Lakers ML so tempting for big bet

Ice House · 03-01-11, 03:23 PM

I have my eye on Lakers ML as well..... but I had Lakers ML in a 8 team parlay a few weeks back and they lost to the Cavs!!!!

That day I had 7 out of 8 games right and the Lakers burried me.

Ice House · 03-01-11, 03:24 PM

What about parlaying Lakers ML with Magic ML ?

blinky88 · 03-01-11, 03:34 PM

Go for it

Bradyd · 03-01-11, 03:35 PM

When does a -500 something bet ever look tempting?? Especially to a person who believes the Lakers are due for a "let down". Don't do it. Because if you lose you are out a nice chunk of change. And if you do win, the only thing it will do is give you false confidence into trying another bet like this. If you are bold enough to try it once and win, than you will be bold enough to try it again, and again until you lose. Remember, it only takes 1 loss to wipe out a bankroll...

sportman1313 · 03-01-11, 03:48 PM

Bro, I've been betting games for a long while lol....yeah, you bring up good points for sure. I've bet heavy on ML games....in fact, most of the successful bettors are typically those who play large best on ML games. I have lost on them big before, and boy does it hurt when it happens...I do think lakers will have a letdown at some point, but not sure if they lose straight up against twolves, although it is definitely possible. I have a pretty decent bankroll and won't be out big if lakers lose but it'll still be a huge loss for sure. I'll keep considering it and see later if i wanna place it or not. Think minnesota probably covers the spread tho.

Icehouse, i think the last time I parlayed an nba game was about 2 yrs ago....not a fan of parlays at all and would never do them for big money. I love betting games straight up and for decent wagers, make serious money on it with better odds than parlays. Nonetheless, we'll see how it goes....I've stayed away from playing large ml favorites as of late, so maybe i should continue to do so.

Originally posted by Bradyd

When does a -500 something bet ever look tempting?? Especially to a person who believes the Lakers are due for a "let down". Don't do it. Because if you lose you are out a nice chunk of change. And if you do win, the only thing it will do is give you false confidence into trying another bet like this. If you are bold enough to try it once and win, than you will be bold enough to try it again, and again until you lose. Remember, it only takes 1 loss to wipe out a bankroll...

Grits n' Gravy · 03-01-11, 03:49 PM

fool's gold. never lay that kind of number. if you don't think they can cover the 10, then bet t'wolves or just pass.

vetskov · 03-01-11, 03:50 PM

Why would anyone want to go with the Magic ML tonight. I mean yes they are heavy favourites but the Knicks will be fighting with everything they have to continue the good run after Melo's arrival.

Just my 2 cents.

ShogunRua · 03-01-11, 03:54 PM

Originally posted by sportman1313

...in fact, most of the successful bettors are typically those who play large best on ML games.

No.

madrabbit · 03-01-11, 04:00 PM

Originally posted by ShogunRua

No.

to be blunt you dont know what youre talking about. We do bet big on ml favourites.

sportsmen was gonna ask u about this i thought u would like it. Im pondering going a couple k on it. Not 100 percent confident although the wolves havnt beaten the lakers for a while.

just wait if youre not sure plenty of time to the game starts.

sportman1313 · 03-01-11, 04:12 PM

hmmm, yeah....don't be fooled by the more notable examples such as billy walters and such as being the prototypical successful sports bettor. Go hang out with some successful securities investors on wall street and other heavy investors...you will be more than surprised actually. Matter fact, go to some GA meetings and you will occasionally meet gamblers who were quite successful doing this (but rather are at the meetings to stop gambling b/c it's a character flaw lol). But then again, if you're betting too big for a bankroll (I'm probably assuming yours is quite small) then you'll be in trouble anyways.......playing those type of heavy ml games definitely requires a solid bankroll, agree with that....but don't make claims that it is not.

Originally posted by ShogunRua

No.

sportman1313 · 03-01-11, 04:13 PM

I disagree with never laying that kind of number....there are definitely opportune times to go big on such numbers. I definitely agree that if you think a team can't cover the spread, then it's probably not a good idea betting them on ML either (occasional exceptions but still a solid general rule)

Originally posted by Grits n' Gravy

fool's gold. never lay that kind of number. if you don't think they can cover the 10, then bet t'wolves or just pass.

madrabbit · 03-01-11, 04:49 PM

nah disagree sportsman whats covering the spread got to do with winning the game ffs I reckon over half the games dont get covered by the favourite.

do it. 14 wins all season and they havnt won vs the lakers in a while. If you lose well hey, what can you do. even if you do 2k like I have its still a nice profit. You dont have to go 5. TBH I would tho u know Id go 20 but for the time being im going to lay off those big wagers because I dont need to go crazy.

just smack on 5k mate and crack open a red bull have a double espresso and enjoy the rush and the victory. Lets cash this shit. If u lose we're just gonna have to win it back baby!

madrabbit · 03-01-11, 04:51 PM

Originally posted by vetskov

Why would anyone want to go with the Magic ML tonight. I mean yes they are heavy favourites but the Knicks will be fighting with everything they have to continue the good run after Melo's arrival.

Just my 2 cents.

good call. after they beat the heat why would u take the magic at that price. I think magic will win but not enough to make me wager on them.

Rolo1984 · 03-01-11, 06:16 PM

I dont agree with the statement if you doubt if they are going to make the spread you should not bet ML. I think the opposite is true. When facing big spreads like 7+ betting ML has more value. Since teams when they are 7 up or so with little time left are not going for 9 they just want to run down clock they dont care if they win with 5, 7, 9 they want to win. When there is a spread 9+ i think it is much better to bet ML

In this case i dont know. Lakers lost @cavs. lakers seems a team dont caring time to time.

Saunders FTW · 03-01-11, 06:23 PM

Cheers Boss

DemoralizdDreamr · 03-01-11, 06:26 PM

DO IT
bet 5.4 K and post a screenshot
I would respect you if u do it.

sportman1313 · 03-01-11, 06:58 PM

Unfortunately I won't play this one

Rest assure though bro, when I make a big bet again...I will definitely post it up and hopefully 'gain your respect' lol. But honestly, I will post it up....kinda limited in time and may play it closer to game time but right now I'm on Knicks/Magic over 212. BOL all

Madrabbit, as usual bro thanks for your insight man.....you and me have similar stories man. I've also been staying away for the most part from large ML bets cuz of the emotions that run on during the games and such. Honestly, I would actually play this but I won't be able to watch or track the game as much as I'd like and will be busy out....might possibly play it closer to 8pm, which is around when I gotta go out anyways.

Best of luck all

Originally posted by DemoralizdDreamr

DO IT
bet 5.4 K and post a screenshot
I would respect you if u do it.

tonyp0387 · 03-01-11, 07:08 PM

go lakers

tullamore21 · 03-01-11, 07:24 PM

Originally posted by sportman1313

Lakers ML appears to be a pretty strong play to go on for a pretty big amount considering their dominance over twolves but twolves are coming off a big win and lakers are due for a letdown game. I think twolves will also probably cover but could very well be blown out....also like the over in this one.

Anyone on this one? I'd probably put down 5.4k to win 1k, but on the road and lakers' tendency to play like garbage are scary indeed

hi buddy. I like that pick. Lakers seem to be in good shape, now playing maybe more focused and they cannot drop into the bucket the 2 on the road big wins.
they need to take this. I feel that Over is the pick here, so i picked it.
Hope to cash this big tichet.
Good luck

bleek88 · 03-01-11, 08:04 PM

ehh this screams out a L for the lakers tonight. just be careful pls

top310 · 03-01-11, 08:07 PM

Why not go big on the Portland ML

NBA_Brosuf · 03-01-11, 08:10 PM

If you bet ML, it is better to bet them teams at home.

Home teams and good teams gets better % to win at home.

ShogunRua · 03-01-11, 08:13 PM

Originally posted by sportman1313

hmmm, yeah....don't be fooled by the more notable examples such as billy walters and such as being the prototypical successful sports bettor. Go hang out with some successful securities investors on wall street and other heavy investors...you will be more than surprised actually. Matter fact, go to some GA meetings and you will occasionally meet gamblers who were quite successful doing this (but rather are at the meetings to stop gambling b/c it's a character flaw lol). But then again, if you're betting too big for a bankroll (I'm probably assuming yours is quite small) then you'll be in trouble anyways.......playing those type of heavy ml games definitely requires a solid bankroll, agree with that....but don't make claims that it is not.

It is a bad bet long term. It looks easy, and maybe it will be for this game, but you will be a long term loser betting this way regardless of the size of your bankroll.

madrabbit · 03-01-11, 08:42 PM

Originally posted by DemoralizdDreamr

DO IT
bet 5.4 K and post a screenshot
I would respect you if u do it.

why has he got to post a screen shot? if u ont believe him thats ur problem.

madrabbit · 03-01-11, 08:50 PM

lakers r playing rubbish.

hawley · 03-01-11, 08:54 PM

Originally posted by madrabbit

lakers r playing rubbish.

Lakers will still get it done down the stretch no worries

sportman1313 · 03-01-11, 10:12 PM

haha, just saw this.....kinda upset I didn't go with lakers in retrospect. It's all good, still won close to 400 on Knicks/Magic Over.....shoulda gone with Lakers also. Oh well, it happens.....congrats if anyone else did

madrabbit · 03-01-11, 10:13 PM

thanks hawley. You shoul have listene to me sportsmen you know what youre doing bro. dont chase it now cos u could end up getting killed!

sportman1313 · 03-01-11, 10:13 PM

Bro, it is only bad if you're doing it with every single heavy ML favorites....you gotta pick your spots ya know? I've been on the losing ends of these games, and yeah it certainly outweighs a good portion of the wins but it isn't something you do every day if that is what you're getting it.

Nonetheless tho, always gotta be careful with it for sure

Originally posted by ShogunRua

It is a bad bet long term. It looks easy, and maybe it will be for this game, but you will be a long term loser betting this way regardless of the size of your bankroll.

NBA_Brosuf · 03-01-11, 10:16 PM

See? All talk and no push can't get anything done.

But scary chit to risk big just to win small.

It is like betting my 5K car just to win some rims.

8ArIvd5 · 03-01-11, 10:23 PM

Originally posted by NBA_Brosuf

See? All talk and no push can't get anything done.

But scary chit to risk big just to win small.

It is like betting my 5K car just to win some rims.

Yeah, but those would be some sick rims.

sportman1313 · 03-01-11, 10:25 PM

haha, you have a point brosuf and trust me I've been on both ends of this.....losing those hurt much more than winning them, that's why it's ultracritical to play it at the right time. If twolves had not beaten celts, I think for sure I would have jumped on this one with ease.....nonetheless, if I didn't have to leave I still woulda played it. None of that is important tho cuz I didn't, and that's all that matters.

Nothing like the rush of betting huge and then winning (of course I'm not addicted to rush tho lol).

Hope u and everyone else has been having a good day.

Good man madrabbit....how you faring today bud??

Originally posted by NBA_Brosuf

See? All talk and no push can't get anything done.

But scary chit to risk big just to win small.

It is like betting my 5K car just to win some rims.

madrabbit · 03-01-11, 10:33 PM

hey man won bugger all 360 on lakers if portland wins then ill make 400 or so cos i backed ny at half time 100 on it and the bucks -5 stuffed me the chance to make a bit more.

ill either make 400 or 160 from today. still, happy with that. I knew oklahoma st would win and cover and i knew memphis would smash the spurs. had chelsea in the epl dnb also bit everton cost me. dogs.

sportman1313 · 03-01-11, 11:59 PM

Good stuff bro, glad you're up for the day....tough losses in the everton game and tough one with portland continuing to play like garbage. Atleast you're up tho, I know there are plenty hurting bc of this game

Originally posted by madrabbit

hey man won bugger all 360 on lakers if portland wins then ill make 400 or so cos i backed ny at half time 100 on it and the bucks -5 stuffed me the chance to make a bit more.

ill either make 400 or 160 from today. still, happy with that. I knew oklahoma st would win and cover and i knew memphis would smash the spurs. had chelsea in the epl dnb also bit everton cost me. dogs.