I don't think you should play both Dallas and the over tonight

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  • No coincidences
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-18-10
    • 76300

    #36
    DAL +3 live wouldn't be a bad bet.
    Comment
    • twelvejewelz
      SBR MVP
      • 01-29-11
      • 2388

      #37
      Originally posted by suicidekings
      Suns shooting 51% to the Mavs 31% with only a 5 point lead... Phoenix is not going to win this game.
      Hope not, but i got dallas -1 for game, dallas -2 for 1h ,dallas team total over 105, ill probably hit 1 out of 3 or 0 out of 3
      Comment
      • Cuse0323
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 12-09-09
        • 30169

        #38
        Originally posted by suicidekings
        Suns shooting 51% to the Mavs 31% with only a 5 point lead... Phoenix is not going to win this game.
        I don't know, Suns haven't hit a 3 yet. They'll probably light it up from deep in the 2nd half.
        Comment
        • suicidekings
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 03-23-09
          • 9962

          #39
          Originally posted by Cuse0323

          I don't know, Suns haven't hit a 3 yet. They'll probably light it up from deep in the 2nd half.
          And what? You think Dallas will shoot 30% for the entire game too? Phoenix should be ahead by 15+ at the half based on those shooting numbers instead of 5... You don't get chances like that against the Mavs all the time, and the Suns wasted this one.
          Comment
          • No coincidences
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 01-18-10
            • 76300

            #40
            5-point game at half.

            DAL only -3 2H.

            Be careful with this, folks. I wouldn't touch Dallas.
            Comment
            • dreamlanding
              SBR Sharp
              • 02-22-11
              • 316

              #41
              Went big on Phoenix +3.5 before the game, but the fact that Dallas shot so poorly and hung around scared me. Think they might turn it on 2nd half, so I hedged w/ Dallas -3 2H. Suns by 1 or Dallas by 1/2/3 would make my night!
              Comment
              • JOHON8
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 01-28-10
                • 7712

                #42
                Originally posted by suicidekings
                Suns shooting 51% to the Mavs 31% with only a 5 point lead... Phoenix is not going to win this game.
                Yeah this is a smart analysis right here. Suns have been playing theri hearts out, Mavs have been terrible, only 5 point lead tells you something.
                Comment
                • BettingWizard
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 11-28-09
                  • 6522

                  #43
                  Originally posted by No coincidences
                  5-point game at half.

                  DAL only -3 2H.

                  Be careful with this, folks. I wouldn't touch Dallas.
                  Dallas will win this game
                  Comment
                  • No coincidences
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 01-18-10
                    • 76300

                    #44
                    Originally posted by JOHON8
                    Yeah this is a smart analysis right here. Suns have been playing theri hearts out, Mavs have been terrible, only 5 point lead tells you something.
                    So why isn't DAL -5 2H?
                    Comment
                    • BettingWizard
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 11-28-09
                      • 6522

                      #45
                      Originally posted by No coincidences
                      So why isn't DAL -5 2H?
                      lol the spread for the game was 2.5 or 3......why would it be 5?
                      Comment
                      • No coincidences
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 01-18-10
                        • 76300

                        #46
                        Money's coming in on Phoenix.
                        Comment
                        • twelvejewelz
                          SBR MVP
                          • 01-29-11
                          • 2388

                          #47
                          Originally posted by No coincidences
                          Money's coming in on Phoenix.
                          it started out dallas -115 and went to phoenix -115 . dosnt that mean money both way?
                          Comment
                          • JOHON8
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 01-28-10
                            • 7712

                            #48
                            Originally posted by No coincidences
                            So why isn't DAL -5 2H?
                            Good question, -3 is close enough though...
                            Comment
                            • No coincidences
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 01-18-10
                              • 76300

                              #49
                              Originally posted by BettingWizard
                              lol the spread for the game was 2.5 or 3......why would it be 5?
                              Dallas was -2.5/3 for the game -- not +2.5/3. They're only down 5 at half.

                              It'd be reasonable to put them as a PK at this point if the books felt like they had a chance to win, wouldn't it?
                              Comment
                              • BettingWizard
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 11-28-09
                                • 6522

                                #50
                                Originally posted by No coincidences
                                Dallas was -2.5/3 for the game, and they're only down 5 at half.

                                It'd be reasonable to put them as a PK at this point if the books felt like they had a chance to win, wouldn't it?
                                no, i never see this happen with a low spread, unless its a blowout
                                Comment
                                • suicidekings
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 03-23-09
                                  • 9962

                                  #51
                                  Originally posted by No coincidences

                                  So why isn't DAL -5 2H?
                                  Why should it be? Would that be code from the books that the Mavs will win the game? But -3 means they won't?
                                  Comment
                                  • No coincidences
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 01-18-10
                                    • 76300

                                    #52
                                    Originally posted by suicidekings
                                    Why should it be? Would that be code from the books that the Mavs will win the game? But -3 means they won't?
                                    Why would the Mavs be +2 "live" here -- especially after closing at -2.5/3? Again, it's not like they're down double digits.
                                    Comment
                                    • badbyzdmx
                                      SBR High Roller
                                      • 12-23-09
                                      • 232

                                      #53
                                      So what's the play?
                                      Comment
                                      • philliesfinest
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 07-13-09
                                        • 1557

                                        #54
                                        over is the second half play!!!!!!!!
                                        Comment
                                        • No coincidences
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 01-18-10
                                          • 76300

                                          #55
                                          I'd play Suns +3.5 and the under 102.5, but that's just me. I'm on the sidelines.
                                          Comment
                                          • FindTheLock
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 02-27-10
                                            • 7194

                                            #56
                                            it's a basketball game. Guessing the number within 2 points for a halftime line isn't difficult. The difficulty lies in guessing within 2 points and being on the correct side of your 2 point differential. I'd take The mavericks if I were to pick a side for the 2H, but I wouldn't feel great about it.
                                            Comment
                                            • twelvejewelz
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 01-29-11
                                              • 2388

                                              #57
                                              im not sexist but get this woman ref off the court shes calling bs fouls all over the place. This isnt the wnba men play more rough then women jesus let them play.
                                              Comment
                                              • Polaris
                                                SBR Rookie
                                                • 03-15-11
                                                • 4

                                                #58
                                                I didnt do that one, but I did a two game parlay that I would have made a good return on. I won the first game, and

                                                The other was an under 217.5 on The Warriors vs. The Wizards and...the game total ended up being 218.
                                                Comment
                                                • MoneyLineDawg
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 01-01-09
                                                  • 13253

                                                  #59
                                                  Come on Mavs.....got em -2.5.....feel like it was a trap
                                                  Comment
                                                  • JOHON8
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 01-28-10
                                                    • 7712

                                                    #60
                                                    Over is dead and Mavs are struggling.

                                                    We need more of these "I don't think you should take them" threads instead of all the "GUARANTEED WINNER" threads.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • wikkidinsane
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 05-30-10
                                                      • 13799

                                                      #61
                                                      Shawn Marion is the reason Dallas losing right now
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Cuse0323
                                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                        • 12-09-09
                                                        • 30169

                                                        #62
                                                        The battle of who can suck less.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • No coincidences
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 01-18-10
                                                          • 76300

                                                          #63
                                                          Originally posted by JOHON8
                                                          Over is dead and Mavs are struggling.

                                                          We need more of these "I don't think you should take them" threads instead of all the "GUARANTEED WINNER" threads.
                                                          I have never once in my entire life guaranteed a win on this board, or ever, ever used the "L" word.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • DemoralizdDreamr
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 02-04-11
                                                            • 4319

                                                            #64
                                                            Good call No Coin
                                                            hope u had a good day
                                                            Comment
                                                            • JOHON8
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 01-28-10
                                                              • 7712

                                                              #65
                                                              Originally posted by No coincidences
                                                              I have never once in my entire life guaranteed a win on this board, or ever, ever used the "L" word.
                                                              You don't understand, I'm saying this was a good thread compared to the other 'lock' threads. More thoughtful discussion in here other than those threads which include a lot of stupidity and negativity.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Pauulzcappin
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 04-23-10
                                                                • 20295

                                                                #66
                                                                No Coin is right with the halftime line analysis.

                                                                Spurs/Denver was a 5 point game at half and the line was -5 for the 2nd half. Denver won the 2nd half and the game.

                                                                If it was at 5 books would be leaning Dallas or just trying to eat the juice. They liked the Suns. I think Dallas can still pull this off.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • twelvejewelz
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 01-29-11
                                                                  • 2388

                                                                  #67
                                                                  these refs are miserable tonight wtf calling everything and noting
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • BettingWizard
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 11-28-09
                                                                    • 6522

                                                                    #68
                                                                    Originally posted by Pauulzcappin
                                                                    No Coin is right with the halftime line analysis.

                                                                    Spurs/Denver was a 5 point game at half and the line was -5 for the 2nd half. Denver won the 2nd half and the game.

                                                                    If it was at 5 books would be leaning Dallas or just trying to eat the juice. They liked the Suns. I think Dallas can still pull this off.
                                                                    denver was a 5-6 pt fav
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • sportfan
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 12-22-09
                                                                      • 10111

                                                                      #69
                                                                      Under looks like a winner
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • FindTheLock
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 02-27-10
                                                                        • 7194

                                                                        #70
                                                                        Originally posted by Pauulzcappin
                                                                        No Coin is right with the halftime line analysis.

                                                                        Spurs/Denver was a 5 point game at half and the line was -5 for the 2nd half. Denver won the 2nd half and the game.

                                                                        If it was at 5 books would be leaning Dallas or just trying to eat the juice. They liked the Suns. I think Dallas can still pull this off.
                                                                        First of all. Books don't like anyone, they just try to get equal action on both sides. maybe they wanted more money on dallas. Most of the time a game will have fouling at the end which transposes to FT's. So a team winning by 1 with 10 seconds left could easily end up winning by 5 or more. It's just too complicated to use line movement as your main base for selecting a team.
                                                                        Comment
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