to massacre.

                  Good luck tonight!
                  Comment
                  • dmitean
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 03-30-11
                    • 364

                    #10894
                    One last point I wanted to add against Boston bet and that is that experience can actually be against you on this one. Because they are so experienced, that leads them to being slightly cocky in my eyes. They won't be scared should Sixers win this one and will still be confident they will go to the next round.
                    Sixers on the other hand, been waiting for this moment for a very long time and should come really fired up because of their youthfulness as well.

                    Also, there also 5 points Boston need to cover, on top of winning and we have seen that out of the 3 games in Boston in 1st round, Boston won all 3, but covered only one.

                    Don't get me wrong, I'm not supporting Sixers play here.
                    I just don't see value on the Celtics and probably do lean slightly towards the Sixers.

                    Hope you win your Boston bet though!
                    Comment
                    • Les_Nuts
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 02-01-12
                      • 931

                      #10895
                      LTA, do you know what is the highest number of points you have beaten the closer by this season? This one is at 193 juiced at -115 at Pinny with 1 hour till tipoff
                      Comment
                      • Les_Nuts
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 02-01-12
                        • 931

                        #10896
                        ^ forgot to say, excluding major injures announced after locking a play in
                        Comment
                        • Catchn_Picks
                          SBR MVP
                          • 09-02-11
                          • 2984

                          #10897
                          Originally posted by Les_Nuts
                          LTA, do you know what is the highest number of points you have beaten the closer by this season? This one is at 193 juiced at -115 at Pinny with 1 hour till tipoff
                          Agreed Les...great beat of the street before it the under became fashionable.
                          Comment
                          • TC Woods
                            SBR MVP
                            • 12-17-11
                            • 1780

                            #10898
                            Finally got a bet in, missed the initial LTA post... got U199 @ -105 on Live betting
                            Comment
                            • meyer0416
                              SBR MVP
                              • 10-19-11
                              • 1082

                              #10899
                              good second quarter so far, lets get it, and go lakeshow!
                              Comment
                              • bradnowell
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 07-31-10
                                • 493

                                #10900
                                o/u at half is 187
                                Comment
                                • SlickRick1382
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 10-15-11
                                  • 3838

                                  #10901
                                  Great call LTA. Even with the final 3 pointer and slew of fouls it was no where near to being in jeopardy.

                                  Looking forward to more playoff plays ...
                                  Comment
                                  • TC Woods
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 12-17-11
                                    • 1780

                                    #10902



                                    Comment
                                    • yankeekansan
                                      SBR Hustler
                                      • 10-07-11
                                      • 97

                                      #10903
                                      Thanks LTA... great call on the UNDER
                                      Comment
                                      • JM92
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 01-27-12
                                        • 1140

                                        #10904
                                        Great call LTA, felt the same as you 'bout the game, was my biggest play of the year so far (except for that bulls/sixers under). Great win
                                        Comment
                                        • Love The Action
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 11-08-10
                                          • 10952

                                          #10905
                                          NBA 2011-2012 Regular Season

                                          135 - 122 = +3.65x

                                          NBA 2011-2012 Playoffs 5/11/2012 Recap

                                          1 - 1 = +0.9x

                                          NBA 2011-2012 Playoffs

                                          10 - 9 = +5.50x

                                          NBA 2011-2012 Season

                                          145 - 131 = +9.15x

                                          Good luck on Sunday.
                                          Comment
                                          • Love The Action
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 11-08-10
                                            • 10952

                                            #10906
                                            Happy Mother's Day to all the Moms out there
                                            Comment
                                            • ren2_laurence
                                              SBR High Roller
                                              • 04-28-12
                                              • 206

                                              #10907
                                              What are your thoughts for tomorrow, LTA?
                                              Comment
                                              • Love The Action
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 11-08-10
                                                • 10952

                                                #10908
                                                NBA 2011-2012 Playoffs 5/14/2012

                                                Play #1

                                                76'ers/Celtics under (175) 2x (Locked)

                                                Pinny just opened at 174 with -110 on the over and my local is giving me 175. I am going to jump on this now because I'm not sure this one gets above that number and my local's website might drop it down to 174.5 soon. I might add to this if I can still get a good number when the ref assignments are released. I will have a full writeup for this one later on today or tomorrow. For now, I am rolling with the under for 2x. Good luck.
                                                Comment
                                                • JM92
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 01-27-12
                                                  • 1140

                                                  #10909
                                                  Can't believe I let the Clippers escape at + 8. You have any thoughts on that game? Seems like CP3 and Blake might not be that bad after all
                                                  Comment
                                                  • wolvereen
                                                    SBR Rookie
                                                    • 09-29-09
                                                    • 44

                                                    #10910
                                                    Clips just can't score and they let the best chance to advance get by them. They can't feel good about that. I see double digits for the Griz.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Les_Nuts
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 02-01-12
                                                      • 931

                                                      #10911
                                                      Originally posted by JM92
                                                      Can't believe I let the Clippers escape at + 8. You have any thoughts on that game? Seems like CP3 and Blake might not be that bad after all
                                                      I see an easy win for Memphis, clips will really struggle to score 80 in this IMO. Respect your opinion, what's your angle on them? I'm on grizzlies -7 and teasing down Miami and Memphis in a parlay
                                                      Comment
                                                      • JOSHKROTCHNECK
                                                        SBR Rookie
                                                        • 05-11-12
                                                        • 44

                                                        #10912
                                                        Originally posted by Les_Nuts
                                                        I see an easy win for Memphis, clips will really struggle to score 80 in this IMO. Respect your opinion, what's your angle on them? I'm on grizzlies -7 and teasing down Miami and Memphis in a parlay
                                                        Clips will keep this one close
                                                        Comment
                                                        • meader99
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 10-30-10
                                                          • 4223

                                                          #10913
                                                          Originally posted by Les_Nuts
                                                          I see an easy win for Memphis, clips will really struggle to score 80 in this IMO. Respect your opinion, what's your angle on them? I'm on grizzlies -7 and teasing down Miami and Memphis in a parlay
                                                          I really hope the Clips win because I think the Spurs handle them easily and we can make some money. However, a Grizz win and you have the Spurs revenge factor going, but I think Memphis matches up better with the Spurs.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Les_Nuts
                                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                                            • 02-01-12
                                                            • 931

                                                            #10914
                                                            Originally posted by meader99
                                                            I really hope the Clips win because I think the Spurs handle them easily and we can make some money. However, a Grizz win and you have the Spurs revenge factor going, but I think Memphis matches up better with the Spurs.
                                                            Clippers may get swept by the spurs but Memphis can arguably beat anyone in the west. I really expected Memphis to come out stronger in the 1st half, still plenty of time and the refs are on my side. I'm thinking about blindly playing every under in the playoffs, it's insane
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Redscot
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 05-16-11
                                                              • 2571

                                                              #10915
                                                              Never got a sniff at the 175 LTA, curious where you have this one set and how much value remains at 174.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • tom1234
                                                                SBR Sharp
                                                                • 08-06-09
                                                                • 325

                                                                #10916
                                                                Originally posted by Redscot
                                                                Never got a sniff at the 175 LTA, curious where you have this one set and how much value remains at 174.
                                                                Redscot, read LTA POST #10908
                                                                Comment
                                                                • jameski999
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 10-17-11
                                                                  • 1540

                                                                  #10917
                                                                  Back up to 174.5 might get 175 by tip
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Redscot
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 05-16-11
                                                                    • 2571

                                                                    #10918
                                                                    Originally posted by tom1234
                                                                    Redscot, read LTA POST #10908
                                                                    Appreciate the intention Tom , but those familiar with LTA's plays know that he almost invariably posts where his model has the game set. If he has it set at 173 I would likely pass, but if it is 172 or lower I would consider the play.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • tom1234
                                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                                      • 08-06-09
                                                                      • 325

                                                                      #10919
                                                                      Originally posted by Redscot
                                                                      Appreciate the intention Tom , but those familiar with LTA's plays know that he almost invariably posts where his model has the game set. If he has it set at 173 I would likely pass, but if it is 172 or lower I would consider the play.
                                                                      i see, thanks
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • chief42
                                                                        SBR Sharp
                                                                        • 01-06-10
                                                                        • 315

                                                                        #10920
                                                                        Just hit 175 at 5 Dimes, it's at -105 on reduced juice. Gl tonight everyone.
                                                                        Comment
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