Line wont be dropping too much. JM play, public will be all over the Spurs. Plus people know Boston is without KG.
Comment
creditcardclown
SBR High Roller
11-28-10
242
#214
i see the wizards opened at 7 everywhere, or 7.5, i dot see 8
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Avon Barksdale
SBR Wise Guy
12-16-10
838
#215
As I have stated before, I don't play spreads online. Only quarters and some halves.
Looking on SBROdds, it's 7.5 in most places. If you think it will go up, wait a bit, if you feel like buying the hook and getting the same line as me, go for it. I have already stated that a ML play would not be out of question, so I do think that +7.5 will get the job done.
Philadelphia coming off of a long road trip, Iguodala out and the Wizards have won 5 in a row against Philly. I think Washington has real motivation and opportunity here to get their first road win this season.
Another lean for me, including the ML Decided against it for the following reasons:
-Wiz not just bad on the road w/l, they are bad period. -15 margin, giving up almost 110 points. Sixers give up just 92 at home.
-Sixers have been one of the better ATS teams in the league. Their home 10-4 vs Wiz 5-11 on the road.
-Those numbers stand out even more when its vs .500- team 7-2 vs 4-8. Sixers do well vs shitty teams at home.
-Wiz as a dog of 5 to 8.5 is 1-5 ATS.
-Even though Wiz have played better since the trade it has not reflected on the road. Recent 5 game streaks say pretty much the thing. Still 1-4 ATS road vs Sixers 4-1 home ATS.
-Sixers are also 4-1 Ats and SU in their last 5 vs .500- teams.
Sixers being back home after a long trip might be a factor in Was favor but not enough imo. I think Wiz get that 1st road win real soon, just not in this one. Maybe their next one @Char, if not maybe Minny after that. Its def. coming, maybe even here, just too many numbers against them.
Comment
Avon Barksdale
SBR Wise Guy
12-16-10
838
#220
I know all of these numbers, but the points are too much in my mind especially considering recent history between the two teams.
and all of your statistics ar ewith Iguodala who is Philadelphia's best player and the Wizards have gone much of the season with injuries of their own to John Wall, Blatche, the trade of Arenas, Josh Howard, adapting to Rashard Lewis, etc.
I think those will be my only two game spread plays unless I get news of something tomorrow.
what you think of Bulls -4.5? Nets is one is one 2 weakest teams in league IMO, and -4.5 seems to good to believe the line...Reminds me a lot last night's Hawks -4.5 vs Kings
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Avon Barksdale
SBR Wise Guy
12-16-10
838
#225
Golden State Warriors at New Orleans Hornets Play: Under 200 Units: 2
San Antonio Spurs +2
Washington Wizards +8
Minnesota Timberwolves 1H -3
Los Angeles Lakers 1H -2
Atlanta Hawks 1H +2.5
Golden State Warriors / New Orleans Hornets Under 200
Charlotte Bobcats / Minnesota Timberwolves Under 204
or what are Top plays, could you mark them ? I know 5 unit is easy, is 3 unit too ?
GL and yes you are doing a great job here
I would say 3 Units + are my top plays, but out of all of the plays I post I am still at 63-64%. Yesterday was my first bad day (3-4), and I still finished +3.45 units.
what you think of Bulls -4.5? Nets is one is one 2 weakest teams in league IMO, and -4.5 seems to good to believe the line...Reminds me a lot last night's Hawks -4.5 vs Kings
If you were to bet on this game it'd be Chicago or no play.
I was looking at a Chicago/Minnesota/Lakers ML Parlay which pays 2.1 to 1.
given how bad the lakers have been lately how can you bet on them? maybe i'm being foolish but i'm gonna lay off them they are just idiots play bad the last 5 out of 6 games.
i like the over in spurs. lately i watch boston play and they look real shitty, i think they will get up for this game tonight with rondo leading the way to some scoring. still, with celtics the way they are the last few weeks they are no match for a good team. SPURS and OVER
Comment
forloveofthegame
SBR Hall of Famer
06-01-09
5288
#236
Originally posted by Avon Barksdale
I think Pop was sending a message to take them out early and they got an earful after that game. I expect the Spurs to come out playing their best tomorrow against a Celtics team that is not playing at 100%.
glad we are on the same page
Comment
Avon Barksdale
SBR Wise Guy
12-16-10
838
#237
Originally posted by creditcardclown
given how bad the lakers have been lately how can you bet on them? maybe i'm being foolish but i'm gonna lay off them they are just idiots play bad the last 5 out of 6 games.
i like the over in spurs. lately i watch boston play and they look real shitty, i think they will get up for this game tonight with rondo leading the way to some scoring. still, with celtics the way they are the last few weeks they are no match for a good team. SPURS and OVER
As bad as they have been they are still 11-4 on 1H Road Lines while Phoenix is 3-8-1 ATS on 1H Home lines. Also think that Lakers will come in somewhat pumped up after big second half last night.
Remember, I am only taking them for the half, not the game.
Got you on Twitter now, bought the 1.5 points for Washington, I think it was worth it. Otherwise set up on all your picks. Gonna be a late night keeping up here on the East Coast.
Comment
Avon Barksdale
SBR Wise Guy
12-16-10
838
#240
Lakers game is on ESPN at least if you don't have the League Pass. Good luck to you.
only play that's slightly different is i took the 1H wolves 3.5 instead of 3, hope it doesnt come down to that
Comment
Avon Barksdale
SBR Wise Guy
12-16-10
838
#245
Well, for some reason Minnesota has Love sitting on the bench for 5 minutes now, so hopefully he comes in the game here soon because they were up 4 when they took him out and now down 6.